Stade Tunisien vs US Ben Guerdane Predictions
Ligue 1 · Tunisia
Stade Tunisien
AI Predicted Score
0 - 1
US Ben Guerdane
Win Probability (1X2)
Best Value Pick
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
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Expected goals · model says 0.60
Expected goals · model says 0.75
Over 2.5 Goals
15%
BTTS: Yes
24%
Likely Scores
0-0 · 0-1 · 1-0
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Powered by the same Poisson scoreline model behind the prediction. For fun and exploration — not betting advice.
Stade Tunisien vs US Ben Guerdane Prediction Confidence at a Glance
How strongly the model leans on each market.
Who do you think wins: Stade Tunisien vs US Ben Guerdane?
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Where the Model Sees Value: Stade Tunisien vs US Ben Guerdane(3)
Selections where the model's probability beats the bookmaker's implied probability. Expected value is computed from real consensus odds, not opinion.
Double Chance: Draw or US Ben Guerdane
US Ben Guerdane are on a 3-match winning streak and have 4 clean sheets in their last 5, while Stade Tunisien are winless in 5 (LLDDD) and have struggled to score. The away side's recent form and the home side's attacking issues make X2 a solid, low-risk option.
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Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Both teams are among the lowest in Ligue 1 for over 2.5 goals (Stade Tunisien 19%, US Ben Guerdane 15%). Defensive solidity and low attacking output point strongly to a low-scoring match.
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Correct Score: 0–1
Given Ben Guerdane's recent away wins and clean sheets, and Stade Tunisien's lack of attacking threat, 0-1 away win is a realistic high-variance correct score.
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The Case For This Stade Tunisien vs US Ben Guerdane Prediction
Stade Tunisien, despite a strong defensive record over the season, have hit a rough patch with no wins in their last five and scoring just three goals in that span. US Ben Guerdane, meanwhile, have found form at the right time, winning their last three league matches and keeping four clean sheets in their last five. Both teams are among the lowest-scoring sides in the league, with under 2.5 goals landing in the vast majority of their games. Expect a tactical, cagey encounter with few chances, where the away side's confidence and defensive solidity could tip the balance.
Key Factors at a Glance
Recent Form
- →US Ben Guerdane away: 3W 5D 6L, but recent away form improving.
Attack
- →Stade Tunisien winless in last 5 (LLDDD), scoring only 0.6 goals/game in that stretch.
- →Head-to-head: 5 draws in last 10, most games low-scoring.
Defence
- →US Ben Guerdane on a 3-game winning streak, 4 clean sheets in last 5.
- →Stade Tunisien home: 7W 5D 2L, only 6 goals conceded in 14 home games.
Injuries & Team News
- →No significant injuries reported for either side.
Match Context
- →Both teams have season over 2.5 goal rates under 20%.
How Stade Tunisien and US Ben Guerdane Are Arriving
Form, fitness and who's likely to start.
Stade Tunisien vs US Ben Guerdane Goalscorer Form
Goals scored in last 5 matches across all competitions. Rate = goals ÷ 5 games.
Stade Tunisienlast 5 matchesNo scorer data yet — available after predictions are regenerated.
US Ben Guerdanelast 5 matchesNo scorer data yet — available after predictions are regenerated.
Scorer data populates once predictions are regenerated with the updated pipeline.
Stade Tunisien vs US Ben Guerdane — Last 10 Matches
Strengths
- +65.38% clean sheet rate this season
Concerns
- −Struggling to score — 0.6 goals/game
Strengths
- +Solid recent form — 3+ wins in last 5
- +4 clean sheets in last 5 matches
- +51.85% clean sheet rate this season
What History Says: Stade Tunisien vs US Ben Guerdane
Stade Tunisien vs US Ben Guerdane Head-to-Head History
Last 10 meetings between these sides
2
Stade Tunisien wins
5
Draws
3
US Ben Guerdane wins
Things to Watch: Stade Tunisien vs US Ben Guerdane
- ⚠️No bookmaker odds available, so value edges and expected value cannot be calculated.
- ⚠️No shot/corner/foul data for recent matches, reducing confidence in set piece and discipline predictions.
- ⚠️Lineups unavailable at time of prediction; late changes could impact outcome.
- ⚠️Both teams have a history of draws in H2H, increasing draw probability variance.
This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Betting involves risk — always gamble responsibly.
How This Prediction Was Made
The numbers on this page come from a structured statistical pack for Stade Tunisien vs US Ben Guerdane: recent results and scoring data for both sides, home/away splits, the head-to-head record, current league standings, known injuries and live bookmaker odds, all sourced from the API-Football data feed.
An AI model analyses that pack and produces the probabilities, predicted score and written analysis shown above. Nothing is edited by hand, and no information outside the data pack is used.
Last updated: 1 May 2026 (refreshed automatically as new team data arrives). Every prediction is scored against the real result once the match finishes — see the verified track record or read the full methodology. Football is inherently uncertain: treat this page as analysis, not advice.