Hibernian vs Dundee Predictions

Hibernian PredictionsDundee PredictionsPremiershipH2H Stats
Prediction by The Numbers Desk — No extreme form or market signal — routed to The Numbers Desk, which builds the prediction from the underlying statistical rates.
PremiershipPremiership · Scotland
high confidence
Hibernian

Hibernian

AI Predicted Score

1 - 2

Dundee

Dundee

🗓️ Saturday, 31 Oct 2026 at 15:00 GMT (venue time) · 15:00 UTC (your time)📍 Easter Road, Edinburgh

Win Probability (1X2)

Hibernian 23%Draw 32%Dundee 45%

Best Value Pick

Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5

Read the Preview Play With the Prediction See the Value Calls View Team Form

Recommended Bets: Hibernian vs Dundee

Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
7/10
Match Result: Dundee Win
6/10

Hibernian vs Dundee: Match Preview

Hibernian enter this fixture rooted to the bottom of the Premiership, having failed to win any of their five home matches (0W 1D 4L) and carrying a two-game losing streak. Their only two league wins have come on the road, and their recent form string of LLDLW reflects ongoing struggles to convert chances into points. Dundee, by contrast, sit fourth with 14 points, unbeaten in three, and have found the net in every away match so far.

The statistical matchup favours goals: Hibernian concede 1.56 per game (worst in the league), while Dundee average 1.44 scored and 1.11 conceded per match. Hibs' home matches are averaging 2.6 goals, with a high over 2.5 rate (66.7%), and Dundee's last five have all seen both teams score. Hibernian's shot and corner production at Easter Road is strong (14.2 shots, 7 corners per game in last five), but their finishing has been inefficient, and they have not kept a single clean sheet this season. Discipline could also play a role, with both sides averaging over one yellow per game recently.

Given these trends, the model projects an open contest with Dundee's away efficiency and Hibernian's defensive frailty tipping the balance. The most probable outcome is a 2-1 win for the visitors, with the goal environment supported by both teams' attacking production and vulnerability at the back. Hibernian's high shot count could keep them in the game, but their home record and concession rate are hard to overlook.

🎮 Prediction Playground

Think the model has it wrong? Nudge each team's expected goals and watch every probability react — then simulate the match and see what happens.

Hibernian1.20

Expected goals · model says 1.20

Dundee1.65

Expected goals · model says 1.65

Win Probability
Hibernian 28% Draw 24% Dundee 48%

Over 2.5 Goals

54%

BTTS: Yes

56%

Likely Scores

1-1 · 0-1 · 1-2

Play this match once with the probabilities above — every run is different.

Powered by the same Poisson scoreline model behind the prediction. For fun and exploration — not betting advice.

Hibernian vs Dundee Prediction Confidence at a Glance

How strongly the model leans on each market.

Match Result (1X2)
23%
32%
45%
Hibernian 23%Draw 32%Dundee 45%
Both Teams to Score
54%
46%
Yes 54%No 46%
Over/Under 2.5 Goals
57%
43%
Over 2.5 57%Under 2.5 43%
Corners (Over/Under 9.5)
79%
21%
Over 9.5 79%Under 9.5 21%

Stats Worth Knowing

The numbers behind Hibernian vs Dundee that most previews miss.

  • 1Dundee have seen both teams score in each of their last five league matches, with an average of 3.0 total goals per game in that span.
  • 2Hibernian's home matches average a league-high 11.2 corners, with their last three at Easter Road producing 15, 6, and 6 corners respectively.
  • 3Hibernian have failed to keep a clean sheet in any of their nine league games this season, conceding at least once in every match.

Who do you think wins: Hibernian vs Dundee?

Cast your vote, then see how it stacks up against the model.

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The Case For This Hibernian vs Dundee Prediction

This fixture pits the league's bottom side Hibernian, who have yet to win at Easter Road, against a Dundee team sitting fourth and unbeaten in their last three. Hibernian's two wins this season have both come away, and their current run of two straight defeats at home underlines their struggles. Dundee, meanwhile, arrive with 14 points from nine, a positive goal difference, and a five-match BTTS streak that hints at both attacking intent and defensive vulnerability. Statistically, the matchup is defined by Hibernian's inability to keep clean sheets (0% clean sheet rate, 1.56 conceded per game) against a Dundee attack averaging 1.44 goals per match. Dundee's away defence is more robust (1.0 conceded per away game), but they've kept just one clean sheet in nine. Hibernian have been generating high shot and corner volumes at home (14.2 shots, 7 corners per game in last five), but their conversion rate is low, with just four goals in five home matches. Both teams' over 2.5 goal rates are above league average (Hibernian 66.7%, Dundee 55.6%), and Dundee have seen both teams score in each of their last five. The model expects Dundee's superior away form and attacking output to edge a high-chance, open contest. Hibernian's shot volume could see them on the scoresheet, but their defensive numbers and poor home record make them underdogs. The most likely scenario is a 2-1 away win, with the goal environment driven by both sides' tendency to concede and create chances.

Key Factors at a Glance

Defence

  • →Hibernian are winless at home this season (0W 1D 4L, 4 scored, 9 conceded).

Match Context

  • →Dundee have scored in every away game and have a 55.6% over 2.5 rate.
  • →Both teams have seen BTTS in at least two of their last five, with Dundee at 100%.

🚩 Hibernian vs Dundee Corners Prediction

medium confidence
12.4expected total corners
Over 79%
Under 21%
Over 9.5Under 9.5

Our corners model projects roughly 7 corners for Hibernian and 5.4 for Dundee, for an expected total of 12.4. That makes the model lean Over 9.5 corners (79%). Over 8.5: 87% · Over 10.5: 69%.

More corners tips:Over 9.5 →Under 9.5 →

How Hibernian and Dundee Are Arriving

Form, fitness and who's likely to start.

Hibernian vs Dundee Goalscorer Form

Goals scored in last 5 matches across all competitions. Rate = goals ÷ 5 games. XI badge shows player is in the expected starting lineup.

HibernianHibernianlast 5 matches
O. EldingXI
1 goal in 5
20%

Occasional threat

M. BoyleXI
1 goal in 5
20%

Occasional threat

Thibault KlidjéXI
1 goal in 5
20%

Occasional threat

Adam MayorXI
1 goal in 5
20%

Occasional threat

DundeeDundeelast 5 matches
Bradley·FinkXI
3 goals in 5
60%

Scoring consistently

Callum JonesXI
1 goal in 5
20%

Occasional threat

O. BevanXI
1 goal in 5
20%

Occasional threat

A. HayXI
1 goal in 5
20%

Occasional threat

J. Westleysub/out
1 goal in 5
20%

Occasional threat

C. Reillysub/out
1 goal in 5
20%

Occasional threat

Hibernian come into this match on a two-game losing streak, with just one point from their last four league fixtures and no home wins all season. Dundee, meanwhile, are unbeaten in their last three, including a 2-2 draw with Rangers and a 2-1 away win at Falkirk, and have scored in every away match so far.

Hibernian vs Dundee — Last 9 Matches

HibernianHibernianLast 9 results
L1-2
L0-1
D1-1
L0-1
L1-2
L1-3
W2-1
W2-1
L1-2
Lvs Falkirk1-2
L@ Dundee Utd0-1
Dvs Aberdeen1-1
Lvs Kilmarnock0-1
L@ ST Johnstone1-2
Lvs Heart Of Midlothian1-3
W@ Dundee2-1
W@ Rangers2-1
Lvs Motherwell1-2

Strengths

  • +Over 2.5 goals in 66.67% of games this season
  • +High-volume attack — 14 shots/game
  • +Dominant in possession — 57% avg

Concerns

  • −Inconsistent — 3+ losses in last 5
DundeeDundeeLast 9 results
D2-2
W2-1
W2-1
L1-2
D1-1
L1-2
W2-0
W2-0
L0-1
Dvs Rangers2-2
W@ Falkirk2-1
Wvs Motherwell2-1
L@ Heart Of Midlothian1-2
Dvs ST Johnstone1-1
Lvs Hibernian1-2
W@ Dundee Utd2-0
Wvs Aberdeen2-0
L@ Celtic0-1

Strengths

  • +Both teams scoring in most recent games

Concerns

  • −No clean sheets in last 5 matches

What History Says: Hibernian vs Dundee

Hibernian have dominated the recent head-to-head, winning six of the last ten meetings and taking the points in both of the last two at Dundee. At Easter Road, Hibs have been especially strong, with two wins and a draw in the last three. Most encounters have been open, with only one goalless draw in the last ten.

Hibernian vs Dundee Head-to-Head History

Last 10 meetings between these sides

6

Hibernian wins

3

Draws

1

Dundee wins

60%30% draws10%
30 Aug 26Dundee vs Hibernian1-2
28 Feb 26Dundee vs Hibernian3-3
22 Nov 25Hibernian vs Dundee2-0
3 Aug 25Dundee vs Hibernian1-2
13 Apr 25Hibernian vs Dundee4-0
23 Nov 24Dundee vs Hibernian4-1

Things to Watch: Hibernian vs Dundee

  • ⚠️No bookmaker odds available, so value bets cannot be precisely calculated.
  • ⚠️Small sample size for some derived stats (last five matches).
  • ⚠️Lineups and late injuries unknown at time of prediction.

This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Betting involves risk — always gamble responsibly.

Final Verdict

Hibernian 1–2 Dundee

The model favours a 2-1 away win for Dundee, driven by Hibernian's league-worst home record (0W 1D 4L) and Dundee's consistent attacking output, especially away. The single strongest data point is Hibernian's 0% home clean sheet rate against a Dundee side that scores in almost every outing. The main risk is Hibernian's high shot and corner volume translating into better finishing, or Dundee's defensive lapses allowing the hosts to take something from the game.

Hibernian vs Dundee: Common Questions

Who will win Hibernian vs Dundee?

The model gives Dundee a 45% chance of victory, Hibernian just 23%, and a draw 32%. Hibernian's poor home record and Dundee's attacking consistency tip the probabilities toward the away side.

Will both teams score in Hibernian vs Dundee?

There's a 54% probability of both teams scoring, with Dundee having seen BTTS in each of their last five matches and Hibernian conceding in every league game this season.

How many goals are expected in Hibernian vs Dundee?

The model estimates a 57% chance of over 2.5 goals, with both teams' matches trending above league average for total goals (Hibernian over 2.5 in 66.7% of games, Dundee 55.6%).

How This Prediction Was Made

The numbers on this page come from a structured statistical pack for Hibernian vs Dundee: recent results and scoring data for both sides, home/away splits, the head-to-head record, current league standings, known injuries and live bookmaker odds, all sourced from the API-Football data feed.

This fixture was routed to The Numbers Desk, the statistical baseline — season-long rates, splits and distributions. An AI model running that profile analyses the pack and produces the probabilities, predicted score and written analysis shown above. Nothing is edited by hand, and no information outside the data pack is used.

Last updated: 24 October 2026 (refreshed automatically as new team data arrives). Every prediction is scored against the real result once the match finishes — see the verified track record or read the full methodology. Football is inherently uncertain: treat this page as analysis, not advice.

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Model Accuracy

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