Fortuna Köln vs Würzburger Kickers Predictions
3. Liga · Germany
Fortuna Köln
AI Predicted Score
1 - 2
Würzburger Kickers
Win Probability (1X2)
Best Value Pick
Match Result: Würzburger Kickers Win
Recommended Bets: Fortuna Köln vs Würzburger Kickers
Fortuna Köln vs Würzburger Kickers: Match Preview
Fortuna Köln enter this match in dire home form, sitting 19th with just 10 points from 10 matches and still searching for a first home win. Their attack has been especially blunt at home, with only a single goal scored in five attempts, and they arrive off back-to-back defeats. Würzburger Kickers, 16th with 11 points, have at least shown some attacking spark, scoring 15 times in 10 matches and recently beating Waldhof Mannheim 2-0 to snap a poor run.
The contest is defined by a clash between Fortuna Köln’s anaemic home attack and Würzburger’s porous away defence. While Köln average just 0.2 goals per home game, Würzburger have shipped 15 in 5 on their travels, but compensate with a 1.4 goals per away game scoring rate. Würzburger’s matches are much more open, with 70% finishing over 2.5 goals and 3 of their last 5 seeing both teams score. Set pieces may offer Köln a route back in, as they average nearly 5 corners per game, but conversion remains a problem.
Given these numbers, the model expects Würzburger’s greater attacking output to edge a high-variance contest. A 2-1 away win is the most likely result, but if Fortuna Köln can finally find a cutting edge at home or exploit set pieces, a draw or a higher-scoring outcome cannot be ruled out.
🎮 Prediction Playground
Think the model has it wrong? Nudge each team's expected goals and watch every probability react — then simulate the match and see what happens.
Expected goals · model says 1.25
Expected goals · model says 1.70
Over 2.5 Goals
57%
BTTS: Yes
58%
Likely Scores
1-1 · 1-2 · 0-1
Play this match once with the probabilities above — every run is different.
Powered by the same Poisson scoreline model behind the prediction. For fun and exploration — not betting advice.
Fortuna Köln vs Würzburger Kickers Prediction Confidence at a Glance
How strongly the model leans on each market.
Stats Worth Knowing
The numbers behind Fortuna Köln vs Würzburger Kickers that most previews miss.
- 1Würzburger Kickers’ away games average 4.4 total goals per match, the highest in the bottom half of the table.
- 2Fortuna Köln have failed to score in 4 of their last 5 matches and in 80% of their home games this season.
- 3Only 1 of the last 6 H2H meetings ended in a draw; Würzburger Kickers have won 4 of those, including 2 by 3+ goals.
Who do you think wins: Fortuna Köln vs Würzburger Kickers?
Cast your vote, then see how it stacks up against the model.
Where the Model Sees Value: Fortuna Köln vs Würzburger Kickers(3)
Selections where the model's probability beats the bookmaker's implied probability. Expected value is computed from real consensus odds, not opinion.
Match Result: Würzburger Kickers Win
Würzburger Kickers average 1.5 goals scored per game and have a 70% over 2.5 rate, while Fortuna Köln have failed to win at home all season and have scored just once in five home matches.
Read more ↓
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Würzburger Kickers matches have gone over 2.5 goals in 70% of league games, and their away games average 4.4 total goals (7 scored, 15 conceded in 5).
Read more ↓
BTTS: Yes
Despite Fortuna Köln’s poor home attack, Würzburger Kickers have conceded in every away match (15 against in 5), and both teams have scored in 3 of their last 5 respective matches.
Read more ↓
More 3. Liga Predictions
The Case For This Fortuna Köln vs Würzburger Kickers Prediction
This fixture places two struggling sides near the foot of the 3. Liga table, but Würzburger Kickers arrive with a notably higher attacking output and a much greater tendency for high-scoring games. Fortuna Köln’s home record is a major concern: winless in five, with just one goal scored at home all season, and a current run of two straight defeats. Würzburger Kickers, while also defensively fragile away (15 conceded in 5), have netted 15 goals overall and come off a confidence-boosting 2-0 win. The statistical matchup is shaped by stark contrasts: Fortuna Köln average just 0.8 goals per game (0.2 at home), while Würzburger Kickers’ away matches average 4.4 total goals, driven by both their own 1.4 away goals per game and a leaky back line. The visitors’ 70% over 2.5 rate dwarfs the hosts’ 30%, and the BTTS rate is higher for Würzburger as well. Set pieces may play a role: Fortuna Köln average 4.6 corners per game in their last five, but have struggled to convert, while both sides’ discipline is moderate (2.2 yellows per game for Köln, 1.2 for Würzburger). The model expects Würzburger Kickers’ attacking edge to tell, especially given Fortuna Köln’s chronic home scoring issues. A 2-1 away win is the likeliest outcome, with the visitors’ higher shot volume and scoring rate offsetting their defensive frailty. However, if Fortuna Köln can capitalise on set pieces or Würzburger’s away defensive lapses, a draw or a higher-scoring result is plausible.
Key Factors at a Glance
Defence
- →Würzburger Kickers’ away matches average 4.4 total goals (7 scored, 15 conceded in 5).
Match Context
- →Fortuna Köln have scored just 1 goal in 5 home matches (0.2 per game).
- →Würzburger Kickers have a 70% over 2.5 goals rate; Fortuna Köln only 30%.
🚩 Fortuna Köln vs Würzburger Kickers Corners Prediction
high confidenceOur corners model projects roughly 5.5 corners for Fortuna Köln and 5.2 for Würzburger Kickers, for an expected total of 10.7. That makes the model lean Over 9.5 corners (62%). Over 8.5: 74% · Over 10.5: 50%.
How Fortuna Köln and Würzburger Kickers Are Arriving
Form, fitness and who's likely to start.
Fortuna Köln vs Würzburger Kickers Goalscorer Form
Goals scored in last 5 matches across all competitions. Rate = goals ÷ 5 games. XI badge shows player is in the expected starting lineup.
Fortuna Kölnlast 5 matchesOccasional threat
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Würzburger Kickerslast 5 matchesRegular contributor
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Fortuna Köln are in a slump, winless in their last three and with just one goal scored in their last five matches. Würzburger Kickers have been inconsistent but showed improvement with a recent 2-0 win, and have failed to score only once in their last five league outings.
Fortuna Köln vs Würzburger Kickers — Last 10 Matches
Concerns
- −Inconsistent — 3+ losses in last 5
- −Struggling to score — 0.6 goals/game
Strengths
- +Over 2.5 goals in 70% of games this season
Concerns
- −Leaky defence — 2.0 conceded/game
What History Says: Fortuna Köln vs Würzburger Kickers
Würzburger Kickers have won four of the last six meetings with Fortuna Köln, including a 3-0 away win and a 4-1 home win. Only one of those six matches ended in a draw, and decisive margins have been common.
Fortuna Köln vs Würzburger Kickers Head-to-Head History
Last 6 meetings between these sides
1
Fortuna Köln wins
1
Draws
4
Würzburger Kickers wins
Things to Watch: Fortuna Köln vs Würzburger Kickers
- ⚠️No bookmaker odds provided, so value calculations are not possible.
- ⚠️Fortuna Köln’s home attack is so poor that even Würzburger’s weak away defence may not guarantee goals.
- ⚠️Sample sizes for last 5 matches are small and may not reflect true team strength.
This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Betting involves risk — always gamble responsibly.
Final Verdict
Fortuna Köln 1–2 Würzburger KickersThe model projects a 2-1 win for Würzburger Kickers, anchored by their 1.5 goals per game scoring rate and Fortuna Köln’s chronic home scoring issues (just 1 goal in 5 home matches). The biggest risk to this call is that Würzburger’s away defensive frailty (15 conceded in 5 away) allows Fortuna Köln to break their slump and force a higher-scoring draw.
Fortuna Köln vs Würzburger Kickers: Common Questions
Who will win Fortuna Köln vs Würzburger Kickers?
Würzburger Kickers are modelled as 44% likely to win, compared to 23% for Fortuna Köln and 33% for the draw. The visitors’ superior attacking rate (1.5 goals per game) and dominance in the recent H2H tilt the probabilities their way.
Will there be over or under 2.5 goals in Fortuna Köln vs Würzburger Kickers?
There’s a 59% probability for over 2.5 goals, driven by Würzburger Kickers’ 70% over 2.5 rate and their away games averaging 4.4 total goals. Fortuna Köln’s home attack is weak, but the visitors’ porous defence keeps the over in play.
Will both teams score in Fortuna Köln vs Würzburger Kickers?
Both teams to score is rated at 54%, with Würzburger Kickers conceding in every away match and both sides seeing BTTS in 3 of their last 5 respective games. However, Fortuna Köln’s home scoring drought is a limiting factor.
How This Prediction Was Made
The numbers on this page come from a structured statistical pack for Fortuna Köln vs Würzburger Kickers: recent results and scoring data for both sides, home/away splits, the head-to-head record, current league standings, known injuries and live bookmaker odds, all sourced from the API-Football data feed.
This fixture was routed to The Numbers Desk, the statistical baseline — season-long rates, splits and distributions. An AI model running that profile analyses the pack and produces the probabilities, predicted score and written analysis shown above. Nothing is edited by hand, and no information outside the data pack is used.
Last updated: 24 October 2026 (refreshed automatically as new team data arrives). Every prediction is scored against the real result once the match finishes — see the verified track record or read the full methodology. Football is inherently uncertain: treat this page as analysis, not advice.
More Fortuna Köln vs Würzburger Kickers Resources
Fortuna Köln Predictions
All Fortuna Köln fixtures & tips
Würzburger Kickers Predictions
All Würzburger Kickers fixtures & tips
Fortuna Köln vs Würzburger Kickers Stats
Full H2H record & season stats
Preußen Münster vs Fortuna Köln
Fortuna Köln — next match predictions
3. Liga Predictions
All fixtures for this competition
Model Accuracy
Track record & verified results