Valladolid vs Cadiz Predictions
Segunda División · Spain
Valladolid
Full Time
3 - 0
AI predicted 1 - 1
Cadiz
Win Probability (1X2)
Best Value Pick
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Match Result
7.5/10Valladolid Cruise Past Cádiz with Dominant 3-0 Home Victory
Valladolid delivered a commanding performance at the Estadio Municipal José Zorrilla, sweeping aside Cádiz 3-0 in a one-sided Segunda División encounter. The hosts asserted their authority early, with goals in the 15th and 29th minutes setting the tone for a match they controlled from start to finish. A late third in the 75th minute capped off a display marked by attacking intent and defensive solidity. Cádiz struggled to gain a foothold, managing just a single shot on target despite matching Valladolid in physicality with 13 fouls apiece. The visitors' lack of cutting edge in the final third was evident, while Valladolid's 56% possession and seven corners underscored their sustained pressure. The result leaves Valladolid buoyant as they continue their push for promotion, while Cádiz are left to regroup after a chastening evening.
😅 AI Prediction Report
CLOSE BUT NO CIGARPredicted
1 - 1
Actual
3 - 0
💰 Bet Results1/3 hit
Key Moments
15' — Goal
Valladolid open the scoring after sustained pressure, seizing early initiative.
29' — Goal
The hosts double their lead, capitalizing on Cádiz's defensive lapses.
75' — Goal
Valladolid seal the result with a third goal, ending any hopes of a Cádiz comeback.
Unknown' — Yellow Card
Cádiz pick up the game's only booking, reflecting their frustration.
Valladolid
Valladolid were in control from the outset, dictating the tempo with 56% possession and a fluid 4-2-3-1 formation. Their attacking quartet consistently threatened, racking up 13 shots with six on target. The midfield duo of Stanko Jurić and Julien Ponceau provided a solid base, allowing the creative players to flourish. Defensively, they were rarely troubled, limiting Cádiz to just one shot on target and keeping a clean sheet without a single yellow card.
Key Players
Strengths
Weaknesses
Cadiz
Cádiz endured a difficult evening, unable to match Valladolid's intensity or creativity. Their 4-2-3-1 setup struggled to retain possession (44%) and was largely bypassed in midfield. The visitors mustered only eight shots—just one on target—and failed to seriously test the home defence. Despite a committed effort, as reflected in their 13 fouls, Cádiz rarely threatened and were forced to defend deep for long spells.
Key Players
Strengths
Weaknesses
Tactical Analysis
Both teams lined up in a 4-2-3-1, but Valladolid's execution was far superior. Their double pivot shielded the defence and recycled possession efficiently, while the attacking midfield trio exploited spaces between Cádiz's lines. The hosts used width effectively, stretching the play and earning seven corners to Cádiz's two. Cádiz, meanwhile, struggled to transition from defence to attack, often resorting to long balls that were easily dealt with by Valladolid's back line. Substitutions did little to alter the tactical balance, as the home side maintained control throughout.
Turning Point
The second goal in the 29th minute gave Valladolid a commanding cushion and effectively ended Cádiz's hopes of a comeback.
Man of the Match
Juanmi Latasa
His goal and all-round forward play set the tone for Valladolid's dominant display.
🎮 Prediction Playground
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Expected goals · model says 1.20
Expected goals · model says 1.10
Over 2.5 Goals
40%
BTTS: Yes
47%
Likely Scores
1-1 · 1-0 · 0-1
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Powered by the same Poisson scoreline model behind the prediction. For fun and exploration — not betting advice.
Valladolid vs Cadiz Prediction Confidence at a Glance
How strongly the model leans on each market.
Who do you think wins: Valladolid vs Cadiz?
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Where the Model Sees Value: Valladolid vs Cadiz(3)
Selections where the model's probability beats the bookmaker's implied probability. Expected value is computed from real consensus odds, not opinion.
Match Result: Draw
Both teams are in poor form, have similar season records, and have drawn 4 of their last 9 H2H meetings. The match is likely to be tight and low-scoring.
Read more ↓
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Both teams average below 1.2 goals scored per game and have under 50% over 2.5 rates this season. Recent H2H also trends to low scores.
BTTS: No
Cadiz have failed to score in 3 of their last 5, and both teams have a low BTTS rate recently. Defensive, cautious game likely.
More Segunda División Predictions
The Case For This Valladolid vs Cadiz Prediction
This is a clash between two struggling sides in the lower half of the Segunda División. Valladolid and Cadiz are separated by just two points and both have negative goal differences. Recent form is poor for both, with Valladolid showing slightly more attacking intent but also conceding heavily. Cadiz are struggling to score and have lost four of their last five. H2H history is balanced and low-scoring, with draws common. Expect a tense, cagey affair with few clear chances and a high probability of a draw.
Key Factors at a Glance
Recent Form
- →Both teams in poor form: Valladolid (LWDWD), Cadiz (LWLLL)
Defence
- →Valladolid score more but concede more; Cadiz struggle to score (0.6 avg last 5)
Injuries & Team News
- →No significant injuries reported
Match Context
- →Valladolid home record: 5W 4D 6L; Cadiz away: 4W 6D 5L
- →4 of last 9 H2H have ended in draws, most recent was 0-0
- →League positions: 18th vs 16th, both fighting to avoid relegation
- →Low season over 2.5 rates (Valladolid 48%, Cadiz 45%)
🚩 Valladolid vs Cadiz Corners Prediction
low confidenceOur corners model projects roughly 6.2 corners for Valladolid and 3.8 for Cadiz, for an expected total of 10. That makes the model lean Over 9.5 corners (54%). Over 8.5: 66% · Over 10.5: 41%.
How Valladolid and Cadiz Are Arriving
Form, fitness and who's likely to start.
Valladolid vs Cadiz Goalscorer Form
Goals scored in last 5 matches across all competitions. Rate = goals ÷ 5 games. XI badge shows player is in the expected starting lineup.
Valladolidlast 5 matchesNo scorer data yet — available after predictions are regenerated.
Cadizlast 5 matchesNo scorer data yet — available after predictions are regenerated.
Scorer data populates once predictions are regenerated with the updated pipeline.
Valladolid vs Cadiz — Last 10 Matches
Concerns
- −Inconsistent — 3+ losses in last 5
Concerns
- −5/5 losses in last 5 — poor form
- −Struggling to score — 0.4 goals/game
- −Leaky defence — 2.4 conceded/game
What History Says: Valladolid vs Cadiz
Valladolid vs Cadiz Head-to-Head History
Last 10 meetings between these sides
3
Valladolid wins
4
Draws
3
Cadiz wins
Things to Watch: Valladolid vs Cadiz
- ⚠️No current bookmaker odds available, so value edges cannot be calculated
- ⚠️Some match stats (shots, possession, etc.) missing for recent games
- ⚠️Lineups not available at time of analysis
- ⚠️Segunda División can be unpredictable, especially in relegation battles
This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Betting involves risk — always gamble responsibly.
How This Prediction Was Made
The numbers on this page come from a structured statistical pack for Valladolid vs Cadiz: recent results and scoring data for both sides, home/away splits, the head-to-head record, current league standings, known injuries and live bookmaker odds, all sourced from the API-Football data feed.
An AI model analyses that pack and produces the probabilities, predicted score and written analysis shown above. Nothing is edited by hand, and no information outside the data pack is used.
Last updated: 26 March 2026 (refreshed automatically as new team data arrives). Every prediction is scored against the real result once the match finishes — see the verified track record or read the full methodology. Football is inherently uncertain: treat this page as analysis, not advice.