CR Khemis Zemamra vs Hassania Agadir Predictions
Botola Pro · Morocco
CR Khemis Zemamra
Full Time
2 - 5
AI predicted 1 - 1
Hassania Agadir
Win Probability (1X2)
Best Value Pick
Match Result: Draw
Match Result
8.2/10Hassania Agadir Run Riot in Seven-Goal Thriller at Khemis Zemamra
Hassania Agadir delivered an emphatic attacking display to overpower CR Khemis Zemamra 5-2 at the Stade Terrain Ahmed Chokri, in a match that saw momentum swing wildly and tempers flare. The visitors struck first, but were pegged back twice before surging clear with a clinical second-half performance. Both sides exchanged blows in a frenetic first period, but a red card for the hosts and relentless Hassania pressure after the interval proved decisive. Despite early promise from the home side, Hassania Agadir's firepower was simply too much to handle. The visitors netted twice just before halftime to seize control, and after the break they exploited their numerical advantage, adding two more goals to put the result beyond doubt. Khemis Zemamra, hampered by their sending-off, struggled to keep pace and ultimately succumbed to Hassania's superior quality.
😅 AI Prediction Report
CLOSE BUT NO CIGARPredicted
1 - 1
Actual
2 - 5
💰 Bet Results0/1 hit
Key Moments
10' — Goal
Hassania Agadir open the scoring, putting early pressure on the hosts.
14' — Goal
CR Khemis Zemamra equalize quickly, showing fighting spirit.
25' — Goal
Khemis Zemamra take the lead, turning the match on its head.
41' — Goal
Hassania Agadir level the score, regaining momentum before the break.
45' — Goal
Hassania Agadir score again to lead 3-2 at halftime.
Second Half' — Red Card
CR Khemis Zemamra reduced to ten men, shifting the balance further.
65' — Goal
Hassania Agadir extend their lead to 4-2, capitalizing on the extra man.
83' — Goal
Hassania Agadir complete the rout with a fifth goal.
CR Khemis Zemamra
CR Khemis Zemamra showed resilience in the opening stages, responding to Hassania's early goal with two of their own to briefly lead 2-1. However, defensive frailties and ill-discipline undermined their efforts, especially after conceding twice late in the first half and being reduced to ten men. The hosts' attacking intent was clear, but they were ultimately overrun as the match wore on.
Key Players
Strengths
Weaknesses
Hassania Agadir
Hassania Agadir impressed with a ruthless attacking display, opening the scoring and then responding to falling behind with remarkable composure. Their ability to strike twice before halftime shifted the momentum, and they capitalized on the man advantage in the second half, adding two more goals to cap a dominant performance. Defensively, they weathered early setbacks before tightening up and asserting control.
Key Players
Strengths
Weaknesses
Tactical Analysis
With both lineups unavailable, the match's tactical story was defined by Hassania Agadir's ability to adapt and exploit space, especially after Khemis Zemamra's red card. The hosts initially pressed high and attacked with numbers, but their defensive shape faltered under pressure. Hassania's pressing forced errors and their transitions were swift, especially in wide areas. After the sending-off, Hassania stretched the play, using their numerical advantage to dominate possession and create overloads, leading to a flurry of chances and goals. Set pieces played a role in shifting momentum, with Hassania's goals before halftime coming at crucial moments. The hosts' inability to adjust tactically after going down to ten men left them exposed, and Hassania's composure in the final third proved decisive.
Turning Point
The red card for CR Khemis Zemamra early in the second half, which allowed Hassania Agadir to seize total control and pull away.
Man of the Match
Second Away Goalscorer
Scored the pivotal equalizer and played a key role in Hassania's attacking dominance.
CR Khemis Zemamra vs Hassania Agadir: Match Preview
CR Khemis Zemamra enter this fixture under pressure, sitting 15th with two defeats from two and just a single goal scored. Hassania Agadir, mid-table after two matches, have shown more attacking intent but remain defensively vulnerable, conceding four times already. Both sides are searching for early-season stability, with Zemamra particularly desperate to avoid a third straight loss.
Statistically, this is a clash of two blunt attacks and leaky defences. Zemamra’s last five matches yield just 0.6 goals scored per game and a solitary clean sheet, while Hassania Agadir’s 1.2 goals per game is offset by 1.6 conceded and no clean sheets in the same span. Shot and possession numbers are low for both (Zemamra: 3.6 shots, 11.2% possession; Agadir: 2 shots, 8.6% possession), suggesting a scrappy, low-event contest. Both teams have seen over 2.5 goals in half or more of their league matches, but the underlying shot volumes point to regression.
The model expects a tight, low-scoring draw, with both sides struggling to create clear chances. The most likely outcome is 1-1, supported by the recent H2H trend and the current attacking rates. Either side could edge it if defensive errors surface, but the baseline expectation is for points to be shared.
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Expected goals · model says 1.05
Expected goals · model says 0.95
Over 2.5 Goals
32%
BTTS: Yes
40%
Likely Scores
1-0 · 0-0 · 1-1
Play this match once with the probabilities above — every run is different.
Powered by the same Poisson scoreline model behind the prediction. For fun and exploration — not betting advice.
CR Khemis Zemamra vs Hassania Agadir Prediction Confidence at a Glance
How strongly the model leans on each market.
Stats Worth Knowing
The numbers behind CR Khemis Zemamra vs Hassania Agadir that most previews miss.
- 1Both teams have failed to keep a clean sheet in their last five matches, combining for just one clean sheet in ten games.
- 2Four of the last ten meetings between these sides have ended in draws, including two of the last three.
- 3Hassania Agadir’s last five matches have averaged just 2 shots and 1.4 shots on target per game—a league low.
Who do you think wins: CR Khemis Zemamra vs Hassania Agadir?
Cast your vote, then see how it stacks up against the model.
Where the Model Sees Value: CR Khemis Zemamra vs Hassania Agadir(1)
Selections where the model's probability beats the bookmaker's implied probability. Expected value is computed from real consensus odds, not opinion.
Match Result: Draw
With both sides averaging just 0.5 and 2 goals scored per game respectively in the league, and four draws in the last ten H2H meetings—including two of the last three—this fixture leans heavily towards a stalemate, especially given the hosts’ attacking struggles and the visitors’ defensive frailty.
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The Case For This CR Khemis Zemamra vs Hassania Agadir Prediction
This is a low-scoring matchup between two sides struggling to assert themselves early in the Botola Pro campaign. CR Khemis Zemamra have lost both league matches so far, scoring just once and conceding three, while Hassania Agadir arrive with a win and a loss, but have already shipped four goals in two outings. With neither attack showing sustained threat and both teams lacking clean sheets this season, the margins are fine. The underlying rates point to a cautious affair. Zemamra’s last five matches average just 0.6 goals scored and 1 conceded per game, with only one clean sheet and two games failing to score. Hassania Agadir, meanwhile, have averaged 1.2 goals for and 1.6 against in their last five, but their shot and possession numbers (2 shots, 8.6% possession) are among the league’s lowest. Both sides’ over 2.5 goal rates are moderate (50% and 100% respectively), but the shot volumes suggest those figures are not sustainable. Discipline and set-piece threat are both low, with neither side averaging more than 1.2 corners or 0.6 yellow cards per game recently. Given the lack of attacking punch and the historical tendency for draws in this fixture—four in the last ten meetings, including a 1-1 in June—the likeliest outcome is a cagey, low-event draw. The model projects a 1-1 scoreline, with the draw probability (39%) outpacing either side’s win chance. The most plausible deviation would be a single-goal win for either side if defensive lapses occur.
Key Factors at a Glance
Attack
- →CR Khemis Zemamra have scored just once in two league matches and average 0.6 goals per game over their last five.
Defence
- →Hassania Agadir have conceded four goals in two league games and have not kept a clean sheet in their last five.
Match Context
- →Four of the last ten head-to-head meetings have ended level, including two of the last three.
🚩 CR Khemis Zemamra vs Hassania Agadir Corners Prediction
low confidenceOur corners model projects roughly 5.3 corners for CR Khemis Zemamra and 4.8 for Hassania Agadir, for an expected total of 10. That makes the model lean Over 9.5 corners (54%). Over 8.5: 67% · Over 10.5: 42%.
How CR Khemis Zemamra and Hassania Agadir Are Arriving
Form, fitness and who's likely to start.
CR Khemis Zemamra vs Hassania Agadir Goalscorer Form
Goals scored in last 5 matches across all competitions. Rate = goals ÷ 5 games.
CR Khemis Zemamralast 5 matchesRegular contributor
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Hassania Agadirlast 5 matchesIn exceptional form
Regular contributor
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
CR Khemis Zemamra are winless in their last five, drawing three and losing their last two, with only one goal scored in the current league campaign. Hassania Agadir have been more productive in attack but remain inconsistent, alternating between a 3-2 away win and a 1-2 home defeat in their opening league fixtures. Both sides have failed to keep a clean sheet in their last five outings.
CR Khemis Zemamra vs Hassania Agadir — Last 3 Matches
Strengths
- +Over 2.5 goals in 66.67% of games this season
Concerns
- −Inconsistent — 3+ losses in last 5
Strengths
- +Prolific attack — 2.0 goals/game (last 5)
- +Both teams scoring in most recent games
- +Over 2.5 goals in 100% of games this season
Concerns
- −No clean sheets in last 5 matches
What History Says: CR Khemis Zemamra vs Hassania Agadir
Recent head-to-head meetings have been tightly contested, with four draws in the last ten encounters and two of the last three ending level. Zemamra have won three of the last five at home against Agadir, but the most recent clash in June finished 1-1. The fixture has historically trended towards low-scoring outcomes.
CR Khemis Zemamra vs Hassania Agadir Head-to-Head History
Last 10 meetings between these sides
4
CR Khemis Zemamra wins
3
Draws
3
Hassania Agadir wins
Where the Model Disagrees with the Odds: CR Khemis Zemamra vs Hassania Agadir
With no bookmaker odds available, value calculations are not possible for this fixture. However, the model’s highest probability outcome is the draw at 39%, which would typically offer value if priced above 2.60. The under 2.5 goals market would also be of interest given the low attacking and shot rates.
Odds from Bet365. Positive edge = our model gives a higher probability than the odds imply. EV = expected value per £1 staked.
1X2
Over/Under 2.5
Both Teams Score
Best Value Markets Found by the Model
EV per £1 staked. Positive EV means this bet has mathematical edge over the long run. Past model accuracy is tracked on our predictions tracker.
Edge and EV are derived from model probabilities only and do not constitute financial advice. Odds fluctuate — always verify current prices with your bookmaker.
Things to Watch: CR Khemis Zemamra vs Hassania Agadir
- ⚠️No available bookmaker odds at time of analysis, so value and edge calculations are not possible.
- ⚠️Limited sample size for both teams’ home and away league records this season.
- ⚠️Low recent shot and possession numbers may be subject to data incompleteness or small-sample noise.
This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Betting involves risk — always gamble responsibly.
Final Verdict
CR Khemis Zemamra 1–1 Hassania AgadirA 1-1 draw is the likeliest result, driven by both sides’ low scoring rates and the recurring pattern of stalemates in their head-to-head record. The single strongest data point is the combined average of just 1.8 goals scored per team over their last five matches. The most plausible way this goes wrong is if one side capitalises on defensive lapses, as neither has shown the ability to keep things tight at the back.
CR Khemis Zemamra vs Hassania Agadir: Common Questions
Who will win CR Khemis Zemamra vs Hassania Agadir?
The model gives CR Khemis Zemamra a 33% chance to win, Hassania Agadir a 28% chance, and the draw is most likely at 39%. Both sides have struggled for consistency, and recent head-to-heads suggest a stalemate is probable.
Will both teams score in CR Khemis Zemamra vs Hassania Agadir?
Both teams to score is rated at 52%, with each side failing to keep a clean sheet in their last five matches. However, both have struggled for attacking output, so a 0-0 or 1-0 is also plausible.
Is this likely to be a high-scoring match?
Under 2.5 goals is favoured at 64% probability, with both teams’ shot volumes and recent averages pointing to a low-scoring contest. Over 2.5 has occurred in 50% or more of their league matches, but the underlying numbers suggest this is unsustainable.
How This Prediction Was Made
The numbers on this page come from a structured statistical pack for CR Khemis Zemamra vs Hassania Agadir: recent results and scoring data for both sides, home/away splits, the head-to-head record, current league standings, known injuries and live bookmaker odds, all sourced from the API-Football data feed.
This fixture was routed to The Numbers Desk, the statistical baseline — season-long rates, splits and distributions. An AI model running that profile analyses the pack and produces the probabilities, predicted score and written analysis shown above. Nothing is edited by hand, and no information outside the data pack is used.
Last updated: 5 October 2026 (refreshed automatically as new team data arrives). Every prediction is scored against the real result once the match finishes — see the verified track record or read the full methodology. Football is inherently uncertain: treat this page as analysis, not advice.
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CR Khemis Zemamra vs Hassania Agadir Stats
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Model Accuracy
Track record & verified results