Dundee Utd vs Heart Of Midlothian Predictions
Premiership · Scotland
Dundee Utd
AI Predicted Score
1 - 2
Heart Of Midlothian
Win Probability (1X2)
Best Value Pick
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Recommended Bets: Dundee Utd vs Heart Of Midlothian
Dundee Utd vs Heart Of Midlothian: Match Preview
Dundee United arrive in mid-table with a balanced record (3W, 3D, 3L), but their home attack has been blunt, producing just three goals in four matches at Tannadice. Hearts, meanwhile, sit third in the table and boast the division’s most prolific attack, though their recent form is mixed, with back-to-back defeats in league and Europe. The visitors’ away record is a concern (1W, 1D, 3L), but their overall scoring rate and H2H record provide a statistical edge.
The matchup is defined by Hearts’ high-scoring profile: their league games average 3.89 goals, and 8 of 9 have gone over 2.5. While Hearts’ away defence is a liability (13 conceded in 5), Dundee United’s home attack (0.75 goals per game) is among the league’s least productive. Both sides average over 15 shots per game, and corners are likely to be plentiful, with United generating 7.8 and Hearts 4.4 per match over the last five. Discipline could be a subplot, as both average over 2 yellow cards per game.
Given the underlying rates, the model projects a match with above-average goal expectancy, with Hearts’ attacking output likely to outweigh their defensive frailties. Dundee United’s inability to convert home pressure into goals tips the balance towards a narrow away win, with a 2-1 scoreline the most probable outcome based on both teams’ season-long averages.
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Expected goals · model says 1.30
Expected goals · model says 1.85
Over 2.5 Goals
61%
BTTS: Yes
61%
Likely Scores
1-1 · 1-2 · 0-1
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Powered by the same Poisson scoreline model behind the prediction. For fun and exploration — not betting advice.
Dundee Utd vs Heart Of Midlothian Prediction Confidence at a Glance
How strongly the model leans on each market.
Stats Worth Knowing
The numbers behind Dundee Utd vs Heart Of Midlothian that most previews miss.
- 1Hearts' league matches have seen over 2.5 goals in 8 of 9 outings (88.9%), the highest rate in the division.
- 2Dundee United have scored just 3 goals in 4 home games (0.75 per game), the lowest of any top-half side.
- 3Seven of the last ten H2H meetings have produced at least three goals, with Hearts winning six times.
Who do you think wins: Dundee Utd vs Heart Of Midlothian?
Cast your vote, then see how it stacks up against the model.
Where the Model Sees Value: Dundee Utd vs Heart Of Midlothian(2)
Selections where the model's probability beats the bookmaker's implied probability. Expected value is computed from real consensus odds, not opinion.
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Hearts matches have gone over 2.5 goals in 8 of 9 league games (88.9%), with an average of 3.89 total goals per game; Dundee Utd's home attack is limited, but Hearts' away defence (13 conceded in 5 away) points to a high goal environment.
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Match Result: Heart Of Midlothian Win
Hearts have won 6 of the last 10 H2H, including a 4-0 in August, and have scored 20 goals in 9 league games; Dundee Utd have managed just 3 goals in 4 home matches and have a negative goal difference overall.
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More Premiership Predictions
The Case For This Dundee Utd vs Heart Of Midlothian Prediction
This fixture sets up as a clash between a Hearts side with the league’s third-best attack (2.22 goals per game) and a Dundee United team that has struggled to find the net at home, scoring just three times in four matches at Tannadice Park. The visitors’ away form is patchy (one win in five) but their scoring rate remains strong, while Dundee United’s defensive record at home is only middling. Statistically, Hearts’ matches are the highest-scoring in the division, with 88.9% finishing over 2.5 goals and an average of 3.89 total goals per game. Their away defence is a clear weakness, conceding 13 in five on the road (2.6 per game), but Dundee United’s attack is not set up to exploit this fully, averaging just 0.75 goals per home match. Both sides generate high shot volumes (DUFC 15.2, Hearts 17.2 per last five), and both average over 4 cards per match, pointing to a contest with plenty of action and set-piece opportunities. The model expects Hearts’ superior attacking output and recent H2H dominance to tell, but sees Dundee United’s defensive structure keeping the margin close. The most likely scenario is a high-tempo first half with Hearts taking the initiative and both teams contributing to a scoreline above the league average.
Key Factors at a Glance
Defence
- →Hearts away matches average 4.0 goals per game, with 13 conceded in 5 away.
Match Context
- →Hearts have scored 20 goals in 9 league matches (2.22 per game), highest in the fixture.
- →Dundee United have scored just 3 goals in 4 home games (0.75 per game).
🚩 Dundee Utd vs Heart Of Midlothian Corners Prediction
medium confidenceOur corners model projects roughly 7.4 corners for Dundee Utd and 4.2 for Heart Of Midlothian, for an expected total of 11.6. That makes the model lean Over 9.5 corners (72%). Over 8.5: 81% · Over 10.5: 61%.
How Dundee Utd and Heart Of Midlothian Are Arriving
Form, fitness and who's likely to start.
Dundee Utd vs Heart Of Midlothian Goalscorer Form
Goals scored in last 5 matches across all competitions. Rate = goals ÷ 5 games. XI badge shows player is in the expected starting lineup.
Dundee Utdlast 5 matchesRegular contributor
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Heart Of Midlothianlast 5 matchesRegular contributor
Regular contributor
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Dundee United are unbeaten in four (W2 D2), but have scored just once in each of their last three league matches. Hearts have lost two on the bounce (including a heavy 1-7 defeat at Celtic), yet their overall form remains strong with five wins in nine and the league’s most potent attack.
Dundee Utd vs Heart Of Midlothian — Last 9 Matches
Strengths
- +High-volume attack — 15 shots/game
Strengths
- +Over 2.5 goals in 88.89% of games this season
- +High-volume attack — 17 shots/game
Concerns
- −Leaky defence — 2.2 conceded/game
What History Says: Dundee Utd vs Heart Of Midlothian
Hearts have won six of the last ten meetings with Dundee United, including a 4-0 win earlier this season and a 3-0 victory on their last trip to Tannadice. Only two of the last ten have ended in draws, and most have produced at least three goals.
Dundee Utd vs Heart Of Midlothian Head-to-Head History
Last 10 meetings between these sides
2
Dundee Utd wins
2
Draws
6
Heart Of Midlothian wins
Things to Watch: Dundee Utd vs Heart Of Midlothian
- ⚠️No bookmaker odds available, so value and expected value cannot be calculated.
- ⚠️Lineups and late injuries are unknown for this future fixture.
- ⚠️Hearts' away form is inconsistent (1 win in 5), increasing result volatility.
This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Betting involves risk — always gamble responsibly.
Final Verdict
Dundee Utd 1–2 Heart Of MidlothianThe model forecasts a 2-1 away win for Hearts, underpinned by their league-leading scoring rate (2.22 goals per game) and a track record of high-scoring matches. The biggest risk to this projection is Hearts’ leaky away defence, which could allow a limited Dundee United attack to overperform their usual output, especially if Hearts tire after recent European travel.
Dundee Utd vs Heart Of Midlothian: Common Questions
Who will win Dundee Utd vs Heart Of Midlothian?
The model gives Hearts a 48% chance of victory, with Dundee United at 23% and the draw at 29%. Hearts’ superior attack and H2H record make them statistical favourites, but their away form (1 win in 5) adds some uncertainty.
Will there be over or under 2.5 goals?
There is a 63% probability of over 2.5 goals, based on Hearts’ matches averaging 3.89 total goals and 8 of 9 going over this line. Dundee United’s home matches are lower scoring, but Hearts’ attacking style drives the total up.
Are both teams likely to score?
Both teams to score is rated at 55%, reflecting Hearts’ defensive issues away (13 conceded in 5) and Dundee United’s struggles to score at home (3 in 4). The model expects both to contribute, but neither side is reliable for clean sheets.
How This Prediction Was Made
The numbers on this page come from a structured statistical pack for Dundee Utd vs Heart Of Midlothian: recent results and scoring data for both sides, home/away splits, the head-to-head record, current league standings, known injuries and live bookmaker odds, all sourced from the API-Football data feed.
This fixture was routed to The Numbers Desk, the statistical baseline — season-long rates, splits and distributions. An AI model running that profile analyses the pack and produces the probabilities, predicted score and written analysis shown above. Nothing is edited by hand, and no information outside the data pack is used.
Last updated: 24 October 2026 (refreshed automatically as new team data arrives). Every prediction is scored against the real result once the match finishes — see the verified track record or read the full methodology. Football is inherently uncertain: treat this page as analysis, not advice.
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