Djurgardens IF vs Degerfors IF Predictions
Allsvenskan · Sweden
Djurgardens IF
AI Predicted Score
3 - 0
Degerfors IF
Win Probability (1X2)
Best Value Pick
Match Result: Djurgardens IF Win
Recommended Bets: Djurgardens IF vs Degerfors IF
Djurgardens IF vs Degerfors IF: Match Preview
Djurgardens IF approach this clash in the midst of a strong run, unbeaten in their last four league games (three wins, one draw) and sitting second in the Allsvenskan table. Their attack has rediscovered its rhythm, netting eight times in the last five, and they have not failed to score in any of those matches. Degerfors IF, meanwhile, are mired in a relegation scrap, winless in their last five (two draws, three defeats) and coming off a bruising 0-4 loss at BK Hacken. Their away form remains a major concern, with just two wins and 24 goals conceded in thirteen road fixtures.
Statistically, this is a meeting of one of the league's most in-form attacks against one of its most porous defences. Djurgardens are averaging 1.4 goals and 3.6 shots on target per game in their last five, while Degerfors are conceding 1.8 goals and allowing 8.6 shots per match over the same period. The hosts have kept three clean sheets in their last five, whereas Degerfors have not managed a single shutout in their last ten away games. Set pieces could also play a role, with Degerfors conceding an average of 4.4 corners per game recently, offering Djurgardens additional routes to goal.
The model expects Djurgardens to assert themselves early, with a 61% chance of the first goal coming before the half-hour. Their momentum and attacking depth should see them break down a Degerfors side that has struggled to keep matches tight on the road. With Degerfors' attack averaging just 0.6 goals per game over their last five, a home clean sheet is likely, and a multi-goal winning margin for Djurgardens is the most probable scenario.
How Djurgardens IF and Degerfors IF Are Arriving
Form, fitness and who's likely to start.
Djurgardens IF vs Degerfors IF Goalscorer Form
Goals scored in last 5 matches across all competitions. Rate = goals ÷ 5 games. XI badge shows player is in the expected starting lineup.
Djurgardens IFlast 5 matchesRegular contributor
Regular contributor
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Degerfors IFlast 5 matchesOccasional threat
Occasional threat
Djurgardens IF are surging, unbeaten in their last four league matches (three wins, one draw) and scoring in every game. Their momentum is underlined by three clean sheets in that stretch and a recent 2-0 win away at Brommapojkarna. Degerfors IF, in contrast, are winless in five, with two draws and three losses, and their last outing ended in a heavy 0-4 defeat, highlighting their defensive issues and lack of confidence.
Djurgardens IF vs Degerfors IF — Last 10 Matches
Strengths
- +Solid recent form — 3+ wins in last 5
- +3 clean sheets in last 5 matches
- +52% clean sheet rate this season
Concerns
- −Inconsistent — 3+ losses in last 5
- −Struggling to score — 0.6 goals/game
- −No clean sheets in last 5 matches
Djurgardens IF vs Degerfors IF Prediction Confidence at a Glance
How strongly the model leans on each market.
Stats Worth Knowing
The numbers behind Djurgardens IF vs Degerfors IF that most previews miss.
- 1Djurgardens IF have scored at least two goals in four of their last five league matches.
- 2Degerfors IF have not kept a clean sheet in any of their last ten away games, conceding at least twice in seven of those.
- 3In the last five H2H meetings in Stockholm, Djurgardens have won by three or more goals on three occasions.
🎮 Prediction Playground
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Expected goals · model says 2.45
Expected goals · model says 0.75
Over 2.5 Goals
62%
BTTS: Yes
48%
Likely Scores
2-0 · 3-0 · 1-0
Play this match once with the probabilities above — every run is different.
Powered by the same Poisson scoreline model behind the prediction. For fun and exploration — not betting advice.
Who do you think wins: Djurgardens IF vs Degerfors IF?
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The Case For This Djurgardens IF vs Degerfors IF Prediction
Djurgardens IF come into this fixture riding a wave of momentum, unbeaten in their last four league matches (three wins, one draw) and pushing hard in the title race from second place. Their attack is firing, with eight goals scored in the last five and no blanks in that stretch. Degerfors IF, by contrast, are stuck in a rut: two points from the last five games, winless in that span, and sitting just above the relegation zone after a heavy 0-4 defeat last time out. The data points to a lopsided tactical matchup. Djurgardens' attack is averaging 1.4 goals and 3.6 shots on target per game over their last five, while Degerfors' defence is leaking 1.8 per match in the same period and has managed just one clean sheet in their last ten away trips. Degerfors' away record is especially poor, with only two wins and 24 goals conceded in 13 matches on the road. Djurgardens' defensive structure at home—three clean sheets in the last five—should further limit Degerfors' already blunt attack. Expect Djurgardens to take control early, with a high probability of the first goal coming before the half-hour mark. Their recent form and superior quality in both boxes should see them create a steady stream of chances, while Degerfors' lack of attacking punch and tendency to fade after halftime make a comeback unlikely. The model expects a comfortable home win, most likely by a multi-goal margin.
Key Factors at a Glance
Recent Form
- →Djurgardens IF are unbeaten in their last four league matches, with three wins and a draw.
Defence
- →Djurgardens have kept three clean sheets in their last five, while Degerfors have not kept a single clean sheet in their last ten away matches.
Match Context
- →Degerfors IF have failed to win any of their last five league games and have lost eight of thirteen away this season.
Where the Model Sees Value: Djurgardens IF vs Degerfors IF(3)
Selections where the model's probability beats the bookmaker's implied probability. Expected value is computed from real consensus odds, not opinion.
Match Result: Djurgardens IF Win
Djurgardens IF have won three of their last four league matches and are unbeaten in five, while Degerfors IF have taken just two points from their last five and have lost eight of thirteen away games this season. The home side's attacking momentum and Degerfors' defensive frailty make the home win the most probable outcome.
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BTTS: No
Djurgardens have kept three clean sheets in their last five, while Degerfors have failed to score in two of their last five and average just 0.69 goals per away game this season. The form trajectory and defensive solidity of the hosts point towards at least one side failing to score.
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Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Djurgardens IF average 2.08 goals per match this season and have scored at least two in four of their last five, while Degerfors have conceded 1.85 per away game and shipped four last time out. The attacking momentum of the hosts and Degerfors' defensive struggles suggest a high likelihood of a game with three or more goals.
Read more ↓
More Allsvenskan Predictions
🚩 Djurgardens IF vs Degerfors IF Corners Prediction
low confidenceOur corners model projects roughly 4.4 corners for Djurgardens IF and 5.2 for Degerfors IF, for an expected total of 9.6. That makes the model lean Under 9.5 corners (51%). Over 8.5: 62% · Over 10.5: 37%.
What History Says: Djurgardens IF vs Degerfors IF
Djurgardens IF have dominated this fixture historically, winning seven of the last ten meetings and scoring three or more in half of those. At home, they've been especially ruthless, with recent results including 5-1 and 4-1 victories. Degerfors have not won away at Djurgardens in the last decade, and their last visit ended in a comprehensive defeat.
Djurgardens IF vs Degerfors IF Head-to-Head History
Last 10 meetings between these sides
7
Djurgardens IF wins
1
Draws
2
Degerfors IF wins
Things to Watch: Djurgardens IF vs Degerfors IF
- ⚠️Bookmaker odds are unavailable, so value edges cannot be precisely calculated.
- ⚠️Degerfors' occasional ability to frustrate top sides (e.g., 1-1 at Mjallby recently) means a low-scoring draw cannot be fully ruled out.
- ⚠️Potential for rotation or complacency from Djurgardens, given their strong position, is a minor unknown.
This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Betting involves risk — always gamble responsibly.
Final Verdict
Djurgardens IF 3–0 Degerfors IFDjurgardens IF's recent momentum—three wins and a draw in their last four, with eight goals scored—makes them overwhelming favourites to dispatch a Degerfors side that has lost eight of thirteen away and conceded 24 goals on the road. The most likely scoreline is 3-0, driven by the hosts' attacking form and Degerfors' defensive vulnerability. The main risk is Djurgardens underestimating their struggling opponents or Degerfors finding an early goal against the run of play.
Djurgardens IF vs Degerfors IF: Common Questions
Who will win Djurgardens IF vs Degerfors IF?
Djurgardens IF are strong favourites with a 74% probability of victory, based on their four-match unbeaten run and Degerfors' poor away record (eight losses in thirteen). The model projects a comfortable home win.
Will both teams score in Djurgardens IF vs Degerfors IF?
Both teams to score is rated at just 24%, with Djurgardens keeping three clean sheets in their last five and Degerfors averaging only 0.6 goals per game recently. The data strongly favours at least one side failing to score.
Can Djurgardens IF's winning streak continue?
Djurgardens IF have taken ten points from their last four league games and have not failed to score in any of their last five. Given their current momentum and Degerfors' defensive struggles, the probability of another positive result is very high.
How This Prediction Was Made
The numbers on this page come from a structured statistical pack for Djurgardens IF vs Degerfors IF: recent results and scoring data for both sides, home/away splits, the head-to-head record, current league standings, known injuries and live bookmaker odds, all sourced from the API-Football data feed.
This fixture was routed to The Form Guide, the momentum specialist — weights the last five matches above everything. An AI model running that profile analyses the pack and produces the probabilities, predicted score and written analysis shown above. Nothing is edited by hand, and no information outside the data pack is used.
Last updated: 25 October 2026 (refreshed automatically as new team data arrives). Every prediction is scored against the real result once the match finishes — see the verified track record or read the full methodology. Football is inherently uncertain: treat this page as analysis, not advice.
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