Stade Brestois 29 vs Le Havre Predictions
Ligue 1 · France
Stade Brestois 29
Full Time
2 - 0
AI predicted 2 - 0
Le Havre
Win Probability (1X2)
Best Value Pick
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
@ 4.75(+15% edge)
Match Result
6.6/10Clinical Brest Sink Le Havre with Ruthless Efficiency at Stade Francis-Le Blé
Stade Brestois 29 made the most of their limited chances to secure a 2-0 victory over Le Havre at Stade Francis-Le Blé. Despite conceding 59% possession and facing 14 shots, Brest’s defensive discipline and clinical finishing proved decisive. The hosts struck at the perfect moments—just before half-time and midway through the second half—while Le Havre, for all their territorial dominance, failed to register a single shot on target. The match was characterized by Brest’s compact 4-2-3-1 setup, which absorbed pressure and struck on the counter, while Le Havre’s 4-3-3 controlled the ball but lacked penetration in the final third. A resilient Brest backline, marshaled by Brendan Chardonnet and Michel Diaz, frustrated the visitors, who left rueing their lack of cutting edge.
🔮 AI Prediction Report
PSYCHIC MODEPredicted
2 - 0
Actual
2 - 0
💰 Bet Results1/2 hit
Key Moments
45' — Goal
Brest open the scoring just before half-time, capitalizing on a rare chance.
71' — Goal
Brest double their lead, punishing Le Havre for their profligacy.
Assorted' — Yellow Cards
Three Brest players and one Le Havre player go into the book as tempers flare in a physical contest.
Stade Brestois 29
Brest delivered a textbook display of defensive organization and opportunism. With only 41% possession and just two shots on target from ten attempts, they maximized their efficiency, converting both on-target efforts into goals. Their disciplined back four and industrious midfield shielded Grégoire Coudert well, limiting Le Havre to speculative efforts. The midfield duo of Joris Chotard and Hugo Magnetti worked tirelessly to break up play and launch counters, while Romain Del Castillo and Kamory Doumbia provided the creative spark. The hosts’ ability to strike at crucial moments—right on the stroke of half-time and again in the 71st minute—meant they never allowed Le Havre to settle. Though they picked up three yellow cards, Brest’s aggression was controlled and purposeful, contributing to a well-earned clean sheet.
Key Players
Strengths
Weaknesses
Le Havre
Le Havre controlled the ball and territory with 59% possession and 14 shots, but their lack of incision in the final third was glaring. Despite a front three featuring Sofiane Boufal and Issa Soumaré, they failed to register a single shot on target, a damning statistic that encapsulates their afternoon. The midfield trio of Simon Ebonog, Lucas Gourna-Douath, and Rassoul Ndiaye dictated the tempo but struggled to break down Brest’s disciplined block. Defensively, Le Havre were undone by lapses at critical moments—conceding just before the break and again in the second half. Their lone yellow card was a reflection of their overall composure, but ultimately, their inability to turn possession into real chances cost them dearly.
Key Players
Strengths
Weaknesses
Tactical Analysis
Brest set up in a compact 4-2-3-1, ceding possession but maintaining defensive solidity. Their double pivot shielded the back four, while the attacking midfielders pressed selectively and broke quickly when opportunities arose. The full-backs, particularly Kenny Lala and Bradley Locko, were disciplined, rarely venturing forward, ensuring numerical superiority at the back. Le Havre’s 4-3-3 prioritized ball retention and width, but lacked a cutting edge in the box. Their midfield trio circulated the ball well but could not penetrate Brest’s low block. The front three found little space between the lines, and with no shots on target, their attacking structure was ultimately toothless. Set pieces offered little threat, with Brest defending their solitary corner well and Le Havre unable to capitalize on their three.
Turning Point
Brest’s goal on the stroke of half-time shifted momentum, forcing Le Havre to chase the game and exposing them to counter-attacks.
Man of the Match
Brendan Chardonnet
A commanding defensive display, leading Brest’s backline to a clean sheet and repelling wave after wave of Le Havre attacks.
🎮 Prediction Playground
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Expected goals · model says 1.60
Expected goals · model says 0.50
Over 2.5 Goals
35%
BTTS: Yes
31%
Likely Scores
1-0 · 2-0 · 0-0
Play this match once with the probabilities above — every run is different.
Powered by the same Poisson scoreline model behind the prediction. For fun and exploration — not betting advice.
Stade Brestois 29 vs Le Havre Prediction Confidence at a Glance
How strongly the model leans on each market.
Who do you think wins: Stade Brestois 29 vs Le Havre?
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Where the Model Sees Value: Stade Brestois 29 vs Le Havre(2)
Selections where the model's probability beats the bookmaker's implied probability. Expected value is computed from real consensus odds, not opinion.
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5@ 4.75
Model probability for over 2.5 goals (36%) is significantly higher than the bookmaker's implied probability (21%), creating a strong value edge. Brest are in good attacking form at home, and Le Havre's defence is vulnerable away, though both teams' season stats suggest a low-scoring tendency. Small stake advised due to low base rate.
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Match Result: Stade Brestois 29 Win@ 1.36
Brest have strong home form (6W-3D-3L), better recent results, and Le Havre are poor away (1W-3D-7L, 5 scored/18 conceded). H2H also favors Brest at home. Odds are short but fair.
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More Ligue 1 Predictions
The Case For This Stade Brestois 29 vs Le Havre Prediction
Stade Brestois 29 enter this fixture in strong form, unbeaten in five and with three clean sheets, while Le Havre have lost their last two and struggle badly on the road. Brest's attack has found consistency, and their home record is solid, whereas Le Havre have scored just five goals in eleven away matches. The head-to-head history also favors Brest at home. Expect Brest to control the match, keep it tight at the back, and have the best chances to win, with a low-to-moderate goal count likely, but some value in the over given the odds.
Key Factors at a Glance
Recent Form
- →Le Havre: LLWWL form, three losses in last five, just one away win all season.
Defence
- →Brest: WWDWD form, three clean sheets in last five, unbeaten in five.
- →Brest home record: 6W-3D-3L, 18 scored, 13 conceded.
- →Le Havre away record: 1W-3D-7L, 5 scored, 18 conceded.
Injuries & Team News
- →No injuries reported for either side.
Match Context
- →H2H: Brest have won last three at home vs Le Havre.
- →Brest have failed to score in 0 of last 5; Le Havre in 3 of last 5.
- →Low BTTS and under 2.5 rates, but value on over 2.5 due to odds.
🚩 Stade Brestois 29 vs Le Havre Corners Prediction
high confidenceOur corners model projects roughly 3.5 corners for Stade Brestois 29 and 4.2 for Le Havre, for an expected total of 7.7. That makes the model lean Under 9.5 corners (76%). Over 8.5: 36% · Over 10.5: 15%.
How Stade Brestois 29 and Le Havre Are Arriving
Form, fitness and who's likely to start.
Stade Brestois 29 vs Le Havre Goalscorer Form
Goals scored in last 5 matches across all competitions. Rate = goals ÷ 5 games. XI badge shows player is in the expected starting lineup.
Stade Brestois 29last 5 matchesNo scorer data yet — available after predictions are regenerated.
Le Havrelast 5 matchesNo scorer data yet — available after predictions are regenerated.
Scorer data populates once predictions are regenerated with the updated pipeline.
Stade Brestois 29 vs Le Havre — Last 10 Matches
Concerns
- −Inconsistent — 3+ losses in last 5
- −Leaky defence — 2.6 conceded/game
- −No clean sheets in last 5 matches
Strengths
- +Both teams scoring in most recent games
- +High-volume attack — 14 shots/game
Concerns
- −Leaky defence — 2.0 conceded/game
- −No clean sheets in last 5 matches
What History Says: Stade Brestois 29 vs Le Havre
Stade Brestois 29 vs Le Havre Head-to-Head History
Last 10 meetings between these sides
6
Stade Brestois 29 wins
2
Draws
2
Le Havre wins
Things to Watch: Stade Brestois 29 vs Le Havre
- ⚠️Limited shot and possession data for recent matches reduces confidence in attack/defence modeling.
- ⚠️Both teams' season stats suggest low-scoring games, but recent form hints at more goals for Brest.
- ⚠️Le Havre have shown occasional resilience, so upset/draw risk remains.
- ⚠️No injury data, but lineups not confirmed at time of prediction.
This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Betting involves risk — always gamble responsibly.
How This Prediction Was Made
The numbers on this page come from a structured statistical pack for Stade Brestois 29 vs Le Havre: recent results and scoring data for both sides, home/away splits, the head-to-head record, current league standings, known injuries and live bookmaker odds, all sourced from the API-Football data feed.
An AI model analyses that pack and produces the probabilities, predicted score and written analysis shown above. Nothing is edited by hand, and no information outside the data pack is used.
Last updated: 3 March 2026 (refreshed automatically as new team data arrives). Every prediction is scored against the real result once the match finishes — see the verified track record or read the full methodology. Football is inherently uncertain: treat this page as analysis, not advice.