Radomiak Radom vs Zaglebie Lubin Predictions
Ekstraklasa · Poland
Radomiak Radom
Full Time
0 - 0
AI predicted 1 - 2
Zaglebie Lubin
Win Probability (1X2)
Best Value Pick
Match Result: Zaglebie Lubin Win
Match Result
6.2/10Radomiak Radom Frustrated by Zaglebie Lubin in Goalless Stalemate
Radomiak Radom and Zaglebie Lubin played out a tense 0-0 draw at Stadion im. Braci Czachorów, with both sides unable to break the deadlock despite Radomiak's territorial dominance. The hosts controlled possession, registering 60% and peppering the Lubin goal with 18 shots, but could only muster three on target. Zaglebie Lubin, meanwhile, were content to sit deep and counter, carving out a few chances of their own but ultimately failing to test Filip Majchrowicz with real conviction. The match was characterized by Radomiak's sustained pressure, as evidenced by their 10 corners and aggressive midfield play. However, Zaglebie Lubin's disciplined back line, marshaled by Damian Michalski and Aleks Ławniczak, stood firm, while goalkeeper Zlatan Alomerović provided a safe pair of hands when called upon. Both teams finished with 14 fouls apiece in a physical encounter that saw three yellow cards but little in the way of clear-cut opportunities.
💀 AI Prediction Report
DOWN BADPredicted
1 - 2
Actual
0 - 0
💰 Bet Results0/2 hit
Key Moments
19' — Yellow Card
Radomiak's Christos Donis booked for a tactical foul in midfield.
37' — Yellow Card
Zaglebie Lubin's Damian Michalski shown a yellow for a late challenge.
52' — Yellow Card
Zaglebie Lubin's Josip Ćorluka cautioned after a foul on Nunnely.
68' — Chance
Radomiak's Fernand Gouré heads over from close range after a corner.
84' — Chance
Luquinhas drives into the box but is denied by Alomerović at the near post.
Radomiak Radom
Radomiak Radom dominated the ball and dictated the tempo for much of the match, deploying a 4-1-4-1 formation that allowed them to overload the midfield and push Zaglebie Lubin back. Despite their attacking intent and a flurry of 18 shots, their finishing left much to be desired, with only three efforts finding the target. The team showed good width and energy, especially through Ché Nunnely and Luquinhas, but ultimately lacked the cutting edge needed to convert their superiority into goals.
Key Players
Strengths
Weaknesses
Zaglebie Lubin
Zaglebie Lubin set up in a 4-1-3-2 formation, prioritizing defensive solidity and quick transitions. They ceded possession but remained organized, limiting Radomiak to mostly speculative efforts. Lubin managed just nine shots, with only two on target, and rarely threatened to score. However, their defensive unit, particularly the central pairing of Michalski and Ławniczak, was resolute, and Alomerović was reliable when called upon. The visitors' discipline was evident in their shape and work rate, though their attacking play lacked ambition.
Key Players
Strengths
Weaknesses
Tactical Analysis
Radomiak Radom's 4-1-4-1 system allowed them to control the midfield and push their wide players high, stretching Zaglebie Lubin's defensive lines and forcing the visitors to defend deep. This approach yielded numerous corners and shots, but Radomiak's inability to convert possession into clear-cut chances was telling. The lone striker, Fernand Gouré, often found himself isolated against a compact back four, limiting his impact. Zaglebie Lubin, meanwhile, set up to absorb pressure and break quickly through their front two, but their transitions were largely stifled by Radomiak's pressing. The visitors' midfield trio worked hard to shield the defense, and tactical fouls were used to disrupt Radomiak's rhythm, as reflected in their two yellow cards. Lubin's lack of attacking ambition was evident in their low shot and corner count, but their defensive discipline ensured a share of the spoils.
Turning Point
Luquinhas's late surge into the box in the 84th minute, denied by Alomerović, was the closest either side came to breaking the deadlock.
Man of the Match
Damian Michalski
Commanded the Zaglebie Lubin defense, making crucial blocks and leading by example to secure a clean sheet under sustained pressure.
Radomiak Radom vs Zaglebie Lubin: Match Preview
Radomiak Radom enter this clash reeling from a bruising run of three consecutive league defeats, including a 0-5 hammering by Legia Warszawa last time out. Their defence has been in freefall, conceding 11 goals in those three losses, and the early season table sees them languishing in 15th with just a single win. Zaglebie Lubin, meanwhile, have made a far more assured start, sitting sixth after two wins from three and showing resilience with late goals to secure points. The visitors' recent form string of WLWWL signals a side on the rise, in marked contrast to Radomiak's downward spiral.
Statistically, the matchup tilts towards the away side. Radomiak's defensive frailty is underlined by a last-five average of three goals conceded per game, and they have yet to record a clean sheet this season. Zaglebie's attack, while not prolific in terms of shots on target (just 0.8 per game over the last five), has been clinical in the second half, scoring four goals after the break in their last two league wins. Both sides have struggled to generate set-piece pressure, averaging just over one corner per game, but Radomiak's indiscipline—2.2 yellow cards per match—could hand Lubin further opportunities.
Given the momentum, the model expects Zaglebie to assert themselves, especially after half-time, exploiting Radomiak's tendency to fade. The H2H record is overwhelmingly in Lubin's favour, with seven wins in the last ten, and the current trajectories suggest that pattern is set to continue. Expect goals at both ends, but the visitors' sharper edge and Radomiak's defensive collapse should prove decisive.
How Radomiak Radom and Zaglebie Lubin Are Arriving
Form, fitness and who's likely to start.
Radomiak Radom vs Zaglebie Lubin Goalscorer Form
Goals scored in last 5 matches across all competitions. Rate = goals ÷ 5 games. XI badge shows player is in the expected starting lineup.
Radomiak Radomlast 5 matchesOccasional threat
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Zaglebie Lubinlast 5 matchesRegular contributor
Regular contributor
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Radomiak Radom's form is in freefall, with four losses from their last five and a defence that has allowed at least three goals in each of their last three league matches. Zaglebie Lubin, by contrast, have won three of their last four competitive games and are showing signs of growing confidence, particularly with late goals to secure points. The momentum is firmly with the visitors heading into this fixture.
Radomiak Radom vs Zaglebie Lubin — Last 5 Matches
Strengths
- +Over 2.5 goals in 80% of games this season
Concerns
- −Inconsistent — 3+ losses in last 5
- −Struggling to score — 0.6 goals/game
- −Leaky defence — 2.4 conceded/game
Strengths
- +Solid recent form — 3+ wins in last 5
- +3 clean sheets in last 5 matches
- +50% clean sheet rate this season
Radomiak Radom vs Zaglebie Lubin Prediction Confidence at a Glance
How strongly the model leans on each market.
Stats Worth Knowing
The numbers behind Radomiak Radom vs Zaglebie Lubin that most previews miss.
- 1Radomiak Radom have conceded at least three goals in each of their last three competitive matches.
- 2Zaglebie Lubin have scored six of their last eight goals in the second half, highlighting a late-game surge.
- 3Only one of the last ten H2H meetings has ended in a draw, with Lubin winning seven times.
🎮 Prediction Playground
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Expected goals · model says 1.20
Expected goals · model says 1.70
Over 2.5 Goals
55%
BTTS: Yes
57%
Likely Scores
1-1 · 1-2 · 0-1
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Powered by the same Poisson scoreline model behind the prediction. For fun and exploration — not betting advice.
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The Case For This Radomiak Radom vs Zaglebie Lubin Prediction
Radomiak Radom limp into this fixture on a run of three straight competitive defeats, conceding 11 goals in those losses and showing little sign of defensive solidity. In contrast, Zaglebie Lubin have strung together two wins from their opening three league matches, including a hard-fought 2-1 victory over Slask Wroclaw last time out, and sit comfortably in the top half. The home side are already feeling the pressure near the foot of the table, while Lubin look to build on early momentum. The tactical contrast is stark: Radomiak's back line has been breached at least three times in each of their last three league outings, while Zaglebie have notched four second-half goals in their last two wins, suggesting a side growing into games and exploiting tired legs. Radomiak's attack has at least found the net in four of their last five, but their average of just 1.8 shots on target per game over that span speaks to a lack of cutting edge. Set-piece danger is muted for both, with corners per game below two apiece recently, but discipline could play a role given Radomiak's 2.2 yellows per match in their last five. Given the form trajectories, the model expects Zaglebie to take control after the interval, capitalising on Radomiak's second-half fade. The visitors' recent run, combined with Radomiak's porous defence and the H2H trend (seven wins in the last ten for Lubin), points to an away victory in a match likely to see goals at both ends.
Key Factors at a Glance
Defence
- →Radomiak Radom have lost four of their last five, conceding 15 goals in that span.
- →Radomiak's season over 2.5 goals rate is 100%, and they have yet to keep a clean sheet.
Match Context
- →Zaglebie Lubin have won three of their last four competitive matches, including two league wins with late goals.
Where the Model Sees Value: Radomiak Radom vs Zaglebie Lubin(2)
Selections where the model's probability beats the bookmaker's implied probability. Expected value is computed from real consensus odds, not opinion.
Match Result: Zaglebie Lubin Win
Zaglebie Lubin have won three of their last four competitive matches and arrive on a WLWWL form run, while Radomiak Radom have lost four of their last five and conceded 11 in their last three competitive outings. The away side's momentum and Radomiak's defensive collapse tilt this towards the visitors.
Read more ↓
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Radomiak's last three league games have all gone over 2.5 goals (aggregate 4-12), and their season over 2.5 rate is 100%. Zaglebie's attack is trending up, with four second-half goals in their last two league wins.
Read more ↓
More Ekstraklasa Predictions
🚩 Radomiak Radom vs Zaglebie Lubin Corners Prediction
medium confidenceOur corners model projects roughly 5.4 corners for Radomiak Radom and 3.8 for Zaglebie Lubin, for an expected total of 9.2. That makes the model lean Under 9.5 corners (56%). Over 8.5: 57% · Over 10.5: 32%.
What History Says: Radomiak Radom vs Zaglebie Lubin
Zaglebie Lubin have dominated the recent head-to-head, winning seven of the last ten meetings and three of the last four away at Radomiak. High-scoring encounters are common, with just one draw in the last ten and several matches featuring four or more goals. This trend reinforces Lubin's status as favourites.
Radomiak Radom vs Zaglebie Lubin Head-to-Head History
Last 10 meetings between these sides
3
Radomiak Radom wins
1
Draws
6
Zaglebie Lubin wins
Where the Model Disagrees with the Odds: Radomiak Radom vs Zaglebie Lubin
No bookmaker odds are available at the time of writing, so model value edges cannot be calculated. However, the model's strong lean towards Zaglebie Lubin and over 2.5 goals suggests these would be the primary value angles if competitive odds emerge. The divergence from season-long averages is driven by the extreme recent form signals.
Odds from Bet365. Positive edge = our model gives a higher probability than the odds imply. EV = expected value per £1 staked.
1X2
Over/Under 2.5
Both Teams Score
Best Value Markets Found by the Model
EV per £1 staked. Positive EV means this bet has mathematical edge over the long run. Past model accuracy is tracked on our predictions tracker.
Edge and EV are derived from model probabilities only and do not constitute financial advice. Odds fluctuate — always verify current prices with your bookmaker.
Things to Watch: Radomiak Radom vs Zaglebie Lubin
- ⚠️No bookmaker odds available at time of writing, so value edges cannot be quantified.
- ⚠️Both teams have limited sample size for new season, increasing volatility in form signals.
- ⚠️Some recent matches are friendlies, which may not fully reflect competitive intensity.
This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Betting involves risk — always gamble responsibly.
Final Verdict
Radomiak Radom 1–2 Zaglebie LubinThe form lines point clearly towards Zaglebie Lubin, whose recent run of results and strong H2H record against Radomiak Radom make them favourites to take all three points. The single strongest data point is Radomiak's defensive collapse—eleven goals shipped in their last three league games—while the most plausible way this goes wrong is if Lubin's attack fails to convert its late-game chances or Radomiak finally stabilise at the back.
Radomiak Radom vs Zaglebie Lubin: Common Questions
Who will win Radomiak Radom vs Zaglebie Lubin?
The model gives Zaglebie Lubin a 45% chance of victory, compared to just 22% for Radomiak Radom and 33% for the draw. Lubin's current momentum and Radomiak's defensive struggles are the key drivers.
Will both teams score in Radomiak Radom vs Zaglebie Lubin?
There's a 54% probability of both teams scoring, with Radomiak involved in four BTTS matches from their last five and neither side looking particularly secure at the back.
Can Radomiak Radom end their losing streak?
Radomiak have lost four of their last five and conceded 11 in their last three league games, so the data suggests their losing run is likely to continue unless they can drastically improve defensively.
How This Prediction Was Made
The numbers on this page come from a structured statistical pack for Radomiak Radom vs Zaglebie Lubin: recent results and scoring data for both sides, home/away splits, the head-to-head record, current league standings, known injuries and live bookmaker odds, all sourced from the API-Football data feed.
This fixture was routed to The Form Guide, the momentum specialist — weights the last five matches above everything. An AI model running that profile analyses the pack and produces the probabilities, predicted score and written analysis shown above. Nothing is edited by hand, and no information outside the data pack is used.
Last updated: 16 August 2026 (refreshed automatically as new team data arrives). Every prediction is scored against the real result once the match finishes — see the verified track record or read the full methodology. Football is inherently uncertain: treat this page as analysis, not advice.