Ham-Kam vs Bodo/Glimt Predictions
Eliteserien · Norway
Ham-Kam
Full Time
0 - 2
AI predicted 1 - 3
Bodo/Glimt
Win Probability (1X2)
Best Value Pick
Match Result: Bodo/Glimt Win
Match Result
6.8/10Bodo/Glimt Outclass Ham-Kam with Clinical First-Half Display at Briskeby
Bodo/Glimt asserted their dominance at Briskeby with a commanding 2-0 victory over Ham-Kam, thanks to two well-taken goals in the first half. The visitors controlled proceedings from the outset, dictating play with 57% possession and creating a host of chances, while Ham-Kam struggled to break through a disciplined Glimt backline. The breakthrough came in the 19th minute, and Bodo/Glimt doubled their lead before halftime in the 38th, effectively putting the contest beyond the hosts. Despite a more spirited second-half showing from Ham-Kam, their efforts were largely blunted, managing just one shot on target across the 90 minutes. The result cements Bodo/Glimt’s reputation as one of the Eliteserien’s most efficient sides, while Ham-Kam are left to rue their lack of attacking threat.
💪 AI Prediction Report
DECENT HITPredicted
1 - 3
Actual
0 - 2
💰 Bet Results1/2 hit
Key Moments
19' — Goal
O. Brynhildsen scores the opener for Bodo/Glimt, capitalizing on early dominance.
38' — Goal
Bodo/Glimt double their lead, putting Ham-Kam on the back foot before halftime.
54' — Yellow Card
Ham-Kam receive a yellow card as frustration mounts in the second half.
66' — Yellow Card
Bodo/Glimt pick up a yellow card, but maintain control of the match.
Ham-Kam
Ham-Kam set up in a defensive 5-3-2 formation, clearly aiming to frustrate Bodo/Glimt and hit on the break. However, they struggled to transition effectively and rarely threatened the opposition goal, registering only one shot on target from nine attempts. Their midfield trio found it difficult to gain a foothold, and the wing-backs were pinned back for much of the match. While the back five worked hard to limit clear-cut chances, lapses in concentration led to both first-half goals. The team showed more urgency after the break but lacked the creativity and penetration needed to claw their way back.
Key Players
Strengths
Weaknesses
Bodo/Glimt
Bodo/Glimt delivered a professional away performance, controlling the tempo and territory with a 4-4-2 setup. Their midfield quartet dictated play, and the front two stretched Ham-Kam’s defense with intelligent movement. The visitors fired 17 shots, three of which tested the goalkeeper, and forced five corners, consistently applying pressure in the final third. The early goals allowed Glimt to manage the game in the second half, absorbing any sporadic Ham-Kam attacks and maintaining composure. Their defensive line remained largely untroubled, and their ability to win the midfield battle was a key factor in the result.
Key Players
Strengths
Weaknesses
Tactical Analysis
Ham-Kam’s 5-3-2 formation was designed to congest central areas and limit Bodo/Glimt’s space between the lines. However, the visitors’ 4-4-2 allowed them to exploit the flanks, with overlapping full-backs and wide midfielders stretching the defensive block. Bodo/Glimt’s pressing in midfield forced Ham-Kam into hurried clearances, preventing the hosts from building attacks. Set pieces were another area of Glimt’s superiority, as they earned five corners and consistently threatened from wide deliveries. Ham-Kam’s lack of width and attacking numbers meant their rare forays forward were easily repelled, and their tactical adjustments after halftime did little to alter the flow of the game.
Turning Point
The second goal in the 38th minute, which gave Bodo/Glimt a commanding lead and allowed them to dictate the remainder of the match.
Man of the Match
O. Brynhildsen
Scored the crucial opening goal and led the line with energy and intelligence.
Ham-Kam vs Bodo/Glimt: Match Preview
Ham-Kam come into this match on a poor run, having lost four of their last five league games and conceding three or more in three of those. With just 23 points from 21 matches, they sit 13th and are only marginally above the relegation zone. Bodo/Glimt, on the other hand, remain in the title race, sitting second with 50 points and a goal difference of +34. Their recent league form is strong, with four wins from their last five, and they have been prolific on the road.
Statistically, the matchup is lopsided: Ham-Kam's defence has been porous, conceding 19 goals in 10 home games, while Bodo/Glimt's away attack has produced 22 goals in 11 matches. Both teams' games are high-scoring, with a 76% over 2.5 goals rate. Bodo/Glimt's shot volume (13 per game last five) and Ham-Kam's low possession and shot suppression (2.4 shots on target per game last five) suggest the visitors will dominate territory and chances. Both teams have shown a tendency to concede in the second half, but Bodo/Glimt's firepower should tell.
The model expects Bodo/Glimt to control the match, create a high volume of chances, and exploit Ham-Kam's defensive frailty. With both teams trending towards high-scoring games and the away side's superior underlying rates, a 3-1 away win is the likeliest outcome. The only plausible deviation would come from Bodo/Glimt's recent uptick in goals conceded, but the gap in quality is substantial.
🎮 Prediction Playground
Think the model has it wrong? Nudge each team's expected goals and watch every probability react — then simulate the match and see what happens.
Expected goals · model says 1.10
Expected goals · model says 2.60
Over 2.5 Goals
71%
BTTS: Yes
62%
Likely Scores
1-2 · 0-2 · 1-3
Play this match once with the probabilities above — every run is different.
Powered by the same Poisson scoreline model behind the prediction. For fun and exploration — not betting advice.
Ham-Kam vs Bodo/Glimt Prediction Confidence at a Glance
How strongly the model leans on each market.
Stats Worth Knowing
The numbers behind Ham-Kam vs Bodo/Glimt that most previews miss.
- 1Bodo/Glimt have scored at least three goals in six of their last ten away league matches.
- 2Ham-Kam's home matches average 3.6 total goals, with only two clean sheets in ten.
- 3The last three H2H meetings have produced a 3-0 scoreline in favour of Bodo/Glimt each time.
Who do you think wins: Ham-Kam vs Bodo/Glimt?
Cast your vote, then see how it stacks up against the model.
Where the Model Sees Value: Ham-Kam vs Bodo/Glimt(2)
Selections where the model's probability beats the bookmaker's implied probability. Expected value is computed from real consensus odds, not opinion.
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Both sides have a season over 2.5 goals rate of 76%, and Ham-Kam concede 2.1 per game, while Bodo/Glimt average 2.52 scored. The statistical environment supports a high goal expectancy.
Read more ↓
Match Result: Bodo/Glimt Win
Bodo/Glimt's away record (7 wins in 11) and +9 away goal difference contrast sharply with Ham-Kam's -2 home goal difference and recent heavy defeats. The underlying rates point clearly to the visitors.
Read more ↓
More Eliteserien Predictions
The Case For This Ham-Kam vs Bodo/Glimt Prediction
This fixture sets up as a high-scoring away win on the numbers. Ham-Kam have been leaking goals at an alarming rate—2.8 per game over their last five and 2.1 for the season—while Bodo/Glimt's attack is the league's most prolific, averaging 2.52 goals per match and 2.0 away from home. Both teams' matches go over 2.5 goals three-quarters of the time, and the H2H is dominated by Bodo/Glimt, who have won seven of the last ten meetings, often by multiple goals.
Key Factors at a Glance
Attack
- →Bodo/Glimt average 2.52 goals scored per match and 2.0 away from home.
Defence
- →Ham-Kam concede 2.1 goals per game and have just a 19% clean sheet rate.
Match Context
- →Both teams' matches go over 2.5 goals in 76% of cases this season.
🚩 Ham-Kam vs Bodo/Glimt Corners Prediction
low confidenceOur corners model projects roughly 4.4 corners for Ham-Kam and 5.2 for Bodo/Glimt, for an expected total of 9.6. That makes the model lean Under 9.5 corners (51%). Over 8.5: 62% · Over 10.5: 37%.
How Ham-Kam and Bodo/Glimt Are Arriving
Form, fitness and who's likely to start.
Ham-Kam vs Bodo/Glimt Goalscorer Form
Goals scored in last 5 matches across all competitions. Rate = goals ÷ 5 games. XI badge shows player is in the expected starting lineup.
Ham-Kamlast 5 matchesIn exceptional form
Regular contributor
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Bodo/Glimtlast 5 matchesScoring consistently
Regular contributor
Regular contributor
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Ham-Kam are in a slump, losing four of their last five league matches and conceding 14 goals in that span. Bodo/Glimt, by contrast, have won four of their last five in the league and continue to score freely, averaging 2.4 goals per match over that period.
Ham-Kam vs Bodo/Glimt — Last 10 Matches
Strengths
- +Over 2.5 goals in 73.91% of games this season
Concerns
- −Inconsistent — 3+ losses in last 5
- −Leaky defence — 2.4 conceded/game
Strengths
- +4/5 wins in last 5 — excellent form
- +Prolific attack — 2.6 goals/game (last 5)
- +47.83% clean sheet rate this season
- +Over 2.5 goals in 73.91% of games this season
What History Says: Ham-Kam vs Bodo/Glimt
Bodo/Glimt have dominated this fixture, winning seven of the last ten meetings and the last four consecutively. The most common recent scoreline is 3-0 to Bodo/Glimt, highlighting the gap in quality and attacking output between the sides.
Ham-Kam vs Bodo/Glimt Head-to-Head History
Last 10 meetings between these sides
1
Ham-Kam wins
2
Draws
7
Bodo/Glimt wins
Where the Model Disagrees with the Odds: Ham-Kam vs Bodo/Glimt
With no bookmaker odds available, it's not possible to quantify value edges directly. However, the model's probabilities for an away win and over 2.5 goals are both high, suggesting these would be the focus if competitive odds were offered. Any price above 1.45 for Bodo/Glimt or 1.40 for over 2.5 goals would represent value based on the underlying rates.
Odds from Bet365. Positive edge = our model gives a higher probability than the odds imply. EV = expected value per £1 staked.
1X2
Over/Under 2.5
Both Teams Score
Best Value Markets Found by the Model
EV per £1 staked. Positive EV means this bet has mathematical edge over the long run. Past model accuracy is tracked on our predictions tracker.
Edge and EV are derived from model probabilities only and do not constitute financial advice. Odds fluctuate — always verify current prices with your bookmaker.
Things to Watch: Ham-Kam vs Bodo/Glimt
- ⚠️No bookmaker odds available, so value assessment is limited.
- ⚠️Bodo/Glimt have conceded 2.4 per game in their last five, suggesting some defensive vulnerability.
- ⚠️Ham-Kam have managed five home wins, so a low-probability upset cannot be fully ruled out.
This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Betting involves risk — always gamble responsibly.
Final Verdict
Ham-Kam 1–3 Bodo/GlimtThe model projects a 3-1 win for Bodo/Glimt, driven by their league-best scoring rate (2.52 per game) and Ham-Kam's defensive record (2.1 conceded per match, 19% clean sheets). The main risk is Bodo/Glimt's recent defensive looseness (2.4 conceded per last five), which could allow Ham-Kam to keep it closer or nick a second goal.
Ham-Kam vs Bodo/Glimt: Common Questions
Who will win Ham-Kam vs Bodo/Glimt?
Bodo/Glimt are strong favourites with a 69% probability to win, based on their 16 wins in 21 matches and dominant H2H record. Ham-Kam's chances are limited by their defensive numbers and poor recent form.
Will there be over 2.5 goals in Ham-Kam vs Bodo/Glimt?
The probability for over 2.5 goals is 72%, with both teams' matches going over this line in 76% of games this season. Both sides average high goals for and against, supporting a high-scoring environment.
Is both teams to score likely in Ham-Kam vs Bodo/Glimt?
There is a 58% chance of both teams scoring, as Ham-Kam have scored in four of their last five home games and Bodo/Glimt have conceded in four of their last five league matches.
How This Prediction Was Made
The numbers on this page come from a structured statistical pack for Ham-Kam vs Bodo/Glimt: recent results and scoring data for both sides, home/away splits, the head-to-head record, current league standings, known injuries and live bookmaker odds, all sourced from the API-Football data feed.
This fixture was routed to The Numbers Desk, the statistical baseline — season-long rates, splits and distributions. An AI model running that profile analyses the pack and produces the probabilities, predicted score and written analysis shown above. Nothing is edited by hand, and no information outside the data pack is used.
Last updated: 10 October 2026 (refreshed automatically as new team data arrives). Every prediction is scored against the real result once the match finishes — see the verified track record or read the full methodology. Football is inherently uncertain: treat this page as analysis, not advice.