Zaglebie Lubin vs Radomiak Radom Predictions
Ekstraklasa · Poland
Zaglebie Lubin
Full Time
1 - 0
AI predicted 1 - 1
Radomiak Radom
Win Probability (1X2)
Best Value Pick
Match Result: Draw
@ 3.35(+6% edge)
Match Result
6.8/10Early Szabó Strike Lifts Zaglebie Lubin Past Radomiak Radom
Zaglebie Lubin seized an early advantage and held firm to claim a hard-fought 1-0 victory over Radomiak Radom at the KGHM Zaglebie Arena. Levente Szabó struck in the 4th minute, converting the home side's bright start into what proved to be the decisive goal. Despite Radomiak's dominance in possession (64%) and a barrage of attacking play, they were unable to muster a single shot on target, frustrated by Lubin's defensive discipline and tenacity. The match was a tale of contrasting approaches: Lubin, direct and incisive early on, then dogged and organized without the ball; Radomiak, patient in their build-up but ultimately blunt in the final third. Both sides showed their mettle in a physical contest that produced six yellow cards, but it was Lubin's early clinical edge and defensive resilience that sealed the points.
💪 AI Prediction Report
DECENT HITPredicted
1 - 1
Actual
1 - 0
💰 Bet Results0/2 hit
Key Moments
4' — Goal
Levente Szabó opens the scoring for Zaglebie Lubin, finishing a swift early attack.
22' — Yellow Card
First yellow card for Radomiak as frustration begins to show.
37' — Yellow Card
Zaglebie Lubin pick up their first booking, signaling a physical contest.
54' — Yellow Card
Radomiak’s persistent attacking sees them pick up another yellow for a late challenge.
81' — Yellow Card
Late yellow card for Zaglebie as they defend their narrow lead.
Zaglebie Lubin
Zaglebie Lubin came out of the blocks with intensity, capitalizing on their first real chance as Levente Szabó found the net in the 4th minute. From there, they ceded possession but remained compact, defending their lead with impressive organization. Despite registering only 36% possession, Lubin were more threatening in front of goal, firing 17 shots (3 on target) and frequently disrupting Radomiak’s rhythm with aggressive pressing and tactical fouls (24 in total). Their ability to absorb pressure and limit Radomiak to zero shots on target was testament to the backline’s discipline and the midfield’s work rate. The hosts’ attacking threat waned as the match wore on, but their early breakthrough and defensive solidity proved enough.
Key Players
Strengths
Weaknesses
Radomiak Radom
Radomiak Radom controlled the ball for long stretches, enjoying 64% possession and dictating the tempo from midfield. However, their dominance was undermined by a lack of penetration and cutting edge in attack. Despite 11 shots, none were on target, as the visitors struggled to break down Lubin’s disciplined rearguard. The midfield trio of Romário Baró, Luquinhas, and Rafał Wolski circulated possession well, but the final pass and finishing touch eluded them. Frustration mounted as the match progressed, reflected in four yellow cards, and tactical changes failed to unlock the hosts’ defense.
Key Players
Strengths
Weaknesses
Tactical Analysis
Both teams lined up in a 4-2-3-1 formation, but their approaches diverged sharply. Zaglebie Lubin pressed high early, forcing a breakthrough, then dropped deeper, relying on a compact defensive block and frequent tactical fouls to stifle Radomiak’s build-up. Their midfielders tracked runners diligently, and the back four maintained a tight shape, forcing Radomiak into speculative efforts. Radomiak Radom, meanwhile, sought to control the match through possession and patient probing. Their double pivot recycled the ball efficiently, but with Lubin congesting central areas and defending deep, Radomiak struggled to create clear-cut chances. Substitutions aimed to inject fresh legs and attacking impetus, but tactical rigidity and Lubin’s defensive discipline ultimately blunted their efforts.
Turning Point
Szabó’s 4th-minute goal forced Lubin into a defensive posture and set the tactical tone for the remainder of the match.
Man of the Match
Levente Szabó
Scored the decisive early goal and led the line with tireless pressing, embodying Lubin’s game plan.
🎮 Prediction Playground
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Expected goals · model says 1.05
Expected goals · model says 0.80
Over 2.5 Goals
28%
BTTS: Yes
36%
Likely Scores
1-0 · 0-0 · 1-1
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Powered by the same Poisson scoreline model behind the prediction. For fun and exploration — not betting advice.
Zaglebie Lubin vs Radomiak Radom Prediction Confidence at a Glance
How strongly the model leans on each market.
Who do you think wins: Zaglebie Lubin vs Radomiak Radom?
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Where the Model Sees Value: Zaglebie Lubin vs Radomiak Radom(2)
Selections where the model's probability beats the bookmaker's implied probability. Expected value is computed from real consensus odds, not opinion.
Match Result: Draw@ 3.35
Both teams are inconsistent recently, with Zaglebie on a two-game losing streak and Radomiak struggling away (1 win in 13). H2H shows no draws in the last 10, but underlying stats and current form suggest a close contest with a high draw probability.
Read more ↓
BTTS: Yes@ 1.64
Radomiak have seen BTTS in 4 of last 5, and Zaglebie's defense has been less solid lately. Both teams' season averages support a slight lean to BTTS.
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More Ekstraklasa Predictions
The Case For This Zaglebie Lubin vs Radomiak Radom Prediction
This is a mid-table Ekstraklasa clash between a Zaglebie Lubin side looking to bounce back from two straight losses and a Radomiak Radom team with just one away win all season. Zaglebie are strong at home, but their recent form is shaky. Radomiak are leaky on the road (28 conceded in 13) but have shown some attacking threat. Both teams have struggled for consistency, and the historical H2H is surprisingly draw-free, but the underlying data points to a tight, low-scoring affair with a high probability of a draw.
Key Factors at a Glance
Defence
- →Radomiak 0 clean sheets in last 5, Zaglebie 2
- →Zaglebie missing M. Grzybek (regular starter, defense)
Match Context
- →Zaglebie home record: 6W 5D 2L (24:12 GF:GA)
- →Radomiak away record: 1W 6D 6L (16:28 GF:GA)
- →Zaglebie last 5: LLWWW, Radomiak last 5: LDLWD
- →H2H: 10 games, 6 Zaglebie wins, 4 Radomiak wins, 0 draws
- →Over 2.5 goals: Zaglebie 50%, Radomiak 61.5% season, but recent matches trending under
- →Radomiak 4/5 BTTS, Zaglebie 1/5 BTTS last 5
🚩 Zaglebie Lubin vs Radomiak Radom Corners Prediction
medium confidenceOur corners model projects roughly 3.6 corners for Zaglebie Lubin and 4.2 for Radomiak Radom, for an expected total of 7.8. That makes the model lean Under 9.5 corners (74%). Over 8.5: 38% · Over 10.5: 16%.
How Zaglebie Lubin and Radomiak Radom Are Arriving
Form, fitness and who's likely to start.
Zaglebie Lubin vs Radomiak Radom Goalscorer Form
Goals scored in last 5 matches across all competitions. Rate = goals ÷ 5 games. XI badge shows player is in the expected starting lineup.
Zaglebie Lubinlast 5 matchesNo scorer data yet — available after predictions are regenerated.
Radomiak Radomlast 5 matchesNo scorer data yet — available after predictions are regenerated.
Scorer data populates once predictions are regenerated with the updated pipeline.
Zaglebie Lubin vs Radomiak Radom — Last 10 Matches
Concerns
- −Inconsistent — 3+ losses in last 5
Concerns
- −Inconsistent — 3+ losses in last 5
- −Struggling to score — 0.6 goals/game
- −No clean sheets in last 5 matches
What History Says: Zaglebie Lubin vs Radomiak Radom
Zaglebie Lubin vs Radomiak Radom Head-to-Head History
Last 10 meetings between these sides
7
Zaglebie Lubin wins
0
Draws
3
Radomiak Radom wins
Where the Model Disagrees with the Odds: Zaglebie Lubin vs Radomiak Radom
Odds from 10Bet. Positive edge = our model gives a higher probability than the odds imply. EV = expected value per £1 staked.
1X2
Over/Under 2.5
Both Teams Score
Best Value Markets Found by the Model
EV per £1 staked. Positive EV means this bet has mathematical edge over the long run. Past model accuracy is tracked on our predictions tracker.
Edge and EV are derived from model probabilities only and do not constitute financial advice. Odds fluctuate — always verify current prices with your bookmaker.
Things to Watch: Zaglebie Lubin vs Radomiak Radom
- ⚠️No lineups available for this fixture; injury impact for Zaglebie (Grzybek) uncertain but likely moderate.
- ⚠️H2H sample shows no draws, but this may be statistical variance.
- ⚠️Bookmaker odds on under 2.5 are extremely short, offering no value.
- ⚠️Radomiak's away defense is poor, but Zaglebie's attack is inconsistent.
- ⚠️Some match stats missing for recent games (e.g., Lechia Gdansk vs Zaglebie).
This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Betting involves risk — always gamble responsibly.
How This Prediction Was Made
The numbers on this page come from a structured statistical pack for Zaglebie Lubin vs Radomiak Radom: recent results and scoring data for both sides, home/away splits, the head-to-head record, current league standings, known injuries and live bookmaker odds, all sourced from the API-Football data feed.
An AI model analyses that pack and produces the probabilities, predicted score and written analysis shown above. Nothing is edited by hand, and no information outside the data pack is used.
Last updated: 6 April 2026 (refreshed automatically as new team data arrives). Every prediction is scored against the real result once the match finishes — see the verified track record or read the full methodology. Football is inherently uncertain: treat this page as analysis, not advice.