SV Meppen vs Stuttgart II Predictions
3. Liga · Germany
SV Meppen
Full Time
1 - 1
AI predicted 2 - 2
Stuttgart II
Win Probability (1X2)
Best Value Pick
Match Result: Draw
@ 3.8(+16% edge)
Match Result
6.5/10Stuttgart II Hold Firm as Meppen Settle for Draw in 3. Liga Stalemate
SV Meppen and Stuttgart II played out a 1-1 draw at the Hänsch-Arena, with both sides showing flashes of quality but ultimately unable to find a decisive breakthrough. Stuttgart II struck first, capitalizing on their early momentum to take the lead in the 15th minute. Meppen, however, responded well, gradually growing into the game and restoring parity just before halftime with a well-worked goal in the 42nd minute. The second half saw Meppen push forward, creating more chances and registering 14 shots to Stuttgart II's 7, but a combination of resolute defending and missed opportunities kept the scores level. Despite enjoying more possession (54%), Stuttgart II struggled to create clear chances after the break, while Meppen's attacking intent was evident, especially through their 7 corners and 5 shots on target. In the end, both teams had to settle for a share of the spoils.
💪 AI Prediction Report
DECENT HITPredicted
2 - 2
Actual
1 - 1
💰 Bet Results1/2 hit
Key Moments
15' — Goal
Jarzinho Ataide Adriano de Nascimento Malanga scores to give Stuttgart II an early lead.
42' — Goal
C. Akono levels for Meppen just before halftime, shifting the momentum.
55' — Yellow Card
Meppen receive a yellow card as tempers flare in midfield.
67' — Yellow Card
Stuttgart II pick up a yellow card for a tactical foul to halt a Meppen counter.
SV Meppen
Meppen showed resilience after falling behind early, gradually taking control of the match and creating the majority of scoring opportunities. Their 14 shots and 7 corners highlighted their attacking intent, especially in the second half, but a lack of clinical finishing prevented them from turning dominance into victory. Defensively, they remained organized, limiting Stuttgart II to just 2 shots on target.
Key Players
Strengths
Weaknesses
Stuttgart II
Stuttgart II started brightly, taking the lead with their first real chance and controlling possession for large spells (54%). However, their attacking threat waned as the match progressed, with only 7 shots and a single corner to show for their efforts. Defensively, they held firm under Meppen's pressure, but struggled to regain their early attacking rhythm.
Key Players
Strengths
Weaknesses
Tactical Analysis
Meppen lined up in a 4-2-3-1, focusing on quick transitions and utilizing width, particularly through their overlapping fullbacks and attacking midfield trio. Their approach yielded a higher volume of chances and corners, especially as they chased the game after conceding early. Stuttgart II, set up in a 4-3-3, sought to control the tempo through midfield possession, but their attacking trio found less space as Meppen tightened up defensively after the early setback. Substitutions did little to alter the tactical balance, with both sides maintaining their initial shapes and priorities. Set pieces were a key weapon for Meppen, while Stuttgart II's main threat came from quick breaks in the opening stages.
Turning Point
C. Akono's equalizer in the 42nd minute, which shifted momentum in Meppen's favor and set the tone for a second half dominated by the hosts.
Man of the Match
C. Akono
Scored the crucial equalizer and remained a constant threat, leading Meppen's attacking efforts.
SV Meppen vs Stuttgart II: Match Preview
SV Meppen return to the Hansch-Arena desperate to halt a four-match losing run that has seen them ship 12 goals and tumble to 17th in the 3. Liga. Their last five matches have yielded just one win—a 3-0 away triumph at Aachen—followed by a sequence of heavy defeats, including a 1-6 home drubbing by Saarbrücken. Stuttgart II, meanwhile, have not fared much better in the table but arrive with a more positive trajectory, having drawn their last two matches 3-3 and showing signs of attacking life after a run of defeats.
The tactical matchup is shaped by both teams' inability to keep clean sheets—Meppen have managed just one in their last five, while Stuttgart II have yet to record one all season. Both sides are averaging over two goals conceded per game in the last five, but Stuttgart II have been more potent in attack, scoring 2.2 per match and finding the net in every recent outing. Meppen's attack has been less prolific, but they are still creating chances (13.6 shots, 4.2 on target per last five), and both sides have a strong BTTS trend. Set-piece threat is moderate—Meppen average six corners per game in their last five, Stuttgart II just two—but discipline is a concern for both, with Meppen picking up 3.2 yellows per game and Stuttgart II not far behind.
Given the attacking momentum on both sides and the defensive frailties, the model expects another open contest with goals at both ends. Stuttgart II's recent ability to come back in games and Meppen's home struggles suggest this could swing either way, but a high-scoring draw is the likeliest outcome. The biggest risk to this scenario is a collapse in Meppen's confidence leading to another heavy defeat, but with both teams desperate for points, expect a frantic, end-to-end affair.
How SV Meppen and Stuttgart II Are Arriving
Form, fitness and who's likely to start.
SV Meppen vs Stuttgart II Goalscorer Form
Goals scored in last 5 matches across all competitions. Rate = goals ÷ 5 games. XI badge shows player is in the expected starting lineup.
SV Meppenlast 5 matchesRegular contributor
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Stuttgart IIlast 5 matchesRegular contributor
Regular contributor
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Meppen are in a deep slump, having lost four straight and conceding 12 goals in that span, with their only recent bright spot a 3-0 win at Aachen. Stuttgart II, while also struggling for wins, have at least stabilised with two consecutive high-scoring draws and have scored in every one of their last five. Both teams are trending towards chaotic, high-scoring matches, but Meppen's trajectory is sharply downward while Stuttgart II's is at least holding steady.
SV Meppen vs Stuttgart II — Last 8 Matches
Strengths
- +Both teams scoring in most recent games
- +High-volume attack — 14 shots/game
Concerns
- −4/5 losses in last 5 — poor form
- −Leaky defence — 2.6 conceded/game
- −No clean sheets in last 5 matches
Strengths
- +Prolific attack — 2.0 goals/game (last 5)
- +Both teams scoring in most recent games
- +Over 2.5 goals in 75% of games this season
Concerns
- −Leaky defence — 2.4 conceded/game
- −No clean sheets in last 5 matches
SV Meppen vs Stuttgart II Prediction Confidence at a Glance
How strongly the model leans on each market.
Stats Worth Knowing
The numbers behind SV Meppen vs Stuttgart II that most previews miss.
- 1Stuttgart II have seen both teams score in all of their last five league matches, with an average of 4.4 total goals per game in that stretch.
- 2Meppen have conceded first in four consecutive matches, with five of their last six goals allowed coming before half-time.
- 3Across their last five, Meppen average six corners per game—nearly triple Stuttgart II's average of two.
🎮 Prediction Playground
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Expected goals · model says 1.70
Expected goals · model says 1.95
Over 2.5 Goals
71%
BTTS: Yes
70%
Likely Scores
1-1 · 1-2 · 2-1
Play this match once with the probabilities above — every run is different.
Powered by the same Poisson scoreline model behind the prediction. For fun and exploration — not betting advice.
Who do you think wins: SV Meppen vs Stuttgart II?
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The Case For This SV Meppen vs Stuttgart II Prediction
Momentum is the defining feature here: Meppen limp into this clash after four consecutive defeats, while Stuttgart II have steadied with two high-scoring draws following a patchy run. Both sides have been involved in end-to-end contests, with neither defence showing much resilience. The data points to another open, high-variance encounter with little to separate them.
Key Factors at a Glance
Attack
- →Stuttgart II have scored in every one of their last five league matches and average 2.2 goals per game in that stretch.
Defence
- →Meppen's four-game losing streak and 2.4 goals conceded per game over the last five.
Match Context
- →Both teams have seen BTTS in all of Stuttgart II's last five and three of Meppen's last five.
Where the Model Sees Value: SV Meppen vs Stuttgart II(2)
Selections where the model's probability beats the bookmaker's implied probability. Expected value is computed from real consensus odds, not opinion.
Match Result: Draw@ 3.78
Both teams have struggled for wins recently—Meppen are on a four-game losing streak, while Stuttgart II have just one win in their last five—but both are scoring and conceding freely (Meppen 1.2 scored/2.4 conceded, Stuttgart II 2.2 scored/2.4 conceded per last 5). The model sees a high probability of goals and an evenly matched contest, making the draw at 3.8 the best value given the underlying volatility.
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Match Result: Stuttgart II Win@ 2.94
Stuttgart II's away record (2W, 0D, 2L, 7GF, 7GA) and their superior attacking output in recent matches (2.2 goals per last 5) give them a slight edge over a Meppen side who have lost four straight and conceded 12 in their last 5. The price on the away win is just above the model's fair value.
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More 3. Liga Predictions
🚩 SV Meppen vs Stuttgart II Corners Prediction
medium confidenceOur corners model projects roughly 6.2 corners for SV Meppen and 4 for Stuttgart II, for an expected total of 10.2. That makes the model lean Over 9.5 corners (56%). Over 8.5: 69% · Over 10.5: 44%.
What History Says: SV Meppen vs Stuttgart II
No head-to-head record is available for this fixture, so there are no historical trends to draw on. All projections are based on current season form and statistical profiles.
SV Meppen vs Stuttgart II Head-to-Head History
Last 1 meeting between these sides
0
SV Meppen wins
1
Draws
0
Stuttgart II wins
Where the Model Disagrees with the Odds: SV Meppen vs Stuttgart II
The model sees the strongest value on the draw at 3.8, with a 32% probability against an implied 26%, and a smaller but notable edge on the away win at 2.88. Over 2.5 goals is priced near fair value, so the best opportunities lie in the 1x2 market, particularly given both teams' volatility and lack of defensive solidity.
Odds from Bet365. Positive edge = our model gives a higher probability than the odds imply. EV = expected value per £1 staked.
1X2
Over/Under 2.5
Both Teams Score
Best Value Markets Found by the Model
EV per £1 staked. Positive EV means this bet has mathematical edge over the long run. Past model accuracy is tracked on our predictions tracker.
Edge and EV are derived from model probabilities only and do not constitute financial advice. Odds fluctuate — always verify current prices with your bookmaker.
Things to Watch: SV Meppen vs Stuttgart II
- ⚠️No head-to-head data is available for these teams, increasing uncertainty.
- ⚠️Both sides are prone to defensive lapses, making the outcome more volatile.
- ⚠️Recent friendlies and squad rotations for Stuttgart II could affect lineup stability.
This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Betting involves risk — always gamble responsibly.
Final Verdict
SV Meppen 2–2 Stuttgart IIA 2-2 draw is the model's call, anchored by the fact that both teams are averaging over two goals conceded per game in their last five and Stuttgart II have seen BTTS in every recent match. The most plausible way this goes wrong is if Meppen's defensive confidence collapses again at home, allowing Stuttgart II's attack to run riot.
SV Meppen vs Stuttgart II: Common Questions
Who will win SV Meppen vs Stuttgart II?
The model gives Stuttgart II a 39% chance of victory, Meppen 29%, and the draw 32%. Both sides are in poor form, but Stuttgart II's more consistent attack and Meppen's four-game losing streak tilt the probabilities slightly toward the visitors.
Will both teams score in SV Meppen vs Stuttgart II?
Yes is favoured at 77% probability, as both teams have seen BTTS in the majority of recent matches—Stuttgart II in all of their last five, Meppen in three of five—with neither defence showing much resistance.
Can Meppen end their losing streak?
A draw or win for Meppen is rated at 61% combined probability, but their defensive issues (2.4 goals conceded per last five) and lack of recent momentum make a turnaround challenging unless their attack can capitalise on Stuttgart II's leaky backline.
How This Prediction Was Made
The numbers on this page come from a structured statistical pack for SV Meppen vs Stuttgart II: recent results and scoring data for both sides, home/away splits, the head-to-head record, current league standings, known injuries and live bookmaker odds, all sourced from the API-Football data feed.
This fixture was routed to The Form Guide, the momentum specialist — weights the last five matches above everything. An AI model running that profile analyses the pack and produces the probabilities, predicted score and written analysis shown above. Nothing is edited by hand, and no information outside the data pack is used.
Last updated: 3 October 2026 (refreshed automatically as new team data arrives). Every prediction is scored against the real result once the match finishes — see the verified track record or read the full methodology. Football is inherently uncertain: treat this page as analysis, not advice.