SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach vs Rot-Weiß Essen Predictions

SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach PredictionsRot-Weiß Essen Predictions3. LigaH2H Stats
Prediction by The Numbers Desk — No extreme form or market signal — routed to The Numbers Desk, which builds the prediction from the underlying statistical rates.
3. Liga3. Liga · Germany
high confidence
SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach

SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach

AI Predicted Score

1 - 2

Rot-Weiß Essen

Rot-Weiß Essen

🗓️ Sunday, 1 Nov 2026 at 16:30 CET (venue time) · 15:30 UTC (your time)📍 WIRmachenDRUCK Arena, Aspach

Win Probability (1X2)

SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach 22%Draw 29%Rot-Weiß Essen 49%

Best Value Pick

Match Result: Rot-Weiß Essen Win

Read the Preview Play With the Prediction See the Value Calls View Team Form

Recommended Bets: SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach vs Rot-Weiß Essen

Match Result: Rot-Weiß Essen Win
7/10
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
6/10

SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach vs Rot-Weiß Essen: Match Preview

Grossaspach enter this match struggling defensively, having conceded 25 goals in 11 league matches and sitting 16th in the table. Their recent form is mixed, with a heavy 1-7 defeat last time out following a rare 3-2 home win. Rot-Weiß Essen, in contrast, are third in the league, have lost only twice, and have picked up 21 points from 11 games, underpinned by a strong defensive record and a balanced attack.

Statistically, the contrast is stark: Grossaspach's season average is 1.18 goals scored and 2.27 conceded per game, with a home record of 7 goals for and 10 against in 6 matches. Essen score 1.73 and concede 1.18 per match, but away from home have been more vulnerable (7 scored, 10 conceded in 5 games). Grossaspach's last five have all seen both teams score and an average of 5 total goals per game, while Essen have kept two clean sheets in that span but also conceded three at Preußen Münster. Set-piece and discipline data suggest a moderate card count (Grossaspach 1.8, Essen 2.2 yellow cards per game), but neither side draws a high number of corners.

The model expects Essen's superior defensive structure and attacking efficiency to prevail, especially given Grossaspach's inability to keep clean sheets and tendency to concede heavily at home. However, Grossaspach's consistent scoring at home and Essen's average away defensive numbers suggest both teams can find the net, with the most probable outcome a narrow away win in a game likely to go over 2.5 goals.

🎮 Prediction Playground

Think the model has it wrong? Nudge each team's expected goals and watch every probability react — then simulate the match and see what happens.

SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach1.10

Expected goals · model says 1.10

Rot-Weiß Essen1.65

Expected goals · model says 1.65

Win Probability
SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach 25% Draw 24% Rot-Weiß Essen 50%

Over 2.5 Goals

52%

BTTS: Yes

54%

Likely Scores

1-1 · 0-1 · 1-2

Play this match once with the probabilities above — every run is different.

Powered by the same Poisson scoreline model behind the prediction. For fun and exploration — not betting advice.

SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach vs Rot-Weiß Essen Prediction Confidence at a Glance

How strongly the model leans on each market.

Match Result (1X2)
22%
29%
49%
SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach 22%Draw 29%Rot-Weiß Essen 49%
Both Teams to Score
53%
47%
Yes 53%No 47%
Over/Under 2.5 Goals
54%
46%
Over 2.5 54%Under 2.5 46%
Corners (Over/Under 9.5)
52%
48%
Over 9.5 52%Under 9.5 48%

Stats Worth Knowing

The numbers behind SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach vs Rot-Weiß Essen that most previews miss.

  • 1Grossaspach have failed to keep a clean sheet in any of their last five, conceding 17 goals in that span.
  • 2Essen's away matches average 3.4 total goals, but they have only won once in five on the road.
  • 3Both teams have scored in 100% of Grossaspach's last five league matches.

Who do you think wins: SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach vs Rot-Weiß Essen?

Cast your vote, then see how it stacks up against the model.

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The Case For This SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach vs Rot-Weiß Essen Prediction

This fixture matches a leaky Grossaspach defence against a Rot-Weiß Essen side pushing for promotion, with the underlying rates pointing to an away edge and a moderate-to-high goal expectation.

Key Factors at a Glance

Defence

  • →Grossaspach concede 2.27 goals per match, worst among the top 16 teams.
  • →Essen's clean sheet rate of 45% is more than double Grossaspach's 18%.
  • →Grossaspach have scored in all of their last five but also conceded at least twice in four of those.

🚩 SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach vs Rot-Weiß Essen Corners Prediction

low confidence
9.8expected total corners
Over 52%
Under 48%
Over 9.5Under 9.5

Our corners model projects roughly 5.4 corners for SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach and 4.4 for Rot-Weiß Essen, for an expected total of 9.8. That makes the model lean Over 9.5 corners (52%). Over 8.5: 64% · Over 10.5: 39%.

More corners tips:Over 9.5 →Under 9.5 →

How SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach and Rot-Weiß Essen Are Arriving

Form, fitness and who's likely to start.

SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach vs Rot-Weiß Essen Goalscorer Form

Goals scored in last 5 matches across all competitions. Rate = goals ÷ 5 games. XI badge shows player is in the expected starting lineup.

SG Sonnenhof GrossaspachSG Sonnenhof Grossaspachlast 5 matches
Fabian EiseleXI
3 goals in 5
60%

Scoring consistently

Luca Damiano MolinariXI
2 goals in 5
40%

Regular contributor

Tim RossmannXI
1 goal in 5
20%

Occasional threat

L. MaierXI
1 goal in 5
20%

Occasional threat

V. CeliktasXI
1 goal in 5
20%

Occasional threat

Rot-Weiß EssenRot-Weiß Essenlast 5 matches
Marek JanssenXI
2 goals in 5
40%

Regular contributor

Lucas BrummeXI
1 goal in 5
20%

Occasional threat

Jaka Cuber PotocnikXI
1 goal in 5
20%

Occasional threat

J. AlonsoXI
1 goal in 5
20%

Occasional threat

S. Telalovicsub/out
1 goal in 5
20%

Occasional threat

Grossaspach's recent form is erratic, with a 1-7 loss and a 1-5 home defeat highlighting defensive issues, though they've managed to score in every league match lately. Essen, meanwhile, have lost just once in their last five, with two clean sheets and a solid win over Jahn Regensburg, maintaining momentum near the top of the table.

SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach vs Rot-Weiß Essen — Last 10 Matches

SG Sonnenhof GrossaspachSG Sonnenhof GrossaspachLast 10 results
L1-7
W3-2
D2-2
L1-5
L1-2
D1-1
D2-2
W1-0
L0-2
L0-2
L@ SV Wehen1-7
Wvs Preußen Münster3-2
D@ FC Viktoria Köln2-2
Lvs Waldhof Mannheim1-5
L@ FC Saarbrücken1-2
Dvs Verl1-1
D@ Havelse2-2
Wvs Hoffenheim II1-0
Lvs FC Ingolstadt 040-2
L@ SV Meppen0-2

Strengths

  • +Both teams scoring in most recent games

Concerns

  • −Leaky defence — 3.4 conceded/game
  • −No clean sheets in last 5 matches
Rot-Weiß EssenRot-Weiß EssenLast 10 results
W1-0
L0-1
W2-0
D3-3
D1-1
W2-1
W6-2
W1-0
D0-0
W1-0
Wvs SSV Jahn Regensburg1-0
L@ FC Ingolstadt 040-1
Wvs Fortuna Köln2-0
D@ Preußen Münster3-3
Dvs Hansa Rostock1-1
W@ Waldhof Mannheim2-1
Wvs Würzburger Kickers6-2
Wvs FC Viktoria Köln1-0
D@ SV Wehen0-0
Wvs Havelse1-0

Strengths

  • +45.45% clean sheet rate this season

Things to Watch: SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach vs Rot-Weiß Essen

  • ⚠️No head-to-head data available; historical matchup patterns unknown.
  • ⚠️Odds data is missing, so value and expected value cannot be calculated.
  • ⚠️Grossaspach's home attack is inconsistent, with only 7 goals in 6 home games.

This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Betting involves risk — always gamble responsibly.

Final Verdict

SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach 1–2 Rot-Weiß Essen

The model projects a 2-1 win for Rot-Weiß Essen, driven by Grossaspach's league-worst defensive rate (2.27 conceded per game) and Essen's 45% clean sheet rate. The likeliest way this goes wrong is if Grossaspach's attack continues its recent improvement and Essen's away defensive frailty resurfaces.

SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach vs Rot-Weiß Essen: Common Questions

Who will win SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach vs Rot-Weiß Essen?

Rot-Weiß Essen are favoured with a 49% win probability, compared to Grossaspach's 22% and a 29% chance of a draw, based on season-long scoring and defensive rates.

Will both teams score in Grossaspach vs Essen?

Both teams to score is rated at 53%, as Grossaspach have scored in every one of their last five and Essen's away defence concedes two per match on average.

Is over 2.5 goals likely in Grossaspach vs Rot-Weiß Essen?

Over 2.5 goals is modelled at 54%, reflecting Grossaspach's 54.55% over 2.5 rate and their recent matches averaging 5 total goals.

How This Prediction Was Made

The numbers on this page come from a structured statistical pack for SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach vs Rot-Weiß Essen: recent results and scoring data for both sides, home/away splits, the head-to-head record, current league standings, known injuries and live bookmaker odds, all sourced from the API-Football data feed.

This fixture was routed to The Numbers Desk, the statistical baseline — season-long rates, splits and distributions. An AI model running that profile analyses the pack and produces the probabilities, predicted score and written analysis shown above. Nothing is edited by hand, and no information outside the data pack is used.

Last updated: 25 October 2026 (refreshed automatically as new team data arrives). Every prediction is scored against the real result once the match finishes — see the verified track record or read the full methodology. Football is inherently uncertain: treat this page as analysis, not advice.

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