Renaissance Berkane vs Raja Casablanca Predictions

Prediction by The Numbers Desk — No extreme form or market signal — routed to The Numbers Desk, which builds the prediction from the underlying statistical rates.
Botola ProBotola Pro · Morocco
high confidence
Renaissance Berkane

Renaissance Berkane

AI Predicted Score

1 - 1

Raja Casablanca

Raja Casablanca

🗓️ Sunday, 1 Nov 2026 at 21:00 GMT+1 (venue time) · 20:00 UTC (your time)📍 Stade Municipal de Berkane, Berkane

Win Probability (1X2)

Renaissance Berkane 33%Draw 39%Raja Casablanca 28%

Best Value Pick

Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5

Recommended Bets: Renaissance Berkane vs Raja Casablanca

Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
8/10
Correct Score: 1–1
7/10

Renaissance Berkane vs Raja Casablanca: Match Preview

Renaissance Berkane enter this fixture unbeaten in their last five across all competitions (WWDDD), but three straight league draws have left them in the bottom half of the table. Raja Casablanca arrive slightly better placed, also unbeaten in the league (W1 D2), and recently advanced in continental play. Both sides have prioritised defensive solidity, reflected in their early-season numbers.

The statistical matchup is defined by low attacking output and strong defensive rates. Berkane average just 0.67 goals scored and conceded per league game, while Raja's figures are 0.67 scored and an even stingier 0.33 conceded per game. Both teams have posted clean sheets in two of three league matches, and neither has lost. The over 2.5 goals rate is a combined 16.7% (1/6), and shots on target are scarce (Berkane 1, Raja 0.6 per match in the last five). Set-piece threat is limited, with corners per game below league averages for both.

The model expects a methodical, risk-averse contest, with neither side likely to overcommit. The draw is the modal outcome, with a 1-1 scoreline the likeliest scenario. The defensive discipline and lack of attacking punch on both sides make a breakthrough before half-time unlikely, and a single goal could decide the balance if either side capitalises on a rare chance.

🎮 Prediction Playground

Think the model has it wrong? Nudge each team's expected goals and watch every probability react — then simulate the match and see what happens.

Renaissance Berkane0.80

Expected goals · model says 0.80

Raja Casablanca0.75

Expected goals · model says 0.75

Win Probability
Renaissance Berkane 33% Draw 36% Raja Casablanca 31%

Over 2.5 Goals

20%

BTTS: Yes

29%

Likely Scores

0-0 · 1-0 · 0-1

Play this match once with the probabilities above — every run is different.

Powered by the same Poisson scoreline model behind the prediction. For fun and exploration — not betting advice.

Renaissance Berkane vs Raja Casablanca Prediction Confidence at a Glance

How strongly the model leans on each market.

Match Result (1X2)
33%
39%
28%
Renaissance Berkane 33%Draw 39%Raja Casablanca 28%
Both Teams to Score
44%
56%
Yes 44%No 56%
Over/Under 2.5 Goals
23%
77%
Over 2.5 23%Under 2.5 77%
Corners (Over/Under 9.5)
61%
39%
Over 9.5 61%Under 9.5 39%

Stats Worth Knowing

The numbers behind Renaissance Berkane vs Raja Casablanca that most previews miss.

  • 1Only one of the last six league matches combined for these teams has produced more than two goals.
  • 2Renaissance Berkane's last five matches have featured just one instance of both teams scoring.
  • 3Raja Casablanca have conceded only once in three league outings, and have not lost away from home.

Who do you think wins: Renaissance Berkane vs Raja Casablanca?

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The Case For This Renaissance Berkane vs Raja Casablanca Prediction

Statistical rates point to a tightly contested, low-scoring fixture. Both Renaissance Berkane and Raja Casablanca are defensively robust, with clean sheet rates above 65% and neither side averaging even a goal per game in league play. The draw emerges as the most probable result given their similar profiles and early-season caution.

Key Factors at a Glance

Defence

  • →Both teams have kept clean sheets in two-thirds of their league matches so far.

Match Context

  • →Renaissance Berkane have drawn all three of their league fixtures; Raja Casablanca have drawn two of three.
  • →Combined, these sides have seen just one match go over 2.5 goals in six league games.

🚩 Renaissance Berkane vs Raja Casablanca Corners Prediction

low confidence
10.6expected total corners
Over 61%
Under 39%
Over 9.5Under 9.5

Our corners model projects roughly 6.8 corners for Renaissance Berkane and 3.8 for Raja Casablanca, for an expected total of 10.6. That makes the model lean Over 9.5 corners (61%). Over 8.5: 73% · Over 10.5: 49%.

More corners tips:Over 9.5 →Under 9.5 →

How Renaissance Berkane and Raja Casablanca Are Arriving

Form, fitness and who's likely to start.

Renaissance Berkane vs Raja Casablanca Goalscorer Form

Goals scored in last 5 matches across all competitions. Rate = goals ÷ 5 games.

Renaissance BerkaneRenaissance Berkanelast 5 matches
O. Lamlioui
2 goals in 5
40%

Regular contributor

Jamal Harkass
1 goal in 5
20%

Occasional threat

younes kaabi el
1 goal in 5
20%

Occasional threat

Raja CasablancaRaja Casablancalast 5 matches
M. Huja
1 goal in 5
20%

Occasional threat

A. Barkok
1 goal in 5
20%

Occasional threat

Shararh
1 goal in 5
20%

Occasional threat

M. Oyewusi
1 goal in 5
20%

Occasional threat

Adel Bettaieb
1 goal in 5
20%

Occasional threat

O. Chraibi
1 goal in 5
20%

Occasional threat

Renaissance Berkane are unbeaten in their last five across all competitions, with two recent wins in continental play but three consecutive league draws. Raja Casablanca have also avoided defeat in the league (W1 D2) and progressed in the Confederation Cup, conceding just once in three league fixtures. Both sides are defensively solid but have struggled to convert draws into wins domestically.

Renaissance Berkane vs Raja Casablanca — Last 3 Matches

Renaissance BerkaneRenaissance BerkaneLast 3 results
D2-2
D0-0
D0-0
Dvs CR Khemis Zemamra2-2
D@ UTS Rabat0-0
D@ Moghreb Tetouan0-0

Strengths

  • +Defensively solid — 0.4 conceded/game
  • +4 clean sheets in last 5 matches
  • +66.67% clean sheet rate this season
Raja CasablancaRaja CasablancaLast 3 results
D1-1
D0-0
W1-0
D@ FUS Rabat1-1
D@ Maghreb Fès0-0
Wvs CR Khemis Zemamra1-0

Strengths

  • +Defensively solid — 0.6 conceded/game
  • +3 clean sheets in last 5 matches
  • +66.67% clean sheet rate this season

What History Says: Renaissance Berkane vs Raja Casablanca

The last ten meetings between these sides are evenly split, with four wins each and two draws. Recent encounters have leaned towards low-scoring affairs, including three 1-1 or 1-0 results in the last five. Neither side has dominated at home, and away wins have been common in this fixture.

Renaissance Berkane vs Raja Casablanca Head-to-Head History

Last 10 meetings between these sides

4

Renaissance Berkane wins

2

Draws

4

Raja Casablanca wins

40%20% draws40%
3 Jun 26Raja Casablanca vs Renaissance Berkane0-1
25 Feb 26Renaissance Berkane vs Raja Casablanca1-1
29 Dec 24Renaissance Berkane vs Raja Casablanca2-0
31 Aug 24Raja Casablanca vs Renaissance Berkane0-1
24 May 24Raja Casablanca vs Renaissance Berkane3-0
24 Dec 23Renaissance Berkane vs Raja Casablanca1-1

Things to Watch: Renaissance Berkane vs Raja Casablanca

  • ⚠️Very limited sample size for league season (3 matches each) increases volatility in averages.
  • ⚠️No bookmaker odds available, so value edges cannot be quantified.
  • ⚠️Recent continental fixtures may introduce rotation or fatigue not captured in the data.

This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Betting involves risk — always gamble responsibly.

Final Verdict

Renaissance Berkane 1–1 Raja Casablanca

A 1-1 draw is the statistical baseline, driven by both teams' sub-1.0 goals per game rates and a combined 66.7% clean sheet percentage. The single strongest data point is the combined under 2.5 goals rate (83%). The primary risk is that one side breaks the deadlock early, forcing a more open second half than their season averages suggest.

Renaissance Berkane vs Raja Casablanca: Common Questions

Who will win Renaissance Berkane vs Raja Casablanca?

The model gives a 33% probability to a Berkane win, 39% to a draw, and 28% to a Raja Casablanca win. Both sides have drawn the majority of their league matches so far, and the underlying rates point to a stalemate as the most likely outcome.

Will there be over or under 2.5 goals in this match?

The probability for under 2.5 goals is 77%, with both teams averaging less than a goal scored per game and only one of their six league matches this season going over 2.5 goals.

Are both teams likely to score in Renaissance Berkane vs Raja Casablanca?

The model estimates a 44% probability for both teams to score, reflecting the strong defensive records (each with two clean sheets from three league games) and low attacking output on both sides.

How This Prediction Was Made

The numbers on this page come from a structured statistical pack for Renaissance Berkane vs Raja Casablanca: recent results and scoring data for both sides, home/away splits, the head-to-head record, current league standings, known injuries and live bookmaker odds, all sourced from the API-Football data feed.

This fixture was routed to The Numbers Desk, the statistical baseline — season-long rates, splits and distributions. An AI model running that profile analyses the pack and produces the probabilities, predicted score and written analysis shown above. Nothing is edited by hand, and no information outside the data pack is used.

Last updated: 25 October 2026 (refreshed automatically as new team data arrives). Every prediction is scored against the real result once the match finishes — see the verified track record or read the full methodology. Football is inherently uncertain: treat this page as analysis, not advice.

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