Shenyang Urban vs Hangzhou Greentown Predictions
Super League · China
Shenyang Urban
AI Predicted Score
1 - 2
Hangzhou Greentown
Win Probability (1X2)
Best Value Pick
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Recommended Bets: Shenyang Urban vs Hangzhou Greentown
Shenyang Urban vs Hangzhou Greentown: Match Preview
Shenyang Urban approach this contest sitting 14th, just above the relegation zone, with a worrying run of four games without a win (DLLLD) and a defence that has shipped 13 goals in their last five. Hangzhou Greentown, 11th in the table, have a five-point cushion and boast a more potent attack, averaging 2.8 goals scored across their last five matches, though their own defensive record remains suspect.
Statistically, this is a fixture shaped by high concession rates and frequent goal events on both sides. Shenyang Urban's home games average 3.36 total goals (24 for, 23 against in 14), while Hangzhou Greentown's away fixtures see 3.23 (17 for, 25 against in 13). Both teams are above 62% for over 2.5 goals on the season, and neither keeps clean sheets reliably (Urban: 7.4%, Greentown: 14.8%). The visitors have failed to score in none of their last five, and Urban have managed just two clean sheets all campaign.
Given these rates, the model expects an open game with Hangzhou Greentown's superior attacking output (last five: 2.8 goals, 6.4 shots on target per game) giving them the edge over a Shenyang Urban side that struggles to keep games tight. The likeliest outcome is a narrow away win in a match with multiple goals, with the main risk being volatility in finishing or a rare defensive improvement from the hosts.
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Expected goals · model says 1.25
Expected goals · model says 1.90
Over 2.5 Goals
61%
BTTS: Yes
61%
Likely Scores
1-1 · 1-2 · 0-1
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Powered by the same Poisson scoreline model behind the prediction. For fun and exploration — not betting advice.
Shenyang Urban vs Hangzhou Greentown Prediction Confidence at a Glance
How strongly the model leans on each market.
Stats Worth Knowing
The numbers behind Shenyang Urban vs Hangzhou Greentown that most previews miss.
- 1Hangzhou Greentown's away matches average 3.23 total goals (17 scored, 25 conceded in 13).
- 2Shenyang Urban have not kept a clean sheet in their last 10 league matches.
- 3Four of the last five H2H meetings have seen at least four goals scored.
Who do you think wins: Shenyang Urban vs Hangzhou Greentown?
Cast your vote, then see how it stacks up against the model.
Where the Model Sees Value: Shenyang Urban vs Hangzhou Greentown(3)
Selections where the model's probability beats the bookmaker's implied probability. Expected value is computed from real consensus odds, not opinion.
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Both teams are above 62% for over 2.5 goals this season, and their combined last 10 league matches have produced 38 goals, supporting a high-goal environment.
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BTTS: Yes
Shenyang Urban have failed to score in only 2 of their last 5, while Hangzhou Greentown have scored in all of their last 5; both sides average over 1.3 goals for and against per game.
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Match Result: Hangzhou Greentown Win
Hangzhou Greentown have a higher away scoring rate (1.31) than Shenyang Urban's home defensive rate (1.64 conceded per home game), and the visitors have lost only once in their last three away outings.
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More Super League Predictions
The Case For This Shenyang Urban vs Hangzhou Greentown Prediction
This fixture brings together two sides with leaky defences and above-average goal involvement, with Hangzhou Greentown's superior attacking rates and Shenyang Urban's home frailty pointing to an open encounter likely to be decided by finishing quality.
Key Factors at a Glance
Defence
- →Hangzhou Greentown average 1.74 goals scored and 1.74 conceded per game this season.
- →Shenyang Urban have conceded 2.6 goals per game over their last five, with no clean sheets.
Match Context
- →Both teams are in the top half of the league for over 2.5 goals percentage (Shenyang Urban: 62.96%, Hangzhou Greentown: 66.67%).
🚩 Shenyang Urban vs Hangzhou Greentown Corners Prediction
medium confidenceOur corners model projects roughly 5.8 corners for Shenyang Urban and 5.2 for Hangzhou Greentown, for an expected total of 11. That makes the model lean Over 9.5 corners (66%). Over 8.5: 77% · Over 10.5: 54%.
How Shenyang Urban and Hangzhou Greentown Are Arriving
Form, fitness and who's likely to start.
Shenyang Urban vs Hangzhou Greentown Goalscorer Form
Goals scored in last 5 matches across all competitions. Rate = goals ÷ 5 games. XI badge shows player is in the expected starting lineup.
Shenyang Urbanlast 5 matchesRegular contributor
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Hangzhou Greentownlast 5 matchesIn exceptional form
Scoring consistently
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Shenyang Urban are winless in their last five, collecting just two points and conceding 13 goals in that span. Hangzhou Greentown, while inconsistent, have scored 14 times in their last five and picked up two wins, with only one failure to score in that run.
Shenyang Urban vs Hangzhou Greentown — Last 10 Matches
Strengths
- +Dominant in possession — 57% avg
Concerns
- −Inconsistent — 3+ losses in last 5
- −Leaky defence — 2.6 conceded/game
- −No clean sheets in last 5 matches
Strengths
- +Prolific attack — 2.8 goals/game (last 5)
- +Both teams scoring in most recent games
- +Over 2.5 goals in 66.67% of games this season
- +High-volume attack — 16 shots/game
What History Says: Shenyang Urban vs Hangzhou Greentown
Hangzhou Greentown have had the better of recent encounters, winning three of the last five, but the most recent meeting saw Shenyang Urban win 5-0 away—a statistical outlier. Four of the last five matchups have produced at least four goals, indicating a historically open fixture.
Shenyang Urban vs Hangzhou Greentown Head-to-Head History
Last 5 meetings between these sides
1
Shenyang Urban wins
1
Draws
3
Hangzhou Greentown wins
Things to Watch: Shenyang Urban vs Hangzhou Greentown
- ⚠️No bookmaker odds available at time of analysis, so value calculations are not possible.
- ⚠️Recent form is volatile for both teams, with large swings in goal output and defensive performance.
- ⚠️Lineups are not confirmed and there are no reported injuries, but late changes could affect attacking or defensive structure.
This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Betting involves risk — always gamble responsibly.
Final Verdict
Shenyang Urban 1–2 Hangzhou GreentownThe model projects a 2-1 away win for Hangzhou Greentown, primarily driven by their 1.74 goals scored per game and Shenyang Urban's 1.78 conceded per game. The most plausible way this goes wrong is if Shenyang Urban capitalise on home advantage and Hangzhou's defensive lapses to force a high-scoring draw.
Shenyang Urban vs Hangzhou Greentown: Common Questions
Who will win Shenyang Urban vs Hangzhou Greentown?
Hangzhou Greentown are given a 50% chance to win, compared to 22% for Shenyang Urban and 28% for a draw. The visitors' superior attack and Urban's defensive record tip the balance.
Will both teams score in Shenyang Urban vs Hangzhou Greentown?
The probability for both teams to score is 61%, with both sides averaging over 1.3 goals for and against per game and only three clean sheets between them in 54 combined matches.
Is over 2.5 goals likely in this match?
There is a 62% probability for over 2.5 goals, with both teams above 62% for this market on the season and their recent matches averaging more than three goals.
How This Prediction Was Made
The numbers on this page come from a structured statistical pack for Shenyang Urban vs Hangzhou Greentown: recent results and scoring data for both sides, home/away splits, the head-to-head record, current league standings, known injuries and live bookmaker odds, all sourced from the API-Football data feed.
This fixture was routed to The Numbers Desk, the statistical baseline — season-long rates, splits and distributions. An AI model running that profile analyses the pack and produces the probabilities, predicted score and written analysis shown above. Nothing is edited by hand, and no information outside the data pack is used.
Last updated: 17 October 2026 (refreshed automatically as new team data arrives). Every prediction is scored against the real result once the match finishes — see the verified track record or read the full methodology. Football is inherently uncertain: treat this page as analysis, not advice.
More Shenyang Urban vs Hangzhou Greentown Resources
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Shenyang Urban vs Hangzhou Greentown Stats
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Model Accuracy
Track record & verified results