Cadiz vs Las Palmas Predictions
Segunda División · Spain
Cadiz
AI Predicted Score
0 - 2
Las Palmas
Win Probability (1X2)
Best Value Pick
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
@ 1.73(+4% edge)
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Expected goals · model says 0.60
Expected goals · model says 1.55
Over 2.5 Goals
36%
BTTS: Yes
36%
Likely Scores
0-1 · 0-2 · 0-0
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Powered by the same Poisson scoreline model behind the prediction. For fun and exploration — not betting advice.
Cadiz vs Las Palmas Prediction Confidence at a Glance
How strongly the model leans on each market.
Who do you think wins: Cadiz vs Las Palmas?
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Where the Model Sees Value: Cadiz vs Las Palmas(3)
Selections where the model's probability beats the bookmaker's implied probability. Expected value is computed from real consensus odds, not opinion.
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5@ 1.73
Both teams have low over 2.5 rates (Cadiz 50%, Las Palmas 38.9%), Cadiz are struggling to score, and Las Palmas are defensively strong. Model probability (0.62) exceeds implied (0.58).
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Match Result: Las Palmas Win@ 1.4
Las Palmas are in far better form (WLWWL), Cadiz have lost 5 straight and are in relegation trouble. Away win is the most likely outcome, but odds are short.
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BTTS: No@ 1.18
Cadiz have failed to score in 3/5, Las Palmas have 2 clean sheets in last 5 and a high season clean sheet rate. Model probability is high, but odds are very short.
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More Segunda División Predictions
The Case For This Cadiz vs Las Palmas Prediction
Las Palmas travel to Cadiz as strong favorites, with the hosts in freefall after five consecutive defeats and a relegation fight looming. Cadiz have managed just 2 goals in their last 5 matches while conceding heavily, and their home form is among the league's worst. Las Palmas, meanwhile, are pushing for promotion, with recent wins and a solid defensive record. Expect Las Palmas to control proceedings, limit Cadiz's chances, and likely secure a clean sheet win. Goals may be at a premium given both teams' low over 2.5 rates and Cadiz's attacking struggles.
Key Factors at a Glance
Defence
- →Cadiz have lost 5 consecutive matches, scoring only 2 goals and conceding 12 in that span.
- →Las Palmas are 5th, in strong form (WLWWL), and have conceded just 30 goals in 36 matches.
- →Cadiz have failed to score in 3 of their last 5; Las Palmas have kept 2 clean sheets in last 5.
Injuries & Team News
- →No significant injuries for either side.
Match Context
- →Cadiz's home record is poor (6W 2D 10L, 17:25 GF:GA).
- →Las Palmas away are average (5W 7D 5L, 17:18 GF:GA) but much better overall.
- →H2H is relatively balanced, but recent meeting was a 1-0 Las Palmas win.
🚩 Cadiz vs Las Palmas Corners Prediction
medium confidenceOur corners model projects roughly 4 corners for Cadiz and 4.8 for Las Palmas, for an expected total of 8.8. That makes the model lean Under 9.5 corners (62%). Over 8.5: 51% · Over 10.5: 26%.
How Cadiz and Las Palmas Are Arriving
Form, fitness and who's likely to start.
Cadiz vs Las Palmas Goalscorer Form
Goals scored in last 5 matches across all competitions. Rate = goals ÷ 5 games. XI badge shows player is in the expected starting lineup.
Cadizlast 5 matchesNo scorer data yet — available after predictions are regenerated.
Las Palmaslast 5 matchesNo scorer data yet — available after predictions are regenerated.
Scorer data populates once predictions are regenerated with the updated pipeline.
Cadiz vs Las Palmas — Last 10 Matches
Concerns
- −5/5 losses in last 5 — poor form
- −Struggling to score — 0.4 goals/game
- −Leaky defence — 2.4 conceded/game
Strengths
- +Solid recent form — 3+ wins in last 5
What History Says: Cadiz vs Las Palmas
Cadiz vs Las Palmas Head-to-Head History
Last 10 meetings between these sides
4
Cadiz wins
3
Draws
3
Las Palmas wins
Where the Model Disagrees with the Odds: Cadiz vs Las Palmas
Odds from 10Bet. Positive edge = our model gives a higher probability than the odds imply. EV = expected value per £1 staked.
1X2
Over/Under 2.5
Both Teams Score
Best Value Markets Found by the Model
EV per £1 staked. Positive EV means this bet has mathematical edge over the long run. Past model accuracy is tracked on our predictions tracker.
Edge and EV are derived from model probabilities only and do not constitute financial advice. Odds fluctuate — always verify current prices with your bookmaker.
Things to Watch: Cadiz vs Las Palmas
- ⚠️Some recent match stats (shots, possession) missing for both teams.
- ⚠️Cadiz may be highly motivated due to relegation risk, which could increase variance.
- ⚠️Las Palmas away record is not dominant; some risk if Cadiz improve.
- ⚠️No lineups available at time of analysis.
This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Betting involves risk — always gamble responsibly.
How This Prediction Was Made
The numbers on this page come from a structured statistical pack for Cadiz vs Las Palmas: recent results and scoring data for both sides, home/away splits, the head-to-head record, current league standings, known injuries and live bookmaker odds, all sourced from the API-Football data feed.
An AI model analyses that pack and produces the probabilities, predicted score and written analysis shown above. Nothing is edited by hand, and no information outside the data pack is used.
Last updated: 21 April 2026 (refreshed automatically as new team data arrives). Every prediction is scored against the real result once the match finishes — see the verified track record or read the full methodology. Football is inherently uncertain: treat this page as analysis, not advice.