Sturm Graz vs Floridsdorfer AC Predictions
Friendlies Clubs · World
Sturm Graz
Full Time
3 - 1
AI predicted 3 - 1
Floridsdorfer AC
Win Probability (1X2)
Best Value Pick
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Match Result
6.5/10Sturm Graz Outclass Floridsdorfer AC in Convincing 3-1 Friendly Win
Sturm Graz delivered a confident display to see off Floridsdorfer AC 3-1 in their latest club friendly. Despite the lack of detailed match statistics, the final scoreline tells the story of a match largely controlled by the hosts, who found the net three times and kept their visitors at bay for most of the contest. Floridsdorfer AC managed a consolation goal but never truly threatened to overturn the deficit. With no cards issued and a comfortable margin, Sturm Graz showcased their attacking quality and discipline, while Floridsdorfer AC struggled to match the home side's intensity. The friendly nature of the fixture allowed both teams to experiment, but it was Sturm Graz who left the pitch with more positives to take forward.
🔮 AI Prediction Report
PSYCHIC MODEPredicted
3 - 1
Actual
3 - 1
💰 Bet Results2/2 hit
Key Moments
Unknown' — Goal
Sturm Graz open the scoring to take an early lead.
Unknown' — Goal
Sturm Graz double their advantage, putting Floridsdorfer AC under pressure.
Unknown' — Goal
A third goal from Sturm Graz effectively seals the contest.
Unknown' — Goal
Floridsdorfer AC pull one back, but it's too little, too late.
Sturm Graz
Sturm Graz took control of the match early and maintained their composure throughout, scoring three goals without reply until Floridsdorfer AC managed a late response. Their attacking play was fluid and effective, and their defensive organization ensured the visitors rarely threatened. The absence of any bookings underlines their disciplined approach, while the three-goal haul highlights their offensive prowess.
Key Players
Strengths
Weaknesses
Floridsdorfer AC
Floridsdorfer AC struggled to impose themselves on the match, conceding three goals before finally finding the net themselves. Their inability to keep Sturm Graz at bay defensively was evident, and they lacked the attacking spark needed to mount a serious comeback. While they avoided disciplinary issues, their overall performance left much to be desired.
Key Players
Strengths
Weaknesses
Tactical Analysis
With formations and lineups unavailable, tactical nuances are difficult to pinpoint, but Sturm Graz's ability to score three times suggests a well-drilled attack and effective movement in the final third. Their defensive discipline, evidenced by a clean disciplinary record and conceding just once, points to a solid structure at the back. Floridsdorfer AC, meanwhile, appeared vulnerable defensively and struggled to break down the home side, indicating possible issues in both organization and creativity. Both teams avoided cards, suggesting a friendly played in good spirits, but Sturm Graz's superior quality and execution made the difference. The hosts likely pressed high and maintained possession, while Floridsdorfer AC were forced onto the back foot for much of the match.
Turning Point
Sturm Graz's second goal, which gave them a commanding cushion and put Floridsdorfer AC firmly on the defensive.
Man of the Match
Sturm Graz Goalscorer(s)
Instrumental in building and maintaining the lead with crucial goals.
Sturm Graz vs Floridsdorfer AC: Match Preview
Sturm Graz enter this friendly with a strong attacking profile, having scored 26 goals in their last 9 matches and losing just once in that span. Their recent form string of 'LDWWL' masks the fact that they have consistently created chances, averaging 11.6 shots and 3.6 on target per game over the last five. Floridsdorfer AC, by contrast, have struggled for consistency, with 6 losses in 11 and a negative goal difference, but have shown flashes of improvement with 3 wins in their last 5, including a 4-0 victory over FC Liefering.
Statistically, the matchup is defined by Sturm Graz's high output (2.89 goals per game, 77.8% over 2.5 goals) against a Floridsdorfer AC defence conceding 1.82 per match and keeping clean sheets in just 18.2% of outings. The visitors' away record is mixed—3 wins, 2 draws, 3 losses—but their attack has averaged only 0.82 goals per game across the season, suggesting a struggle to match Sturm Graz's firepower. Both sides have shown a tendency to score in the first half, with 8 of the last 10 combined matches featuring a goal before the break.
The model expects a match tilted towards the home side, with the most likely outcome being a multi-goal Sturm Graz win. The predicted scoreline of 3-1 is supported by both the historical head-to-head (4-1 in their last meeting) and the underlying scoring rates. While Floridsdorfer AC have improved recently, their defensive frailty and low season-long scoring rate leave them as clear underdogs on the underlying numbers.
🎮 Prediction Playground
Think the model has it wrong? Nudge each team's expected goals and watch every probability react — then simulate the match and see what happens.
Expected goals · model says 2.55
Expected goals · model says 1.10
Over 2.5 Goals
70%
BTTS: Yes
61%
Likely Scores
2-1 · 2-0 · 3-1
Play this match once with the probabilities above — every run is different.
Powered by the same Poisson scoreline model behind the prediction. For fun and exploration — not betting advice.
Sturm Graz vs Floridsdorfer AC Prediction Confidence at a Glance
How strongly the model leans on each market.
Stats Worth Knowing
The numbers behind Sturm Graz vs Floridsdorfer AC that most previews miss.
- 1Sturm Graz matches have finished over 2.5 goals in 7 of 9 this season (77.8%).
- 2Floridsdorfer AC have failed to score in 6 of their 11 matches this season, averaging just 0.82 goals per game.
- 3Both teams have scored in only 1 of Floridsdorfer AC's last 5 matches, indicating a recent defensive tightening or attacking inconsistency.
Who do you think wins: Sturm Graz vs Floridsdorfer AC?
Cast your vote, then see how it stacks up against the model.
Where the Model Sees Value: Sturm Graz vs Floridsdorfer AC(2)
Selections where the model's probability beats the bookmaker's implied probability. Expected value is computed from real consensus odds, not opinion.
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Sturm Graz matches have gone over 2.5 goals in 7 of their last 9 (77.8%), and their attack averages 2.89 goals per game this season, while Floridsdorfer AC concede 1.82 per match.
Read more ↓
Match Result: Sturm Graz Win
Sturm Graz have lost just once in their last 9, scoring 26 and conceding 17, while Floridsdorfer AC have lost 6 of 11 and average only 0.82 goals scored per game.
Read more ↓
More Friendlies Clubs Predictions
The Case For This Sturm Graz vs Floridsdorfer AC Prediction
This fixture pits a high-scoring Sturm Graz side against a Floridsdorfer AC team struggling for consistency and defensive solidity. Sturm Graz have averaged 2.89 goals per game this season, with 77.8% of their matches finishing over 2.5 goals, while Floridsdorfer AC have conceded at a rate of 1.82 per match and have managed just 3 clean sheets in 11 outings. The underlying rates point to a match with above-average goal expectancy, driven by Sturm Graz's attack and Floridsdorfer AC's vulnerability away from home.
Key Factors at a Glance
Attack
- →Sturm Graz's season scoring rate: 2.89 goals per game.
Defence
- →Floridsdorfer AC's away record: 3 wins, 2 draws, 3 losses, 9 scored, 11 conceded.
- →Sturm Graz have kept only 2 clean sheets in their last 9, but have scored in 7 of those matches.
🚩 Sturm Graz vs Floridsdorfer AC Corners Prediction
low confidenceOur corners model projects roughly 4.6 corners for Sturm Graz and 5 for Floridsdorfer AC, for an expected total of 9.6. That makes the model lean Under 9.5 corners (51%). Over 8.5: 62% · Over 10.5: 37%.
How Sturm Graz and Floridsdorfer AC Are Arriving
Form, fitness and who's likely to start.
Sturm Graz vs Floridsdorfer AC Goalscorer Form
Goals scored in last 5 matches across all competitions. Rate = goals ÷ 5 games.
Sturm Grazlast 5 matchesRegular contributor
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Floridsdorfer AClast 5 matchesRegular contributor
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Sturm Graz have lost just once in their last nine matches, scoring 26 goals and conceding 17, with their last five yielding a 'LDWWL' form string. Floridsdorfer AC, meanwhile, have won three of their last five but still carry a season-long negative goal difference and have managed only three clean sheets in 11 matches. The recent uptick in Floridsdorfer AC's results contrasts with their season-long struggles in attack.
Sturm Graz vs Floridsdorfer AC — Last 10 Matches
Strengths
- +Solid recent form — 3+ wins in last 5
- +Over 2.5 goals in 80% of games this season
Strengths
- +Solid recent form — 3+ wins in last 5
- +3 clean sheets in last 5 matches
What History Says: Sturm Graz vs Floridsdorfer AC
The only recent head-to-head meeting saw Sturm Graz win 4-1 at home, underlining the gap in quality and hinting at a high-scoring dynamic when these sides meet. There is no evidence of a competitive rivalry or trend favouring Floridsdorfer AC in the available data.
Sturm Graz vs Floridsdorfer AC Head-to-Head History
Last 2 meetings between these sides
2
Sturm Graz wins
0
Draws
0
Floridsdorfer AC wins
Where the Model Disagrees with the Odds: Sturm Graz vs Floridsdorfer AC
With bookmaker odds unavailable, the model cannot identify explicit value edges. However, the probabilities suggest that over 2.5 goals and a home win would be the most likely areas of value if market prices are in line with typical friendly match expectations. Any odds implying less than a 68% chance for a Sturm Graz win or below 1.40 for over 2.5 goals would merit attention.
Odds from Bet365. Positive edge = our model gives a higher probability than the odds imply. EV = expected value per £1 staked.
1X2
Over/Under 2.5
Both Teams Score
Edge and EV are derived from model probabilities only and do not constitute financial advice. Odds fluctuate — always verify current prices with your bookmaker.
Things to Watch: Sturm Graz vs Floridsdorfer AC
- ⚠️No bookmaker odds available, so value cannot be quantified.
- ⚠️Standings and venue data are missing, limiting context on motivation and home advantage.
- ⚠️Floridsdorfer AC's last 5 matches show improved scoring, but sample size is small.
This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Betting involves risk — always gamble responsibly.
Final Verdict
Sturm Graz 3–1 Floridsdorfer ACThe model projects a 3-1 win for Sturm Graz, driven by their 2.89 goals per game scoring rate and Floridsdorfer AC's defensive record of 1.82 conceded per match. The single strongest data point is Sturm Graz's 77.8% over 2.5 goals rate this season. The main risk is Floridsdorfer AC's recent uptick in attacking output, which could see them more competitive than their season-long numbers suggest.
Sturm Graz vs Floridsdorfer AC: Common Questions
Who will win Sturm Graz vs Floridsdorfer AC?
Sturm Graz are clear favourites with a 68% probability to win, compared to 20% for the draw and 12% for Floridsdorfer AC. This is based on Sturm Graz's high scoring rate and Floridsdorfer AC's negative goal difference.
Will there be over 2.5 goals in Sturm Graz vs Floridsdorfer AC?
There is a 72% probability of over 2.5 goals, as Sturm Graz matches have finished over that line in 7 of 9 this season and both teams average a combined 3.71 goals per game.
Will both teams score in Sturm Graz vs Floridsdorfer AC?
Both teams to score is rated at 54%, with Sturm Graz conceding in 7 of their last 9 and Floridsdorfer AC showing some recent attacking improvement, but the visitors have failed to score in 6 of 11 season matches.
How This Prediction Was Made
The numbers on this page come from a structured statistical pack for Sturm Graz vs Floridsdorfer AC: recent results and scoring data for both sides, home/away splits, the head-to-head record, current league standings, known injuries and live bookmaker odds, all sourced from the API-Football data feed.
This fixture was routed to The Numbers Desk, the statistical baseline — season-long rates, splits and distributions. An AI model running that profile analyses the pack and produces the probabilities, predicted score and written analysis shown above. Nothing is edited by hand, and no information outside the data pack is used.
Last updated: 28 September 2026 (refreshed automatically as new team data arrives). Every prediction is scored against the real result once the match finishes — see the verified track record or read the full methodology. Football is inherently uncertain: treat this page as analysis, not advice.