Wisla Plock vs Unia Skierniewice Predictions
Friendlies Clubs · World
Wisla Plock
AI Predicted Score
2 - 1
Unia Skierniewice
Win Probability (1X2)
Best Value Pick
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Recommended Bets: Wisla Plock vs Unia Skierniewice
Wisla Plock vs Unia Skierniewice: Match Preview
Wisla Plock approach this friendly in robust form, having won three of their last five matches and averaging 1.8 goals scored per game in that stretch. Their recent home record is strong, with six wins from nine at home this season and only one loss, while Unia Skierniewice arrive with a mixed recent run (DWLLW) but an impressive season scoring average of 2.78 goals per game. With both teams on 20 points from nine matches in their respective leagues, this fixture offers a useful test of their current levels.
The statistical matchup is defined by Wisla Plock's defensive discipline (season average 0.67 goals conceded) and Unia Skierniewice's attacking output, but both have shown vulnerability in recent games—each conceding in four of their last five. Over 2.5 goals has landed in over half of Wisla Plock's matches and two-thirds of Unia Skierniewice's, while BTTS has occurred in three of the last five for both. Wisla Plock's shot volume (11.2 per game in last five) and Unia's recent second-half scoring (four second-half goals in last five) suggest the game could open up after the break.
Given the underlying rates, the model expects a competitive fixture with a slight edge to the hosts, but with both sides likely to score. The most probable outcome is a 2-1 win for Wisla Plock, driven by their home scoring rate and Unia Skierniewice's attacking threat, but the high over 2.5 and BTTS probabilities reflect the attacking profiles of both teams.
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Expected goals · model says 1.70
Expected goals · model says 1.10
Over 2.5 Goals
53%
BTTS: Yes
55%
Likely Scores
1-1 · 1-0 · 2-1
Play this match once with the probabilities above — every run is different.
Powered by the same Poisson scoreline model behind the prediction. For fun and exploration — not betting advice.
Wisla Plock vs Unia Skierniewice Prediction Confidence at a Glance
How strongly the model leans on each market.
Stats Worth Knowing
The numbers behind Wisla Plock vs Unia Skierniewice that most previews miss.
- 1Unia Skierniewice's season away games average 2.5 goals per match, but their overall scoring rate (2.78 per game) is inflated by home results.
- 2Wisla Plock have scored in the first half in four of their last five matches, suggesting early attacking intent.
- 3The only previous H2H finished 2-0 to Wisla Plock, the same as their most common home win margin this season.
Who do you think wins: Wisla Plock vs Unia Skierniewice?
Cast your vote, then see how it stacks up against the model.
Where the Model Sees Value: Wisla Plock vs Unia Skierniewice(3)
Selections where the model's probability beats the bookmaker's implied probability. Expected value is computed from real consensus odds, not opinion.
Correct Score: 2–1
The most probable single scoreline is 2-1 to Wisla Plock, supported by both teams' season scoring rates (Wisla Plock 1.89, Unia Skierniewice 2.78 goals per game) and their tendency for BTTS in recent matches (3 of last 5 for both).
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Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Both sides have high season over 2.5 rates (Wisla Plock 55.56%, Unia Skierniewice 66.67%) and average over 2.5 combined goals per game in their last five, making over 2.5 goals the statistically favoured outcome.
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BTTS: Yes
BTTS has landed in 3 of the last 5 for both teams, and each concedes over a goal per game in recent form, indicating a reasonable probability for both sides to find the net.
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More Friendlies Clubs Predictions
The Case For This Wisla Plock vs Unia Skierniewice Prediction
Statistically, this friendly projects as a moderate-to-high scoring contest, with Wisla Plock's defensive solidity at home facing Unia Skierniewice's potent attack. Both teams' season-long scoring rates and over 2.5 goal percentages point to a result with goals at both ends.
Key Factors at a Glance
Recent Form
- →Both teams have seen BTTS in 3 of their last 5 matches.
Defence
- →Wisla Plock average 1.89 goals scored and 0.67 conceded per game this season.
- →Unia Skierniewice average 2.78 goals scored and 0.67 conceded per game this season.
🚩 Wisla Plock vs Unia Skierniewice Corners Prediction
low confidenceOur corners model projects roughly 5.6 corners for Wisla Plock and 5 for Unia Skierniewice, for an expected total of 10.6. That makes the model lean Over 9.5 corners (61%). Over 8.5: 73% · Over 10.5: 49%.
How Wisla Plock and Unia Skierniewice Are Arriving
Form, fitness and who's likely to start.
Wisla Plock vs Unia Skierniewice Goalscorer Form
Goals scored in last 5 matches across all competitions. Rate = goals ÷ 5 games. XI badge shows player is in the expected starting lineup.
Wisla Plocklast 5 matchesRegular contributor
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Unia Skierniewicelast 5 matchesOccasional threat
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Wisla Plock have won three of their last five, including back-to-back victories, and are averaging nearly two goals per game this season. Unia Skierniewice's recent form is more mixed (DWLLW), but they remain prolific in attack, with 25 goals in nine games and only one loss all season.
Wisla Plock vs Unia Skierniewice — Last 9 Matches
Strengths
- +Solid recent form — 3+ wins in last 5
Strengths
- +Over 2.5 goals in 66.67% of games this season
What History Says: Wisla Plock vs Unia Skierniewice
The only previous meeting between these sides saw Wisla Plock win 2-0 at home in a friendly, suggesting a slight historical edge. There are no recurring scoreline patterns, but the home side has kept a clean sheet in the sole encounter.
Wisla Plock vs Unia Skierniewice Head-to-Head History
Last 1 meeting between these sides
1
Wisla Plock wins
0
Draws
0
Unia Skierniewice wins
Things to Watch: Wisla Plock vs Unia Skierniewice
- ⚠️No bookmaker odds available, so value assessment is limited.
- ⚠️Standings data is missing; league context cannot be fully factored.
- ⚠️Unia Skierniewice's away sample is small, increasing uncertainty in their defensive rate.
This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Betting involves risk — always gamble responsibly.
Final Verdict
Wisla Plock 2–1 Unia SkierniewiceThe model projects a 2-1 win for Wisla Plock, anchored by their superior home scoring rate and defensive record (1.89 scored, 0.67 conceded per game). The main risk is underestimating Unia Skierniewice's away attacking potential, given their small away sample and high overall goals average.
Wisla Plock vs Unia Skierniewice: Common Questions
Who will win Wisla Plock vs Unia Skierniewice?
Wisla Plock are given a 48% probability to win, with a 32% chance of a draw and 20% for Unia Skierniewice. The hosts' strong home record and defensive numbers give them the statistical edge.
Will both teams score in Wisla Plock vs Unia Skierniewice?
There is a 54% probability for both teams to score, based on both sides seeing BTTS in 3 of their last 5 matches and their recent defensive records.
Is over 2.5 goals likely in Wisla Plock vs Unia Skierniewice?
Over 2.5 goals is rated at 56% probability, supported by Wisla Plock's 55.56% and Unia Skierniewice's 66.67% over 2.5 rates this season.
How This Prediction Was Made
The numbers on this page come from a structured statistical pack for Wisla Plock vs Unia Skierniewice: recent results and scoring data for both sides, home/away splits, the head-to-head record, current league standings, known injuries and live bookmaker odds, all sourced from the API-Football data feed.
This fixture was routed to The Numbers Desk, the statistical baseline — season-long rates, splits and distributions. An AI model running that profile analyses the pack and produces the probabilities, predicted score and written analysis shown above. Nothing is edited by hand, and no information outside the data pack is used.
Last updated: 28 September 2026 (refreshed automatically as new team data arrives). Every prediction is scored against the real result once the match finishes — see the verified track record or read the full methodology. Football is inherently uncertain: treat this page as analysis, not advice.