Piast Gliwice vs Cracovia Krakow Predictions
Ekstraklasa · Poland
Piast Gliwice
AI Predicted Score
2 - 1
Cracovia Krakow
Win Probability (1X2)
Best Value Pick
See full breakdown below
Piast Gliwice vs Cracovia Krakow: Match Preview
Piast Gliwice approach this fixture in seventh place, buoyed by a home win over Widzew Łódź and a run of three victories in their last four league matches. Their home form is solid, with 14 goals scored in six matches and only two defeats, while Cracovia Krakow arrive in 11th after snapping a four-game losing streak with a win over Zaglebie Lubin, but remain winless on their travels.
Statistically, Piast's attack is the more potent: 1.8 goals per game overall and 2.33 at home, supported by an average of 11.2 shots and 4 on target in their last five. Cracovia's away defence concedes 1.6 per game and their attack struggles for volume, averaging just 1.2 goals per game and 2.4 shots on target in their last five. Both sides see 60% of matches go over 2.5 goals, but Cracovia have managed only one clean sheet in their last ten, and Piast have failed to score just once all season.
The model expects Piast's home scoring rate to be the decisive factor, with Cracovia likely to pose a threat but lacking the defensive solidity to keep the hosts quiet. While the head-to-head record is draw-heavy and often low-scoring, current attacking rates point to a 2-1 home win as the modal outcome, with the goal environment slightly above league average.
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Expected goals · model says 1.70
Expected goals · model says 1.15
Over 2.5 Goals
54%
BTTS: Yes
56%
Likely Scores
1-1 · 1-0 · 2-1
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Powered by the same Poisson scoreline model behind the prediction. For fun and exploration — not betting advice.
Piast Gliwice vs Cracovia Krakow Prediction Confidence at a Glance
How strongly the model leans on each market.
Stats Worth Knowing
The numbers behind Piast Gliwice vs Cracovia Krakow that most previews miss.
- 1Piast Gliwice's home matches average 4.17 total goals (25 in 6), far above the league mean.
- 2Cracovia Krakow have failed to keep a clean sheet in any of their last five away games.
- 3Seven of the last ten H2H meetings finished under 2.5 goals, but both teams' current over 2.5 rate is 60%.
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The Case For This Piast Gliwice vs Cracovia Krakow Prediction
Piast Gliwice's home attack, averaging 2.33 goals per game at Stadion Miejski, faces a Cracovia Krakow side yet to win away and conceding 1.6 goals per match on their travels. Both teams have shown a tendency for matches to go over 2.5 goals (60% for each this season), but Piast's stronger shot volume and home scoring rate give them the edge in a fixture that often trends low-scoring but has recently opened up.
Key Factors at a Glance
Attack
- →Piast Gliwice average 2.33 goals scored per home league match this season (14 in 6).
Defence
- →Cracovia Krakow have failed to win any of their five away games, conceding 8 goals.
Match Context
- →Both teams have seen over 2.5 goals in 60% of their league fixtures.
🚩 Piast Gliwice vs Cracovia Krakow Corners Prediction
medium confidenceOur corners model projects roughly 4.3 corners for Piast Gliwice and 4 for Cracovia Krakow, for an expected total of 8.3. That makes the model lean Under 9.5 corners (67%). Over 8.5: 45% · Over 10.5: 22%.
How Piast Gliwice and Cracovia Krakow Are Arriving
Form, fitness and who's likely to start.
Piast Gliwice vs Cracovia Krakow Goalscorer Form
Goals scored in last 5 matches across all competitions. Rate = goals ÷ 5 games. XI badge shows player is in the expected starting lineup.
Piast Gliwicelast 5 matchesRegular contributor
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Cracovia Krakowlast 5 matchesRegular contributor
Regular contributor
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Piast Gliwice have won three of their last four league matches and boast a WLLWW form string, with 2.2 goals scored per game in their last five. Cracovia Krakow, by contrast, have lost four of their last five and are yet to win away, but did break their slide with a 3-1 home victory last time out.
Piast Gliwice vs Cracovia Krakow — Last 10 Matches
Strengths
- +Solid recent form — 3+ wins in last 5
- +Prolific attack — 2.2 goals/game (last 5)
Strengths
- +Both teams scoring in most recent games
Concerns
- −4/5 losses in last 5 — poor form
- −Leaky defence — 2.2 conceded/game
- −No clean sheets in last 5 matches
What History Says: Piast Gliwice vs Cracovia Krakow
The last ten meetings have produced five draws, including three goalless encounters, with Piast holding a slight edge at home. Recent H2H clashes have trended low-scoring, but the last meeting saw five goals, hinting at a possible shift given current attacking rates.
Piast Gliwice vs Cracovia Krakow Head-to-Head History
Last 10 meetings between these sides
4
Piast Gliwice wins
5
Draws
1
Cracovia Krakow wins
Things to Watch: Piast Gliwice vs Cracovia Krakow
- ⚠️No bookmaker odds available, so no value or expected value calculations.
- ⚠️Both teams have recent friendlies in their last five, slightly distorting short-term form.
- ⚠️Head-to-head history is draw-heavy and low-scoring, which could suppress the goal expectation.
This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Betting involves risk — always gamble responsibly.
Final Verdict
Piast Gliwice 2–1 Cracovia KrakowThe base rates point to a 2-1 victory for Piast Gliwice, driven by their 2.33 goals per home game and Cracovia's winless away record. The strongest data point is Piast's home scoring output, but the main risk is the historically draw-prone, low-scoring nature of this fixture, which could see another stalemate if Piast's attack stalls.
Piast Gliwice vs Cracovia Krakow: Common Questions
Who will win Piast Gliwice vs Cracovia Krakow?
Piast Gliwice are modelled with a 47% probability to win, compared to 22% for Cracovia Krakow and 31% for the draw. This edge is built on Piast's strong home scoring rate and Cracovia's poor away form.
Will both teams score in Piast Gliwice vs Cracovia Krakow?
Both teams to score is rated at 55%, reflecting Piast's attacking output and Cracovia's tendency to concede, but also their ability to find the net in four of their last five matches.
Is over 2.5 goals likely in Piast Gliwice vs Cracovia Krakow?
The probability for over 2.5 goals is 57%, as both teams have seen this line land in 60% of their league games and Piast's home matches average over four goals.
How This Prediction Was Made
The numbers on this page come from a structured statistical pack for Piast Gliwice vs Cracovia Krakow: recent results and scoring data for both sides, home/away splits, the head-to-head record, current league standings, known injuries and live bookmaker odds, all sourced from the API-Football data feed.
This fixture was routed to The Numbers Desk, the statistical baseline — season-long rates, splits and distributions. An AI model running that profile analyses the pack and produces the probabilities, predicted score and written analysis shown above. Nothing is edited by hand, and no information outside the data pack is used.
Last updated: 17 October 2026 (refreshed automatically as new team data arrives). Every prediction is scored against the real result once the match finishes — see the verified track record or read the full methodology. Football is inherently uncertain: treat this page as analysis, not advice.