SV Darmstadt 98 vs 1. FC Magdeburg Predictions
2. Bundesliga · Germany
SV Darmstadt 98
AI Predicted Score
1 - 2
1. FC Magdeburg
Win Probability (1X2)
Best Value Pick
Match Result: 1. FC Magdeburg Win
Recommended Bets: SV Darmstadt 98 vs 1. FC Magdeburg
SV Darmstadt 98 vs 1. FC Magdeburg: Match Preview
Darmstadt enter this fixture sitting 16th with just eight points from nine matches, their defensive record (18 conceded) a key reason for their precarious position. At home, they've been more competitive (2W, 2D, 1L), but a recent 0-0 with St. Pauli and a heavy 0-4 away defeat to Karlsruhe highlight their inconsistency. Magdeburg, meanwhile, are 6th with 13 points from eight and a positive goal difference, having won four of their last eight and shown consistent attacking output.
The statistical matchup tilts toward goals: Darmstadt's last five league games have averaged 4.2 total goals, with their attack (2.2 scored per game) offset by a porous defence (2.0 conceded). Magdeburg's last five see them averaging 1.6 goals scored and 1.0 conceded, but their shot volume (16.6 per game, 6.6 on target) and 50% clean sheet rate suggest a side capable of controlling games against weaker opposition. Both teams have seen the majority of their recent goals in the first half (six each in the last five), so early action is likely. Set-piece threat is moderate on both sides, with Magdeburg averaging five corners per game and Darmstadt 3.6.
Given the underlying rates—Magdeburg's 1.75 goals scored per game and Darmstadt's 2.0 conceded—the model expects the visitors to edge a high-scoring contest. The most probable outcome is a 2-1 win for Magdeburg, but Darmstadt's sporadic home form and the H2H record (including two straight draws) mean a draw or a late swing can't be discounted.
🎮 Prediction Playground
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Expected goals · model says 1.20
Expected goals · model says 1.70
Over 2.5 Goals
55%
BTTS: Yes
57%
Likely Scores
1-1 · 1-2 · 0-1
Play this match once with the probabilities above — every run is different.
Powered by the same Poisson scoreline model behind the prediction. For fun and exploration — not betting advice.
SV Darmstadt 98 vs 1. FC Magdeburg Prediction Confidence at a Glance
How strongly the model leans on each market.
Stats Worth Knowing
The numbers behind SV Darmstadt 98 vs 1. FC Magdeburg that most previews miss.
- 1Darmstadt's matches have gone over 2.5 goals in 67% of league games this season, the highest in the bottom half.
- 2Magdeburg have scored in every away league match but have kept only one clean sheet in four on the road.
- 3Six of the last ten H2H meetings have ended with a clean sheet for the home team, but the last two were draws.
Who do you think wins: SV Darmstadt 98 vs 1. FC Magdeburg?
Cast your vote, then see how it stacks up against the model.
Where the Model Sees Value: SV Darmstadt 98 vs 1. FC Magdeburg(3)
Selections where the model's probability beats the bookmaker's implied probability. Expected value is computed from real consensus odds, not opinion.
Match Result: 1. FC Magdeburg Win
Magdeburg's away scoring rate (1.25 per away game) and Darmstadt's poor defensive record (2.0 conceded per game, 0.89 scored) tilt the base rates toward the visitors, especially with Darmstadt's 0-0-4 away record and only 11% clean sheet rate overall.
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Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Both teams are above 60% for over 2.5 goals this season (Darmstadt 67%, Magdeburg 63%), and both have averaged over 2.5 total goals per match with weak defensive splits in recent games.
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BTTS: Yes
Darmstadt have failed to score in 2 of their last 5, but Magdeburg have conceded in 5 of 8 league matches, and both sides have averaged over 1.5 goals scored/conceded in recent games.
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More 2. Bundesliga Predictions
The Case For This SV Darmstadt 98 vs 1. FC Magdeburg Prediction
Statistical fundamentals point to a goal-heavy match, with Magdeburg's superior away attack facing a Darmstadt side that has struggled to keep goals out all season. The home side's numbers at the Merck-Stadion are average (2W, 2D, 1L, 7:5 goals), but their overall defensive record (18 conceded in 9) is among the league's worst. Magdeburg arrive with a positive goal difference and a balanced away record, reflected in their 1.25 goals per away game and 1.25 conceded, suggesting openness at both ends. Darmstadt's last five league matches have averaged 4.2 total goals, driven by a leaky back line and sporadic attacking output (2.2 scored, 2.0 conceded per game). Magdeburg's last five show a more controlled profile (1.6 scored, 1.0 conceded), but their shot volume (16.6 per game, 6.6 on target) and 50% clean sheet rate indicate a side that can dictate tempo against weaker opposition. Both teams see a majority of their goals before half-time (6 first-half goals each in their last five), so early scoring is likely. With both sides trending above 60% for over 2.5 goals and Magdeburg's attack consistently generating chances, the model expects the visitors' superior efficiency to tell. The likeliest scenario is a narrow Magdeburg win in a match with at least three goals, but Darmstadt's sporadic home output and H2H resilience mean a draw or high-scoring stalemate remains plausible.
Key Factors at a Glance
Defence
- →Darmstadt's season-long defensive concession rate (2.0 per game) is the second worst in the league.
- →Magdeburg average 1.75 goals scored per match, with 14 in 8 league games and only one away clean sheet all season.
Match Context
- →Both teams' matches have cleared over 2.5 goals in more than 60% of games this season.
🚩 SV Darmstadt 98 vs 1. FC Magdeburg Corners Prediction
low confidenceOur corners model projects roughly 4.8 corners for SV Darmstadt 98 and 4.5 for 1. FC Magdeburg, for an expected total of 9.3. That makes the model lean Under 9.5 corners (55%). Over 8.5: 58% · Over 10.5: 33%.
How SV Darmstadt 98 and 1. FC Magdeburg Are Arriving
Form, fitness and who's likely to start.
SV Darmstadt 98 vs 1. FC Magdeburg Goalscorer Form
Goals scored in last 5 matches across all competitions. Rate = goals ÷ 5 games. XI badge shows player is in the expected starting lineup.
SV Darmstadt 98last 5 matchesScoring consistently
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
1. FC Magdeburglast 5 matchesIn exceptional form
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Darmstadt's recent form is patchy, with only one win and two goals scored in their last three league matches, and a heavy 0-4 defeat away at Karlsruhe. Magdeburg have alternated wins and losses but maintain a positive goal difference and have scored in seven of their eight league games, indicating more consistent attacking output.
SV Darmstadt 98 vs 1. FC Magdeburg — Last 9 Matches
Strengths
- +Prolific attack — 2.2 goals/game (last 5)
- +Over 2.5 goals in 66.67% of games this season
Concerns
- −Leaky defence — 2.0 conceded/game
Strengths
- +50% clean sheet rate this season
- +High-volume attack — 17 shots/game
- +Dominant in possession — 57% avg
What History Says: SV Darmstadt 98 vs 1. FC Magdeburg
Darmstadt have the historical edge with six wins in the last ten meetings, but recent encounters have tightened, with the last two ending in draws (1-1 and 0-0). Notably, four of the last five at this venue finished under 2.5 goals, suggesting a risk to the goal-favouring trend.
SV Darmstadt 98 vs 1. FC Magdeburg Head-to-Head History
Last 10 meetings between these sides
6
SV Darmstadt 98 wins
2
Draws
2
1. FC Magdeburg wins
Things to Watch: SV Darmstadt 98 vs 1. FC Magdeburg
- ⚠️No bookmaker odds available, so value edges cannot be calculated.
- ⚠️Darmstadt's attack has shown volatility, with two matches failing to register a shot on target in the last five.
- ⚠️Recent H2H meetings have produced several low-scoring draws, indicating some risk to the goal-heavy projection.
This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Betting involves risk — always gamble responsibly.
Final Verdict
SV Darmstadt 98 1–2 1. FC MagdeburgThe model projects a 2-1 win for Magdeburg, driven by their superior attacking rate (1.75 goals per game) and Darmstadt's defensive frailty (2.0 conceded per game, 11% clean sheet rate). The main risk is that Darmstadt's home resilience, shown in their two home wins and H2H history, could limit Magdeburg's efficiency or produce another low-scoring draw.
SV Darmstadt 98 vs 1. FC Magdeburg: Common Questions
Who will win SV Darmstadt 98 vs 1. FC Magdeburg?
The model gives Magdeburg a 46% chance of victory, with a draw at 32% and Darmstadt at 22%. Magdeburg's stronger attack and Darmstadt's defensive issues make the visitors slight favourites.
Will there be over or under 2.5 goals in Darmstadt vs Magdeburg?
There's a 58% probability of over 2.5 goals, based on both teams' high over 2.5 rates this season (Darmstadt 67%, Magdeburg 63%) and recent goal averages above 2.5 per match.
Are both teams likely to score in this match?
Both teams to score is rated at 54%, reflecting Magdeburg's scoring in every away game and Darmstadt's inconsistent but occasionally potent home attack.
How This Prediction Was Made
The numbers on this page come from a structured statistical pack for SV Darmstadt 98 vs 1. FC Magdeburg: recent results and scoring data for both sides, home/away splits, the head-to-head record, current league standings, known injuries and live bookmaker odds, all sourced from the API-Football data feed.
This fixture was routed to The Numbers Desk, the statistical baseline — season-long rates, splits and distributions. An AI model running that profile analyses the pack and produces the probabilities, predicted score and written analysis shown above. Nothing is edited by hand, and no information outside the data pack is used.
Last updated: 24 October 2026 (refreshed automatically as new team data arrives). Every prediction is scored against the real result once the match finishes — see the verified track record or read the full methodology. Football is inherently uncertain: treat this page as analysis, not advice.
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