SpVgg Greuther Fürth vs Würzburger Kickers Predictions

Prediction by The Numbers Desk — No extreme form or market signal — routed to The Numbers Desk, which builds the prediction from the underlying statistical rates.
Friendlies ClubsFriendlies Clubs · World
high confidence
SpVgg Greuther Fürth

SpVgg Greuther Fürth

Full Time

3 - 1

AI predicted 2 - 2

Würzburger Kickers

Würzburger Kickers

🗓️ Thursday, 12 Nov 2026 at 13:00 UTC

Win Probability (1X2)

SpVgg Greuther Fürth 36%Draw 33%Würzburger Kickers 31%

Best Value Pick

Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5

Match Result

7/10

Greuther Fürth Power Past Würzburger Kickers with First-Half Blitz

SpVgg Greuther Fürth produced a commanding display to defeat Würzburger Kickers 3-1 in this friendly encounter, with all three home goals coming in a rampant first-half spell. Fürth struck first in the 17th minute and doubled their lead before the break, adding a third just two minutes later in a clinical demonstration of attacking football. Würzburger Kickers managed a late consolation in the 83rd minute, but the result was beyond doubt long before the final whistle. The match was characterized by Fürth's early intensity and ruthless finishing, which left the visitors chasing shadows for much of the opening period. With no cards shown and both teams using the friendly to experiment, the contest remained open and entertaining, though Fürth's superior quality shone through decisively.

🔥 AI Prediction Report

CERTIFIED W

Predicted

2 - 2

⚡

Actual

3 - 1

✅Result
✅BTTS
✅O/U 2.5
❌Score

💰 Bet Results2/2 hit

Over/Under 2.5 Goals — Over 2.5
✅
Both Teams To Score — Yes
✅

Key Moments

17' — Goal

Fürth open the scoring, seizing early momentum.

36' — Goal

Fürth double their lead, putting the visitors under severe pressure.

38' — Goal

Fürth strike again just two minutes later, effectively sealing the win.

83' — Goal

Würzburger Kickers pull one back with a late consolation goal.

SpVgg Greuther Fürth

SpVgg Greuther Fürth

8/10

Fürth started brightly, dictating the tempo and overwhelming Würzburger Kickers with a flurry of goals in the first half. Their attacking play was incisive, as they found the net in the 17th, 36th, and 38th minutes, effectively sealing the result before halftime. The hosts maintained control for much of the match, showing composure in possession and discipline at the back, conceding only a late goal when the contest was already settled.

Key Players

First Goalscorer (17'): Opened the scoring to set the tone for Fürth's dominance.
Second Goalscorer (36'): Doubled the lead, giving Fürth a comfortable cushion.
Third Goalscorer (38'): Struck again moments later to all but end the contest.

Strengths

Clinical finishing in the first halfEarly attacking intensitySolid defensive organization

Weaknesses

Conceded a late consolation goal
Würzburger Kickers

Würzburger Kickers

5.5/10

Würzburger Kickers struggled to cope with Fürth's early onslaught and found themselves three goals down before halftime. Despite an improved showing in the second half and a late goal in the 83rd minute, the visitors rarely threatened to turn the tide. Their late response added some respectability to the scoreline, but the damage had been done during a torrid first 45 minutes.

Key Players

Late Goalscorer (83'): Scored a consolation goal to reward improved second-half effort.

Strengths

Resilience to keep pushing late in the match

Weaknesses

Defensive vulnerability in the first halfSlow start and lack of attacking threat early on

Tactical Analysis

While specific formations are unavailable, Fürth's approach was clearly aggressive from the outset, pressing high and committing numbers forward to overwhelm Würzburger Kickers. Their rapid succession of goals in the first half suggests effective exploitation of space and clinical execution in the final third. The hosts' ability to maintain defensive stability while attacking in numbers was key, as evidenced by conceding only once late on. Würzburger Kickers, meanwhile, appeared reactive and struggled to establish a foothold until the match was out of reach, only finding attacking rhythm in the closing stages.

Turning Point

Fürth's two quickfire goals in the 36th and 38th minutes, which killed the game as a contest before halftime.

Man of the Match

Third Goalscorer (38')

Delivered the decisive third goal moments after the second, extinguishing any hopes of a Würzburger Kickers comeback.

SpVgg Greuther Fürth vs Würzburger Kickers: Match Preview

Greuther Fürth approach this friendly off a mixed run in the 2. Bundesliga, alternating wins and losses in their last five, with a notable lack of draws and a recent 0-3 defeat away at Dynamo Dresden. Würzburger Kickers, from the 3. Liga, have also alternated results but show a higher-scoring profile, with 32 goals for and 21 against across 11 matches this season. The absence of league standings limits motivation analysis, but both sides are likely to use this as a test for fringe players.

The statistical matchup leans heavily towards goals. Fürth's last five average 0.8 scored and 1.6 conceded, while Kickers average 1.2 scored and 1.6 conceded, but their season-long rates are even more open: 2.91 scored and 1.91 conceded per game, with a perfect 100% over 2.5 rate. Fürth's home matches have produced 7 goals in 2 games, while Kickers' away games average over 5 goals per match. Both teams' recent matches feature high corner counts (Fürth 8.6, Kickers 5.8 per game), suggesting sustained attacking phases.

Given these rates, the model expects a high-scoring draw, with both sides likely to find the net. Defensive records are patchy—Fürth have kept just two clean sheets in five, Kickers only one—while both have failed to score in two of their last five. The likeliest scenario is an open contest, with the most probable scoreline a 2-2 draw, but either side could edge it if finishing is clinical.

🎮 Prediction Playground

Think the model has it wrong? Nudge each team's expected goals and watch every probability react — then simulate the match and see what happens.

SpVgg Greuther Fürth1.75

Expected goals · model says 1.75

Würzburger Kickers1.65

Expected goals · model says 1.65

Win Probability
SpVgg Greuther Fürth 41% Draw 23% Würzburger Kickers 37%

Over 2.5 Goals

66%

BTTS: Yes

67%

Likely Scores

1-1 · 2-1 · 1-2

Play this match once with the probabilities above — every run is different.

Powered by the same Poisson scoreline model behind the prediction. For fun and exploration — not betting advice.

SpVgg Greuther Fürth vs Würzburger Kickers Prediction Confidence at a Glance

How strongly the model leans on each market.

Match Result (1X2)
36%
33%
31%
SpVgg Greuther Fürth 36%Draw 33%Würzburger Kickers 31%
Both Teams to Score
66%
34%
Yes 66%No 34%
Over/Under 2.5 Goals
68%
32%
Over 2.5 68%Under 2.5 32%
Corners (Over/Under 9.5)
66%
34%
Over 9.5 66%Under 9.5 34%

Stats Worth Knowing

The numbers behind SpVgg Greuther Fürth vs Würzburger Kickers that most previews miss.

  • 1Würzburger Kickers have a 100% over 2.5 goals rate this season (11/11 matches).
  • 2Greuther Fürth average 8.6 corners per game in their last five matches, well above typical rates.
  • 3Three of the last five H2H meetings have seen both teams score, with two ending in draws.

Who do you think wins: SpVgg Greuther Fürth vs Würzburger Kickers?

Cast your vote, then see how it stacks up against the model.

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The Case For This SpVgg Greuther Fürth vs Würzburger Kickers Prediction

Statistical indicators point to a high-scoring, evenly matched contest, with both sides showing attacking intent but defensive vulnerabilities. Greuther Fürth's home numbers are solid, but Würzburger Kickers' games rarely lack goals, especially away from home.

Key Factors at a Glance

Attack

  • →Greuther Fürth average 8.6 corners per game in their last five, indicating attacking pressure.

Defence

  • →Both teams have conceded at least 1.5 goals per game on average in their last five outings.

Match Context

  • →Würzburger Kickers have seen 100% of their season matches go over 2.5 goals.

🚩 SpVgg Greuther Fürth vs Würzburger Kickers Corners Prediction

medium confidence
11expected total corners
Over 66%
Under 34%
Over 9.5Under 9.5

Our corners model projects roughly 6 corners for SpVgg Greuther Fürth and 5 for Würzburger Kickers, for an expected total of 11. That makes the model lean Over 9.5 corners (66%). Over 8.5: 77% · Over 10.5: 54%.

More corners tips:Over 9.5 →Under 9.5 →

How SpVgg Greuther Fürth and Würzburger Kickers Are Arriving

Form, fitness and who's likely to start.

SpVgg Greuther Fürth vs Würzburger Kickers Goalscorer Form

Goals scored in last 5 matches across all competitions. Rate = goals ÷ 5 games.

SpVgg Greuther FürthSpVgg Greuther Fürthlast 5 matches
A. Keller
3 goals in 5
60%

Scoring consistently

F. Klaus
2 goals in 5
40%

Regular contributor

L. Itter
1 goal in 5
20%

Occasional threat

Würzburger KickersWürzburger Kickerslast 5 matches
E. Muteba
2 goals in 5
40%

Regular contributor

Tarsis Bonga
2 goals in 5
40%

Regular contributor

X. Kiefersauer
1 goal in 5
20%

Occasional threat

Greuther Fürth have alternated wins and losses in their last five, with two clean sheets but also two matches where they failed to score. Würzburger Kickers' last five include two wins, two losses, and a draw, but their matches consistently feature goals at both ends. Both teams' recent defensive records are patchy, contributing to high BTTS and over 2.5 rates.

SpVgg Greuther Fürth vs Würzburger Kickers — Last 10 Matches

SpVgg Greuther FürthSpVgg Greuther FürthLast 9 results
W3-1
L0-5
W3-2
W3-1
W3-0
L0-1
L0-1
L0-2
W5-0
Wvs Würzburger Kickers3-1
L@ VfB Stuttgart0-5
W@ FC Zurich3-2
W@ Eintracht Bamberg3-1
W@ Eltersdorf3-0
L@ Bayreuth0-1
L@ Red Bull Salzburg0-1
Lvs SSV Jahn Regensburg0-2
Wvs FC Schweinfurt 055-0

Strengths

  • +Solid recent form — 3+ wins in last 5
  • +Over 2.5 goals in 66.67% of games this season
Würzburger KickersWürzburger KickersLast 10 results
L1-3
L1-3
D3-3
W2-1
W4-1
L1-3
W3-0
W6-2
L1-3
W3-0
L@ SpVgg Greuther Fürth1-3
L@ 1. FC Heidenheim1-3
D@ Stuttgart II3-3
Wvs FSV Frankfurt2-1
Wvs SG Wattenscheid 094-1
L@ VfR Aalen1-3
Wvs Jahn Regensburg II3-0
Wvs Ansbach6-2
L@ Atlético Baleares1-3
Wvs Barockstadt Fulda-Lehn.3-0

Strengths

  • +Over 2.5 goals in 100% of games this season

Concerns

  • −Inconsistent — 3+ losses in last 5

What History Says: SpVgg Greuther Fürth vs Würzburger Kickers

The last five meetings between these sides have been competitive: two draws, two Kickers wins, and one Fürth win. Three of those five saw both teams score, and only one ended with a clean sheet for either side. Scorelines have ranged from 4-1 to 2-2, indicating a tendency for open games.

SpVgg Greuther Fürth vs Würzburger Kickers Head-to-Head History

Last 6 meetings between these sides

2

SpVgg Greuther Fürth wins

2

Draws

2

Würzburger Kickers wins

33%33% draws33%
12 Nov 26SpVgg Greuther Fürth vs Würzburger Kickers3-1
14 Jul 21FC Wurzburger Kickers vs SpVgg Greuther Furth1-0
7 Feb 21SpVgg Greuther Furth vs FC Wurzburger Kickers4-1
4 Oct 20FC Wurzburger Kickers vs SpVgg Greuther Furth2-2
24 Feb 17FC Wurzburger Kickers vs SpVgg Greuther Furth1-1
16 Sept 16SpVgg Greuther Furth vs FC Wurzburger Kickers0-3

Where the Model Disagrees with the Odds: SpVgg Greuther Fürth vs Würzburger Kickers

With no bookmaker odds available, value assessment is limited. However, the model's high probabilities for over 2.5 goals and BTTS suggest these would be the primary markets to watch for value if prices are competitive. The distribution of likely outcomes is unusually flat, so any significant odds on the draw or high-goals markets could be worth attention.

Odds from 1xBet. Positive edge = our model gives a higher probability than the odds imply. EV = expected value per £1 staked.

1X2

SelectionOddsModel %Edge
SpVgg Greuther Fürth Win1.7536.0%-21.1%
Drawvalue4.3733.0%+10.1%
Würzburger Kickers Win3.2131.0%-0.2%

Over/Under 2.5

SelectionOddsModel %Edge
Over 2.51.2368.0%-13.3%
Under 2.5value3.5632.0%+3.9%

Both Teams Score

SelectionOddsModel %Edge
Yes1.2766.0%-12.7%
Novalue3.2934.0%+3.6%

Best Value Markets Found by the Model

1X2: Draw @ 4.37EV +0.442
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5 @ 3.56EV +0.139
Both Teams Score: No @ 3.29EV +0.119

EV per £1 staked. Positive EV means this bet has mathematical edge over the long run. Past model accuracy is tracked on our predictions tracker.

Edge and EV are derived from model probabilities only and do not constitute financial advice. Odds fluctuate — always verify current prices with your bookmaker.

Things to Watch: SpVgg Greuther Fürth vs Würzburger Kickers

  • ⚠️No bookmaker odds available, so value estimation is limited.
  • ⚠️Standings data is missing, so league motivation cannot be fully assessed.
  • ⚠️As a friendly, lineups and intensity may vary from competitive fixtures.

This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Betting involves risk — always gamble responsibly.

Final Verdict

SpVgg Greuther Fürth 2–2 Würzburger Kickers

The model projects a 2-2 draw, driven by Würzburger Kickers' relentless over 2.5 goal record (100% this season) and both teams' high concession rates. The main risk is that, as a friendly, changes in lineup or approach could suppress intensity and goal output.

SpVgg Greuther Fürth vs Würzburger Kickers: Common Questions

Who will win SpVgg Greuther Fürth vs Würzburger Kickers?

The model gives Fürth a 36% chance, the draw 33%, and Würzburger Kickers 31%, reflecting closely matched attacking and defensive rates. A draw is the single likeliest outcome, but either side could edge it.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in Greuther Fürth vs Würzburger Kickers?

There is a 68% probability of over 2.5 goals, with both teams averaging high goals for and against (Fürth 1.75/1.5, Kickers 2.91/1.91 per game) and Würzburger Kickers' matches going over 2.5 in every outing this season.

Are both teams likely to score in this match?

Yes, the model estimates a 66% chance of both teams scoring, supported by only three clean sheets combined in their last ten matches and both conceding over 1.5 goals per game recently.

How This Prediction Was Made

The numbers on this page come from a structured statistical pack for SpVgg Greuther Fürth vs Würzburger Kickers: recent results and scoring data for both sides, home/away splits, the head-to-head record, current league standings, known injuries and live bookmaker odds, all sourced from the API-Football data feed.

This fixture was routed to The Numbers Desk, the statistical baseline — season-long rates, splits and distributions. An AI model running that profile analyses the pack and produces the probabilities, predicted score and written analysis shown above. Nothing is edited by hand, and no information outside the data pack is used.

Last updated: 12 November 2026 (refreshed automatically as new team data arrives). Every prediction is scored against the real result once the match finishes — see the verified track record or read the full methodology. Football is inherently uncertain: treat this page as analysis, not advice.

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