Widzew Łódź vs Lechia Gdansk Predictions
Ekstraklasa · Poland
Widzew Łódź
AI Predicted Score
1 - 2
Lechia Gdansk
Win Probability (1X2)
Best Value Pick
Match Result: Lechia Gdansk Win
@ 3.4(+10% edge)
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Expected goals · model says 1.10
Expected goals · model says 1.35
Over 2.5 Goals
44%
BTTS: Yes
49%
Likely Scores
1-1 · 0-1 · 1-0
Play this match once with the probabilities above — every run is different.
Powered by the same Poisson scoreline model behind the prediction. For fun and exploration — not betting advice.
Widzew Łódź vs Lechia Gdansk Prediction Confidence at a Glance
How strongly the model leans on each market.
Who do you think wins: Widzew Łódź vs Lechia Gdansk?
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Where the Model Sees Value: Widzew Łódź vs Lechia Gdansk(3)
Selections where the model's probability beats the bookmaker's implied probability. Expected value is computed from real consensus odds, not opinion.
Match Result: Lechia Gdansk Win@ 3.4
Lechia Gdansk have a stronger attack (1.9 goals/game), are in better overall form, and their away win probability is higher than the odds-implied probability, offering value.
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Double Chance: Draw or Lechia Gdansk
Lechia Gdansk are less likely to lose, with a 74% model probability for X2, supported by their superior attacking stats and Widzew Łódź's inconsistent form.
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BTTS: Yes
Both teams have shown defensive vulnerabilities (Lechia no clean sheets in last 5, Widzew only 2), and Lechia's matches are high-scoring (70% over 2.5).
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More Ekstraklasa Predictions
The Case For This Widzew Łódź vs Lechia Gdansk Prediction
Widzew Łódź, fighting to avoid the drop, host a Lechia Gdansk side with a potent attack but a leaky defence. Widzew are solid at home but inconsistent, while Lechia's away record is poor but they score freely. Expect an open game, with Lechia's firepower likely to edge a close contest.
Key Factors at a Glance
Defence
- →Lechia Gdansk average 1.9 goals scored per game, but concede 1.8.
- →Lechia have not kept a clean sheet in their last 5 matches.
- →Lechia's away defence is weak (31 conceded in 14 away games).
Match Context
- →Widzew Łódź have a decent home record (7W, 4D, 4L) but struggle for goals.
- →Widzew have failed to score only once in their last 5.
- →Head-to-head is balanced, but Lechia won the last meeting.
- →Both teams have high over 2.5 and BTTS rates.
🚩 Widzew Łódź vs Lechia Gdansk Corners Prediction
low confidenceOur corners model projects roughly 3.6 corners for Widzew Łódź and 6.5 for Lechia Gdansk, for an expected total of 10.1. That makes the model lean Over 9.5 corners (55%). Over 8.5: 68% · Over 10.5: 43%.
How Widzew Łódź and Lechia Gdansk Are Arriving
Form, fitness and who's likely to start.
Widzew Łódź vs Lechia Gdansk Goalscorer Form
Goals scored in last 5 matches across all competitions. Rate = goals ÷ 5 games. XI badge shows player is in the expected starting lineup.
Widzew Łódźlast 5 matchesNo scorer data yet — available after predictions are regenerated.
Lechia Gdansklast 5 matchesNo scorer data yet — available after predictions are regenerated.
Scorer data populates once predictions are regenerated with the updated pipeline.
Widzew Łódź vs Lechia Gdansk — Last 10 Matches
Strengths
- +Both teams scoring in most recent games
- +Over 2.5 goals in 70% of games this season
Concerns
- −No clean sheets in last 5 matches
What History Says: Widzew Łódź vs Lechia Gdansk
Widzew Łódź vs Lechia Gdansk Head-to-Head History
Last 5 meetings between these sides
1
Widzew Łódź wins
2
Draws
2
Lechia Gdansk wins
Where the Model Disagrees with the Odds: Widzew Łódź vs Lechia Gdansk
Odds from Betfair. Positive edge = our model gives a higher probability than the odds imply. EV = expected value per £1 staked.
1X2
Over/Under 2.5
Both Teams Score
Best Value Markets Found by the Model
EV per £1 staked. Positive EV means this bet has mathematical edge over the long run. Past model accuracy is tracked on our predictions tracker.
Edge and EV are derived from model probabilities only and do not constitute financial advice. Odds fluctuate — always verify current prices with your bookmaker.
Things to Watch: Widzew Łódź vs Lechia Gdansk
- ⚠️Some recent match stats (shots, possession) are missing, reducing confidence in set piece and tempo projections.
- ⚠️No odds for BTTS or double chance markets at time of analysis.
- ⚠️Lineups not available; late injuries or rotations could impact predictions.
- ⚠️Widzew's low attacking stats in last 5 (shots, possession) may understate their home potential.
This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Betting involves risk — always gamble responsibly.
How This Prediction Was Made
The numbers on this page come from a structured statistical pack for Widzew Łódź vs Lechia Gdansk: recent results and scoring data for both sides, home/away splits, the head-to-head record, current league standings, known injuries and live bookmaker odds, all sourced from the API-Football data feed.
An AI model analyses that pack and produces the probabilities, predicted score and written analysis shown above. Nothing is edited by hand, and no information outside the data pack is used.
Last updated: 3 May 2026 (refreshed automatically as new team data arrives). Every prediction is scored against the real result once the match finishes — see the verified track record or read the full methodology. Football is inherently uncertain: treat this page as analysis, not advice.