Tianjin Teda vs Hangzhou Greentown Predictions
Super League · China
Tianjin Teda
AI Predicted Score
1 - 2
Hangzhou Greentown
Win Probability (1X2)
Best Value Pick
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Tianjin Teda vs Hangzhou Greentown: Match Preview
Tianjin Teda approach this fixture sitting 14th, with just one win in their last five and a patchy home record—three wins from 12, conceding 19. Hangzhou Greentown, 10th and four points better off, arrive off a 6-0 demolition of Yunnan Yukun and have scored 40 in 24, but their away record (3 wins, 6 losses) is undermined by 23 goals conceded on the road. Both sides are in the league's bottom half and neither is safe from a late-season relegation scrap, so the stakes are tangible.
The statistical matchup tilts towards goals. Tianjin's last five have averaged 3.2 total goals, with four BTTS outcomes, while Hangzhou's have averaged 4.2, including a pair of high-scoring home wins. Hangzhou's attack is the sharper, averaging 2.6 goals and 6.6 shots on target per game over their last five, but their defence is porous, keeping just one clean sheet in that span. Set-piece metrics are notable: Hangzhou average 6.2 corners per game recently, while Tianjin are not far behind at 4.4, suggesting both sides will generate opportunities from wide areas. Discipline is moderate, with neither side exceeding 1.4 yellow cards per game in their last five.
The model expects a match defined by attacking intent and defensive frailty. Hangzhou's superior shot volume and conversion rate, especially early in games (nine first-half goals in their last five), tips the balance towards the visitors. However, Tianjin's tendency to rally late (all seven of their last five goals after half-time) means a comeback or late drama cannot be ruled out. The likeliest outcome is a 2-1 away win in an open contest.
🎮 Prediction Playground
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Expected goals · model says 1.40
Expected goals · model says 1.75
Over 2.5 Goals
61%
BTTS: Yes
62%
Likely Scores
1-1 · 1-2 · 0-1
Play this match once with the probabilities above — every run is different.
Powered by the same Poisson scoreline model behind the prediction. For fun and exploration — not betting advice.
Tianjin Teda vs Hangzhou Greentown Prediction Confidence at a Glance
How strongly the model leans on each market.
Stats Worth Knowing
The numbers behind Tianjin Teda vs Hangzhou Greentown that most previews miss.
- 1Hangzhou Greentown's away matches average 3.25 goals per game (16 scored, 23 conceded in 12).
- 2Tianjin Teda have scored 78% of their last five goals after the 70th minute.
- 3Five of the last six H2H meetings have seen both teams score and over 2.5 goals land.
Who do you think wins: Tianjin Teda vs Hangzhou Greentown?
Cast your vote, then see how it stacks up against the model.
Where the Model Sees Value: Tianjin Teda vs Hangzhou Greentown(3)
Selections where the model's probability beats the bookmaker's implied probability. Expected value is computed from real consensus odds, not opinion.
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Both sides have over 2.5 goals in more than half their matches this season (Tianjin Teda 50%, Hangzhou Greentown 62.5%), and their combined last 5 average is 3.0 goals per game.
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BTTS: Yes
Four of the last five for both teams have seen both teams score, and Hangzhou have failed to keep a clean sheet in 83% of their league matches.
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Match Result: Hangzhou Greentown Win
Hangzhou Greentown average 1.67 goals per game and face a Tianjin side with just three home wins in 12, conceding 19 at home.
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The Case For This Tianjin Teda vs Hangzhou Greentown Prediction
Statistically, this is a fixture shaped by high concession rates and a clear away-side scoring edge. Hangzhou Greentown's attack has been notably productive, especially in recent matches, while Tianjin Teda's home defensive record remains fragile. The numbers point to an above-average goal environment, with the away side's superior attacking metrics likely to prove decisive.
Key Factors at a Glance
Defence
- →Hangzhou Greentown average 1.67 goals scored and conceded per game this season.
- →Tianjin Teda have only kept one clean sheet in their last five matches.
- →Hangzhou's away defence has shipped 23 goals in 12 games—the second-worst among top-half teams.
🚩 Tianjin Teda vs Hangzhou Greentown Corners Prediction
medium confidenceOur corners model projects roughly 5.5 corners for Tianjin Teda and 6 for Hangzhou Greentown, for an expected total of 11.5. That makes the model lean Over 9.5 corners (71%). Over 8.5: 81% · Over 10.5: 60%.
How Tianjin Teda and Hangzhou Greentown Are Arriving
Form, fitness and who's likely to start.
Tianjin Teda vs Hangzhou Greentown Goalscorer Form
Goals scored in last 5 matches across all competitions. Rate = goals ÷ 5 games. XI badge shows player is in the expected starting lineup.
Tianjin Tedalast 5 matchesRegular contributor
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Hangzhou Greentownlast 5 matchesIn exceptional form
Regular contributor
Regular contributor
Regular contributor
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Tianjin Teda are winless in four and have conceded at least once in each of those, with a form string of DDLLW and only one clean sheet in their last five. Hangzhou Greentown, by contrast, have bounced back from a pair of defeats with a draw and a 6-0 win, averaging 2.6 goals per game recently and failing to score only once in their last ten.
Tianjin Teda vs Hangzhou Greentown — Last 10 Matches
Strengths
- +Both teams scoring in most recent games
- +High-volume attack — 15 shots/game
Strengths
- +Prolific attack — 2.6 goals/game (last 5)
- +Both teams scoring in most recent games
What History Says: Tianjin Teda vs Hangzhou Greentown
The last ten head-to-heads are evenly split, but the fixture is reliably high-scoring: five of the last six have produced at least three goals, and both teams have scored in all but two. Recent meetings in Tianjin have favoured the hosts, but Hangzhou have taken points in three of the last five overall.
Tianjin Teda vs Hangzhou Greentown Head-to-Head History
Last 10 meetings between these sides
4
Tianjin Teda wins
2
Draws
4
Hangzhou Greentown wins
Things to Watch: Tianjin Teda vs Hangzhou Greentown
- ⚠️No bookmaker odds available, so value edges cannot be calculated.
- ⚠️Both teams' recent form is volatile, with defensive lapses and late goals common.
- ⚠️No injury or suspension data impacting likely starting XIs.
This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Betting involves risk — always gamble responsibly.
Final Verdict
Tianjin Teda 1–2 Hangzhou GreentownThe model forecasts a 2-1 victory for Hangzhou Greentown, driven by their superior attacking output (2.6 goals per game in their last five) against a Tianjin defence that has managed just one clean sheet in five. The key risk is Hangzhou's away defensive record—conceding nearly two per game on the road—which could allow Tianjin to salvage a point if they capitalise on late chances.
Tianjin Teda vs Hangzhou Greentown: Common Questions
Who will win Tianjin Teda vs Hangzhou Greentown?
The model gives Hangzhou Greentown a 43% chance of victory, with Tianjin Teda at 28% and the draw at 29%. Hangzhou's stronger attack and Tianjin's poor home defensive record tilt the probabilities towards the away side.
Will both teams score in Tianjin Teda vs Hangzhou Greentown?
There's a 61% probability of both teams scoring, as both sides have seen BTTS in four of their last five matches and neither has a strong clean sheet rate.
Is over 2.5 goals likely in Tianjin Teda vs Hangzhou Greentown?
Yes, the model rates over 2.5 goals at 62%, based on both teams' high season-long over 2.5 rates (Tianjin 50%, Hangzhou 62.5%) and recent goal averages above three per game.
How This Prediction Was Made
The numbers on this page come from a structured statistical pack for Tianjin Teda vs Hangzhou Greentown: recent results and scoring data for both sides, home/away splits, the head-to-head record, current league standings, known injuries and live bookmaker odds, all sourced from the API-Football data feed.
This fixture was routed to The Numbers Desk, the statistical baseline — season-long rates, splits and distributions. An AI model running that profile analyses the pack and produces the probabilities, predicted score and written analysis shown above. Nothing is edited by hand, and no information outside the data pack is used.
Last updated: 30 August 2026 (refreshed automatically as new team data arrives). Every prediction is scored against the real result once the match finishes — see the verified track record or read the full methodology. Football is inherently uncertain: treat this page as analysis, not advice.
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Model Accuracy
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