Sichuan Jiuniu vs Qingdao Youth Island Predictions

Super LeagueSuper League · China
high confidence
Sichuan Jiuniu

Sichuan Jiuniu

Full Time

3 - 0

AI predicted 2 - 2

Qingdao Youth Island

Qingdao Youth Island

🗓️ Saturday, 11 Jul 2026 at 19:35 GMT+8 (venue time) · 11:35 UTC (your time)📍 Shenzhen Stadium, Shenzhen

Win Probability (1X2)

Sichuan Jiuniu 27%Draw 36%Qingdao Youth Island 37%

Best Value Pick

BTTS: Yes

Match Result

7.4/10

Sichuan Jiuniu Sweep Past Qingdao Youth Island with Emphatic 3-0 Win

Sichuan Jiuniu delivered a commanding performance in Shenzhen, dispatching Qingdao Youth Island 3-0 in a one-sided Super League encounter. The hosts seized control with two first-half strikes, finding the net in the 30th and 43rd minutes, before putting the result beyond doubt with a third goal early in the second half. Despite both teams picking up three yellow cards apiece, the match never threatened to boil over, with Sichuan Jiuniu maintaining composure and discipline throughout. Qingdao Youth Island struggled to match the hosts’ intensity and attacking verve, ultimately failing to register a response. The result underlines Sichuan Jiuniu’s growing confidence at home, while Qingdao Youth Island are left to reflect on a performance lacking both defensive solidity and attacking threat.

😅 AI Prediction Report

CLOSE BUT NO CIGAR

Predicted

2 - 2

⚡

Actual

3 - 0

❌Result
❌BTTS
✅O/U 2.5
❌Score

💰 Bet Results1/3 hit

BTTS — Yes
❌
Over/Under 2.5 Goals — Over
✅
Correct Score — 2-2
❌

Key Moments

30' — Goal

Sichuan Jiuniu open the scoring, taking a deserved lead.

43' — Goal

Jiuniu double their advantage just before halftime, seizing full control.

54' — Goal

A third goal early in the second half effectively seals the result for the hosts.

Various' — Yellow Cards

Both teams receive three yellow cards each in a competitive but controlled contest.

Sichuan Jiuniu

Sichuan Jiuniu

8.5/10

Sichuan Jiuniu were in complete control from the outset, dictating the tempo and capitalizing on their chances with clinical finishing. Their attacking play was incisive, as evidenced by three well-timed goals spread across both halves. Defensively, they remained organized, rarely allowing Qingdao Youth Island a sniff at goal, and managed their discipline despite picking up three yellow cards.

Key Players

First Goalscorer (30'): Opened the scoring to settle early nerves and set the tone for the match.
Second Goalscorer (43'): Doubled the lead before halftime, giving Jiuniu a commanding cushion.
Third Goalscorer (54'): Put the result beyond doubt with a clinical finish early in the second half.

Strengths

Clinical finishingSolid defensive organizationControlled tempo

Weaknesses

Picked up three yellow cardsOccasional over-commitment in challenges
Qingdao Youth Island

Qingdao Youth Island

5/10

Qingdao Youth Island were second best throughout, unable to contain Sichuan Jiuniu’s attacking threat and struggling to create meaningful opportunities of their own. Their defense was breached at regular intervals, and though they matched the hosts in disciplinary issues with three yellow cards, they never looked likely to mount a comeback.

Key Players

Defender (unnamed): Worked hard under pressure but was ultimately unable to stem the tide of goals.

Strengths

Physical commitmentAttempted to disrupt Jiuniu's rhythm with tactical fouls

Weaknesses

Lack of attacking threatDefensive lapsesInability to respond after conceding

Tactical Analysis

Sichuan Jiuniu’s approach was built on attacking intent and midfield control, likely deploying a formation that allowed for width and quick transitions. Their ability to strike before and after halftime suggests effective halftime adjustments and a relentless mindset. Defensively, they remained compact, limiting Qingdao Youth Island’s space and opportunities. Qingdao Youth Island, by contrast, appeared reactive rather than proactive, possibly sticking with a conservative setup that failed to adapt after falling behind. Their attempts to disrupt play through tactical fouling resulted in cautions but did little to halt Jiuniu’s momentum.

Turning Point

The second goal in the 43rd minute, coming just before halftime, gave Sichuan Jiuniu a commanding lead and left Qingdao Youth Island with a mountain to climb.

Man of the Match

First Goalscorer (30')

Set the tone with the opening goal and played a pivotal role in Jiuniu’s dominant display.

🎮 Prediction Playground

Think the model has it wrong? Nudge each team's expected goals and watch every probability react — then simulate the match and see what happens.

Sichuan Jiuniu1.45

Expected goals · model says 1.45

Qingdao Youth Island1.65

Expected goals · model says 1.65

Win Probability
Sichuan Jiuniu 34% Draw 24% Qingdao Youth Island 42%

Over 2.5 Goals

60%

BTTS: Yes

62%

Likely Scores

1-1 · 1-2 · 2-1

Play this match once with the probabilities above — every run is different.

Powered by the same Poisson scoreline model behind the prediction. For fun and exploration — not betting advice.

Sichuan Jiuniu vs Qingdao Youth Island Prediction Confidence at a Glance

How strongly the model leans on each market.

Match Result (1X2)
27%
36%
37%
Sichuan Jiuniu 27%Draw 36%Qingdao Youth Island 37%
Both Teams to Score
74%
26%
Yes 74%No 26%
Over/Under 2.5 Goals
64%
36%
Over 2.5 64%Under 2.5 36%
Corners (Over/Under 9.5)
62%
38%
Over 9.5 62%Under 9.5 38%

Who do you think wins: Sichuan Jiuniu vs Qingdao Youth Island?

Cast your vote, then see how it stacks up against the model.

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The Case For This Sichuan Jiuniu vs Qingdao Youth Island Prediction

Sichuan Jiuniu and Qingdao Youth Island both come into this fixture in strong attacking form, with each side averaging over 2 goals per game in their last five matches and both teams consistently finding the net. While Sichuan Jiuniu have a slightly better home record, Qingdao Youth Island's away form is respectable, and they are unbeaten in the last five, showing resilience and a knack for scoring on the road. Expect an open contest with a high likelihood of goals on both sides.

Key Factors at a Glance

Recent Form

  • →Both teams have scored in each of their last 5 matches.
  • →Qingdao Youth Island are unbeaten in 5 (WDWDW), while Sichuan Jiuniu have won 3 of their last 5.
  • →Qingdao Youth Island have dominated the H2H (8 wins, 1 draw in 9 meetings).

Attack

  • →Season over 2.5 goal rates are 50% (home) and 37.5% (away), but recent form suggests higher scoring.

Defence

  • →Neither side has kept a clean sheet in the last 5 games.

Injuries & Team News

  • →No key injuries reported for either side.

🚩 Sichuan Jiuniu vs Qingdao Youth Island Corners Prediction

medium confidence
10.7expected total corners
Over 62%
Under 38%
Over 9.5Under 9.5

Our corners model projects roughly 5.7 corners for Sichuan Jiuniu and 5 for Qingdao Youth Island, for an expected total of 10.7. That makes the model lean Over 9.5 corners (62%). Over 8.5: 74% · Over 10.5: 50%.

More corners tips:Over 9.5 →Under 9.5 →

How Sichuan Jiuniu and Qingdao Youth Island Are Arriving

Form, fitness and who's likely to start.

Sichuan Jiuniu vs Qingdao Youth Island Goalscorer Form

Goals scored in last 5 matches across all competitions. Rate = goals ÷ 5 games. XI badge shows player is in the expected starting lineup.

Sichuan JiuniuSichuan Jiuniulast 5 matches
Wesley MoraesXI
3 goals in 5
60%

Scoring consistently

D. Owusu-SekyereXI
2 goals in 5
40%

Regular contributor

Yang YimingXI
1 goal in 5
20%

Occasional threat

Yao JunshengXI
1 goal in 5
20%

Occasional threat

Gabriel XavierXI
1 goal in 5
20%

Occasional threat

T. ChowXI
1 goal in 5
20%

Occasional threat

Qingdao Youth IslandQingdao Youth Islandlast 5 matches
N. Da LuzXI
5 goals in 5
100%

In exceptional form

DavidsonXI
2 goals in 5
40%

Regular contributor

Peng XinliXI
2 goals in 5
40%

Regular contributor

A. YakubuXI
1 goal in 5
20%

Occasional threat

Sichuan Jiuniu have shown improved form lately, winning 3 of their last 5 and scoring freely, though defensive lapses remain. Qingdao Youth Island are unbeaten in their last 5, with 3 wins and 2 draws, and are also scoring at a high rate, but have been vulnerable at the back.

Sichuan Jiuniu vs Qingdao Youth Island — Last 10 Matches

Sichuan JiuniuSichuan JiuniuLast 10 results
W3-0
L0-3
L2-3
W3-2
W2-1
D1-1
L0-1
L1-2
D1-1
L1-2
Wvs Qingdao Youth Island3-0
L@ Tianjin Teda0-3
Lvs Chengdu Better City2-3
Wvs Qingdao Jonoon3-2
W@ Shanghai Shenhua2-1
Dvs Dalian Zhixing1-1
L@ Henan Jianye0-1
Lvs Shandong Luneng1-2
D@ SHANGHAI SIPG1-1
L@ Hangzhou Greentown1-2

Strengths

  • +Solid recent form — 3+ wins in last 5
  • +Prolific attack — 2.2 goals/game (last 5)
Qingdao Youth IslandQingdao Youth IslandLast 10 results
L0-3
W2-1
W3-1
D2-2
W3-2
D1-1
W3-2
D1-1
D1-1
D1-1
L@ Sichuan Jiuniu0-3
Wvs SHANGHAI SIPG2-1
Wvs Hangzhou Greentown3-1
Dvs Shanghai Shenhua2-2
W@ Yunnan Yukun3-2
Dvs Beijing Guoan1-1
W@ Dalian Zhixing3-2
Dvs Wuhan Three Towns1-1
Dvs Tianjin Teda1-1
D@ Shandong Luneng1-1

Strengths

  • +Solid recent form — 3+ wins in last 5
  • +Prolific attack — 2.0 goals/game (last 5)
  • +Both teams scoring in most recent games

Concerns

  • −No clean sheets in last 5 matches

What History Says: Sichuan Jiuniu vs Qingdao Youth Island

Qingdao Youth Island have a near-perfect record against Sichuan Jiuniu, winning 8 of 9 meetings and consistently scoring multiple goals. The fixture history is marked by high-scoring games and a clear psychological edge for the visitors.

Sichuan Jiuniu vs Qingdao Youth Island Head-to-Head History

Last 10 meetings between these sides

1

Sichuan Jiuniu wins

1

Draws

8

Qingdao Youth Island wins

10%10% draws80%
11 Jul 26Sichuan Jiuniu vs Qingdao Youth Island3-0
21 Mar 26Qingdao Youth Island vs Sichuan Jiuniu1-0
28 Sept 25Sichuan Jiuniu vs Qingdao Youth Island1-2
6 May 25Qingdao Youth Island vs Sichuan Jiuniu0-0
22 Sept 24Qingdao Youth Island vs Sichuan Jiuniu3-2
12 May 24Sichuan Jiuniu vs Qingdao Youth Island1-2

Where the Model Disagrees with the Odds: Sichuan Jiuniu vs Qingdao Youth Island

Without bookmaker odds, it's not possible to quantify value edges. However, the model suggests BTTS and over 2.5 goals are strong probabilities, and Qingdao's historical dominance makes the X2 double chance a logical lean if odds are favorable.

Odds from Bet365. Positive edge = our model gives a higher probability than the odds imply. EV = expected value per £1 staked.

1X2

SelectionOddsModel %Edge
Sichuan Jiuniu Win2.2527.0%-17.4%
Drawvalue3.3036.0%+5.7%
Qingdao Youth Island Winvalue3.1037.0%+4.7%

Over/Under 2.5

SelectionOddsModel %Edge
Over 2.5value1.7564.0%+6.9%
Under 2.52.0536.0%-12.8%

Both Teams Score

SelectionOddsModel %Edge
Yesvalue1.6274.0%+12.3%
No2.2026.0%-19.5%

Best Value Markets Found by the Model

1X2: Draw @ 3.30EV +0.188
1X2: Qingdao Youth Island Win @ 3.10EV +0.147
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5 @ 1.75EV +0.120
Both Teams Score: Yes @ 1.62EV +0.199

EV per £1 staked. Positive EV means this bet has mathematical edge over the long run. Past model accuracy is tracked on our predictions tracker.

Edge and EV are derived from model probabilities only and do not constitute financial advice. Odds fluctuate — always verify current prices with your bookmaker.

Things to Watch: Sichuan Jiuniu vs Qingdao Youth Island

  • ⚠️No bookmaker odds available, so value edges and expected value cannot be calculated.
  • ⚠️Lineups not confirmed; late changes could affect attacking/defensive balance.
  • ⚠️Recent high-scoring trends may regress, especially if either team adopts a more cautious approach.

This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Betting involves risk — always gamble responsibly.

How This Prediction Was Made

The numbers on this page come from a structured statistical pack for Sichuan Jiuniu vs Qingdao Youth Island: recent results and scoring data for both sides, home/away splits, the head-to-head record, current league standings, known injuries and live bookmaker odds, all sourced from the API-Football data feed.

An AI model analyses that pack and produces the probabilities, predicted score and written analysis shown above. Nothing is edited by hand, and no information outside the data pack is used.

Last updated: 4 July 2026 (refreshed automatically as new team data arrives). Every prediction is scored against the real result once the match finishes — see the verified track record or read the full methodology. Football is inherently uncertain: treat this page as analysis, not advice.

More Sichuan Jiuniu vs Qingdao Youth Island Resources