Yate Town vs Chippenham Town Predictions
FA Cup · England
Yate Town
Full Time
0 - 0
AI predicted 2 - 2
Chippenham Town
Win Probability (1X2)
Best Value Pick
BTTS: Yes
Match Result
4/10Stalemate in the Cup: Yate Town and Chippenham Town Play Out Goalless Draw
Yate Town and Chippenham Town battled to a 0-0 draw in their FA Cup clash, with neither side able to break the deadlock over the course of a tense 90 minutes. Despite the occasion, the match was characterized by resilient defending and a lack of clear-cut chances, as both teams struggled to assert dominance or find the creative spark needed to separate them. With no goals, cards, or major incidents to speak of, the contest was a tactical stalemate. Both managers will be left reflecting on missed opportunities and the need for greater attacking impetus in the likely replay. The defensive discipline on display ensured that neither goalkeeper was unduly troubled, as the match fizzled out without a decisive moment.
💀 AI Prediction Report
DOWN BADPredicted
2 - 2
Actual
0 - 0
💰 Bet Results0/2 hit
Yate Town
Yate Town showed commendable organization at the back, keeping Chippenham Town at bay throughout the match. However, their lack of attacking threat was evident, as they failed to carve out meaningful chances or test the opposition goalkeeper. The home side's midfield worked hard to disrupt play, but creativity in the final third was sorely lacking.
Strengths
Weaknesses
Chippenham Town
Chippenham Town matched their hosts for effort and discipline, ensuring a clean sheet away from home. Like Yate Town, they struggled to generate clear opportunities and were unable to capitalize on any moments of promise. Their approach was cautious, prioritizing solidity over risk, which ultimately led to a share of the spoils.
Strengths
Weaknesses
Tactical Analysis
With no lineups or formation data available, both sides appeared to prioritize defensive solidity over attacking adventure. The match was played largely in the midfield, with each team cancelling the other out and few risks taken going forward. The lack of bookings or goals suggests a disciplined, if somewhat conservative, tactical approach from both managers. Set pieces failed to produce any notable chances, and neither side managed to seize the initiative through substitutions or tactical changes.
Turning Point
With no goals, cards, or significant incidents, the match lacked a clear turning point, remaining evenly poised throughout.
Man of the Match
N/A
No standout individual performance emerged in a match devoid of decisive moments.
Yate Town vs Chippenham Town: Match Preview
Yate Town enter this FA Cup tie off a mixed run, alternating wins and losses in their last five but showing attacking intent with eight goals scored in that span. Their only clean sheet came against Devizes Town, while Chippenham Town arrive on a WDWLL sequence, having just knocked out Havant & Waterlooville after a replay. Both sides have proven vulnerable at the back, with Chippenham conceding at least once in each of their last five and Yate Town averaging 1.6 goals conceded per game in the same period.
The statistical matchup points to a high-probability goal environment. Yate Town’s matches have averaged 3.2 total goals in the last five, and Chippenham Town’s 3.2 as well. Both teams have seen BTTS in four of their last five, and neither side has shown the capacity to shut games down—Chippenham’s clean sheet rate stands at 0% for the season so far. First-half goals are common, with Yate Town netting three before the break in their last five, but both sides tend to concede more in the second half.
With both attacks outperforming their defences and no clear home/away edge in the limited data, the model expects an open contest with multiple lead changes. The most likely outcome is a draw with both teams scoring, but a 2-1 either way is also plausible given the attacking rates. The lack of defensive solidity on both sides pushes the probabilities towards over 2.5 goals and BTTS, with the likeliest scoreline a 2-2 draw.
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Expected goals · model says 1.60
Expected goals · model says 1.50
Over 2.5 Goals
60%
BTTS: Yes
62%
Likely Scores
1-1 · 2-1 · 1-2
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Powered by the same Poisson scoreline model behind the prediction. For fun and exploration — not betting advice.
Yate Town vs Chippenham Town Prediction Confidence at a Glance
How strongly the model leans on each market.
Stats Worth Knowing
The numbers behind Yate Town vs Chippenham Town that most previews miss.
- 1Both teams have scored and conceded in four of their last five matches, highlighting a strong BTTS trend.
- 2Yate Town have seen over 2.5 goals in 100% of their season matches, while Chippenham Town have hit that mark in 50%.
- 3The last three H2H meetings have produced a win each and a draw, with two of those games featuring both sides scoring.
Who do you think wins: Yate Town vs Chippenham Town?
Cast your vote, then see how it stacks up against the model.
Where the Model Sees Value: Yate Town vs Chippenham Town(2)
Selections where the model's probability beats the bookmaker's implied probability. Expected value is computed from real consensus odds, not opinion.
BTTS: Yes
Four of the last five matches for both Yate Town and Chippenham Town have seen both teams score, and both sides average at least 1.4 goals scored and 1.6 conceded per game in that span.
Read more ↓
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Yate Town have seen over 2.5 goals in 100% of their season matches and average 1.6 scored and conceded in their last five, while Chippenham Town average 1.4 scored and 1.8 conceded.
Read more ↓
More FA Cup Predictions
The Case For This Yate Town vs Chippenham Town Prediction
Statistically, this is a high-variance cup tie between two sides whose recent matches have been open, with both teams frequently finding the net but also conceding at a similar rate. Both Yate Town and Chippenham Town have shown a tendency to produce matches with multiple goals and little defensive control, making the draw and both teams to score the likeliest base case.
Key Factors at a Glance
Recent Form
- →Both teams have seen BTTS in 4 of their last 5 matches.
Defence
- →Yate Town's only clean sheet in the last five came against lower-tier Devizes Town.
- →Chippenham Town have not kept a clean sheet in any of their last five games.
How Yate Town and Chippenham Town Are Arriving
Form, fitness and who's likely to start.
Yate Town vs Chippenham Town Goalscorer Form
Goals scored in last 5 matches across all competitions. Rate = goals ÷ 5 games. XI badge shows player is in the expected starting lineup.
Yate Townlast 5 matchesRegular contributor
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Chippenham Townlast 5 matchesOccasional threat
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Yate Town’s recent form reads WLLWD, with eight goals scored and eight conceded in their last five, suggesting volatility at both ends. Chippenham Town have gone WDWLL, also conceding in every match and scoring at least once in four of five, indicating a similarly open approach. Neither side has managed more than one clean sheet in this period, underlining defensive frailty.
Yate Town vs Chippenham Town — Last 2 Matches
Strengths
- +Both teams scoring in most recent games
- +100% clean sheet rate this season
- +Over 2.5 goals in 100% of games this season
Strengths
- +Both teams scoring in most recent games
Concerns
- −No clean sheets in last 5 matches
What History Says: Yate Town vs Chippenham Town
The last three meetings have produced one win apiece and a draw, with both teams scoring in two of those games. The most recent encounter ended 1-1, reinforcing the expectation of a competitive, goal-rich contest. There is no clear historical dominance, and the H2H record supports the model’s projection of a close match.
Yate Town vs Chippenham Town Head-to-Head History
Last 3 meetings between these sides
1
Yate Town wins
1
Draws
1
Chippenham Town wins
Things to Watch: Yate Town vs Chippenham Town
- ⚠️No bookmaker odds available, so value edges cannot be calculated.
- ⚠️Limited season data for both sides—recent form is weighted more heavily than usual.
- ⚠️No lineup or injury news at time of prediction.
This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Betting involves risk — always gamble responsibly.
Final Verdict
Yate Town 2–2 Chippenham TownThe model projects a 2-2 draw, driven primarily by the fact that both teams average over 1.4 goals scored and at least 1.6 conceded per game in their last five, and have both seen BTTS in four of those matches. The main risk to this scenario is an early red card or a sudden defensive improvement from either side, but the underlying rates point to an open, high-scoring game.
Yate Town vs Chippenham Town: Common Questions
Who will win Yate Town vs Chippenham Town?
The model gives Yate Town a 36% chance to win, Chippenham Town a 31% chance, and a draw 33%. With both teams' recent form closely matched and their H2H record even, a draw is the likeliest outcome.
Will both teams score in Yate Town vs Chippenham Town?
Yes is favoured at 67% probability. Both teams have scored and conceded in four of their last five matches, and neither has shown defensive solidity.
Is over 2.5 goals likely in this match?
Over 2.5 goals is rated at 62% probability. Yate Town have seen over 2.5 in all their season matches, and the combined average goals per game for both sides in the last five is above 3.
How This Prediction Was Made
The numbers on this page come from a structured statistical pack for Yate Town vs Chippenham Town: recent results and scoring data for both sides, home/away splits, the head-to-head record, current league standings, known injuries and live bookmaker odds, all sourced from the API-Football data feed.
This fixture was routed to The Numbers Desk, the statistical baseline — season-long rates, splits and distributions. An AI model running that profile analyses the pack and produces the probabilities, predicted score and written analysis shown above. Nothing is edited by hand, and no information outside the data pack is used.
Last updated: 12 September 2026 (refreshed automatically as new team data arrives). Every prediction is scored against the real result once the match finishes — see the verified track record or read the full methodology. Football is inherently uncertain: treat this page as analysis, not advice.