Wisla Plock vs Motor Lublin Predictions
Ekstraklasa · Poland
Wisla Plock
AI Predicted Score
1 - 1
Motor Lublin
Win Probability (1X2)
Best Value Pick
Match Result: Draw
@ 3.5(+5% edge)
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Expected goals · model says 1.05
Expected goals · model says 0.90
Over 2.5 Goals
31%
BTTS: Yes
39%
Likely Scores
1-0 · 0-0 · 1-1
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Powered by the same Poisson scoreline model behind the prediction. For fun and exploration — not betting advice.
Wisla Plock vs Motor Lublin Prediction Confidence at a Glance
How strongly the model leans on each market.
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Where the Model Sees Value: Wisla Plock vs Motor Lublin(1)
Selections where the model's probability beats the bookmaker's implied probability. Expected value is computed from real consensus odds, not opinion.
Match Result: Draw@ 3.5
Both teams have struggled for consistency, with Wisla Plock on a three-match losing streak and Motor Lublin only recently snapping a poor run. The H2H record is draw-heavy, and both sides' recent defensive vulnerabilities suggest a tight, low-scoring contest where a draw is a strong value play.
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The Case For This Wisla Plock vs Motor Lublin Prediction
Wisla Plock and Motor Lublin both enter this fixture on the back of inconsistent form, with neither side able to establish a clear upper hand in recent weeks. Wisla Plock's home record is solid, but their attack has faltered lately, while Motor Lublin have struggled on the road but showed signs of improvement with a recent emphatic win. The statistical profile and H2H history point to a cautious, low-scoring match with draw value.
Key Factors at a Glance
Recent Form
- →Head-to-head record features 3 draws in 6 meetings, with generally low goal counts.
- →Both teams' recent form is poor, with each side recording only 2 wins in their last 5.
Attack
- →Wisla Plock's attack has failed to score in 3 of their last 5 matches.
Defence
- →Motor Lublin average 1.34 goals scored and 1.44 conceded per game this season.
- →Wisla Plock's home defense is relatively strong (15 conceded in 15 home games).
🚩 Wisla Plock vs Motor Lublin Corners Prediction
medium confidenceOur corners model projects roughly 5.5 corners for Wisla Plock and 5.7 for Motor Lublin, for an expected total of 11.2. That makes the model lean Over 9.5 corners (68%). Over 8.5: 78% · Over 10.5: 56%.
How Wisla Plock and Motor Lublin Are Arriving
Form, fitness and who's likely to start.
Wisla Plock vs Motor Lublin Goalscorer Form
Goals scored in last 5 matches across all competitions. Rate = goals ÷ 5 games. XI badge shows player is in the expected starting lineup.
Wisla Plocklast 5 matchesNo scorer data yet — available after predictions are regenerated.
Motor Lublinlast 5 matchesRegular contributor
Regular contributor
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Wisla Plock are on a three-game losing streak, having failed to score in each of those matches, and have only managed two wins in their last five. Motor Lublin, meanwhile, broke a poor run with a big away win last time out but had lost three straight prior, indicating inconsistent momentum for both sides.
Wisla Plock vs Motor Lublin — Last 10 Matches
Concerns
- −Inconsistent — 3+ losses in last 5
Concerns
- −Inconsistent — 3+ losses in last 5
What History Says: Wisla Plock vs Motor Lublin
Draws have been common in this fixture, with three of the last six meetings ending level and most games being tight affairs. The 4-0 away win for Motor Lublin in the most recent match is notable but not representative of the usual pattern between these teams.
Wisla Plock vs Motor Lublin Head-to-Head History
Last 6 meetings between these sides
1
Wisla Plock wins
3
Draws
2
Motor Lublin wins
Where the Model Disagrees with the Odds: Wisla Plock vs Motor Lublin
Bookmaker odds heavily favor low-scoring outcomes and BTTS 'no', but the model finds the draw price at 3.5 to offer the best value given both teams' recent struggles and the balanced H2H record. Unders and BTTS 'no' are too short to justify, with implied probabilities well above model estimates.
Odds from Bet365. Positive edge = our model gives a higher probability than the odds imply. EV = expected value per £1 staked.
1X2
Over/Under 2.5
Both Teams Score
Best Value Markets Found by the Model
EV per £1 staked. Positive EV means this bet has mathematical edge over the long run. Past model accuracy is tracked on our predictions tracker.
Edge and EV are derived from model probabilities only and do not constitute financial advice. Odds fluctuate — always verify current prices with your bookmaker.
Things to Watch: Wisla Plock vs Motor Lublin
- ⚠️Recent form data is skewed by a single lopsided result (Motor's 4-0 win).
- ⚠️Both teams have shown high variance in results, increasing draw probability but lowering confidence in exact outcomes.
- ⚠️Market odds for unders and BTTS 'no' are very short, limiting value.
This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Betting involves risk — always gamble responsibly.
How This Prediction Was Made
The numbers on this page come from a structured statistical pack for Wisla Plock vs Motor Lublin: recent results and scoring data for both sides, home/away splits, the head-to-head record, current league standings, known injuries and live bookmaker odds, all sourced from the API-Football data feed.
An AI model analyses that pack and produces the probabilities, predicted score and written analysis shown above. Nothing is edited by hand, and no information outside the data pack is used.
Last updated: 10 May 2026 (refreshed automatically as new team data arrives). Every prediction is scored against the real result once the match finishes — see the verified track record or read the full methodology. Football is inherently uncertain: treat this page as analysis, not advice.