ES Zarzis vs Stade Tunisien Predictions
Ligue 1 · Tunisia
ES Zarzis
Full Time
0 - 0
AI predicted 0 - 1
Stade Tunisien
Win Probability (1X2)
Best Value Pick
BTTS: Yes
@ 6(+2% edge)
Match Result
6.2/10Stade Tunisien Hold On for Goalless Draw Amidst Zarzis Pressure and Late Drama
ES Zarzis and Stade Tunisien played out a tense 0-0 stalemate at the Abdessalem Kazouz Stadium in a match defined by defensive resilience, discipline issues, and a lack of cutting edge in the final third. Despite the absence of goals, the contest was far from dull, with four yellow cards for the hosts and a late red card for Stade Tunisien adding a layer of drama to the closing stages. Both teams struggled to carve out clear chances, and the match ultimately became a battle of attrition and tactical discipline. ES Zarzis were the more aggressive side, pushing forward in search of a breakthrough but were repeatedly frustrated by a well-organized Stade Tunisien defense. The visitors, meanwhile, were forced onto the back foot for much of the game, especially after being reduced to ten men late on, but managed to hold firm and secure a valuable away point.
💪 AI Prediction Report
DECENT HITPredicted
0 - 1
Actual
0 - 0
💰 Bet Results2/3 hit
Key Moments
1-45' — Cagey First Half
Both sides probe without creating clear chances; physical battles dominate.
Second Half' — Zarzis Pressure
ES Zarzis increase attacking intent, but Stade Tunisien defense holds firm.
Late Second Half' — Red Card - Stade Tunisien
Stade Tunisien reduced to ten men, forced to defend deep in closing stages.
Full Time' — Final Whistle
Stade Tunisien see out the draw despite late Zarzis pressure.
ES Zarzis
ES Zarzis showed plenty of endeavor and attacking intent, especially in the second half, as they sought to make home advantage count. Their approach was combative, reflected in the four yellow cards picked up over the course of the match. Despite dominating the physical battles and maintaining territorial pressure, they lacked the clinical edge to convert their efforts into goals. The team’s inability to break down a resolute Stade Tunisien defense, even after the visitors were reduced to ten men, will be a source of frustration. Zarzis' midfield worked tirelessly to regain possession and drive the team forward, but the final ball and composure in front of goal were missing on the day.
Key Players
Strengths
Weaknesses
Stade Tunisien
Stade Tunisien executed a disciplined defensive game plan, absorbing sustained pressure from the hosts and maintaining their defensive shape even after going down to ten men in the latter stages. Their backline was organized and alert, snuffing out Zarzis' attacks and limiting them to half-chances. While the red card forced Stade Tunisien to retreat deeper, their collective defensive effort and ability to see out the draw under pressure were commendable. Going forward, however, they offered little threat and rarely tested the Zarzis defense, settling for a point that could prove valuable in their campaign.
Key Players
Strengths
Weaknesses
Tactical Analysis
With lineups unavailable, the tactical battle was nonetheless evident in the match's flow. ES Zarzis adopted an aggressive, high-pressing approach, looking to force errors and win the midfield battle. Their physical style was reflected in the number of bookings, but also in their ability to pin Stade Tunisien back for long stretches. The hosts sought to exploit width and overloads, but lacked incisiveness in the final third. Stade Tunisien, meanwhile, set up compactly and prioritized defensive structure, especially after the red card. Their lines remained tight, and they were content to absorb pressure and clear their lines, rarely venturing forward. The sending-off forced a tactical shift to an even deeper block, with attackers dropping back to help preserve the clean sheet.
Turning Point
The red card to Stade Tunisien late in the second half, which forced them to defend with ten men and ultimately ensured they settled for a draw.
Man of the Match
Stade Tunisien Central Defender
Anchored the defense superbly, especially after the red card, and was instrumental in securing the clean sheet.
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Expected goals · model says 0.50
Expected goals · model says 0.80
Over 2.5 Goals
14%
BTTS: Yes
22%
Likely Scores
0-0 · 0-1 · 1-0
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Powered by the same Poisson scoreline model behind the prediction. For fun and exploration — not betting advice.
ES Zarzis vs Stade Tunisien Prediction Confidence at a Glance
How strongly the model leans on each market.
Who do you think wins: ES Zarzis vs Stade Tunisien?
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Where the Model Sees Value: ES Zarzis vs Stade Tunisien(3)
Selections where the model's probability beats the bookmaker's implied probability. Expected value is computed from real consensus odds, not opinion.
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5@ 1.3
Both teams have low over 2.5% rates (ES Zarzis 41%, Stade Tunisien 22%), and both recent form and H2H history indicate low-scoring games.
Correct Score: 0–1
Stade Tunisien have a strong defense (0.35 conceded per game), ES Zarzis have failed to score in 4/5, and away wins to nil are common in H2H.
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Double Chance: Draw or Stade Tunisien
Stade Tunisien are 4th, Zarzis are 11th, and the away side has lost just 2 of 11 away. Recent form and stats favor the visitors avoiding defeat.
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More Ligue 1 Predictions
The Case For This ES Zarzis vs Stade Tunisien Prediction
This is a classic low-scoring Tunisian Ligue 1 clash between a struggling ES Zarzis side and a defensively solid Stade Tunisien. Zarzis have failed to win in their last five (LDLLD), scoring just once, and have a poor home record. Stade Tunisien, sitting 4th, have lost only twice away and boast the league's best defensive record. Most recent H2H meetings have been tight or one-sided for the away team. Expect a cagey affair with few chances, where Stade Tunisien are slight favorites but a draw is also likely.
Key Factors at a Glance
Attack
- →ES Zarzis: 1 goal scored in last 5 matches, 4/5 failed to score.
Defence
- →Stade Tunisien: 0.35 goals conceded per game, 70% clean sheet rate.
- →Stade Tunisien away: 4W 5D 2L, only 5 conceded in 11 games.
Match Context
- →Head-to-head: 4 of last 6 meetings under 2.5 goals, away wins common.
- →ES Zarzis home: 2W 4D 5L, only 7 goals in 11 games.
- →Both teams' over 2.5% rates are low (41% and 22%).
How ES Zarzis and Stade Tunisien Are Arriving
Form, fitness and who's likely to start.
ES Zarzis vs Stade Tunisien Goalscorer Form
Goals scored in last 5 matches across all competitions. Rate = goals ÷ 5 games. XI badge shows player is in the expected starting lineup.
ES Zarzislast 5 matchesNo scorer data yet — available after predictions are regenerated.
Stade Tunisienlast 5 matchesNo scorer data yet — available after predictions are regenerated.
Scorer data populates once predictions are regenerated with the updated pipeline.
ES Zarzis vs Stade Tunisien — Last 10 Matches
Concerns
- −Inconsistent — 3+ losses in last 5
- −Struggling to score — 0.2 goals/game
Strengths
- +Defensively solid — 0.6 conceded/game
- +68% clean sheet rate this season
What History Says: ES Zarzis vs Stade Tunisien
ES Zarzis vs Stade Tunisien Head-to-Head History
Last 10 meetings between these sides
3
ES Zarzis wins
4
Draws
3
Stade Tunisien wins
Things to Watch: ES Zarzis vs Stade Tunisien
- ⚠️No shots, possession, or set piece data available for either team.
- ⚠️No injury or lineup info, so late team news could impact predictions.
- ⚠️Tunisian Ligue 1 can be unpredictable and low-scoring by nature.
- ⚠️Bookmaker odds on 1x2 market are very close, indicating high uncertainty.
This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Betting involves risk — always gamble responsibly.
How This Prediction Was Made
The numbers on this page come from a structured statistical pack for ES Zarzis vs Stade Tunisien: recent results and scoring data for both sides, home/away splits, the head-to-head record, current league standings, known injuries and live bookmaker odds, all sourced from the API-Football data feed.
An AI model analyses that pack and produces the probabilities, predicted score and written analysis shown above. Nothing is edited by hand, and no information outside the data pack is used.
Last updated: 4 April 2026 (refreshed automatically as new team data arrives). Every prediction is scored against the real result once the match finishes — see the verified track record or read the full methodology. Football is inherently uncertain: treat this page as analysis, not advice.