Radomiak Radom vs Motor Lublin Predictions
Ekstraklasa · Poland
Radomiak Radom
Full Time
1 - 1
AI predicted 1 - 1
Motor Lublin
Win Probability (1X2)
Best Value Pick
Match Result: Draw
@ 3.65(+11% edge)
Match Result
7/10Radomiak Radom and Motor Lublin Share the Spoils in Entertaining 1-1 Draw
Radomiak Radom and Motor Lublin battled to a 1-1 draw at Stadion im. Braci Czachorów in a match that ebbed and flowed, with both sides enjoying spells of dominance but ultimately unable to find a winner. Motor Lublin struck first, capitalizing on their early control of possession to take the lead in the 21st minute. Radomiak, however, responded swiftly after the break, leveling the score in the 47th minute and setting the stage for an open and competitive second half. Statistically, Motor Lublin edged possession with 54% and fired 4 shots on target from 14 attempts, while Radomiak Radom produced 17 shots but only 2 on target, highlighting some wastefulness in front of goal. Both teams pressed for a winner, with Motor Lublin earning 10 corners to Radomiak's 6, but resolute defending and a lack of clinical finishing meant the points were shared.
🔮 AI Prediction Report
PSYCHIC MODEPredicted
1 - 1
Actual
1 - 1
💰 Bet Results1/1 hit
Key Moments
21' — Goal
Karol Czubak opens the scoring for Motor Lublin, finishing off a well-worked move.
47' — Goal
Radomiak Radom equalize early in the second half, capitalizing on a defensive lapse.
55' — Yellow Card
Motor Lublin's discipline tested as they pick up their first yellow card.
68' — Yellow Card
Second yellow for Motor Lublin as the game grows tense.
79' — Yellow Card
Motor Lublin receive their third caution, reflecting a physical approach late on.
Radomiak Radom
Radomiak Radom showed resilience after conceding first, responding with renewed energy in the second half to equalize just after the restart. While they managed 17 shots, their inability to test the goalkeeper more than twice with shots on target proved costly. The midfield worked hard to regain control, and the backline, marshaled by Jérémy Blasco and Adrián Diéguez, held firm under late pressure.
Key Players
Strengths
Weaknesses
Motor Lublin
Motor Lublin started brightly, controlling possession and converting their early momentum into a 21st-minute lead. Their midfield, anchored by Sergi Samper, dictated much of the play, and they looked dangerous on set pieces with 10 corners. However, despite 4 shots on target, they could not find a decisive second goal and had to settle for a point after conceding early in the second half.
Key Players
Strengths
Weaknesses
Tactical Analysis
Radomiak Radom lined up in a 4-2-3-1, aiming to use their double pivot to shield the defense and transition quickly through midfield. Their attacking trio behind Maurides showed intent, but too often the final ball or finish was lacking. Motor Lublin's 4-1-4-1 provided solidity in midfield, with Sergi Samper orchestrating play from deep and the wide players stretching the pitch. The away side pressed high early and looked to exploit set pieces, as evidenced by their 10 corners. Both managers made tactical tweaks via substitutions, but the overall shapes remained consistent, with neither side able to find a decisive breakthrough. Set pieces were a key battleground, with Motor Lublin's delivery causing Radomiak problems, though the hosts defended resolutely. As the match wore on, both teams became more cautious, wary of conceding a late goal.
Turning Point
Radomiak's equalizer just after halftime (47') shifted momentum and ensured the match remained finely balanced.
Man of the Match
Sergi Samper
Controlled the tempo for Motor Lublin, broke up attacks, and was central to their best passages of play.
🎮 Prediction Playground
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Expected goals · model says 1.00
Expected goals · model says 1.05
Over 2.5 Goals
34%
BTTS: Yes
41%
Likely Scores
0-1 · 1-1 · 0-0
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Powered by the same Poisson scoreline model behind the prediction. For fun and exploration — not betting advice.
Radomiak Radom vs Motor Lublin Prediction Confidence at a Glance
How strongly the model leans on each market.
Who do you think wins: Radomiak Radom vs Motor Lublin?
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Where the Model Sees Value: Radomiak Radom vs Motor Lublin(1)
Selections where the model's probability beats the bookmaker's implied probability. Expected value is computed from real consensus odds, not opinion.
Match Result: Draw@ 3.65
Both teams have a high draw rate this season (Radomiak 9/26, Motor Lublin 10/26), recent form is close, and H2H history shows 2 draws in the last 3 meetings. Model probability (0.38) exceeds market implied (0.27), indicating value.
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The Case For This Radomiak Radom vs Motor Lublin Prediction
This is a mid-table clash with both sides in relatively cautious form. Radomiak Radom are stronger at home but have struggled for wins lately, while Motor Lublin are in better overall form but less convincing away. Both teams have low-scoring tendencies in recent games, and their H2H history suggests close contests. A draw is the most likely outcome, with goals expected to be at a premium.
Key Factors at a Glance
Recent Form
- →Radomiak's home record is solid (7W, 3D, 3L) but recent form is patchy (1W in last 5).
- →Bookmaker odds overrate Radomiak's win chances based on form and H2H.
Defence
- →Motor Lublin are unbeaten in 5 (WWDWW) and have 3 clean sheets in that span.
- →Both teams average under 1.5 goals conceded per game, and recent matches have been low scoring.
Injuries & Team News
- →No significant injuries for either team.
Match Context
- →H2H: 2 of last 3 meetings ended in draws, and all were close.
🚩 Radomiak Radom vs Motor Lublin Corners Prediction
medium confidenceOur corners model projects roughly 5.8 corners for Radomiak Radom and 6.4 for Motor Lublin, for an expected total of 12.2. That makes the model lean Over 9.5 corners (77%). Over 8.5: 86% · Over 10.5: 67%.
How Radomiak Radom and Motor Lublin Are Arriving
Form, fitness and who's likely to start.
Radomiak Radom vs Motor Lublin Goalscorer Form
Goals scored in last 5 matches across all competitions. Rate = goals ÷ 5 games. XI badge shows player is in the expected starting lineup.
Radomiak Radomlast 5 matchesNo scorer data yet — available after predictions are regenerated.
Motor Lublinlast 5 matchesNo scorer data yet — available after predictions are regenerated.
Scorer data populates once predictions are regenerated with the updated pipeline.
Radomiak Radom vs Motor Lublin — Last 10 Matches
Concerns
- −Inconsistent — 3+ losses in last 5
- −Struggling to score — 0.6 goals/game
- −No clean sheets in last 5 matches
Strengths
- +Defensively solid — 0.6 conceded/game
What History Says: Radomiak Radom vs Motor Lublin
Radomiak Radom vs Motor Lublin Head-to-Head History
Last 8 meetings between these sides
1
Radomiak Radom wins
3
Draws
4
Motor Lublin wins
Things to Watch: Radomiak Radom vs Motor Lublin
- ⚠️Some match stats (shots, possession, corners) are missing for several recent games, reducing model confidence.
- ⚠️Lineups not confirmed; late changes could impact balance.
- ⚠️Both teams have shown some volatility in results this season.
This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Betting involves risk — always gamble responsibly.
How This Prediction Was Made
The numbers on this page come from a structured statistical pack for Radomiak Radom vs Motor Lublin: recent results and scoring data for both sides, home/away splits, the head-to-head record, current league standings, known injuries and live bookmaker odds, all sourced from the API-Football data feed.
An AI model analyses that pack and produces the probabilities, predicted score and written analysis shown above. Nothing is edited by hand, and no information outside the data pack is used.
Last updated: 3 April 2026 (refreshed automatically as new team data arrives). Every prediction is scored against the real result once the match finishes — see the verified track record or read the full methodology. Football is inherently uncertain: treat this page as analysis, not advice.