Cracovia Krakow vs Radomiak Radom Predictions
Ekstraklasa · Poland
Cracovia Krakow
AI Predicted Score
1 - 1
Radomiak Radom
Win Probability (1X2)
Best Value Pick
Match Result: Draw
@ 3.2(+7% edge)
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Expected goals · model says 0.70
Expected goals · model says 0.90
Over 2.5 Goals
22%
BTTS: Yes
30%
Likely Scores
0-0 · 0-1 · 1-0
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Powered by the same Poisson scoreline model behind the prediction. For fun and exploration — not betting advice.
Cracovia Krakow vs Radomiak Radom Prediction Confidence at a Glance
How strongly the model leans on each market.
Who do you think wins: Cracovia Krakow vs Radomiak Radom?
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Where the Model Sees Value: Cracovia Krakow vs Radomiak Radom(2)
Selections where the model's probability beats the bookmaker's implied probability. Expected value is computed from real consensus odds, not opinion.
Match Result: Draw@ 3.2
The model rates the draw at 38% (implied odds 2.63), while the market offers 3.2 (implied 31%), giving a notable value edge. Both teams have drawn several recent matches, and Cracovia's home record is draw-heavy.
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Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5@ 5
While the model is under on goals, the big price on over 2.5 (5.0) offers a slight value edge for small stakes, especially given Radomiak's higher season scoring rate.
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The Case For This Cracovia Krakow vs Radomiak Radom Prediction
Cracovia Krakow, struggling for wins and with a negative recent goal difference, host a Radomiak Radom side in much better form but with a poor away record. Both teams are mid-table, with Cracovia more draw-prone and Radomiak showing more attacking threat but conceding heavily away. Expect a tight, low-scoring match where neither side truly dominates, and a draw is a likely outcome.
Key Factors at a Glance
Defence
- →Cracovia's last 5: DDLDL, only 0.8 goals scored per game, 2 conceded per game.
- →Radomiak on a 3-game win streak, but away record: 2W 6D 7L, 17 scored, 29 conceded.
- →Cracovia's clean sheet and failed to score rates suggest low goal expectancy.
Injuries & Team News
- →No major injuries for either side.
Match Context
- →Cracovia home: 5W 7D 3L, Radomiak away: 2W 6D 7L.
- →H2H: 5 wins each in last 10, no draws, but recent games have swung both ways.
🚩 Cracovia Krakow vs Radomiak Radom Corners Prediction
medium confidenceOur corners model projects roughly 6.6 corners for Cracovia Krakow and 4.8 for Radomiak Radom, for an expected total of 11.3. That makes the model lean Over 9.5 corners (69%). Over 8.5: 80% · Over 10.5: 58%.
How Cracovia Krakow and Radomiak Radom Are Arriving
Form, fitness and who's likely to start.
Cracovia Krakow vs Radomiak Radom Goalscorer Form
Goals scored in last 5 matches across all competitions. Rate = goals ÷ 5 games. XI badge shows player is in the expected starting lineup.
Cracovia Krakowlast 5 matchesOccasional threat
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Radomiak Radomlast 5 matchesOccasional threat
Occasional threat
Cracovia Krakow are winless in their last five, with three draws and two losses, struggling to score (0.8 goals/game) and conceding heavily (2/game). Radomiak Radom, meanwhile, are on a three-game winning streak, scoring more and conceding less over the same period, showing clear momentum and confidence.
Cracovia Krakow vs Radomiak Radom — Last 10 Matches
Concerns
- −Leaky defence — 2.0 conceded/game
Strengths
- +Solid recent form — 3+ wins in last 5
What History Says: Cracovia Krakow vs Radomiak Radom
Head-to-head history is balanced, with no draws in the last 10 and both teams winning five times each. Recent encounters have seen away wins and some high-scoring games, but the lack of draws is notable given both teams' current tendencies.
Cracovia Krakow vs Radomiak Radom Head-to-Head History
Last 10 meetings between these sides
5
Cracovia Krakow wins
0
Draws
5
Radomiak Radom wins
Where the Model Disagrees with the Odds: Cracovia Krakow vs Radomiak Radom
The biggest value edge is on the draw, where the model's 38% probability exceeds the market's 31% implied by odds of 3.2. The market heavily favors Cracovia, but their form and Radomiak's recent results suggest a much more even contest. Over 2.5 goals is priced very long and, though unlikely, offers a small value for speculative bets.
Odds from Bet365. Positive edge = our model gives a higher probability than the odds imply. EV = expected value per £1 staked.
1X2
Over/Under 2.5
Both Teams Score
Best Value Markets Found by the Model
EV per £1 staked. Positive EV means this bet has mathematical edge over the long run. Past model accuracy is tracked on our predictions tracker.
Edge and EV are derived from model probabilities only and do not constitute financial advice. Odds fluctuate — always verify current prices with your bookmaker.
Things to Watch: Cracovia Krakow vs Radomiak Radom
- ⚠️Radomiak's last 5 derived stats for shots, possession, etc. are incomplete, reducing confidence in attack/defence matchup.
- ⚠️H2H has shown no draws in last 10, which is unusual given model's draw probability.
- ⚠️Corners and cards data for Radomiak is sparse in recent matches.
- ⚠️Market odds suggest a much higher chance of Cracovia win than the model.
This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Betting involves risk — always gamble responsibly.
How This Prediction Was Made
The numbers on this page come from a structured statistical pack for Cracovia Krakow vs Radomiak Radom: recent results and scoring data for both sides, home/away splits, the head-to-head record, current league standings, known injuries and live bookmaker odds, all sourced from the API-Football data feed.
An AI model analyses that pack and produces the probabilities, predicted score and written analysis shown above. Nothing is edited by hand, and no information outside the data pack is used.
Last updated: 10 May 2026 (refreshed automatically as new team data arrives). Every prediction is scored against the real result once the match finishes — see the verified track record or read the full methodology. Football is inherently uncertain: treat this page as analysis, not advice.