Radomiak Radom vs Cracovia Krakow Predictions
Ekstraklasa · Poland
Radomiak Radom
Full Time
2 - 1
AI predicted 1 - 2
Cracovia Krakow
Win Probability (1X2)
Best Value Pick
Match Result: Cracovia Krakow Win
Match Result
7.6/10Radomiak Radom Rally Past Cracovia Krakow in Spirited Ekstraklasa Clash
Radomiak Radom overturned a second-half deficit to secure a hard-fought 2-1 victory over Cracovia Krakow in Radom. The visitors struck first shortly after the break, but Radomiak responded with two quickfire goals to claim all three points in front of their home fans. The match was an open, high-tempo affair, with both sides producing a combined 38 shots and sharing 20 corners. Radomiak's superior possession (55%) and relentless attacking pressure ultimately paid dividends, while Cracovia's physical approach earned them three yellow cards but could not prevent the hosts' comeback.
💪 AI Prediction Report
DECENT HITPredicted
1 - 2
Actual
2 - 1
💰 Bet Results1/2 hit
Key Moments
47' — Goal
Cracovia Krakow open the scoring early in the second half, seizing the initiative.
55' — Goal
Radomiak Radom equalize, shifting momentum back to the hosts.
64' — Goal
Radomiak complete the turnaround with a second goal, taking a 2-1 lead.
Various' — Yellow Cards
Cracovia pick up three bookings as their physical approach intensifies.
Radomiak Radom
Radomiak Radom showed impressive resilience after conceding early in the second half, using their 4-1-4-1 formation to control the midfield and build sustained pressure. Their attacking intent was clear, registering 20 shots and 10 corners, and their ability to turn the game around within ten minutes showcased both character and tactical discipline. The midfield trio, especially R. Wolski and Ronaldo Afonso, were instrumental in driving the team forward and linking play. Despite not being clinical in front of goal (5 shots on target from 20 attempts), Radomiak's persistence and composure in key moments made the difference. Defensively, they remained organized and disciplined, conceding just once and avoiding any bookings.
Key Players
Strengths
Weaknesses
Cracovia Krakow
Cracovia Krakow began the second half brightly, capitalizing on a quick transition to take the lead in the 47th minute. Their 4-3-3 formation allowed for attacking width and they managed 18 shots, 7 of which were on target. However, their inability to maintain control after scoring proved costly, as they conceded twice in a nine-minute spell. The visitors' aggressive approach resulted in 20 fouls and three yellow cards, disrupting Radomiak's rhythm at times but also leading to dangerous set pieces against them. Despite some promising moments in attack, Cracovia struggled to regain momentum after falling behind and could not find an equalizer.
Key Players
Strengths
Weaknesses
Tactical Analysis
Radomiak Radom lined up in a 4-1-4-1, focusing on midfield solidity and quick transitions through the central areas. Their ability to overload the midfield allowed them to dominate possession and recycle the ball efficiently, especially after falling behind. The use of width and set pieces (10 corners) was a key feature, stretching Cracovia's defensive line and creating multiple shooting opportunities. Cracovia Krakow's 4-3-3 emphasized attacking width and pressing high up the pitch, particularly in the early stages of each half. However, after taking the lead, they struggled to maintain their defensive shape, and their aggressive pressing led to a high foul count. The physical battle in midfield was intense, but Radomiak's tactical discipline and patience ultimately won out.
Turning Point
Radomiak's equalizer in the 55th minute, which galvanized the hosts and shifted the momentum decisively in their favor.
Man of the Match
R. Wolski
Instrumental in Radomiak's midfield, orchestrating play and driving the comeback with energy and vision.
Radomiak Radom vs Cracovia Krakow: Match Preview
Radomiak Radom enter this fixture in a deep rut, having lost four of their last five matches and conceding a staggering 11 goals in their last three competitive outings. Their only league win came on opening day, and since then their defensive structure has unravelled, leaving them 17th in the table with the worst goal difference in the league. Cracovia Krakow, by contrast, have found their stride after a slow start, stringing together back-to-back wins and climbing to third, with Ajdin Hasić in particular hitting form with three goals in his last two appearances.
The tactical contrast is stark: Radomiak's porous defence, allowing an average of 3 goals per game and just 1.8 shots on target in attack over the last five, faces a Cracovia side generating 17.4 shots and 5.4 on target per match in the same span. Cracovia's away games have been tight (two goalless draws), but their recent attacking surge at home suggests a side growing in confidence and fluidity. Set pieces could play a role, with Cracovia averaging nearly 7 corners per match and Radomiak struggling to defend their box.
Given the current momentum, the model expects Cracovia's attacking volume and form to prove decisive, especially in the second half where they've scored four of their last five goals. Radomiak's defensive issues are unlikely to be solved in a week, and unless they can rediscover some home resilience, Cracovia are well placed to take all three points.
How Radomiak Radom and Cracovia Krakow Are Arriving
Form, fitness and who's likely to start.
Radomiak Radom vs Cracovia Krakow Goalscorer Form
Goals scored in last 5 matches across all competitions. Rate = goals ÷ 5 games. XI badge shows player is in the expected starting lineup.
Radomiak Radomlast 5 matchesScoring consistently
Occasional threat
Cracovia Krakowlast 5 matchesScoring consistently
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Radomiak Radom's recent form is alarming: four defeats in five, including heavy losses to Legia (0-5) and Gornik Zabrze (1-3), with 11 goals conceded in their last three league matches. In stark contrast, Cracovia Krakow have built real momentum, following up a pair of draws and a loss with two straight wins, scoring five goals and averaging 21 shots per match in those victories. The trajectories could hardly be more different heading into this clash.
Radomiak Radom vs Cracovia Krakow — Last 6 Matches
Strengths
- +Over 2.5 goals in 83.33% of games this season
Concerns
- −Leaky defence — 2.0 conceded/game
Strengths
- +High-volume attack — 19 shots/game
Radomiak Radom vs Cracovia Krakow Prediction Confidence at a Glance
How strongly the model leans on each market.
Stats Worth Knowing
The numbers behind Radomiak Radom vs Cracovia Krakow that most previews miss.
- 1Cracovia Krakow have averaged 21 shots per game in their last two matches, both victories.
- 2Radomiak Radom have conceded at least three goals in each of their last three competitive fixtures.
- 3The last five Radomiak matches have all featured over 2.5 goals, with BTTS landing in four of them.
🎮 Prediction Playground
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Expected goals · model says 1.10
Expected goals · model says 1.65
Over 2.5 Goals
52%
BTTS: Yes
54%
Likely Scores
1-1 · 0-1 · 1-2
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Powered by the same Poisson scoreline model behind the prediction. For fun and exploration — not betting advice.
Who do you think wins: Radomiak Radom vs Cracovia Krakow?
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The Case For This Radomiak Radom vs Cracovia Krakow Prediction
Radomiak Radom are in the midst of a worrying slide, losing four of their last five and conceding heavily, while Cracovia Krakow have found momentum with back-to-back wins and a surge in attacking output. The visitors' recent upturn in both results and underlying shot numbers marks a sharp contrast to the hosts' defensive frailty and lack of confidence. With Cracovia's current trajectory, the away side are well placed to extend their run at Radom's expense.
Key Factors at a Glance
Attack
- →Cracovia Krakow have won their last two matches, scoring five goals and averaging 21 shots per game.
Defence
- →Radomiak Radom have conceded 11 goals in their last three competitive matches and have not kept a clean sheet this season.
- →Cracovia's away defence has yet to concede in two league trips, while Radomiak's home record is mixed (1 win, 1 loss, 3 goals for, 4 against).
Where the Model Sees Value: Radomiak Radom vs Cracovia Krakow(2)
Selections where the model's probability beats the bookmaker's implied probability. Expected value is computed from real consensus odds, not opinion.
Match Result: Cracovia Krakow Win
Cracovia Krakow arrive on a two-match winning streak, averaging 2.5 goals and 21 shots per game in those victories, while Radomiak Radom have lost four of their last five and conceded 11 goals in their last three competitive outings. The visitors' form trajectory and attacking volume outweigh Radomiak's home advantage.
Read more ↓
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Radomiak's last five competitive matches have all featured at least three goals, with an average of 4.0 goals per game, and their defence has yet to keep a clean sheet this season. Cracovia's attack is coming into form, suggesting a good chance of another open contest.
Read more ↓
More Ekstraklasa Predictions
🚩 Radomiak Radom vs Cracovia Krakow Corners Prediction
medium confidenceOur corners model projects roughly 6.2 corners for Radomiak Radom and 6.2 for Cracovia Krakow, for an expected total of 12.4. That makes the model lean Over 9.5 corners (79%). Over 8.5: 87% · Over 10.5: 69%.
What History Says: Radomiak Radom vs Cracovia Krakow
The head-to-head record is competitive, with Cracovia Krakow edging five wins to Radomiak's four in the last ten meetings. However, Radomiak did win this fixture 3-0 last season, while Cracovia have generally fared well in Radom, winning three of their last five visits. Recent encounters have swung between high-scoring and cagey, including a 0-0 draw in Krakow last time out.
Radomiak Radom vs Cracovia Krakow Head-to-Head History
Last 10 meetings between these sides
5
Radomiak Radom wins
1
Draws
4
Cracovia Krakow wins
Where the Model Disagrees with the Odds: Radomiak Radom vs Cracovia Krakow
With no bookmaker odds available, it's not possible to quantify value edges for this fixture. However, the model's probabilities strongly favour Cracovia compared to Radomiak, primarily on the basis of recent form and attacking output. If market odds price the visitors conservatively due to their away record, there could be value in siding with the in-form team.
Odds from Bet365. Positive edge = our model gives a higher probability than the odds imply. EV = expected value per £1 staked.
1X2
Over/Under 2.5
Both Teams Score
Best Value Markets Found by the Model
EV per £1 staked. Positive EV means this bet has mathematical edge over the long run. Past model accuracy is tracked on our predictions tracker.
Edge and EV are derived from model probabilities only and do not constitute financial advice. Odds fluctuate — always verify current prices with your bookmaker.
Things to Watch: Radomiak Radom vs Cracovia Krakow
- ⚠️No bookmaker odds available, so value edges cannot be calculated.
- ⚠️Both sides have small sample sizes for home/away splits this season.
- ⚠️Radomiak's attack has shown some life at home, which could test Cracovia's away defensive record.
This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Betting involves risk — always gamble responsibly.
Final Verdict
Radomiak Radom 1–2 Cracovia KrakowCracovia Krakow's recent surge—two straight wins, five goals scored, and a dramatic uptick in attacking output—makes them clear favourites to capitalise on Radomiak Radom's defensive crisis. The single strongest data point is Radomiak's average of three goals conceded per game over the last five, which gives Cracovia a platform to continue their momentum. However, Cracovia's away attack has yet to score in the league, so a low-scoring draw cannot be ruled out if Radomiak tighten up at home.
Radomiak Radom vs Cracovia Krakow: Common Questions
Who will win Radomiak Radom vs Cracovia Krakow?
Cracovia Krakow are favoured with a 49% probability of victory, compared to 22% for Radomiak Radom and 29% for the draw. The visitors' recent form—two straight wins, five goals scored—contrasts sharply with Radomiak's four defeats in five and defensive struggles.
Will Cracovia Krakow's winning run continue?
The model gives Cracovia a strong chance to extend their winning streak, thanks to their recent attacking surge (averaging 2.5 goals and 21 shots per game in their last two). However, their away matches have been goalless draws so far, so maintaining this form on the road remains a test.
Will there be over 2.5 goals in Radomiak Radom vs Cracovia Krakow?
There's a 54% probability of over 2.5 goals, driven mainly by Radomiak's defensive frailty (no clean sheets, 3 goals conceded per game) and a recent trend of high-scoring matches. Cracovia's attack is in form, which supports another open contest.
How This Prediction Was Made
The numbers on this page come from a structured statistical pack for Radomiak Radom vs Cracovia Krakow: recent results and scoring data for both sides, home/away splits, the head-to-head record, current league standings, known injuries and live bookmaker odds, all sourced from the API-Football data feed.
This fixture was routed to The Form Guide, the momentum specialist — weights the last five matches above everything. An AI model running that profile analyses the pack and produces the probabilities, predicted score and written analysis shown above. Nothing is edited by hand, and no information outside the data pack is used.
Last updated: 22 August 2026 (refreshed automatically as new team data arrives). Every prediction is scored against the real result once the match finishes — see the verified track record or read the full methodology. Football is inherently uncertain: treat this page as analysis, not advice.