FC Andorra vs Mallorca Predictions
Segunda División · Spain
FC Andorra
AI Predicted Score
0 - 1
Mallorca
Win Probability (1X2)
Best Value Pick
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
FC Andorra vs Mallorca: Match Preview
FC Andorra enter this fixture sitting 20th in the table, having lost seven of their opening eleven matches and conceding 20 goals. Their home form has been particularly poor, with just two wins from six and four defeats, including a recent 2-3 loss to Burgos despite dominating possession and shot count. Mallorca, by contrast, are seventh and boast the league’s best defensive record, conceding only six goals in eleven matches and keeping clean sheets in over half their games. The visitors are on a run of two consecutive away draws and have lost just twice all season.
Statistically, this match sets up as a low-goal contest. Mallorca’s away games average just 1.17 total goals, with four of six ending in draws and none producing more than two goals. Andorra’s attack has shown flashes (10 home goals), but their underlying shot and xG numbers are modest, and they have failed to score in two of their last five. Mallorca’s attack is also blunt on the road (three goals in six), but their defensive structure is robust, and they allow just 0.67 goals per away game. Both sides’ recent matches skew heavily under 2.5 goals, and cards are likely with both averaging over three bookings per game in the last five.
The model expects Mallorca’s defensive solidity to dictate the tempo, limiting Andorra’s chances and keeping the match tight. With both teams struggling to create high-quality chances and Mallorca’s away conservatism, a single goal could settle it. The likeliest scenario is a low-scoring draw or a narrow Mallorca win, with under 2.5 goals the standout statistical angle.
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Expected goals · model says 0.70
Expected goals · model says 1.05
Over 2.5 Goals
26%
BTTS: Yes
33%
Likely Scores
0-1 · 0-0 · 1-1
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Powered by the same Poisson scoreline model behind the prediction. For fun and exploration — not betting advice.
FC Andorra vs Mallorca Prediction Confidence at a Glance
How strongly the model leans on each market.
Stats Worth Knowing
The numbers behind FC Andorra vs Mallorca that most previews miss.
- 1Mallorca’s away matches average just 1.17 total goals (3 scored, 4 conceded in 6 games).
- 2Andorra have kept three clean sheets in their last five matches despite conceding 1.82 per game on the season.
- 3Mallorca have drawn four of six away games, the highest away draw rate among the top half of the table.
Who do you think wins: FC Andorra vs Mallorca?
Cast your vote, then see how it stacks up against the model.
Where the Model Sees Value: FC Andorra vs Mallorca(2)
Selections where the model's probability beats the bookmaker's implied probability. Expected value is computed from real consensus odds, not opinion.
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Only 18% of Mallorca’s matches and 54% of Andorra’s have gone over 2.5 goals, with the visitors conceding just 0.55 per game and keeping clean sheets in 54% of fixtures; the overall goal environment rates this as a strong under spot.
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Match Result: Draw
Mallorca have drawn four of six away games and Andorra have not drawn at home, but the low-goal, low-margin profile and Mallorca’s away conservatism (just three goals scored, four conceded) raise the draw probability well above league average.
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More Segunda División Predictions
The Case For This FC Andorra vs Mallorca Prediction
This is a classic low-goal Segunda clash between a Mallorca side with the league's best defensive record and an Andorra team struggling to convert home advantage into points. Mallorca’s away matches average just 1.17 total goals, and they have drawn four out of six on the road, conceding only four times. Andorra, meanwhile, have lost four of six at home and average 1.82 goals conceded per game, but their recent matches have tightened up defensively, with three clean sheets in their last five across all competitions.
Key Factors at a Glance
Defence
- →Mallorca concede just 0.55 goals per game this season, the best defensive record in the division.
- →Andorra have lost four of six home matches and conceded 11 goals at home.
- →Mallorca have drawn four of six away games, with a total away goal difference of -1 (3 scored, 4 conceded).
🚩 FC Andorra vs Mallorca Corners Prediction
medium confidenceOur corners model projects roughly 5.2 corners for FC Andorra and 5.5 for Mallorca, for an expected total of 10.7. That makes the model lean Over 9.5 corners (63%). Over 8.5: 74% · Over 10.5: 50%.
How FC Andorra and Mallorca Are Arriving
Form, fitness and who's likely to start.
FC Andorra vs Mallorca Goalscorer Form
Goals scored in last 5 matches across all competitions. Rate = goals ÷ 5 games. XI badge shows player is in the expected starting lineup.
FC Andorralast 5 matchesRegular contributor
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Mallorcalast 5 matchesScoring consistently
Regular contributor
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Andorra have struggled for consistency, losing four of their last six league matches and conceding 20 goals in 11 games, though recent defensive improvements are evident with three clean sheets in their last five. Mallorca, meanwhile, are unbeaten in their last four league outings and have made themselves difficult to beat on the road, drawing four of six away and conceding just four times away from home.
FC Andorra vs Mallorca — Last 10 Matches
Strengths
- +Both teams scoring in most recent games
- +50% clean sheet rate this season
- +High-volume attack — 14 shots/game
What History Says: FC Andorra vs Mallorca
No head-to-head data is available for this fixture, so there are no recurring scorelines or dominant team trends to note between FC Andorra and Mallorca.
FC Andorra vs Mallorca Head-to-Head History
Last 1 meeting between these sides
0
FC Andorra wins
1
Draws
0
Mallorca wins
Things to Watch: FC Andorra vs Mallorca
- ⚠️No head-to-head data available between these sides; model cannot correct for stylistic matchup history.
- ⚠️Mallorca’s low away scoring rate could make them vulnerable to variance if Andorra score first.
- ⚠️Bookmaker odds unavailable at time of modelling; value and EV cannot be precisely calculated.
This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Betting involves risk — always gamble responsibly.
Final Verdict
FC Andorra 0–1 MallorcaThe model projects a 1-0 win for Mallorca, driven by their league-best defensive record (0.55 goals conceded per game, 54% clean sheets) and Andorra’s inability to convert home advantage into results. The main risk is that Mallorca’s low away scoring rate (0.5 goals per game) leaves them vulnerable to a stalemate or a sucker punch if Andorra take an early lead.
FC Andorra vs Mallorca: Common Questions
Who will win FC Andorra vs Mallorca?
Mallorca are favoured with a 41% win probability, while Andorra have a 22% chance and the draw is rated at 37%. Mallorca’s defensive record and Andorra’s poor home form drive this edge.
Will there be over or under 2.5 goals in FC Andorra vs Mallorca?
Under 2.5 goals is strongly favoured at 72%, with both teams involved in low-scoring matches: Mallorca’s games have gone under 2.5 in 82% of cases, and Andorra’s attack has failed to score in two of the last five.
What is the recent form of FC Andorra and Mallorca?
Andorra have won only three of eleven and lost seven, including four home defeats, while Mallorca are unbeaten in their last four and have drawn four of six away games, conceding just four goals on the road.
How This Prediction Was Made
The numbers on this page come from a structured statistical pack for FC Andorra vs Mallorca: recent results and scoring data for both sides, home/away splits, the head-to-head record, current league standings, known injuries and live bookmaker odds, all sourced from the API-Football data feed.
This fixture was routed to The Numbers Desk, the statistical baseline — season-long rates, splits and distributions. An AI model running that profile analyses the pack and produces the probabilities, predicted score and written analysis shown above. Nothing is edited by hand, and no information outside the data pack is used.
Last updated: 1 November 2026 (refreshed automatically as new team data arrives). Every prediction is scored against the real result once the match finishes — see the verified track record or read the full methodology. Football is inherently uncertain: treat this page as analysis, not advice.