Yunnan Yukun vs Shenyang Urban Predictions
Super League · China
Yunnan Yukun
AI Predicted Score
2 - 1
Shenyang Urban
Win Probability (1X2)
Best Value Pick
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Yunnan Yukun vs Shenyang Urban: Match Preview
Yunnan Yukun approach this fixture from sixth in the table, with a home record of 7 wins from 12 and the division’s highest over 2.5 goals rate at 84%. Their recent results are mixed (LDWWL), but their attack remains potent, scoring in four of their last five. Shenyang Urban, 13th and just one point above the drop zone, have struggled away from home all season—just one win in 11 attempts and a -8 away goal difference underline their travel sickness.
Statistically, this fixture is set up for goals. Yunnan Yukun’s attack at home (2.17 goals/game) faces a Shenyang Urban defence conceding 1.73 away, while the visitors themselves average exactly 1 goal scored per away match. Both sides’ clean sheet percentages are among the lowest in the league (Yunnan Yukun 16%, Shenyang Urban 8.3%), and their last five matches each average 4.4 and 3.8 total goals respectively. Set-piece metrics also point to open play: both average over 5 corners per game, and discipline is a concern with both sides combining for 2.6 yellows per match recently.
The model expects a high-tempo contest with both teams likely to score, but Yunnan Yukun’s home output and Shenyang Urban’s away frailty give the edge to the hosts. Expect a match with multiple lead changes and a strong probability of three or more goals, with the hosts’ superior attacking rates the decisive factor.
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Expected goals · model says 1.95
Expected goals · model says 1.45
Over 2.5 Goals
66%
BTTS: Yes
66%
Likely Scores
1-1 · 2-1 · 1-2
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Powered by the same Poisson scoreline model behind the prediction. For fun and exploration — not betting advice.
Yunnan Yukun vs Shenyang Urban Prediction Confidence at a Glance
How strongly the model leans on each market.
Stats Worth Knowing
The numbers behind Yunnan Yukun vs Shenyang Urban that most previews miss.
- 1Yunnan Yukun’s matches have gone over 2.5 goals in 21 of 25 fixtures this season (84%).
- 2Shenyang Urban have failed to keep a single clean sheet in their last 10 away league matches.
- 3Across the last five games, Yunnan Yukun average 17 shots per match—over 50% more than Shenyang Urban’s 11.
Who do you think wins: Yunnan Yukun vs Shenyang Urban?
Cast your vote, then see how it stacks up against the model.
Where the Model Sees Value: Yunnan Yukun vs Shenyang Urban(3)
Selections where the model's probability beats the bookmaker's implied probability. Expected value is computed from real consensus odds, not opinion.
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Both sides have high over 2.5 rates (Yunnan Yukun 84%, Shenyang Urban 66.7%) and average a combined 3.67 goals per game this season, supporting a goals-heavy outlook.
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Match Result: Yunnan Yukun Win
Yunnan Yukun have won 7 of 12 at home and face a Shenyang Urban side with just 1 away win in 11, while the hosts' attack is notably more productive at home (2.17 goals/game).
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BTTS: Yes
BTTS has landed in 3 of Yunnan Yukun’s and 4 of Shenyang Urban’s last 5, with both averaging 1.8 goals scored per game across their recent form.
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More Super League Predictions
The Case For This Yunnan Yukun vs Shenyang Urban Prediction
The underlying numbers point to a high-scoring encounter between two sides whose season-long rates in both attack and defence are well above league average. Yunnan Yukun’s home scoring rate (2.17 goals/game) and Shenyang Urban’s away concession rate (1.73 goals/game) combine for a goal-rich projection, while neither side has shown much defensive resilience—clean sheet rates stand at just 16% and 8.3% respectively. The most likely scenario is a match where both teams find the net, but the hosts’ superior home record and attacking volume tip the balance their way.
Key Factors at a Glance
Defence
- →Shenyang Urban have won only once in 11 away games, conceding 19 goals.
- →Both teams average over 1.7 goals conceded per game this season.
Match Context
- →Yunnan Yukun have scored 26 goals in 12 home matches (2.17 per game).
🚩 Yunnan Yukun vs Shenyang Urban Corners Prediction
medium confidenceOur corners model projects roughly 6.2 corners for Yunnan Yukun and 4.8 for Shenyang Urban, for an expected total of 11. That makes the model lean Over 9.5 corners (66%). Over 8.5: 77% · Over 10.5: 54%.
How Yunnan Yukun and Shenyang Urban Are Arriving
Form, fitness and who's likely to start.
Yunnan Yukun vs Shenyang Urban Goalscorer Form
Goals scored in last 5 matches across all competitions. Rate = goals ÷ 5 games. XI badge shows player is in the expected starting lineup.
Yunnan Yukunlast 5 matchesIn exceptional form
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Shenyang Urbanlast 5 matchesIn exceptional form
Regular contributor
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Yunnan Yukun’s recent form is patchy (LDWWL), but they have scored eight goals in their last five and remain dangerous at home. Shenyang Urban are on a similar trajectory (LDLLW), but their only win in the last five came at home and their away record remains poor, with just one point from the last four on the road.
Yunnan Yukun vs Shenyang Urban — Last 10 Matches
Strengths
- +Over 2.5 goals in 84% of games this season
- +High-volume attack — 17 shots/game
Concerns
- −Leaky defence — 2.6 conceded/game
Strengths
- +Both teams scoring in most recent games
- +Over 2.5 goals in 66.67% of games this season
Concerns
- −Inconsistent — 3+ losses in last 5
- −Leaky defence — 2.0 conceded/game
- −No clean sheets in last 5 matches
What History Says: Yunnan Yukun vs Shenyang Urban
Yunnan Yukun have the edge in recent head-to-heads, winning two of three meetings including a 5-0 home rout. All three matches have produced at least three goals, and both teams have taken an away win in the past year, suggesting an open contest.
Yunnan Yukun vs Shenyang Urban Head-to-Head History
Last 3 meetings between these sides
2
Yunnan Yukun wins
0
Draws
1
Shenyang Urban wins
Things to Watch: Yunnan Yukun vs Shenyang Urban
- ⚠️No bookmaker odds available, so value edges cannot be formally calculated.
- ⚠️Small sample of head-to-head meetings; only three prior encounters.
- ⚠️Both teams have volatile defensive records, increasing scoreline variance.
This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Betting involves risk — always gamble responsibly.
Final Verdict
Yunnan Yukun 2–1 Shenyang UrbanA 2-1 home win is the statistical baseline, driven by Yunnan Yukun’s 2.17 goals per home game and Shenyang Urban’s poor away record. The single strongest data point is the hosts’ 84% over 2.5 rate, but the main risk is both sides’ defensive volatility—if either defence collapses, the scoreline could swing wider than expected.
Yunnan Yukun vs Shenyang Urban: Common Questions
Who will win Yunnan Yukun vs Shenyang Urban?
The model gives Yunnan Yukun a 45% chance of victory, with a 32% probability for a draw and 23% for a Shenyang Urban away win. The hosts’ superior home form and attacking rates underpin their edge.
Will there be over 2.5 goals in Yunnan Yukun vs Shenyang Urban?
There is a 68% probability of over 2.5 goals, supported by Yunnan Yukun’s league-high 84% over 2.5 rate and Shenyang Urban’s 66.7%. Both teams combine for 3.67 goals per game on the season.
Is both teams to score likely in Yunnan Yukun vs Shenyang Urban?
The model rates both teams to score at 62%, with both sides averaging 1.8 goals scored per game in their last five and only one clean sheet between them in their last ten combined.
How This Prediction Was Made
The numbers on this page come from a structured statistical pack for Yunnan Yukun vs Shenyang Urban: recent results and scoring data for both sides, home/away splits, the head-to-head record, current league standings, known injuries and live bookmaker odds, all sourced from the API-Football data feed.
This fixture was routed to The Numbers Desk, the statistical baseline — season-long rates, splits and distributions. An AI model running that profile analyses the pack and produces the probabilities, predicted score and written analysis shown above. Nothing is edited by hand, and no information outside the data pack is used.
Last updated: 30 August 2026 (refreshed automatically as new team data arrives). Every prediction is scored against the real result once the match finishes — see the verified track record or read the full methodology. Football is inherently uncertain: treat this page as analysis, not advice.