Hereford vs King's Lynn Town Predictions
National League - North · England
Hereford
AI Predicted Score
2 - 1
King's Lynn Town
Win Probability (1X2)
Best Value Pick
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Recommended Bets: Hereford vs King's Lynn Town
Hereford vs King's Lynn Town: Match Preview
Hereford enter this contest sitting second in the table with 23 points from 11 matches, underpinned by a league-best defensive record and a home return of 4 wins from 6. Their recent form has been mixed, with a 6-0 demolition of South Shields offset by a surprise 0-1 home loss to Hednesford Town. King's Lynn Town, meanwhile, are fourth with 20 points from 12, and have found their scoring touch on the road, netting 12 times in 6 away fixtures. Both sides are firmly in the promotion mix, with little separating them in recent results.
Statistically, the match projects as a balanced contest with a slight tilt towards the hosts. Hereford average 2.0 goals scored and just 0.5 conceded per home game, while King's Lynn Town's away attack (2.0 per game) is offset by a defence that allows over a goal per outing. Both sides have seen over 2.5 goals in more than 40% of their league games, and each has scored at least twice in three of their last five. The first half could be cagey—only 3 of Hereford's last 10 H2H with King's Lynn have produced a first-half goal—but both sides tend to open up after the break.
The model expects Hereford's defensive solidity at Edgar Street to be the difference, but King's Lynn Town's away scoring rate and the H2H trend towards close games suggest a narrow margin. With both teams in the top four and neither defence infallible, a 2-1 home win is the likeliest outcome, but the draw remains a live possibility given the H2H history.
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Expected goals · model says 1.60
Expected goals · model says 1.15
Over 2.5 Goals
52%
BTTS: Yes
55%
Likely Scores
1-1 · 1-0 · 2-1
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Powered by the same Poisson scoreline model behind the prediction. For fun and exploration — not betting advice.
Hereford vs King's Lynn Town Prediction Confidence at a Glance
How strongly the model leans on each market.
Stats Worth Knowing
The numbers behind Hereford vs King's Lynn Town that most previews miss.
- 1Hereford have conceded just 3 goals in 6 home matches this season—a league-leading 0.5 per game at Edgar Street.
- 2King's Lynn Town have scored in every away league match this season, averaging 2.0 goals per away game.
- 3Seven of the last ten H2H meetings have ended in draws or a single-goal margin, with three finishing 0-0 or 2-2.
Who do you think wins: Hereford vs King's Lynn Town?
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Where the Model Sees Value: Hereford vs King's Lynn Town(3)
Selections where the model's probability beats the bookmaker's implied probability. Expected value is computed from real consensus odds, not opinion.
Correct Score: 2–1
The 2-1 scoreline aligns with both teams' season scoring rates (Hereford 2.0, King's Lynn Town 1.83 per game) and a moderate over 2.5 rate for both (Hereford 54.55%, King's Lynn 41.67%), with Hereford's home defence (0.5 conceded/game) suggesting a narrow margin.
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Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Both sides average above 1.8 goals scored per game, and Hereford's matches have gone over 2.5 in 54.55% of league fixtures, making over 2.5 goals a statistically supported play.
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BTTS: Yes
King's Lynn Town have failed to score in none of their last five, and Hereford have conceded in three of their last five; BTTS has landed in 2 of each side's last 5, with both teams' attacks in good seasonal form.
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More National League - North Predictions
The Case For This Hereford vs King's Lynn Town Prediction
This fixture pits two of the division's most consistent attacking sides against each other, with Hereford boasting the league's second-best defensive record and King's Lynn Town carrying a strong away scoring rate. The underlying numbers suggest a match with a moderate goal expectation, but with Hereford's home edge and King's Lynn's tendency to concede, the hosts are marginal favourites.
Key Factors at a Glance
Recent Form
- →Head-to-head has produced 7 draws in the last 10, but King's Lynn have won 4 of those meetings.
Defence
- →Hereford average 2.0 goals scored and just 0.55 conceded per league game, with a 54.55% clean sheet rate.
- →King's Lynn Town have scored 12 goals in 6 away games (2.0 per game) but concede 1.17 per away match.
How Hereford and King's Lynn Town Are Arriving
Form, fitness and who's likely to start.
Hereford vs King's Lynn Town Goalscorer Form
Goals scored in last 5 matches across all competitions. Rate = goals ÷ 5 games.
Herefordlast 5 matchesScoring consistently
Scoring consistently
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
King's Lynn Townlast 5 matchesScoring consistently
Regular contributor
Regular contributor
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Hereford have won two, drawn one, and lost two of their last five, including a 6-0 home win and a 0-1 home defeat, showing both firepower and vulnerability. King's Lynn Town are unbeaten in their last three league outings (W2 D1), with a 5-0 away win at AFC Telford United highlighting their attacking threat. Both sides are in the promotion hunt, but Hereford's defensive record is notably stronger.
Hereford vs King's Lynn Town — Last 10 Matches
Strengths
- +Prolific attack — 2.4 goals/game (last 5)
- +54.55% clean sheet rate this season
Strengths
- +Solid recent form — 3+ wins in last 5
- +Prolific attack — 2.0 goals/game (last 5)
- +Defensively solid — 0.6 conceded/game
- +3 clean sheets in last 5 matches
What History Says: Hereford vs King's Lynn Town
King's Lynn Town have dominated the recent head-to-head, winning four and drawing five of the last ten meetings, including a 2-0 win away at Hereford in August 2025. Draws have been common, with five stalemates in the last ten, and only one match in that span seeing Hereford win. Scorelines are typically tight, with several 0-0 and 2-2 results.
Hereford vs King's Lynn Town Head-to-Head History
Last 10 meetings between these sides
1
Hereford wins
5
Draws
4
King's Lynn Town wins
Things to Watch: Hereford vs King's Lynn Town
- ⚠️Odds not available, so value estimation is limited.
- ⚠️No shots, corners, or discipline data for recent matches restricts set-piece and cards modelling.
- ⚠️Recent form for both sides includes some high-variance results (Hereford's 6-0 win, King's Lynn's 5-0 away win), increasing scoreline uncertainty.
This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Betting involves risk — always gamble responsibly.
Final Verdict
Hereford 2–1 King's Lynn TownThe model favours Hereford by a narrow 2-1 margin, driven by their league-best defensive record at home (0.5 goals conceded per game) and King's Lynn Town's tendency to concede on their travels. The biggest risk to this prediction is the high draw rate in the H2H (5 of last 10) and King's Lynn's consistent away scoring, which could see the visitors take something if Hereford's attack fails to convert early chances.
Hereford vs King's Lynn Town: Common Questions
Who will win Hereford vs King's Lynn Town?
Hereford are marginal favourites with a 45% win probability, compared to 23% for King's Lynn Town and 32% for the draw. The hosts' defensive record at home (0.5 conceded/game) gives them the edge, but the draw is a strong possibility given the H2H trend.
Will both teams score in Hereford vs King's Lynn Town?
Both teams to score is rated at 55%, with King's Lynn Town having scored in every away league match and Hereford conceding in three of their last five. The attacking output of both sides supports a BTTS outcome.
Is over 2.5 goals likely in Hereford vs King's Lynn Town?
Over 2.5 goals is slightly favoured at 54%, as both teams average at least 1.8 goals scored per game and Hereford's matches have gone over 2.5 in 54.55% of league fixtures.
How This Prediction Was Made
The numbers on this page come from a structured statistical pack for Hereford vs King's Lynn Town: recent results and scoring data for both sides, home/away splits, the head-to-head record, current league standings, known injuries and live bookmaker odds, all sourced from the API-Football data feed.
This fixture was routed to The Numbers Desk, the statistical baseline — season-long rates, splits and distributions. An AI model running that profile analyses the pack and produces the probabilities, predicted score and written analysis shown above. Nothing is edited by hand, and no information outside the data pack is used.
Last updated: 24 October 2026 (refreshed automatically as new team data arrives). Every prediction is scored against the real result once the match finishes — see the verified track record or read the full methodology. Football is inherently uncertain: treat this page as analysis, not advice.
More Hereford vs King's Lynn Town Resources
Hereford Predictions
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King's Lynn Town Predictions
All King's Lynn Town fixtures & tips
Hereford vs King's Lynn Town Stats
Full H2H record & season stats
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King's Lynn Town — next match predictions
National League - North Predictions
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Model Accuracy
Track record & verified results