AS Gabes vs US Ben Guerdane Predictions
Ligue 1 · Tunisia
AS Gabes
Full Time
0 - 1
AI predicted 0 - 0
US Ben Guerdane
Win Probability (1X2)
Best Value Pick
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Match Result
5.5/10US Ben Guerdane Edge Past AS Gabes with Second-Half Strike
US Ben Guerdane secured a hard-fought 1-0 away victory over AS Gabes at the Gabes Municipal Stadium, with the contest decided by a solitary goal early in the second half. In a match where both sides struggled to carve out clear-cut opportunities, it was Ben Guerdane who found the breakthrough just after the interval, capitalizing on a brief lapse in the home defense. AS Gabes battled valiantly to restore parity but were unable to break down a disciplined Ben Guerdane rearguard. The match was a physical affair, with five yellow cards issued as both teams fought for control, but ultimately it was the visitors' clinical moment that proved decisive.
💪 AI Prediction Report
DECENT HITPredicted
0 - 0
Actual
0 - 1
💰 Bet Results1/3 hit
Key Moments
48' — Goal
US Ben Guerdane break the deadlock with a crucial goal early in the second half.
Various' — Yellow Cards
A total of five yellow cards were shown as the match grew increasingly physical.
AS Gabes
AS Gabes put in a committed display in front of their home crowd but ultimately lacked the attacking sharpness required to breach US Ben Guerdane’s defense. Despite showing flashes of intent, particularly after falling behind in the 48th minute, their efforts were stifled by a well-organized opposition. The hosts also had to contend with disciplinary issues, picking up two yellow cards as frustration mounted in the latter stages.
Strengths
Weaknesses
US Ben Guerdane
US Ben Guerdane delivered a professional away performance, taking their chance early in the second half and then managing the game effectively. Their defensive structure held firm under pressure, and while they picked up three yellow cards, their discipline at the back ensured they left Gabes with all three points. The visitors’ ability to capitalize on a key moment separated the sides in a tightly contested encounter.
Key Players
Strengths
Weaknesses
Tactical Analysis
With no official lineups available, both sides appeared to prioritize defensive solidity, resulting in a cagey affair with few clear scoring chances. US Ben Guerdane’s tactical discipline was evident as they dropped deeper after taking the lead, inviting AS Gabes to break them down. The home side pushed forward with greater urgency after conceding, but their lack of creative spark in the final third was telling. The match was characterized by physical battles in midfield and a focus on structure over risk-taking, as reflected by the five yellow cards issued.
Turning Point
The decisive moment came in the 48th minute when US Ben Guerdane capitalized on a rare opportunity to score, shifting the momentum and forcing AS Gabes to chase the game.
Man of the Match
Unknown goalscorer (US Ben Guerdane)
Scored the only goal of the match and delivered the decisive contribution in a tight contest.
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Expected goals · model says 0.65
Expected goals · model says 0.60
Over 2.5 Goals
13%
BTTS: Yes
22%
Likely Scores
0-0 · 1-0 · 0-1
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Powered by the same Poisson scoreline model behind the prediction. For fun and exploration — not betting advice.
AS Gabes vs US Ben Guerdane Prediction Confidence at a Glance
How strongly the model leans on each market.
Who do you think wins: AS Gabes vs US Ben Guerdane?
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Where the Model Sees Value: AS Gabes vs US Ben Guerdane(3)
Selections where the model's probability beats the bookmaker's implied probability. Expected value is computed from real consensus odds, not opinion.
Double Chance: AS Gabes or Draw
AS Gabes are at home, have a slightly better recent form than Ben Guerdane (who are on a 5-game losing streak), and both sides struggle to score. The home side has drawn 6 of 11 at home. The match is likely to be low-scoring and tight, increasing the value of the home/draw double chance.
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Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Both teams have very low season over 2.5% rates (AS Gabes 30%, Ben Guerdane 17%), and their recent matches average less than one goal per game. Four of the last five for each side have gone under 2.5. H2H history also supports a low-scoring trend.
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Correct Score: 0–0
With both teams failing to score in most recent matches and a high rate of draws, the 0-0 is the most probable single outcome.
More Ligue 1 Predictions
The Case For This AS Gabes vs US Ben Guerdane Prediction
This is a clash between two of Ligue 1's lowest-scoring and out-of-form teams. AS Gabes, fighting relegation, have been slightly more resilient at home, drawing over half their home matches. US Ben Guerdane are in a dire run, losing five straight and rarely finding the net. Both sides have major issues in attack, and their defensive records are better than their goal returns suggest. Expect a tense, cagey affair with few chances and a high probability of a draw or a narrow win either way.
Key Factors at a Glance
Recent Form
- →US Ben Guerdane are on a 5-game losing streak, with 3 matches failing to score.
Attack
- →Both teams average less than 1 goal scored per game this season.
Defence
- →AS Gabes have failed to score in 4 of their last 5, but kept 3 clean sheets.
Match Context
- →Both teams have a high draw rate and low over 2.5 goal rate.
- →Head-to-head history is tight, with recent meetings ending 1-1 and 0-0.
How AS Gabes and US Ben Guerdane Are Arriving
Form, fitness and who's likely to start.
AS Gabes vs US Ben Guerdane Goalscorer Form
Goals scored in last 5 matches across all competitions. Rate = goals ÷ 5 games. XI badge shows player is in the expected starting lineup.
AS Gabeslast 5 matchesNo scorer data yet — available after predictions are regenerated.
US Ben Guerdanelast 5 matchesNo scorer data yet — available after predictions are regenerated.
Scorer data populates once predictions are regenerated with the updated pipeline.
AS Gabes vs US Ben Guerdane — Last 10 Matches
Concerns
- −4/5 losses in last 5 — poor form
- −Struggling to score — 0.0 goals/game
Strengths
- +48% clean sheet rate this season
Concerns
- −Inconsistent — 3+ losses in last 5
- −Struggling to score — 0.6 goals/game
What History Says: AS Gabes vs US Ben Guerdane
AS Gabes vs US Ben Guerdane Head-to-Head History
Last 8 meetings between these sides
1
AS Gabes wins
2
Draws
5
US Ben Guerdane wins
Where the Model Disagrees with the Odds: AS Gabes vs US Ben Guerdane
Odds from 10Bet. Positive edge = our model gives a higher probability than the odds imply. EV = expected value per £1 staked.
1X2
Over/Under 2.5
Both Teams Score
Best Value Markets Found by the Model
EV per £1 staked. Positive EV means this bet has mathematical edge over the long run. Past model accuracy is tracked on our predictions tracker.
Edge and EV are derived from model probabilities only and do not constitute financial advice. Odds fluctuate — always verify current prices with your bookmaker.
Things to Watch: AS Gabes vs US Ben Guerdane
- ⚠️No bookmaker odds provided, so value edges cannot be calculated.
- ⚠️No shots, corners, or cards data for recent matches, reducing confidence in set piece and discipline predictions.
- ⚠️Both teams' attacking metrics are extremely poor, but a defensive error or set piece could swing the match.
- ⚠️Lineups are unavailable; late team news could impact probabilities.
This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Betting involves risk — always gamble responsibly.
How This Prediction Was Made
The numbers on this page come from a structured statistical pack for AS Gabes vs US Ben Guerdane: recent results and scoring data for both sides, home/away splits, the head-to-head record, current league standings, known injuries and live bookmaker odds, all sourced from the API-Football data feed.
An AI model analyses that pack and produces the probabilities, predicted score and written analysis shown above. Nothing is edited by hand, and no information outside the data pack is used.
Last updated: 5 April 2026 (refreshed automatically as new team data arrives). Every prediction is scored against the real result once the match finishes — see the verified track record or read the full methodology. Football is inherently uncertain: treat this page as analysis, not advice.