Valladolid vs Deportivo La Coruna Predictions
Segunda División · Spain
Valladolid
Full Time
0 - 2
AI predicted 1 - 2
Deportivo La Coruna
Win Probability (1X2)
Best Value Pick
Double Chance: Draw or Deportivo La Coruna
Match Result
6.5/10Deportivo La Coruna Stun Valladolid with Clinical Away Triumph
Deportivo La Coruna delivered a disciplined and clinical performance to secure a 2-0 victory over Valladolid at the Estadio Municipal José Zorrilla. The visitors struck early, with goals in the 11th and 34th minutes, and expertly managed the game thereafter, frustrating a Valladolid side that dominated possession but struggled to convert their territorial advantage into meaningful chances. Despite enjoying 64% possession and firing 15 shots, Valladolid could only muster two shots on target, a testament to Deportivo's defensive organization and tactical discipline. The home side's frustration was evident, as they collected five yellow cards and a red, while Deportivo kept their composure and capitalized on their opportunities to claim all three points.
💪 AI Prediction Report
DECENT HITPredicted
1 - 2
Actual
0 - 2
💰 Bet Results1/2 hit
Key Moments
11' — Goal
B. Nsongo opens the scoring for Deportivo, finishing a swift counter-attack.
34' — Goal
Deportivo double their lead, with D. Villares providing the assist.
52' — Red Card
Valladolid reduced to ten men after a second yellow card.
65' — Yellow Card
Home side's frustration boils over with another booking.
Valladolid
Valladolid controlled the ball for long spells and looked to dictate the tempo with their 3-5-2 formation. However, their lack of cutting edge in the final third proved costly, as they failed to break down a well-drilled Deportivo defense. The hosts' frustration grew as the match wore on, culminating in a flurry of bookings and a red card that further hampered their efforts. Despite their territorial dominance and six corners, Valladolid's attacking play was largely toothless, and their defensive lapses in the first half left them with too much to do.
Key Players
Strengths
Weaknesses
Deportivo La Coruna
Deportivo La Coruna executed their game plan to perfection, soaking up pressure and striking decisively on the break. Their 3-4-2-1 formation allowed them to remain compact defensively while exploiting spaces left by Valladolid. The visitors were clinical with their chances, scoring from two of their three shots on target, and managed the game superbly after establishing their lead. Deportivo's defensive structure frustrated Valladolid, and their composure was underlined by conceding just one yellow card and committing only five fouls throughout the match.
Key Players
Strengths
Weaknesses
Tactical Analysis
Valladolid lined up in a 3-5-2, seeking to dominate the midfield and use wing-backs for width. While this approach allowed them to control possession and push Deportivo back, it left them vulnerable to quick transitions. Deportivo's 3-4-2-1 was compact and disciplined, with the midfield four providing a solid shield in front of the back three. The visitors were content to let Valladolid have the ball, focusing on maintaining their shape and springing forward when opportunities arose. Substitutions and tactical tweaks from Valladolid after the red card failed to spark a comeback, as Deportivo sat deeper and absorbed pressure, relying on their structure and discipline to see out the result.
Turning Point
The second goal in the 34th minute gave Deportivo a commanding lead and allowed them to fully commit to a defensive approach, effectively shutting Valladolid out of the game.
Man of the Match
B. Nsongo
Scored the crucial opening goal and was a constant threat on the counter.
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Expected goals · model says 1.00
Expected goals · model says 1.40
Over 2.5 Goals
43%
BTTS: Yes
48%
Likely Scores
0-1 · 1-1 · 0-0
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Powered by the same Poisson scoreline model behind the prediction. For fun and exploration — not betting advice.
Valladolid vs Deportivo La Coruna Prediction Confidence at a Glance
How strongly the model leans on each market.
Who do you think wins: Valladolid vs Deportivo La Coruna?
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Where the Model Sees Value: Valladolid vs Deportivo La Coruna(3)
Selections where the model's probability beats the bookmaker's implied probability. Expected value is computed from real consensus odds, not opinion.
Double Chance: Draw or Deportivo La Coruna
Deportivo La Coruna have strong away form (10W, 6D, 4L) and are unbeaten in their last 5, while Valladolid have lost 3 of their last 5 and have a negative goal difference. The away side's consistency and attacking output make avoiding defeat likely.
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Match Result: Deportivo La Coruna Win
Deportivo La Coruna's superior season and recent form, plus Valladolid's defensive frailties (1.35 conceded per game), suggest value in the away win despite the draw risk.
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BTTS: Yes
Both teams have scored in 4 of Deportivo's last 5 and 2 of Valladolid's last 5, with both sides showing defensive vulnerabilities and attacking potential.
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More Segunda División Predictions
The Case For This Valladolid vs Deportivo La Coruna Prediction
Deportivo La Coruna travel to Valladolid in strong form, unbeaten in five and pushing for promotion, while the hosts have struggled for consistency and defensive solidity. Valladolid's home record is only moderate, and they face a Deportivo side that has scored freely away from home. Expect a competitive match, with the visitors' attacking edge likely to prove decisive.
Key Factors at a Glance
Recent Form
- →Deportivo are unbeaten in their last 5 (WWDWD) and have not failed to score in any of those matches.
Attack
- →Deportivo La Coruna have 10 away wins and average 1.54 goals per game.
- →H2H is limited but shows low-scoring, tight games historically.
Defence
- →Valladolid have lost 3 of their last 5 and conceded 1.4 goals per game in that span.
Injuries & Team News
- →No significant injuries for either side.
🚩 Valladolid vs Deportivo La Coruna Corners Prediction
low confidenceOur corners model projects roughly 5.3 corners for Valladolid and 4.5 for Deportivo La Coruna, for an expected total of 9.8. That makes the model lean Over 9.5 corners (52%). Over 8.5: 65% · Over 10.5: 40%.
How Valladolid and Deportivo La Coruna Are Arriving
Form, fitness and who's likely to start.
Valladolid vs Deportivo La Coruna Goalscorer Form
Goals scored in last 5 matches across all competitions. Rate = goals ÷ 5 games. XI badge shows player is in the expected starting lineup.
Valladolidlast 5 matchesOccasional threat
Deportivo La Corunalast 5 matchesScoring consistently
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Valladolid enter this match in patchy form, alternating wins and losses in their last five and suffering a heavy 1-4 defeat last time out. Deportivo La Coruna, by contrast, are unbeaten in five, with three wins and two draws, and have shown a strong balance of attack and defence, scoring in every recent game.
Valladolid vs Deportivo La Coruna — Last 10 Matches
Concerns
- −Inconsistent — 3+ losses in last 5
Strengths
- +4/5 wins in last 5 — excellent form
- +Defensively solid — 0.6 conceded/game
What History Says: Valladolid vs Deportivo La Coruna
Historically, this fixture has been close, with the last three meetings producing two draws and a single-goal Valladolid win. Scorelines have tended to be low, but Deportivo's current attacking form may disrupt this pattern.
Valladolid vs Deportivo La Coruna Head-to-Head History
Last 4 meetings between these sides
1
Valladolid wins
2
Draws
1
Deportivo La Coruna wins
Where the Model Disagrees with the Odds: Valladolid vs Deportivo La Coruna
Without bookmaker odds, it's not possible to quantify value edges, but model probabilities favor Deportivo La Coruna and the double chance X2. If market odds for X2 or away win are above 1.27 and 2.38 respectively, these would represent value based on model probabilities.
Odds from Bet365. Positive edge = our model gives a higher probability than the odds imply. EV = expected value per £1 staked.
1X2
Over/Under 2.5
Both Teams Score
Best Value Markets Found by the Model
EV per £1 staked. Positive EV means this bet has mathematical edge over the long run. Past model accuracy is tracked on our predictions tracker.
Edge and EV are derived from model probabilities only and do not constitute financial advice. Odds fluctuate — always verify current prices with your bookmaker.
Things to Watch: Valladolid vs Deportivo La Coruna
- ⚠️No bookmaker odds provided, so value edges are not quantifiable.
- ⚠️Standings data is missing, so promotion/relegation motivation cannot be fully assessed.
- ⚠️Limited H2H sample size and some missing match stats.
- ⚠️Final round of season: possible unpredictable motivation or squad rotation.
This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Betting involves risk — always gamble responsibly.
How This Prediction Was Made
The numbers on this page come from a structured statistical pack for Valladolid vs Deportivo La Coruna: recent results and scoring data for both sides, home/away splits, the head-to-head record, current league standings, known injuries and live bookmaker odds, all sourced from the API-Football data feed.
An AI model analyses that pack and produces the probabilities, predicted score and written analysis shown above. Nothing is edited by hand, and no information outside the data pack is used.
Last updated: 17 May 2026 (refreshed automatically as new team data arrives). Every prediction is scored against the real result once the match finishes — see the verified track record or read the full methodology. Football is inherently uncertain: treat this page as analysis, not advice.
More Valladolid vs Deportivo La Coruna Resources
Valladolid Predictions
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Deportivo La Coruna Predictions
All Deportivo La Coruna fixtures & tips
Valladolid vs Deportivo La Coruna Stats
Full H2H record & season stats
Segunda División Predictions
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Model Accuracy
Track record & verified results