SSV Jahn Regensburg vs Hansa Rostock Predictions
3. Liga · Germany
SSV Jahn Regensburg
AI Predicted Score
1 - 2
Hansa Rostock
Win Probability (1X2)
Best Value Pick
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Recommended Bets: SSV Jahn Regensburg vs Hansa Rostock
SSV Jahn Regensburg vs Hansa Rostock: Match Preview
SSV Jahn Regensburg enter this match sitting 18th, having collected just 10 points from 11 games, with a goal difference of zero but only one home win all season. Hansa Rostock, by contrast, are 6th with 15 points from 10, and their away form (3 wins from 6) is a relative strength. Both sides have stumbled recently—Regensburg are winless in three, while Rostock have lost their last two—but the underlying numbers suggest neither is in freefall nor on a surge.
Statistically, this is a fixture built for goals. Regensburg's matches average 3.64 goals, with a 72.7% over 2.5 rate, while Hansa's games see 3.6 goals on average and a 50% over 2.5 mark. Regensburg's attack is erratic—five goals in one game, blanking in three of the last five—but their shot volume (9 per match, 3.6 on target) and Hansa's defensive frailty (1.9 conceded per game, just one clean sheet in ten) point to chances for both. Rostock's away attack is reliable (10 scored in 6), and their last five matches have seen them average 1.2 goals for and 1.4 against, with a notable second-half scoring tilt (5 of 6 goals after the break).
The model expects a high-variance contest, with both teams likely to score and a strong probability of three or more goals. Rostock's slightly superior away form and Regensburg's tendency to concede at home tip the balance towards the visitors, but the draw is also well in play given both teams' inconsistency and the frequency of stalemates in their recent H2H record.
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Expected goals · model says 1.45
Expected goals · model says 1.70
Over 2.5 Goals
61%
BTTS: Yes
63%
Likely Scores
1-1 · 1-2 · 2-1
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Powered by the same Poisson scoreline model behind the prediction. For fun and exploration — not betting advice.
SSV Jahn Regensburg vs Hansa Rostock Prediction Confidence at a Glance
How strongly the model leans on each market.
Stats Worth Knowing
The numbers behind SSV Jahn Regensburg vs Hansa Rostock that most previews miss.
- 1Regensburg's home matches have averaged just 2.4 total goals, well below their overall season average of 3.64, suggesting their wildest scorelines have come away.
- 2Rostock have scored in five of six away games but have kept only one clean sheet on the road.
- 3Six of the last ten H2H meetings have produced at least three goals, with four ending in draws or a one-goal margin.
Who do you think wins: SSV Jahn Regensburg vs Hansa Rostock?
Cast your vote, then see how it stacks up against the model.
Where the Model Sees Value: SSV Jahn Regensburg vs Hansa Rostock(2)
Selections where the model's probability beats the bookmaker's implied probability. Expected value is computed from real consensus odds, not opinion.
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Both sides average nearly 2 goals scored and conceded per game (Regensburg 1.82 for/against, Rostock 1.7 for, 1.9 against), and Regensburg matches have gone over 2.5 goals in 73% of league fixtures.
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BTTS: Yes
Neither side keeps clean sheets regularly (Regensburg 18%, Rostock 10%), and both have failed to score in only 3 and 2 of their last 5, respectively.
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More 3. Liga Predictions
The Case For This SSV Jahn Regensburg vs Hansa Rostock Prediction
This fixture sets up as a mid-table attack-versus-defence test, with Regensburg's high-scoring but leaky profile hosting a Rostock side with a slightly better away record and a more balanced, if still porous, defensive record. The underlying rates point to goals: Regensburg's matches average 3.64 total goals, and Hansa's 3.6, with both teams conceding at least 1.8 per game. Recent form is mixed, but the distribution of results and shot volumes suggest a match with multiple scoring chances and a high probability of both teams finding the net.
Key Factors at a Glance
Defence
- →Hansa Rostock have won 3 of 6 away matches, scoring 10 and conceding 11.
- →Regensburg have only kept 2 clean sheets in 11 league games.
Match Context
- →Regensburg's season over 2.5 goals rate is 72.7%, highest among bottom-half teams.
🚩 SSV Jahn Regensburg vs Hansa Rostock Corners Prediction
low confidenceOur corners model projects roughly 4.4 corners for SSV Jahn Regensburg and 5 for Hansa Rostock, for an expected total of 9.4. That makes the model lean Under 9.5 corners (53%). Over 8.5: 60% · Over 10.5: 34%.
How SSV Jahn Regensburg and Hansa Rostock Are Arriving
Form, fitness and who's likely to start.
SSV Jahn Regensburg vs Hansa Rostock Goalscorer Form
Goals scored in last 5 matches across all competitions. Rate = goals ÷ 5 games. XI badge shows player is in the expected starting lineup.
SSV Jahn Regensburglast 5 matchesScoring consistently
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Hansa Rostocklast 5 matchesRegular contributor
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Regensburg's recent form is patchy, with just one win in their last five and three matches without scoring, though they did put five past Havelse. Rostock have also been inconsistent, alternating wins and losses, but have been more reliable on the road with three away victories already this season.
SSV Jahn Regensburg vs Hansa Rostock — Last 10 Matches
Strengths
- +Over 2.5 goals in 72.73% of games this season
What History Says: SSV Jahn Regensburg vs Hansa Rostock
Hansa Rostock have the edge in recent head-to-heads, winning four of the last ten, including a 3-0 away win in Regensburg. Matches between these sides are often open, with six of the last ten producing at least three goals and five seeing both teams score.
SSV Jahn Regensburg vs Hansa Rostock Head-to-Head History
Last 10 meetings between these sides
2
SSV Jahn Regensburg wins
4
Draws
4
Hansa Rostock wins
Things to Watch: SSV Jahn Regensburg vs Hansa Rostock
- ⚠️No bookmaker odds available, so value assessment is limited.
- ⚠️Both teams have volatile defensive records, increasing scoreline variance.
- ⚠️Recent form for both sides is inconsistent, with streaks of both high and low output.
This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Betting involves risk — always gamble responsibly.
Final Verdict
SSV Jahn Regensburg 1–2 Hansa RostockThe model projects a 2-1 away win for Hansa Rostock, with the single strongest driver being Regensburg's 72.7% over 2.5 goals rate and their inability to keep clean sheets at home. The likeliest way this call goes wrong is if Regensburg's attack fails to ignite as it did in three of their last five, or if both sides' defensive volatility results in a lower-scoring stalemate.
SSV Jahn Regensburg vs Hansa Rostock: Common Questions
Who will win SSV Jahn Regensburg vs Hansa Rostock?
The model gives Hansa Rostock a 40% chance of victory, compared to 29% for Regensburg and 31% for the draw, reflecting Rostock's better away record and Regensburg's defensive issues.
Will there be over 2.5 goals in Regensburg vs Rostock?
There's a 63% probability of over 2.5 goals, driven by Regensburg's 72.7% over 2.5 rate and both teams averaging nearly two goals scored and conceded per game.
Are both teams likely to score in this match?
Yes, both teams to score is rated at 61%, with neither side keeping clean sheets regularly (Regensburg 18%, Rostock 10%) and both conceding at least 1.8 per game.
How This Prediction Was Made
The numbers on this page come from a structured statistical pack for SSV Jahn Regensburg vs Hansa Rostock: recent results and scoring data for both sides, home/away splits, the head-to-head record, current league standings, known injuries and live bookmaker odds, all sourced from the API-Football data feed.
This fixture was routed to The Numbers Desk, the statistical baseline — season-long rates, splits and distributions. An AI model running that profile analyses the pack and produces the probabilities, predicted score and written analysis shown above. Nothing is edited by hand, and no information outside the data pack is used.
Last updated: 24 October 2026 (refreshed automatically as new team data arrives). Every prediction is scored against the real result once the match finishes — see the verified track record or read the full methodology. Football is inherently uncertain: treat this page as analysis, not advice.
More SSV Jahn Regensburg vs Hansa Rostock Resources
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SSV Jahn Regensburg vs Hansa Rostock Stats
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3. Liga Predictions
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Model Accuracy
Track record & verified results