Sivasspor vs Pendikspor Predictions
1. Lig · Turkey
Sivasspor
Full Time
0 - 0
AI predicted 1 - 1
Pendikspor
Win Probability (1X2)
Best Value Pick
Correct Score: 1–1
Match Result
7.9/10Sivasspor Run Riot as Pendikspor See Red in Sivas Showdown
Sivasspor produced a dominant attacking display to overwhelm a nine-man Pendikspor 4-1 at the Yeni 4 Eylül Stadyumu. The hosts struck first in the 21st minute and never looked back, adding three more goals in a ruthless second-half spell. Pendikspor, despite enjoying 56% possession, struggled to turn their control into meaningful chances and saw their hopes dashed by two red cards. The match was defined by Sivasspor's clinical finishing and Pendikspor's ill-discipline. While Pendikspor pulled one back late on, the damage was already done. The result cements Sivasspor's credentials as a force in the 1. Lig, while Pendikspor are left to reflect on a costly afternoon in Sivas.
😅 AI Prediction Report
CLOSE BUT NO CIGARPredicted
1 - 1
Actual
4 - 1
💰 Bet Results0/2 hit
Key Moments
21' — Goal
Sivasspor open the scoring, setting the tone for the match.
55' — Goal
Sivasspor double their lead early in the second half.
63' — Goal
Sivasspor make it 3-0, effectively sealing the points.
67' — Goal
Sivasspor add a fourth, capitalizing on Pendikspor's numerical disadvantage.
87' — Goal
Ismaila Manga pulls one back for Pendikspor, but it's too little, too late.
Second Half' — Red Cards
Pendikspor reduced to nine men after two dismissals, compounding their woes.
Sivasspor
Sivasspor were incisive in attack and solid at the back, making the most of their 44% possession by firing 18 shots, 7 of which were on target. Their 4-2-3-1 formation allowed them to transition quickly and exploit the spaces left by Pendikspor, especially after the visitors went down to nine men. The midfield duo provided stability, while the attacking quartet linked up brilliantly to carve open the Pendikspor defence.
Key Players
Strengths
Weaknesses
Pendikspor
Pendikspor started brightly, controlling possession with 56% and matching Sivasspor's five corners, but their attacking intent fizzled out as the match wore on. The 4-4-2 setup initially allowed them to press high, but defensive lapses and two red cards left them exposed. Despite pulling a goal back in the 87th minute, their three shots on target from 12 attempts highlighted a lack of cutting edge.
Key Players
Strengths
Weaknesses
Tactical Analysis
Sivasspor's 4-2-3-1 formation provided both defensive solidity and attacking width, with their midfield double pivot shielding the back four and allowing the attacking trio to press high and combine with the lone striker. The hosts were quick to exploit turnovers, transitioning at pace and targeting the flanks where Pendikspor's full-backs were often isolated. Pendikspor's 4-4-2 initially promised compactness and pressing, but as the match progressed, their midfield was overrun and defensive discipline evaporated. The two red cards forced tactical reshuffles, leaving gaps that Sivasspor exploited ruthlessly. Pendikspor's attempts to play out from the back were repeatedly thwarted, leading to dangerous turnovers.
Turning Point
The first red card to Pendikspor early in the second half, which left them exposed and allowed Sivasspor to run riot.
Man of the Match
V. Ethemi
Instrumental in multiple goals, creative spark, and relentless attacking threat throughout the match.
Sivasspor vs Pendikspor: Match Preview
Sivasspor arrive in Sivas still seeking a first home win after four consecutive draws, sitting 15th in the table with just one victory from eight matches. Pendikspor, three points better off in 12th, have also found wins elusive, but their away form is a concern with nine goals conceded in four trips. Both sides are on a two-match drawing streak, and neither has managed to string together convincing form, with each averaging just over a goal scored per game.
Statistically, this fixture pits two of the league's least decisive sides against each other. Sivasspor’s home matches average 2.5 goals, but their attack is blunt (1.25 goals per home game), and Pendikspor’s away defence is porous (2.25 conceded per away). However, both teams' clean sheet rates are low at 12.5%, and their combined BTTS count in the last five matches is eight from ten. Shot volumes are moderate (both average under four shots on target per game recently), and set-piece output is limited, with Sivasspor averaging just two corners per match in their last five.
Given these rates, the model expects a low-to-mid scoring draw as the most probable outcome. Neither side has the attacking efficiency to exploit the other's defensive weaknesses consistently, and the high frequency of draws in both teams’ records (five each from eight games) points to another stalemate. The 1-1 correct score is most likely, with under 2.5 goals a marginal favourite due to both teams’ tendency to stall after halftime.
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Expected goals · model says 1.25
Expected goals · model says 1.00
Over 2.5 Goals
39%
BTTS: Yes
45%
Likely Scores
1-0 · 1-1 · 0-0
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Powered by the same Poisson scoreline model behind the prediction. For fun and exploration — not betting advice.
Sivasspor vs Pendikspor Prediction Confidence at a Glance
How strongly the model leans on each market.
Stats Worth Knowing
The numbers behind Sivasspor vs Pendikspor that most previews miss.
- 1Sivasspor have seen both teams score in all of their last five league matches.
- 2Pendikspor’s away games average 3.5 goals, but they have conceded at least twice in three of four away trips.
- 3Four of the last six combined matches for these sides have been level at half-time.
Who do you think wins: Sivasspor vs Pendikspor?
Cast your vote, then see how it stacks up against the model.
Where the Model Sees Value: Sivasspor vs Pendikspor(2)
Selections where the model's probability beats the bookmaker's implied probability. Expected value is computed from real consensus odds, not opinion.
Correct Score: 1–1
Both teams have drawn five of their eight league matches, and their home/away scoring and concession rates converge around 1.1–1.3 goals per game. The 1-1 has also occurred in three of their last ten combined league outings.
Read more ↓
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Sivasspor's home games average 2.5 goals, but Pendikspor’s away matches see 3.5, yet both sides have a season over 2.5 rate below 50%. The model gives under 2.5 a 57% probability, reflecting the low shot-on-target averages and tendency for matches to stall after halftime.
Read more ↓
More 1. Lig Predictions
The Case For This Sivasspor vs Pendikspor Prediction
A low-scoring, attritional contest is expected, with both sides showing a strong tendency to draw and neither attack consistently outpacing the other's defensive frailties. Sivasspor's inability to win at home (four consecutive home draws) is matched by Pendikspor's struggles to keep clean sheets away (nine conceded in four away games), but neither side is clinical enough to tilt the balance decisively. The most likely scenario is a tight match with few clear chances, decided by set pieces or a defensive lapse, and a single goal may not be enough for either side to claim all three points.
Key Factors at a Glance
Defence
- →Sivasspor have drawn four straight home matches, scoring and conceding five at home in total.
- →Pendikspor concede 2.25 goals per away game but have only failed to score once in their last five overall.
- →Both teams have a clean sheet rate of just 12.5% this season, but neither averages above 1.4 goals scored per game.
🚩 Sivasspor vs Pendikspor Corners Prediction
low confidenceOur corners model projects roughly 4.4 corners for Sivasspor and 5.6 for Pendikspor, for an expected total of 10. That makes the model lean Over 9.5 corners (54%). Over 8.5: 67% · Over 10.5: 42%.
How Sivasspor and Pendikspor Are Arriving
Form, fitness and who's likely to start.
Sivasspor vs Pendikspor Goalscorer Form
Goals scored in last 5 matches across all competitions. Rate = goals ÷ 5 games. XI badge shows player is in the expected starting lineup.
Sivassporlast 5 matchesIn exceptional form
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Pendiksporlast 5 matchesOccasional threat
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Sivasspor’s recent form is defined by draws, with a DDWDL string and four home stalemates from four. Their only win in the last five came away at Antalyaspor, but they remain hard to beat without being clinical. Pendikspor mirror this with a DDWLD run, including two away draws and only one defeat in their last five, but defensive issues persist, especially on the road.
Sivasspor vs Pendikspor — Last 8 Matches
Strengths
- +Both teams scoring in most recent games
Concerns
- −No clean sheets in last 5 matches
What History Says: Sivasspor vs Pendikspor
In their last four meetings, Sivasspor have won twice, Pendikspor once, and one match ended goalless. Three of those games saw both teams score, and the 1-1 or 2-1 scoreline has been common, though the most recent fixture in Sivas ended 0-0.
Sivasspor vs Pendikspor Head-to-Head History
Last 4 meetings between these sides
2
Sivasspor wins
1
Draws
1
Pendikspor wins
Things to Watch: Sivasspor vs Pendikspor
- ⚠️No bookmaker odds available, so value assessment is limited.
- ⚠️Small sample sizes in both teams' home/away splits could mask recent tactical changes.
- ⚠️Low clean sheet rates suggest volatility, but neither attack has shown sustained efficiency.
This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Betting involves risk — always gamble responsibly.
Final Verdict
Sivasspor 1–1 PendiksporThe model projects a 1-1 draw, driven by both teams’ high draw rates (five from eight) and nearly identical goal-scoring and concession profiles. The strongest data point is Sivasspor’s sequence of four consecutive home draws, matched by Pendikspor’s inability to keep clean sheets on the road. The main risk is that Pendikspor’s leaky defence or a set-piece goal could tip the balance, but neither side has shown the attacking sharpness to make that the central scenario.
Sivasspor vs Pendikspor: Common Questions
Who will win Sivasspor vs Pendikspor?
The model gives Sivasspor a 37% chance to win, Pendikspor a 25% chance, and the draw is slightly favoured at 38%. Both teams have drawn five of their eight league matches, suggesting another stalemate is likely.
Will both teams score in Sivasspor vs Pendikspor?
There is a 56% probability both teams will score, as Sivasspor have seen BTTS in all of their last five matches and Pendikspor have failed to score just once in their last five.
Is under 2.5 goals a good bet for Sivasspor vs Pendikspor?
The model estimates a 57% probability for under 2.5 goals, reflecting both teams’ moderate attacking output and frequent draws. Sivasspor’s home games and Pendikspor’s away games both hover around the 2.5 goal mark, but neither attack is prolific.
How This Prediction Was Made
The numbers on this page come from a structured statistical pack for Sivasspor vs Pendikspor: recent results and scoring data for both sides, home/away splits, the head-to-head record, current league standings, known injuries and live bookmaker odds, all sourced from the API-Football data feed.
This fixture was routed to The Numbers Desk, the statistical baseline — season-long rates, splits and distributions. An AI model running that profile analyses the pack and produces the probabilities, predicted score and written analysis shown above. Nothing is edited by hand, and no information outside the data pack is used.
Last updated: 2 October 2026 (refreshed automatically as new team data arrives). Every prediction is scored against the real result once the match finishes — see the verified track record or read the full methodology. Football is inherently uncertain: treat this page as analysis, not advice.