Sturm Graz vs Floridsdorfer AC Predictions
Friendlies Clubs · World
Sturm Graz
AI Predicted Score
3 - 1
Floridsdorfer AC
Win Probability (1X2)
Best Value Pick
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Recommended Bets: Sturm Graz vs Floridsdorfer AC
Sturm Graz vs Floridsdorfer AC: Match Preview
Sturm Graz enter this friendly with a strong attacking profile, having scored 26 goals in their last 9 matches and losing just once in that span. Their recent form string of 'LDWWL' masks the fact that they have consistently created chances, averaging 11.6 shots and 3.6 on target per game over the last five. Floridsdorfer AC, by contrast, have struggled for consistency, with 6 losses in 11 and a negative goal difference, but have shown flashes of improvement with 3 wins in their last 5, including a 4-0 victory over FC Liefering.
Statistically, the matchup is defined by Sturm Graz's high output (2.89 goals per game, 77.8% over 2.5 goals) against a Floridsdorfer AC defence conceding 1.82 per match and keeping clean sheets in just 18.2% of outings. The visitors' away record is mixed—3 wins, 2 draws, 3 losses—but their attack has averaged only 0.82 goals per game across the season, suggesting a struggle to match Sturm Graz's firepower. Both sides have shown a tendency to score in the first half, with 8 of the last 10 combined matches featuring a goal before the break.
The model expects a match tilted towards the home side, with the most likely outcome being a multi-goal Sturm Graz win. The predicted scoreline of 3-1 is supported by both the historical head-to-head (4-1 in their last meeting) and the underlying scoring rates. While Floridsdorfer AC have improved recently, their defensive frailty and low season-long scoring rate leave them as clear underdogs on the underlying numbers.
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Expected goals · model says 2.55
Expected goals · model says 1.10
Over 2.5 Goals
70%
BTTS: Yes
61%
Likely Scores
2-1 · 2-0 · 3-1
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Powered by the same Poisson scoreline model behind the prediction. For fun and exploration — not betting advice.
Sturm Graz vs Floridsdorfer AC Prediction Confidence at a Glance
How strongly the model leans on each market.
Stats Worth Knowing
The numbers behind Sturm Graz vs Floridsdorfer AC that most previews miss.
- 1Sturm Graz matches have finished over 2.5 goals in 7 of 9 this season (77.8%).
- 2Floridsdorfer AC have failed to score in 6 of their 11 matches this season, averaging just 0.82 goals per game.
- 3Both teams have scored in only 1 of Floridsdorfer AC's last 5 matches, indicating a recent defensive tightening or attacking inconsistency.
Who do you think wins: Sturm Graz vs Floridsdorfer AC?
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Where the Model Sees Value: Sturm Graz vs Floridsdorfer AC(2)
Selections where the model's probability beats the bookmaker's implied probability. Expected value is computed from real consensus odds, not opinion.
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Sturm Graz matches have gone over 2.5 goals in 7 of their last 9 (77.8%), and their attack averages 2.89 goals per game this season, while Floridsdorfer AC concede 1.82 per match.
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Match Result: Sturm Graz Win
Sturm Graz have lost just once in their last 9, scoring 26 and conceding 17, while Floridsdorfer AC have lost 6 of 11 and average only 0.82 goals scored per game.
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More Friendlies Clubs Predictions
The Case For This Sturm Graz vs Floridsdorfer AC Prediction
This fixture pits a high-scoring Sturm Graz side against a Floridsdorfer AC team struggling for consistency and defensive solidity. Sturm Graz have averaged 2.89 goals per game this season, with 77.8% of their matches finishing over 2.5 goals, while Floridsdorfer AC have conceded at a rate of 1.82 per match and have managed just 3 clean sheets in 11 outings. The underlying rates point to a match with above-average goal expectancy, driven by Sturm Graz's attack and Floridsdorfer AC's vulnerability away from home.
Key Factors at a Glance
Attack
- →Sturm Graz's season scoring rate: 2.89 goals per game.
Defence
- →Floridsdorfer AC's away record: 3 wins, 2 draws, 3 losses, 9 scored, 11 conceded.
- →Sturm Graz have kept only 2 clean sheets in their last 9, but have scored in 7 of those matches.
🚩 Sturm Graz vs Floridsdorfer AC Corners Prediction
low confidenceOur corners model projects roughly 4.6 corners for Sturm Graz and 5 for Floridsdorfer AC, for an expected total of 9.6. That makes the model lean Under 9.5 corners (51%). Over 8.5: 62% · Over 10.5: 37%.
How Sturm Graz and Floridsdorfer AC Are Arriving
Form, fitness and who's likely to start.
Sturm Graz vs Floridsdorfer AC Goalscorer Form
Goals scored in last 5 matches across all competitions. Rate = goals ÷ 5 games. XI badge shows player is in the expected starting lineup.
Sturm Grazlast 5 matchesRegular contributor
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Floridsdorfer AClast 5 matchesScoring consistently
Regular contributor
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Sturm Graz have lost just once in their last nine matches, scoring 26 goals and conceding 17, with their last five yielding a 'LDWWL' form string. Floridsdorfer AC, meanwhile, have won three of their last five but still carry a season-long negative goal difference and have managed only three clean sheets in 11 matches. The recent uptick in Floridsdorfer AC's results contrasts with their season-long struggles in attack.
Sturm Graz vs Floridsdorfer AC — Last 10 Matches
Strengths
- +Over 2.5 goals in 77.78% of games this season
Strengths
- +Solid recent form — 3+ wins in last 5
- +Prolific attack — 2.0 goals/game (last 5)
- +3 clean sheets in last 5 matches
What History Says: Sturm Graz vs Floridsdorfer AC
The only recent head-to-head meeting saw Sturm Graz win 4-1 at home, underlining the gap in quality and hinting at a high-scoring dynamic when these sides meet. There is no evidence of a competitive rivalry or trend favouring Floridsdorfer AC in the available data.
Sturm Graz vs Floridsdorfer AC Head-to-Head History
Last 1 meeting between these sides
1
Sturm Graz wins
0
Draws
0
Floridsdorfer AC wins
Things to Watch: Sturm Graz vs Floridsdorfer AC
- ⚠️No bookmaker odds available, so value cannot be quantified.
- ⚠️Standings and venue data are missing, limiting context on motivation and home advantage.
- ⚠️Floridsdorfer AC's last 5 matches show improved scoring, but sample size is small.
This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Betting involves risk — always gamble responsibly.
Final Verdict
Sturm Graz 3–1 Floridsdorfer ACThe model projects a 3-1 win for Sturm Graz, driven by their 2.89 goals per game scoring rate and Floridsdorfer AC's defensive record of 1.82 conceded per match. The single strongest data point is Sturm Graz's 77.8% over 2.5 goals rate this season. The main risk is Floridsdorfer AC's recent uptick in attacking output, which could see them more competitive than their season-long numbers suggest.
Sturm Graz vs Floridsdorfer AC: Common Questions
Who will win Sturm Graz vs Floridsdorfer AC?
Sturm Graz are clear favourites with a 68% probability to win, compared to 20% for the draw and 12% for Floridsdorfer AC. This is based on Sturm Graz's high scoring rate and Floridsdorfer AC's negative goal difference.
Will there be over 2.5 goals in Sturm Graz vs Floridsdorfer AC?
There is a 72% probability of over 2.5 goals, as Sturm Graz matches have finished over that line in 7 of 9 this season and both teams average a combined 3.71 goals per game.
Will both teams score in Sturm Graz vs Floridsdorfer AC?
Both teams to score is rated at 54%, with Sturm Graz conceding in 7 of their last 9 and Floridsdorfer AC showing some recent attacking improvement, but the visitors have failed to score in 6 of 11 season matches.
How This Prediction Was Made
The numbers on this page come from a structured statistical pack for Sturm Graz vs Floridsdorfer AC: recent results and scoring data for both sides, home/away splits, the head-to-head record, current league standings, known injuries and live bookmaker odds, all sourced from the API-Football data feed.
This fixture was routed to The Numbers Desk, the statistical baseline — season-long rates, splits and distributions. An AI model running that profile analyses the pack and produces the probabilities, predicted score and written analysis shown above. Nothing is edited by hand, and no information outside the data pack is used.
Last updated: 28 September 2026 (refreshed automatically as new team data arrives). Every prediction is scored against the real result once the match finishes — see the verified track record or read the full methodology. Football is inherently uncertain: treat this page as analysis, not advice.