Bodo/Glimt vs Ham-Kam Predictions
Eliteserien · Norway
Bodo/Glimt
Full Time
3 - 0
AI predicted 3 - 1
Ham-Kam
Win Probability (1X2)
Best Value Pick
Match Result: Bodo/Glimt Win
Match Result
7.6/10Bodo/Glimt Dominate Ham-Kam with Commanding 3-0 Victory at Aspmyra Stadion
Bodo/Glimt delivered a comprehensive performance in front of their home fans, sweeping aside Ham-Kam 3-0 at Aspmyra Stadion. The hosts controlled proceedings from start to finish, boasting 71% possession and peppering the Ham-Kam goal with 20 shots, 9 of which were on target. Goals in the 24th, 50th, and 75th minutes underlined their superiority, while Ham-Kam struggled to muster any meaningful response, registering just two shots all game. The match's narrative was clear from the outset: Bodo/Glimt's relentless pressure and incisive attacking play overwhelmed a Ham-Kam side set up defensively in a 5-3-2 formation. Despite their deep block, the visitors could not withstand the hosts' creativity and tempo, eventually succumbing to a trio of well-crafted goals. Ham-Kam's lone yellow card and 12 fouls reflected their desperate attempts to disrupt Bodo/Glimt's rhythm, but the gulf in quality was evident throughout.
💪 AI Prediction Report
DECENT HITPredicted
3 - 1
Actual
3 - 0
💰 Bet Results1/2 hit
Key Moments
24' — Goal
Ola Brynhildsen opened the scoring for Bodo/Glimt, capitalizing on sustained pressure.
50' — Goal
Bodo/Glimt doubled their lead early in the second half, extinguishing Ham-Kam's hopes of a comeback.
75' — Goal
The hosts sealed the result with a third goal, capping a dominant display.
67' — Yellow Card
Ham-Kam picked up their only yellow card as frustrations mounted.
Bodo/Glimt
Bodo/Glimt were in complete control from the opening whistle, dictating play with 71% possession and relentless attacking intent. Their 4-4-2 formation allowed for fluid movement across the midfield and forward lines, with the wide players stretching Ham-Kam's back five and creating space for incisive runs. The home side's 20 shots and 10 corners are testament to their offensive dominance, and their defensive unit was rarely troubled, conceding just a single shot on target. Key players stepped up across the pitch, and their ability to maintain intensity after each goal ensured there was no let-up for the visitors. With no yellow cards and only seven fouls committed, Bodo/Glimt combined discipline with aggression, delivering a performance that delighted the home crowd.
Key Players
Strengths
Weaknesses
Ham-Kam
Ham-Kam set up defensively in a 5-3-2 formation, aiming to frustrate Bodo/Glimt, but were unable to cope with the hosts' relentless pressure. With just 29% possession and only two shots (one on target), the visitors struggled to create any attacking threat, spending most of the match pinned in their own half. Their midfield was overrun, and the back five was eventually breached three times despite their best efforts. The team resorted to physicality, committing 12 fouls and picking up a yellow card, but this did little to stem the tide. Ham-Kam's inability to transition into attack or hold possession meant they were on the back foot throughout, and they will need to regroup after such a one-sided defeat.
Key Players
Strengths
Weaknesses
Tactical Analysis
Bodo/Glimt's 4-4-2 formation enabled them to control the midfield and stretch Ham-Kam's five-man defense, with full-backs pushing high and wingers cutting inside to create overloads. Their high possession (71%) and 10 corners reflected the pressure exerted on the visitors, who rarely escaped their own half. The home side's pressing forced turnovers and limited Ham-Kam's ability to build from the back. Ham-Kam's 5-3-2 setup was designed for damage limitation, but their inability to transition into attack left them isolated and vulnerable. The midfield trio was consistently outnumbered and outmaneuvered, while the lack of width allowed Bodo/Glimt to dominate the flanks. Substitutions did little to alter the tactical landscape, as Bodo/Glimt maintained their structure and intensity throughout.
Turning Point
The opening goal in the 24th minute by Ola Brynhildsen broke Ham-Kam's resistance and set the tone for Bodo/Glimt's dominance.
Man of the Match
Ola Brynhildsen
His opening goal and attacking impetus were crucial in breaking down Ham-Kam's defensive block and inspiring Bodo/Glimt's commanding performance.
Bodo/Glimt vs Ham-Kam: Match Preview
Bodo/Glimt approach this contest as the league's most prolific home side, having scored 16 and conceded just 2 at Aspmyra Stadion in five league games. Their recent form is robust, with a current three-match winning streak and no failed-to-score outings in their last five. Ham-Kam, sitting sixth, have shown resilience with three draws and two wins in their last five, but their away record is a concern: no wins, three draws, and two defeats, leaking 11 goals in five matches.
The statistical matchup is clear: Bodo/Glimt's attack, averaging 3.2 goals per home game, faces a Ham-Kam defence conceding 2.2 per away match. Both teams are regular contributors to high-scoring games, with over 2.5 goals landing in 66.7% of Bodo/Glimt's league matches and 72.7% of Ham-Kam's. Set-piece and discipline data suggest a moderate card count (combined 1 yellow per game in the last five for both), while corners should hover around the league average, with neither side showing a pronounced set-piece edge.
Model rates point to a high-probability home win (68%), with Bodo/Glimt's attacking rates and home defensive solidity the decisive factors. Ham-Kam's recent scoring uptick and BTTS frequency (four of last five) suggest they can breach the hosts' defence, but the gulf in home/away splits and historical head-to-heads (Bodo/Glimt have won the last three at home to nil) underpin a projected 3-1 scoreline.
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Expected goals · model says 2.40
Expected goals · model says 1.00
Over 2.5 Goals
66%
BTTS: Yes
57%
Likely Scores
2-0 · 2-1 · 1-0
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Powered by the same Poisson scoreline model behind the prediction. For fun and exploration — not betting advice.
Bodo/Glimt vs Ham-Kam Prediction Confidence at a Glance
How strongly the model leans on each market.
Stats Worth Knowing
The numbers behind Bodo/Glimt vs Ham-Kam that most previews miss.
- 1Bodo/Glimt have scored at least three goals in four of their five home league matches this season.
- 2Ham-Kam have conceded at least two goals in every away league match bar one, averaging 2.2 conceded per away game.
- 3Seven of the last nine H2H meetings have produced at least three goals, with Bodo/Glimt scoring three in each of their last three home H2Hs.
Who do you think wins: Bodo/Glimt vs Ham-Kam?
Cast your vote, then see how it stacks up against the model.
Where the Model Sees Value: Bodo/Glimt vs Ham-Kam(3)
Selections where the model's probability beats the bookmaker's implied probability. Expected value is computed from real consensus odds, not opinion.
Match Result: Bodo/Glimt Win
Bodo/Glimt average 3.2 goals for and only 0.4 conceded per home league match, while Ham-Kam have failed to win away all season (0W, 3D, 2L, 7:11 goal difference). The model gives the home win a 68% probability based on these splits.
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Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Both teams have high over 2.5 rates (Bodo/Glimt 66.7%, Ham-Kam 72.7%), and the average combined goals per game for these sides is 4.14. The model assigns a 67% chance to over 2.5 goals.
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BTTS: Yes
Ham-Kam have scored in all of their last five and have seen BTTS in 4 of those, while Bodo/Glimt have conceded in 3 of their last 5. The model rates BTTS at 59%.
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More Eliteserien Predictions
The Case For This Bodo/Glimt vs Ham-Kam Prediction
Bodo/Glimt enter this fixture with the league's best home attack and a defensive record that has yielded just two goals conceded in five home games. Ham-Kam have been competitive but remain winless away, with defensive frailties exposed by 11 goals conceded in five road matches. The statistical shape points to a high-scoring contest, with Bodo/Glimt's attacking output likely to overwhelm Ham-Kam's back line, though the visitors' recent scoring consistency suggests they can contribute.
Key Factors at a Glance
Defence
- →Bodo/Glimt's home goal difference is +14 (16 scored, 2 conceded in 5 matches).
- →Ham-Kam have not won away this season, conceding 2.2 per away game.
Match Context
- →Both teams have failed to score in only 1 of their last 10 combined league matches.
🚩 Bodo/Glimt vs Ham-Kam Corners Prediction
medium confidenceOur corners model projects roughly 7.4 corners for Bodo/Glimt and 4.6 for Ham-Kam, for an expected total of 12. That makes the model lean Over 9.5 corners (76%). Over 8.5: 84% · Over 10.5: 65%.
How Bodo/Glimt and Ham-Kam Are Arriving
Form, fitness and who's likely to start.
Bodo/Glimt vs Ham-Kam Goalscorer Form
Goals scored in last 5 matches across all competitions. Rate = goals ÷ 5 games. XI badge shows player is in the expected starting lineup.
Bodo/Glimtlast 5 matchesIn exceptional form
Regular contributor
Regular contributor
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Ham-Kamlast 5 matchesRegular contributor
Regular contributor
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Bodo/Glimt are on a three-match winning streak, scoring 13 and conceding just 3 in their last five outings. Ham-Kam have drawn three of their last five but remain unbeaten in that span, with their attack finding the net in every match. The home side's momentum and attacking output are notably stronger, especially at Aspmyra Stadion.
Bodo/Glimt vs Ham-Kam — Last 10 Matches
Strengths
- +5/5 wins in last 5 — excellent form
- +Prolific attack — 2.8 goals/game (last 5)
- +Defensively solid — 0.2 conceded/game
- +4 clean sheets in last 5 matches
Strengths
- +Both teams scoring in most recent games
- +Over 2.5 goals in 76.92% of games this season
Concerns
- −Leaky defence — 2.2 conceded/game
- −No clean sheets in last 5 matches
What History Says: Bodo/Glimt vs Ham-Kam
Bodo/Glimt have dominated the recent head-to-head, winning six of the last nine, including three consecutive home wins with clean sheets (3-0, 3-0, 3-0). Ham-Kam's only recent success came at home in 2024, and most meetings have been high-scoring affairs.
Bodo/Glimt vs Ham-Kam Head-to-Head History
Last 10 meetings between these sides
7
Bodo/Glimt wins
2
Draws
1
Ham-Kam wins
Where the Model Disagrees with the Odds: Bodo/Glimt vs Ham-Kam
No bookmaker odds are available, so model value cannot be calculated directly. However, the largest model edges would be on the home win and over 2.5 goals, given the strong statistical splits and high goal environment. If market odds for these are short, look for value in correct score or BTTS markets, where the model sees a moderate probability edge.
Odds from Bet365. Positive edge = our model gives a higher probability than the odds imply. EV = expected value per £1 staked.
1X2
Over/Under 2.5
Both Teams Score
Best Value Markets Found by the Model
EV per £1 staked. Positive EV means this bet has mathematical edge over the long run. Past model accuracy is tracked on our predictions tracker.
Edge and EV are derived from model probabilities only and do not constitute financial advice. Odds fluctuate — always verify current prices with your bookmaker.
Things to Watch: Bodo/Glimt vs Ham-Kam
- ⚠️No bookmaker odds provided, so value edges cannot be quantified.
- ⚠️Recent friendlies for both sides may not reflect true league strength.
- ⚠️Ham-Kam's attack has improved recently, which could narrow the margin if Bodo/Glimt underperform.
This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Betting involves risk — always gamble responsibly.
Final Verdict
Bodo/Glimt 3–1 Ham-KamBodo/Glimt's home scoring rate (3.2 per game) and defensive record at Aspmyra Stadion make them clear statistical favourites, with the model projecting a 3-1 win. The single strongest data point is Ham-Kam's winless away record and 2.2 goals conceded per away match. The main risk is Ham-Kam's recent attacking form, which could see them push the scoreline closer if Bodo/Glimt's defence lapses.
Bodo/Glimt vs Ham-Kam: Common Questions
Who will win Bodo/Glimt vs Ham-Kam?
The model gives Bodo/Glimt a 68% probability of victory, based on their dominant home record (4W, 1L, 16:2 goal difference) and Ham-Kam's struggles on the road (0W, 3D, 2L, 7:11).
Will there be over 2.5 goals in Bodo/Glimt vs Ham-Kam?
There is a 67% probability of over 2.5 goals, as both teams have high over 2.5 rates this season (Bodo/Glimt 66.7%, Ham-Kam 72.7%) and combine for an average of over 4 goals per game.
Is both teams to score likely in Bodo/Glimt vs Ham-Kam?
The model rates BTTS (both teams to score) at 59%, with Ham-Kam scoring in all of their last five and Bodo/Glimt conceding in three of their last five league matches.
How This Prediction Was Made
The numbers on this page come from a structured statistical pack for Bodo/Glimt vs Ham-Kam: recent results and scoring data for both sides, home/away splits, the head-to-head record, current league standings, known injuries and live bookmaker odds, all sourced from the API-Football data feed.
This fixture was routed to The Numbers Desk, the statistical baseline — season-long rates, splits and distributions. An AI model running that profile analyses the pack and produces the probabilities, predicted score and written analysis shown above. Nothing is edited by hand, and no information outside the data pack is used.
Last updated: 15 July 2026 (refreshed automatically as new team data arrives). Every prediction is scored against the real result once the match finishes — see the verified track record or read the full methodology. Football is inherently uncertain: treat this page as analysis, not advice.