Radomiak Radom vs Piast Gliwice Predictions
Ekstraklasa · Poland
Radomiak Radom
Full Time
0 - 2
AI predicted 1 - 1
Piast Gliwice
Win Probability (1X2)
Best Value Pick
Match Result: Draw
@ 3.4(+22% edge)
Match Result
7.2/10Clinical Piast Gliwice Punish Wasteful Radomiak Radom in 2-0 Away Triumph
Piast Gliwice left Radom with all three points after a disciplined 2-0 victory over Radomiak Radom, capitalizing on their chances while the hosts rued a litany of missed opportunities. Despite Radomiak's impressive attacking intent—registering 23 shots and forcing nine saves—Piast's defensive organization and ruthless finishing proved decisive. The visitors struck at the perfect moments, breaking the deadlock on the stroke of halftime and doubling their lead midway through the second period. Radomiak pressed relentlessly, winning 14 corners and dominating the shot count, but Piast's backline and goalkeeper D. Gril stood firm. In contrast, Piast made the most of their 53% possession, clinically converting two of their four shots on target to secure a vital away win.
💀 AI Prediction Report
DOWN BADPredicted
1 - 1
Actual
0 - 2
💰 Bet Results0/1 hit
Key Moments
45' — Goal
Leandro Sanca scores to give Piast Gliwice a 1-0 lead just before halftime.
67' — Goal
S. Ntamack Ndimba doubles Piast's lead, finishing off a swift attacking move.
76' — Yellow Card
Piast Gliwice receive their second yellow card as they look to protect their lead.
80' — Radomiak Corner
Radomiak win their 14th corner, but Piast's defense holds firm.
Radomiak Radom
Radomiak Radom played with attacking verve and intensity, creating a plethora of chances and maintaining pressure throughout the match. Their 23 shots and 14 corners highlighted their territorial dominance, particularly in wide areas, but a lack of composure in the final third cost them dearly. Guilherme Luiz led the line energetically, supported by the creative efforts of R. Wolski and Luquinhas, yet the finishing touch was consistently absent. Defensively, Radomiak were caught out at crucial moments—once just before halftime and again after the hour mark—undermining their attacking efforts. A solitary yellow card reflected a generally disciplined approach, but lapses in concentration proved costly.
Key Players
Strengths
Weaknesses
Piast Gliwice
Piast Gliwice delivered a textbook away performance, absorbing pressure and striking with precision. Although they conceded the majority of shots and corners, their defensive organization was exemplary, with D. Gril making nine crucial saves. The back four shielded the penalty area effectively, while the midfield duo of Ivan Lima and J. Łabojko provided stability and ball retention. Going forward, Piast were clinical—scoring with two of their four shots on target. Their ability to transition quickly and exploit Radomiak's defensive vulnerabilities made the difference, and their game management after the second goal ensured a comfortable finish. Two yellow cards reflected their combative approach, but discipline was otherwise maintained.
Key Players
Strengths
Weaknesses
Tactical Analysis
Radomiak Radom lined up in a 4-1-4-1, seeking to control midfield and overload the flanks, reflected in their high corner count and volume of shots. Their wide players and advanced midfielders created numerous opportunities, but Piast's compact 4-4-2 shape limited space in central areas and forced Radomiak to shoot from distance or wide angles. Piast's double pivot in midfield provided a solid screen, while their front two pressed selectively, conserving energy for quick transitions. After taking the lead, Piast became more compact, dropping their lines and inviting Radomiak forward, confident in their ability to repel crosses and block shots. Substitutions (not detailed in the data) likely reinforced defensive solidity, while Radomiak pushed numbers forward, leaving gaps that Piast exploited for their second goal. Set pieces were a key weapon for Radomiak, but Piast's aerial defense remained resolute.
Turning Point
Leandro Sanca's goal on the stroke of halftime shifted momentum decisively in Piast's favor, forcing Radomiak to chase the game.
Man of the Match
D. Gril
His nine saves and commanding presence were instrumental in Piast's clean sheet and victory.
Radomiak Radom vs Piast Gliwice: Match Preview
Radomiak Radom and Piast Gliwice meet with the market unable to split them, both priced at 2.5 for the win. Radomiak sit 12th with eight points from seven, their form string reading DWWDL, while Piast are 6th with ten points and a WWWDL run, but both sides have shown as much fragility as promise—Radomiak's goal difference is -7, Piast's is level at 0. The hosts are unbeaten in three, but their attack has stuttered, failing to score in three of the last five, while Piast have found their stride with three straight wins, albeit two coming in cup action.
The tactical contrast is sharp: Piast's attack has produced 2.4 goals per game in the last five, but away from home they've managed just two goals in three league trips. Radomiak's home record is steady (2W, 1D, 1L, 5:5), and they've averaged 12 shots and 5.6 corners per game in their last five. Both teams have kept three clean sheets in that span, and Radomiak's matches have gone over 2.5 goals 71% of the time this season, but their recent games have trended tighter. Set-piece threat leans slightly to Radomiak, who average 10 corners per home match in their last two.
With both sides showing defensive discipline and a clear history of stalemates—five draws in the last ten H2H, including two in Radom—the model rates the draw as the likeliest outcome. The market undervalues this, offering 3.4 on the draw versus a model probability of 36%. Expect a cagey contest, with neither side likely to dominate for extended spells.
Where the Model Disagrees with the Odds: Radomiak Radom vs Piast Gliwice
The model's biggest divergence from the market is on the draw, which is priced at 3.4 but rated as a 36% chance—a 22% edge. Other markets, such as BTTS and over/under 2.5, are broadly in line with the odds, suggesting little value elsewhere. The draw stands out as the only genuine positive expected value play.
Odds from Bet365. Positive edge = our model gives a higher probability than the odds imply. EV = expected value per £1 staked.
1X2
Over/Under 2.5
Both Teams Score
Best Value Markets Found by the Model
EV per £1 staked. Positive EV means this bet has mathematical edge over the long run. Past model accuracy is tracked on our predictions tracker.
Edge and EV are derived from model probabilities only and do not constitute financial advice. Odds fluctuate — always verify current prices with your bookmaker.
Where the Model Sees Value: Radomiak Radom vs Piast Gliwice(1)
Selections where the model's probability beats the bookmaker's implied probability. Expected value is computed from real consensus odds, not opinion.
Match Result: Draw@ 3.44
The model gives a 36% chance of a draw, compared to the market's implied 29.4% at 3.4 odds—a significant edge. Both teams have nearly identical probabilities of winning (32% each), and five of the last ten H2H meetings have ended level, supporting the statistical deadlock.
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Radomiak Radom vs Piast Gliwice Prediction Confidence at a Glance
How strongly the model leans on each market.
Stats Worth Knowing
The numbers behind Radomiak Radom vs Piast Gliwice that most previews miss.
- 1Piast Gliwice's last three away league games have produced just two goals for and five against—a stark contrast to their 13 goals overall.
- 2Radomiak Radom have averaged 10 corners per home match in their last two league outings, well above the league average.
- 3Five of the last ten meetings between these sides have ended in draws, with three finishing 1-1.
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Expected goals · model says 1.30
Expected goals · model says 1.30
Over 2.5 Goals
48%
BTTS: Yes
53%
Likely Scores
1-1 · 0-1 · 1-0
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Powered by the same Poisson scoreline model behind the prediction. For fun and exploration — not betting advice.
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The Case For This Radomiak Radom vs Piast Gliwice Prediction
Markets rate this as a toss-up, but the data points to a dead-even contest with a higher-than-priced chance of a draw. Both sides arrive with defensive improvements and a tendency to cancel each other out, reflected in recent H2H results and their current form splits.
Key Factors at a Glance
Recent Form
- →Piast Gliwice have scored 12 goals in their last five matches but only managed two away from home all season.
Defence
- →Radomiak Radom have failed to score in three of their last five, but have kept three clean sheets in that span.
Match Context
- →Five of the last ten H2H meetings have ended in draws, including three 1-1 or 0-0 scorelines.
🚩 Radomiak Radom vs Piast Gliwice Corners Prediction
medium confidenceOur corners model projects roughly 8.2 corners for Radomiak Radom and 4.8 for Piast Gliwice, for an expected total of 13. That makes the model lean Over 9.5 corners (83%). Over 8.5: 90% · Over 10.5: 75%.
How Radomiak Radom and Piast Gliwice Are Arriving
Form, fitness and who's likely to start.
Radomiak Radom vs Piast Gliwice Goalscorer Form
Goals scored in last 5 matches across all competitions. Rate = goals ÷ 5 games. XI badge shows player is in the expected starting lineup.
Radomiak Radomlast 5 matchesRegular contributor
Occasional threat
Piast Gliwicelast 5 matchesRegular contributor
Regular contributor
Regular contributor
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Radomiak have steadied after a shaky start, picking up five points in their last three but struggling for goals, with just three scored in their last five league games. Piast, meanwhile, have hit a purple patch with three consecutive wins across all competitions, but those numbers are flattered by home fixtures and a cup tie, as their away league form remains patchy.
Radomiak Radom vs Piast Gliwice — Last 8 Matches
Strengths
- +Defensively solid — 0.6 conceded/game
- +3 clean sheets in last 5 matches
- +High-volume attack — 15 shots/game
Concerns
- −Struggling to score — 0.6 goals/game
Strengths
- +4/5 wins in last 5 — excellent form
- +Prolific attack — 2.2 goals/game (last 5)
- +Defensively solid — 0.2 conceded/game
- +4 clean sheets in last 5 matches
What History Says: Radomiak Radom vs Piast Gliwice
This fixture has been defined by parity, with five draws in the last ten meetings and three finishing 1-1. Neither side has managed back-to-back wins in the series, and recent encounters in Radom have been especially tight, with a 1-0 and a 1-1 in the last two.
Radomiak Radom vs Piast Gliwice Head-to-Head History
Last 10 meetings between these sides
3
Radomiak Radom wins
4
Draws
3
Piast Gliwice wins
Things to Watch: Radomiak Radom vs Piast Gliwice
- ⚠️Both teams have shown volatility in attack—Piast's away goalscoring is weak despite recent overall form.
- ⚠️Radomiak's defensive numbers are distorted by a single heavy defeat (0-5 at Legia).
- ⚠️No major injuries reported, but lineups are not confirmed at time of analysis.
This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Betting involves risk — always gamble responsibly.
Final Verdict
Radomiak Radom 1–1 Piast GliwiceA 1-1 draw is the most statistically supported outcome, driven by both teams' recent defensive form and the persistent H2H stalemate trend. The strongest data point is the five draws in the last ten head-to-heads, but the biggest risk is Piast's improved attack finding a breakthrough against a Radomiak side whose defensive record is skewed by one heavy loss.
Radomiak Radom vs Piast Gliwice: Common Questions
Who will win Radomiak Radom vs Piast Gliwice?
The model rates both teams' chances of winning at 32%, with a 36% probability for a draw. Recent H2H history and current form suggest this is a true toss-up, with value on the draw at current odds.
Will both teams score in Radomiak Radom vs Piast Gliwice?
Both teams to score is rated at 54%, with Piast scoring in all of their last five and Radomiak blanking in three of five. The market price is shorter than the model's edge, so there's little value, but BTTS is slightly more likely than not.
Is there value in betting the draw for Radomiak Radom vs Piast Gliwice?
Yes, the draw is priced at 3.4 (implied 29.4%) while the model gives it a 36% chance—a 22% edge. The fixture's history of stalemates and both teams' current form back this up.
How This Prediction Was Made
The numbers on this page come from a structured statistical pack for Radomiak Radom vs Piast Gliwice: recent results and scoring data for both sides, home/away splits, the head-to-head record, current league standings, known injuries and live bookmaker odds, all sourced from the API-Football data feed.
This fixture was routed to The Value Scout, the market-facing profile — hunts the gap between price and probability. An AI model running that profile analyses the pack and produces the probabilities, predicted score and written analysis shown above. Nothing is edited by hand, and no information outside the data pack is used.
Last updated: 9 September 2026 (refreshed automatically as new team data arrives). Every prediction is scored against the real result once the match finishes — see the verified track record or read the full methodology. Football is inherently uncertain: treat this page as analysis, not advice.