US Ben Guerdane vs CS Hammam-Lif Predictions
Ligue 1 · Tunisia
US Ben Guerdane
Full Time
1 - 0
AI predicted 0 - 1
CS Hammam-Lif
Win Probability (1X2)
Best Value Pick
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Match Result
6.1/10Late Strike Seals Victory for US Ben Guerdane Over CS Hammam-Lif
US Ben Guerdane clinched a hard-fought 1-0 victory over CS Hammam-Lif at the 7 March Stadium, thanks to a decisive goal in the 84th minute. The match was a tense affair, with both sides struggling to break the deadlock for much of the contest. In a game marked by physicality and discipline, the hosts finally found the breakthrough late on, sending the home fans into celebration. Both teams battled for control, but clear-cut chances were at a premium, as reflected in the low scoreline. The match saw a total of five yellow cards, indicating a combative midfield battle and determined defending from both sides. Ultimately, it was US Ben Guerdane's persistence that paid off, as they capitalized on a late opportunity to secure all three points.
💪 AI Prediction Report
DECENT HITPredicted
0 - 1
Actual
1 - 0
💰 Bet Results2/3 hit
Key Moments
84' — Goal
US Ben Guerdane score the decisive goal to take the lead.
Various' — Yellow Cards
A total of five yellow cards were shown, reflecting the match's physical nature.
US Ben Guerdane
US Ben Guerdane showed patience and resilience throughout the match, maintaining focus even as the game remained goalless deep into the second half. Their defense held firm against CS Hammam-Lif's attacks, and the team managed to keep their discipline, conceding only two yellow cards. The breakthrough in the 84th minute was a testament to their determination and ability to seize the moment. While their attacking play was not always fluid, the hosts made the most of their chances when it mattered most. Their ability to stay organized at the back and take advantage of a late opportunity proved decisive.
Key Players
Strengths
Weaknesses
CS Hammam-Lif
CS Hammam-Lif put in a determined shift away from home, matching US Ben Guerdane for much of the contest. Their defensive structure frustrated the hosts for long periods, but they ultimately conceded late on. Discipline was an issue, as evidenced by three yellow cards, which may have disrupted their rhythm in the closing stages. Despite their efforts, CS Hammam-Lif struggled to generate enough attacking impetus to seriously threaten the home side's goal, and their inability to hold out in the final moments proved costly.
Key Players
Strengths
Weaknesses
Tactical Analysis
With lineups and formations not specified, both teams appeared to prioritize defensive solidity and midfield control, as evidenced by the low scoreline and the number of cards issued. US Ben Guerdane remained patient, looking for opportunities to break through, while CS Hammam-Lif focused on containment and counter-attacks. The match was largely played in the middle third, with neither side able to dominate possession or create a high volume of chances. The late goal suggests that US Ben Guerdane either made a tactical adjustment or simply capitalized on a lapse in concentration from the visitors. Both sides' disciplined defensive shapes made for few clear opportunities, but the hosts' persistence eventually paid off.
Turning Point
The 84th-minute goal for US Ben Guerdane, which broke the deadlock and decided the match.
Man of the Match
Unknown
Scored the crucial late winner and delivered when it mattered most.
US Ben Guerdane vs CS Hammam-Lif: Match Preview
Both US Ben Guerdane and CS Hammam-Lif open their Ligue 1 campaigns with contrasting short-term momentum. Ben Guerdane closed last season with two wins but lost their final two matches, while Hammam-Lif arrive off promotion, unbeaten in five and with a pair of clean-sheet wins to close Ligue 2. With both sides starting on zero points and looking to establish early footing, the opening exchanges are likely to be cautious.
The statistical matchup is defined by defensive solidity and limited attacking output. Ben Guerdane averaged just 0.6 goals scored and 0.4 conceded per game in their last five, failing to score in three. Hammam-Lif were slightly more productive at 1.2 goals per game and conceded only 0.2, with four clean sheets. The last ten H2H meetings have generally been low-scoring, and neither side has shown a tendency for early goals, with only five first-half goals combined in their last five matches each.
The model expects a slow burner, with long spells of midfield play and few clear chances. Hammam-Lif’s marginally sharper attack and defensive record—particularly their four clean sheets—give them a slight edge. The likeliest outcome is a narrow away win, most probably 1-0, but a goalless draw is also well in play given the bluntness of Ben Guerdane’s attack.
🎮 Prediction Playground
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Expected goals · model says 0.65
Expected goals · model says 0.75
Over 2.5 Goals
17%
BTTS: Yes
25%
Likely Scores
0-0 · 0-1 · 1-0
Play this match once with the probabilities above — every run is different.
Powered by the same Poisson scoreline model behind the prediction. For fun and exploration — not betting advice.
US Ben Guerdane vs CS Hammam-Lif Prediction Confidence at a Glance
How strongly the model leans on each market.
Stats Worth Knowing
The numbers behind US Ben Guerdane vs CS Hammam-Lif that most previews miss.
- 1US Ben Guerdane have failed to score in three of their last five matches, averaging just 0.6 goals per game.
- 2CS Hammam-Lif have kept four clean sheets in their last five, conceding only once in that span.
- 3Only one of the last ten combined matches for these teams went over 2.5 goals.
Who do you think wins: US Ben Guerdane vs CS Hammam-Lif?
Cast your vote, then see how it stacks up against the model.
Where the Model Sees Value: US Ben Guerdane vs CS Hammam-Lif(3)
Selections where the model's probability beats the bookmaker's implied probability. Expected value is computed from real consensus odds, not opinion.
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Both sides have averaged under 1 goal conceded per game in their last five, with US Ben Guerdane at 0.4 and CS Hammam-Lif at 0.2, and only one of their combined last ten matches went over 2.5 goals.
Read more ↓
BTTS: No
US Ben Guerdane have failed to score in three of their last five, and only one of CS Hammam-Lif’s last five saw both teams score.
Correct Score: 0–1
The most frequent outcome in both teams' recent data is a low-scoring away win, and CS Hammam-Lif have kept four clean sheets in five.
More Ligue 1 Predictions
The Case For This US Ben Guerdane vs CS Hammam-Lif Prediction
Statistically, this fixture projects as a low-scoring, cagey affair. Both sides arrive off defensive runs, with CS Hammam-Lif showing a marginal edge in recent attack output.
Key Factors at a Glance
Attack
- →US Ben Guerdane average just 0.6 goals scored per game in their last five.
- →Eight of the last ten H2H meetings finished under 2.5 goals.
Defence
- →CS Hammam-Lif have kept four clean sheets in their last five matches.
How US Ben Guerdane and CS Hammam-Lif Are Arriving
Form, fitness and who's likely to start.
US Ben Guerdane vs CS Hammam-Lif Goalscorer Form
Goals scored in last 5 matches across all competitions. Rate = goals ÷ 5 games.
US Ben Guerdanelast 5 matchesRegular contributor
Regular contributor
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
CS Hammam-Liflast 5 matchesRegular contributor
Occasional threat
US Ben Guerdane’s last five read LDLWW, with only two goals scored and three clean sheets. CS Hammam-Lif are unbeaten in five (WWDDW), registering four clean sheets and averaging 1.2 goals per game. Hammam-Lif’s defensive consistency and recent promotion form provide a slight momentum edge.
US Ben Guerdane vs CS Hammam-Lif — Last 4 Matches
Concerns
- −4/5 losses in last 5 — poor form
- −Struggling to score — 0.6 goals/game
What History Says: US Ben Guerdane vs CS Hammam-Lif
Across their last eight meetings, US Ben Guerdane have won four and CS Hammam-Lif three, with only one draw. Most encounters have been tight, with five of eight finishing under 2.5 goals and several decided by a single goal margin.
US Ben Guerdane vs CS Hammam-Lif Head-to-Head History
Last 9 meetings between these sides
5
US Ben Guerdane wins
1
Draws
3
CS Hammam-Lif wins
Where the Model Disagrees with the Odds: US Ben Guerdane vs CS Hammam-Lif
With no bookmaker odds available, value cannot be precisely quantified. However, the model’s strong lean towards under 2.5 goals and 'no' on BTTS would be value positions if market odds implied a more open game. The low probability of multiple goals is the clearest statistical edge.
Odds from Bet365. Positive edge = our model gives a higher probability than the odds imply. EV = expected value per £1 staked.
1X2
Over/Under 2.5
Both Teams Score
Best Value Markets Found by the Model
EV per £1 staked. Positive EV means this bet has mathematical edge over the long run. Past model accuracy is tracked on our predictions tracker.
Edge and EV are derived from model probabilities only and do not constitute financial advice. Odds fluctuate — always verify current prices with your bookmaker.
Things to Watch: US Ben Guerdane vs CS Hammam-Lif
- ⚠️No current season data for either side; all rates are based on last five matches and historic H2H.
- ⚠️CS Hammam-Lif's last five are from Ligue 2, so division adjustment may be needed.
- ⚠️No odds available, so value edges cannot be quantified.
This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Betting involves risk — always gamble responsibly.
Final Verdict
US Ben Guerdane 0–1 CS Hammam-LifThe model projects a 1-0 away win for CS Hammam-Lif, anchored by their four clean sheets in five and Ben Guerdane’s recent struggles to score. The single biggest risk is that both teams’ lack of attacking output leads to a goalless draw rather than a narrow away victory.
US Ben Guerdane vs CS Hammam-Lif: Common Questions
Who will win US Ben Guerdane vs CS Hammam-Lif?
The model gives CS Hammam-Lif a 34% chance of victory, with a draw at 39% and US Ben Guerdane at 27%. The most likely result is a narrow away win or a low-scoring draw, based on recent defensive records.
Will both teams score in US Ben Guerdane vs CS Hammam-Lif?
Both teams to score is rated at just 22%, with 78% for 'no', reflecting Ben Guerdane’s three blanks in five and Hammam-Lif’s four clean sheets.
How likely is under 2.5 goals in US Ben Guerdane vs CS Hammam-Lif?
Under 2.5 goals is highly probable at 83%, supported by both teams’ recent defensive rates and a history of low-scoring head-to-head meetings.
How This Prediction Was Made
The numbers on this page come from a structured statistical pack for US Ben Guerdane vs CS Hammam-Lif: recent results and scoring data for both sides, home/away splits, the head-to-head record, current league standings, known injuries and live bookmaker odds, all sourced from the API-Football data feed.
This fixture was routed to The Numbers Desk, the statistical baseline — season-long rates, splits and distributions. An AI model running that profile analyses the pack and produces the probabilities, predicted score and written analysis shown above. Nothing is edited by hand, and no information outside the data pack is used.
Last updated: 15 August 2026 (refreshed automatically as new team data arrives). Every prediction is scored against the real result once the match finishes — see the verified track record or read the full methodology. Football is inherently uncertain: treat this page as analysis, not advice.