Verl vs SV Wehen Predictions
3. Liga · Germany
Verl
AI Predicted Score
1 - 2
SV Wehen
Win Probability (1X2)
Best Value Pick
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Recommended Bets: Verl vs SV Wehen
Verl vs SV Wehen: Match Preview
Verl and SV Wehen approach this fixture locked together in mid-table, each on 12 points from 10 matches and separated only by goal difference. Verl's recent run (LDDLW) reflects their inconsistency, with a defence that has shipped 19 goals already. Wehen, meanwhile, have recovered from a poor start to claim seven points from their last three league outings, including a 4-2 away win at Ingolstadt.
The statistical matchup points to an open contest. Verl's home games average 3.8 goals, with 80% over 2.5, and their last five league matches have seen both teams score four times. Wehen's away record is solid (2W, 2D, 1L), and their attack has found form with 1.8 goals per game over the last five. Both sides average over 10 shots per match, and set pieces could play a role—Verl have averaged 6.6 corners in their last five, while Wehen's low foul count (7.2 per game) suggests they rarely invite pressure from dangerous free kicks.
Given both teams' defensive vulnerabilities—Verl's clean sheet rate is just 10%, Wehen's 40%—the model expects goals at both ends. The away side's recent uptick and superior away form tip the balance slightly in their favour, but with four of the last ten H2Hs ending 2-2, a high-scoring draw is also plausible. The likeliest scenario is a narrow 2-1 win for Wehen, with BTTS and over 2.5 goals both strong probabilities.
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Expected goals · model says 1.40
Expected goals · model says 1.60
Over 2.5 Goals
58%
BTTS: Yes
60%
Likely Scores
1-1 · 1-2 · 0-1
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Powered by the same Poisson scoreline model behind the prediction. For fun and exploration — not betting advice.
Verl vs SV Wehen Prediction Confidence at a Glance
How strongly the model leans on each market.
Stats Worth Knowing
The numbers behind Verl vs SV Wehen that most previews miss.
- 1Four of the last ten H2H meetings have ended 2-2, with six draws overall.
- 2Verl's home matches have seen 19 goals in five games (3.8 per match), the highest in the bottom half.
- 3Wehen have scored in four of their last five away matches, averaging 1.4 goals per away game.
Who do you think wins: Verl vs SV Wehen?
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Where the Model Sees Value: Verl vs SV Wehen(2)
Selections where the model's probability beats the bookmaker's implied probability. Expected value is computed from real consensus odds, not opinion.
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Verl have seen 80% of their league matches go over 2.5 goals (8 of 10), while Wehen's away games average 2.8 goals per game; both sides' defensive records suggest a higher-than-average goal environment.
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BTTS: Yes
Four of Verl's last five league games have seen both teams score, and Wehen have failed to score just once in their last five, with both conceding at least 1.5 per game on average.
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More 3. Liga Predictions
The Case For This Verl vs SV Wehen Prediction
Both Verl and SV Wehen enter this fixture level on points in the lower mid-table, each with 12 from 10 games and nearly identical records. Verl's recent form is mixed (LDDLW), with a leaky defence conceding 1.9 per game this season, while Wehen have stabilised after a poor start, picking up two wins and a draw in their last three league outings. Neither side is under immediate relegation pressure, but both need points to avoid being dragged into the bottom group. Statistically, this is a clash of high-variance profiles. Verl's home matches average 3.8 total goals (9 scored, 10 conceded in 5), with 80% of their league games clearing the 2.5-goal line. Wehen are more conservative overall, but away from home have scored and conceded seven apiece in five, and their last three league games featured 7, 3, and 0 goals respectively. Both teams average over 10 shots per game, and Verl's set-piece threat is notable with 6.6 corners per match in their last five. Neither side keeps clean sheets reliably: Verl's season clean sheet rate is just 10%, while Wehen's is 40% but skewed by two recent shutouts. The model expects a moderately open game tilted slightly towards the visitors, whose away record (2W, 2D, 1L) and recent attacking uptick (1.8 goals per game last five) give them a marginal edge. With both teams' defensive frailties and a history of high-scoring H2H draws (four 2-2s in the last ten), a 2-1 away win is the likeliest outcome, but the draw and BTTS are both live.
Key Factors at a Glance
Attack
- →Verl's home matches average 3.8 goals per game, with 80% over 2.5 goals this season.
Defence
- →Wehen's away record is positive (2W, 2D, 1L) with 7 scored and 7 conceded in 5 away matches.
- →Both teams have negative goal differences and below-average clean sheet rates (Verl 10%, Wehen 40%).
🚩 Verl vs SV Wehen Corners Prediction
medium confidenceOur corners model projects roughly 6.2 corners for Verl and 5.4 for SV Wehen, for an expected total of 11.6. That makes the model lean Over 9.5 corners (72%). Over 8.5: 82% · Over 10.5: 61%.
How Verl and SV Wehen Are Arriving
Form, fitness and who's likely to start.
Verl vs SV Wehen Goalscorer Form
Goals scored in last 5 matches across all competitions. Rate = goals ÷ 5 games. XI badge shows player is in the expected starting lineup.
Verllast 5 matchesRegular contributor
Regular contributor
Regular contributor
Occasional threat
SV Wehenlast 5 matchesRegular contributor
Regular contributor
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Verl's recent form is mixed, with just one win in their last five league matches and a current streak of one defeat. They have been involved in high-scoring games, conceding at least two in three of their last five. Wehen, in contrast, have picked up seven points from their last three league fixtures and have improved their attacking output, scoring seven goals in their last three competitive matches.
Verl vs SV Wehen — Last 10 Matches
Strengths
- +Both teams scoring in most recent games
- +Over 2.5 goals in 80% of games this season
Concerns
- −No clean sheets in last 5 matches
What History Says: Verl vs SV Wehen
The head-to-head record is remarkably balanced, with six draws in the last ten meetings and each side winning twice. High-scoring draws are common, with four 2-2 results in that span and only one clean sheet for either team in the last seven encounters.
Verl vs SV Wehen Head-to-Head History
Last 10 meetings between these sides
2
Verl wins
6
Draws
2
SV Wehen wins
Things to Watch: Verl vs SV Wehen
- ⚠️No bookmaker odds available at time of analysis, so value bets cannot be quantified.
- ⚠️Recent friendlies may distort last-five form; competitive match data weighted higher.
- ⚠️Lineups and late injuries unknown; model assumes regular starters.
This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Betting involves risk — always gamble responsibly.
Final Verdict
Verl 1–2 SV WehenA 2-1 away win for SV Wehen is the statistical call, driven by Verl's porous defence (1.9 conceded per game) and Wehen's recent attacking improvement. The strongest data point is Verl's 80% over 2.5 goal rate, but the high draw rate in this fixture and both teams' inconsistency mean a 1-1 or 2-2 draw is a significant risk.
Verl vs SV Wehen: Common Questions
Who will win Verl vs SV Wehen?
The model gives SV Wehen a 38% chance of victory, with Verl at 29% and the draw at 33%. Wehen's stronger away form and recent results give them a slight edge, but the fixture has a history of draws.
Will both teams score in Verl vs SV Wehen?
Yes is favoured at 62%, with both teams averaging over a goal per game and four of Verl's last five league matches seeing BTTS. Defensive records for both are below league average.
Is over 2.5 goals likely in Verl vs SV Wehen?
Over 2.5 goals is rated at 60%, supported by Verl's 80% over 2.5 rate this season and a combined 34 goals in their 10 league games. Wehen's away matches also average 2.8 goals.
How This Prediction Was Made
The numbers on this page come from a structured statistical pack for Verl vs SV Wehen: recent results and scoring data for both sides, home/away splits, the head-to-head record, current league standings, known injuries and live bookmaker odds, all sourced from the API-Football data feed.
This fixture was routed to The Numbers Desk, the statistical baseline — season-long rates, splits and distributions. An AI model running that profile analyses the pack and produces the probabilities, predicted score and written analysis shown above. Nothing is edited by hand, and no information outside the data pack is used.
Last updated: 24 October 2026 (refreshed automatically as new team data arrives). Every prediction is scored against the real result once the match finishes — see the verified track record or read the full methodology. Football is inherently uncertain: treat this page as analysis, not advice.