Celta de Vigo II vs FC Andorra Predictions
Segunda División · Spain
Celta de Vigo II
Full Time
4 - 2
AI predicted 1 - 1
FC Andorra
Win Probability (1X2)
Best Value Pick
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Match Result
9/10Celta de Vigo II Stun FC Andorra with Dramatic Late Surge in 4-2 Thriller
Celta de Vigo II produced a stunning late comeback to defeat FC Andorra 4-2 at Estadio Abanca Balaídos, overturning a second-half deficit in a match packed with drama and momentum swings. Despite trailing 2-0 shortly after halftime, the hosts rallied with four goals in the final 35 minutes, including a remarkable brace in stoppage time, to snatch all three points. FC Andorra, who dominated possession with 64% and fired 17 shots, looked in control after scoring twice in quick succession, but were ultimately undone by Celta's clinical finishing and relentless late pressure. The visitors struck first through goals in the 49th and 52nd minutes, capitalizing on their midfield superiority. However, Celta de Vigo II responded with resilience, pulling one back in the 55th minute before launching a late onslaught. The equalizer arrived in the 87th minute, and the hosts completed their turnaround with two goals in the dying moments, sending the home crowd into raptures. Both sides finished with four corners and a flurry of yellow cards in a fiercely contested encounter.
💀 AI Prediction Report
DOWN BADPredicted
1 - 1
Actual
4 - 2
💰 Bet Results0/2 hit
Key Moments
49' — Goal
FC Andorra take the lead with a well-worked move finished by Jordi Cano.
52' — Goal
Andorra double their advantage, capitalizing on sustained pressure.
55' — Goal
Celta de Vigo II pull one back, sparking their comeback.
87' — Goal
Celta equalize, shifting the momentum decisively in their favor.
90' — Goal
Celta complete the turnaround with a dramatic late goal.
90' — Goal
Celta add a fourth in stoppage time to seal the victory.
Various' — Yellow Cards
A flurry of bookings for both sides in a tense, physical contest.
Celta de Vigo II
Celta de Vigo II displayed remarkable character and efficiency, overturning a two-goal deficit despite having just 36% possession and fewer total shots. Their 7 shots on target from 10 attempts highlighted their clinical edge, and their ability to score four times in the second half—three of those goals coming after the 85th minute—demonstrated both tactical flexibility and mental resilience. The back three held firm under pressure, while the front line punished Andorra's lapses late on.
Key Players
Strengths
Weaknesses
FC Andorra
FC Andorra will rue missed opportunities and a lack of composure in the closing stages after controlling large spells of the match. Their 64% possession and 17 shots reflected a proactive approach, but only 5 of those efforts were on target. After a dominant start to the second half, Andorra lost their defensive shape and discipline, conceding four times in the last 35 minutes. Despite a strong midfield display, their inability to manage the game late on proved costly.
Key Players
Strengths
Weaknesses
Tactical Analysis
Celta de Vigo II set up in a 3-4-3, prioritizing defensive solidity and quick transitions. Despite ceding possession, they remained compact and looked to exploit Andorra on the break, particularly in the final third. The wingbacks contributed both defensively and offensively, stretching the play and supporting the front three. Andorra's 4-3-3 focused on ball retention and building through midfield, with Efe Akman dictating tempo and the fullbacks pushing high. However, as Celta pressed higher late on, Andorra struggled to cope with the intensity and left gaps that were ruthlessly exploited. Substitutions and tactical tweaks in the second half allowed Celta to press higher and commit more bodies forward, while Andorra failed to adjust defensively. Set pieces were evenly matched, but it was Celta's directness and late-game energy that proved decisive.
Turning Point
The 87th-minute equalizer for Celta de Vigo II, which shifted momentum and set the stage for their stoppage-time heroics.
Man of the Match
Ángel Arcos
Delivered when it mattered most, scoring in stoppage time and leading the late surge that secured victory.
Celta de Vigo II vs FC Andorra: Match Preview
Celta de Vigo II come into their first home match of the Segunda División season off a 0-0 away draw at Cadiz, extending a run of five games unbeaten in all competitions. Their recent form string (DWDWD) is built on defensive stability, with three clean sheets in their last five and only two matches where both teams have scored. FC Andorra top the early table after a 5-1 demolition of AD Ceuta FC, but that attacking outburst stands out against a backdrop of three goalless draws or defeats in their previous four outings.
The statistical matchup is shaped by both sides’ defensive records: Celta de Vigo II have conceded just 0.4 goals per game over their last five, while Andorra have matched them for clean sheets but failed to score in three of those games. The model projects a moderate shot volume (Andorra 5 shots, 2.2 on target per game in the last five), but with limited evidence of sustained attacking threat from either side. Both teams have tended to keep first halves tight—just three first-half goals for Celta de Vigo II and one for Andorra in their last five—suggesting a slow start and a contest likely to be decided late.
With neither team showing a clear home or away advantage and both managers likely to prioritise defensive shape early in the season, the model expects a low-scoring draw as the most probable outcome. Under 2.5 goals is favoured at 61%, and the most likely scoreline is 1-1, reflecting the underlying rates and the lack of attacking consistency on both sides.
🎮 Prediction Playground
Think the model has it wrong? Nudge each team's expected goals and watch every probability react — then simulate the match and see what happens.
Expected goals · model says 1.10
Expected goals · model says 1.05
Over 2.5 Goals
36%
BTTS: Yes
43%
Likely Scores
1-1 · 1-0 · 0-1
Play this match once with the probabilities above — every run is different.
Powered by the same Poisson scoreline model behind the prediction. For fun and exploration — not betting advice.
Celta de Vigo II vs FC Andorra Prediction Confidence at a Glance
How strongly the model leans on each market.
Stats Worth Knowing
The numbers behind Celta de Vigo II vs FC Andorra that most previews miss.
- 1Both teams have kept three clean sheets in their last five matches, highlighting defensive reliability.
- 2Only one of FC Andorra’s last five matches saw both teams score, and just two of Celta de Vigo II’s last five.
- 3In the two most recent head-to-heads, the home side won 3-0 each time, but neither team has scored away in this matchup.
Who do you think wins: Celta de Vigo II vs FC Andorra?
Cast your vote, then see how it stacks up against the model.
Where the Model Sees Value: Celta de Vigo II vs FC Andorra(2)
Selections where the model's probability beats the bookmaker's implied probability. Expected value is computed from real consensus odds, not opinion.
Match Result: Draw
The model assigns a 36% probability to the draw, the highest of any single outcome, based on both teams’ low-scoring tendencies and a lack of clear attacking edge. With neither side showing a strong home or away bias and both keeping three clean sheets in their last five, a stalemate is the statistical baseline.
Read more ↓
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Under 2.5 goals is favoured at 61% probability, supported by Celta de Vigo II’s 0-0 opening draw and three clean sheets in five, plus FC Andorra’s three clean sheets and only one BTTS in their last five competitive and friendly matches.
Read more ↓
More Segunda División Predictions
The Case For This Celta de Vigo II vs FC Andorra Prediction
Statistically, this fixture profiles as a low-scoring, evenly matched contest. Both sides have shown defensive solidity in recent outings, and neither attack has demonstrated consistent firepower outside of Andorra’s opening day outlier.
Key Factors at a Glance
Recent Form
- →Both teams have failed to score in at least two of their last five matches.
Defence
- →Celta de Vigo II have averaged just 1.2 goals scored and 0.4 conceded over their last five matches, with three clean sheets.
- →FC Andorra’s last five matches include three clean sheets and only one match where both teams scored.
🚩 Celta de Vigo II vs FC Andorra Corners Prediction
medium confidenceOur corners model projects roughly 4.2 corners for Celta de Vigo II and 4.2 for FC Andorra, for an expected total of 8.4. That makes the model lean Under 9.5 corners (67%). Over 8.5: 46% · Over 10.5: 23%.
How Celta de Vigo II and FC Andorra Are Arriving
Form, fitness and who's likely to start.
Celta de Vigo II vs FC Andorra Goalscorer Form
Goals scored in last 5 matches across all competitions. Rate = goals ÷ 5 games. XI badge shows player is in the expected starting lineup.
Celta de Vigo IIlast 5 matchesScoring consistently
Regular contributor
Regular contributor
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
FC Andorralast 5 matchesRegular contributor
Regular contributor
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Celta de Vigo II are unbeaten in their last five across all competitions, with a defensive foundation—three clean sheets and only one match conceding more than once. FC Andorra’s form is mixed: a 5-1 win last time out, but three clean sheets and three matches without scoring in their last five suggest inconsistency up front. Both sides have shown a tendency to keep games tight, especially in the first half.
Celta de Vigo II vs FC Andorra — Last 2 Matches
Strengths
- +Solid recent form — 3+ wins in last 5
- +Prolific attack — 2.0 goals/game (last 5)
- +50% clean sheet rate this season
Strengths
- +Over 2.5 goals in 100% of games this season
What History Says: Celta de Vigo II vs FC Andorra
The recent head-to-head record is split, with each side winning their home fixture 3-0 in the 2024/25 season. No draws have occurred in their two previous meetings, and the away side has yet to score in this matchup. However, with only two data points, trends should be treated with caution.
Celta de Vigo II vs FC Andorra Head-to-Head History
Last 3 meetings between these sides
2
Celta de Vigo II wins
0
Draws
1
FC Andorra wins
Where the Model Disagrees with the Odds: Celta de Vigo II vs FC Andorra
No bookmaker odds are available for this fixture, so value calculations are not possible. The model’s probabilities suggest the draw and under 2.5 goals would be the most interesting angles if market prices drift above 2.8 for the draw or 1.7 for under 2.5. Without odds, no actionable edges can be confirmed.
Odds from Bet365. Positive edge = our model gives a higher probability than the odds imply. EV = expected value per £1 staked.
1X2
Over/Under 2.5
Both Teams Score
Best Value Markets Found by the Model
EV per £1 staked. Positive EV means this bet has mathematical edge over the long run. Past model accuracy is tracked on our predictions tracker.
Edge and EV are derived from model probabilities only and do not constitute financial advice. Odds fluctuate — always verify current prices with your bookmaker.
Things to Watch: Celta de Vigo II vs FC Andorra
- ⚠️Season data is limited to one league match for each team, increasing uncertainty in attack/defence estimates.
- ⚠️No odds data available, so value calculations are not possible.
- ⚠️Pre-season friendlies may not fully reflect competitive strength or tactical setups.
This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Betting involves risk — always gamble responsibly.
Final Verdict
Celta de Vigo II 1–1 FC AndorraThe model projects a 1-1 draw, with the strongest data point being both teams’ recent run of clean sheets (three each in five matches) and a general lack of attacking consistency. The main risk lies in over-weighting early season and friendly data, particularly Andorra’s anomalous five-goal opener, which could signal more attacking threat than their longer-term averages suggest.
Celta de Vigo II vs FC Andorra: Common Questions
Who will win Celta de Vigo II vs FC Andorra?
The model estimates a 34% chance of a Celta de Vigo II win, 36% for a draw, and 30% for an FC Andorra victory. Both teams’ recent defensive records and low goal averages point towards a stalemate as the likeliest outcome.
Will both teams score in Celta de Vigo II vs FC Andorra?
Both teams to score is rated at 44%, with 'No' slightly favoured at 56%. Both sides have kept three clean sheets in their last five matches, and only three of their last ten combined games saw both teams score.
Is under 2.5 goals a good bet for Celta de Vigo II vs FC Andorra?
Under 2.5 goals is the model’s preferred angle, with a 61% probability. Both teams have shown strong defensive numbers and limited attacking output outside of Andorra’s opening fixture.
How This Prediction Was Made
The numbers on this page come from a structured statistical pack for Celta de Vigo II vs FC Andorra: recent results and scoring data for both sides, home/away splits, the head-to-head record, current league standings, known injuries and live bookmaker odds, all sourced from the API-Football data feed.
This fixture was routed to The Numbers Desk, the statistical baseline — season-long rates, splits and distributions. An AI model running that profile analyses the pack and produces the probabilities, predicted score and written analysis shown above. Nothing is edited by hand, and no information outside the data pack is used.
Last updated: 17 August 2026 (refreshed automatically as new team data arrives). Every prediction is scored against the real result once the match finishes — see the verified track record or read the full methodology. Football is inherently uncertain: treat this page as analysis, not advice.