Sichuan Jiuniu vs Shanghai Shenhua Predictions
Super League · China
Sichuan Jiuniu
AI Predicted Score
1 - 2
Shanghai Shenhua
Win Probability (1X2)
Best Value Pick
Match Result: Shanghai Shenhua Win
Recommended Bets: Sichuan Jiuniu vs Shanghai Shenhua
Sichuan Jiuniu vs Shanghai Shenhua: Match Preview
Sichuan Jiuniu enter this clash sitting 12th, with a patchy form string of DDLDW and a negative goal difference, but have been hard to beat at home recently (just one loss in their last five at Shenzhen Stadium). Shanghai Shenhua, 8th in the table, are in stronger overall form (DWWWL in their last five) and boast the league's second-highest goal tally, coming off a 7-1 demolition of Yunnan Yukun. Both sides are clear of relegation but still chasing higher mid-table finishes, with Shenhua's away record (6 wins, 3 draws, 4 losses) a notable strength.
The statistical matchup leans towards goals. Shanghai Shenhua's attack is the headline: 2.19 goals per game over the season, 1.92 away, and a recent five-game average of 2.4. Sichuan Jiuniu's defence is porous (1.74 conceded per game, only 14.8% clean sheets), and their home matches average 3.14 total goals. Both teams have seen over 2.5 goals in more than half their fixtures, and neither side keeps clean sheets with any regularity. Set-piece data is moderate (corners: 3.4 for Jiuniu, 3.0 for Shenhua over last five), while fouls and cards are slightly above league average, suggesting some risk of bookings but not an outlier.
Given these rates, the model expects a match with early chances—56% probability of a goal before 30 minutes—and a high likelihood of both teams scoring. Shanghai Shenhua's superior attacking metrics and away record tip the balance, but Sichuan Jiuniu's ability to score at home means a close contest is likely. The most probable outcome is a 2-1 away win, driven by the visitors' offensive edge.
🎮 Prediction Playground
Think the model has it wrong? Nudge each team's expected goals and watch every probability react — then simulate the match and see what happens.
Expected goals · model says 1.30
Expected goals · model says 1.90
Over 2.5 Goals
62%
BTTS: Yes
62%
Likely Scores
1-1 · 1-2 · 0-1
Play this match once with the probabilities above — every run is different.
Powered by the same Poisson scoreline model behind the prediction. For fun and exploration — not betting advice.
Sichuan Jiuniu vs Shanghai Shenhua Prediction Confidence at a Glance
How strongly the model leans on each market.
Stats Worth Knowing
The numbers behind Sichuan Jiuniu vs Shanghai Shenhua that most previews miss.
- 1Shanghai Shenhua matches have gone over 2.5 goals in 19 of 27 games (70.4%), the highest rate among the top 10 teams.
- 2Sichuan Jiuniu's home matches average 3.14 goals, with both teams scoring in 64% of those fixtures.
- 3Across the last six H2H meetings, both teams have scored in four, with an average of 2.0 goals per game.
Who do you think wins: Sichuan Jiuniu vs Shanghai Shenhua?
Cast your vote, then see how it stacks up against the model.
Where the Model Sees Value: Sichuan Jiuniu vs Shanghai Shenhua(3)
Selections where the model's probability beats the bookmaker's implied probability. Expected value is computed from real consensus odds, not opinion.
Match Result: Shanghai Shenhua Win
Shanghai Shenhua average 1.92 points per away game and 1.92 goals scored per away match, while Sichuan Jiuniu concede 1.36 at home and have only a 14.8% clean sheet rate. The away side's attack (2.19 goals/game over the season) is a clear edge against a defence conceding 1.74 per match.
Read more ↓
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Both teams' matches have cleared 2.5 goals in over half their games (Sichuan Jiuniu 51.9%, Shanghai Shenhua 70.4%), and the combined goals per game across both sides is 3.07. Attack rates and weak clean sheet percentages point to a high-scoring environment.
Read more ↓
BTTS: Yes
Sichuan Jiuniu have scored in 4 of their last 5 and conceded in all 5, while Shanghai Shenhua have failed to score in only 2 of their last 5. Both teams' defensive records are below league average for clean sheets (14.8%).
Read more ↓
More Super League Predictions
The Case For This Sichuan Jiuniu vs Shanghai Shenhua Prediction
This fixture matches up a mid-table home side with defensive frailties against a top-eight attack that travels well. Shanghai Shenhua's away scoring rate (1.92 per game) and overall attacking output (2.19 per game) are among the league's most consistent, while Sichuan Jiuniu have struggled to keep clean sheets and concede 1.36 per home match. The statistical profile suggests a high-probability goal environment, with the away side's superior shot and conversion rates likely to be decisive.
Key Factors at a Glance
Defence
- →Sichuan Jiuniu's home clean sheet rate is just 14.8%, with 19 conceded in 14 home matches.
Match Context
- →Shanghai Shenhua average 1.92 goals per away game and 2.19 overall, top quartile in the league.
- →Both sides' matches clear 2.5 goals at a combined 61% rate (51.9% for Sichuan Jiuniu, 70.4% for Shanghai Shenhua).
🚩 Sichuan Jiuniu vs Shanghai Shenhua Corners Prediction
medium confidenceOur corners model projects roughly 4.2 corners for Sichuan Jiuniu and 4 for Shanghai Shenhua, for an expected total of 8.2. That makes the model lean Under 9.5 corners (70%). Over 8.5: 43% · Over 10.5: 20%.
How Sichuan Jiuniu and Shanghai Shenhua Are Arriving
Form, fitness and who's likely to start.
Sichuan Jiuniu vs Shanghai Shenhua Goalscorer Form
Goals scored in last 5 matches across all competitions. Rate = goals ÷ 5 games. XI badge shows player is in the expected starting lineup.
Sichuan Jiuniulast 5 matchesRegular contributor
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Shanghai Shenhualast 5 matchesScoring consistently
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Sichuan Jiuniu have drawn three of their last five, with a single win and a single defeat, reflecting a side that is difficult to beat but struggles for consistency. Shanghai Shenhua, meanwhile, have won three of their last five and scored 12 goals in that span, including a 7-1 rout, signalling an attack in full flow. Both teams have shown defensive vulnerability, but Shenhua's momentum and firepower are more pronounced.
Sichuan Jiuniu vs Shanghai Shenhua — Last 10 Matches
Strengths
- +Both teams scoring in most recent games
- +High-volume attack — 14 shots/game
Concerns
- −No clean sheets in last 5 matches
Strengths
- +Solid recent form — 3+ wins in last 5
- +Prolific attack — 2.4 goals/game (last 5)
- +Over 2.5 goals in 70.37% of games this season
What History Says: Sichuan Jiuniu vs Shanghai Shenhua
The head-to-head record is balanced, with each side claiming two wins and two draws from the last six meetings. Notably, both teams have managed away victories in that period, and four of the six matches have seen both teams score. There is no clear historical dominance, but recent encounters have tended towards competitive, open contests.
Sichuan Jiuniu vs Shanghai Shenhua Head-to-Head History
Last 6 meetings between these sides
2
Sichuan Jiuniu wins
2
Draws
2
Shanghai Shenhua wins
Things to Watch: Sichuan Jiuniu vs Shanghai Shenhua
- ⚠️Bookmaker odds unavailable, so no value bets can be flagged.
- ⚠️Sichuan Jiuniu's recent home form is resilient (only 1 loss in last 5 at home), which could limit away win probability.
- ⚠️Head-to-head record is balanced (2W-2D-2L), with no clear dominance.
This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Betting involves risk — always gamble responsibly.
Final Verdict
Sichuan Jiuniu 1–2 Shanghai ShenhuaThe model projects a 2-1 win for Shanghai Shenhua, anchored by their 2.19 goals per game season average and strong away scoring record. The biggest risk to this call is Sichuan Jiuniu's recent resilience at home, where they've lost only once in five and regularly find the net, which could see the game swing towards a draw if Shenhua's attack stutters.
Sichuan Jiuniu vs Shanghai Shenhua: Common Questions
Who will win Sichuan Jiuniu vs Shanghai Shenhua?
Shanghai Shenhua are favoured with a 49% probability of victory, compared to 23% for Sichuan Jiuniu and 28% for the draw. The away side's attack (2.19 goals per game) is the key differential.
Will there be over 2.5 goals in Sichuan Jiuniu vs Shanghai Shenhua?
There is a 63% probability of over 2.5 goals, with both teams averaging a combined 3.07 goals per game this season and frequent high-scoring matches on both sides.
Is both teams to score likely in this match?
Yes, both teams to score is rated at 58% probability, with Sichuan Jiuniu scoring in 4 of their last 5 and Shanghai Shenhua failing to score in only 2 of their last 5, while both defences rarely keep clean sheets.
How This Prediction Was Made
The numbers on this page come from a structured statistical pack for Sichuan Jiuniu vs Shanghai Shenhua: recent results and scoring data for both sides, home/away splits, the head-to-head record, current league standings, known injuries and live bookmaker odds, all sourced from the API-Football data feed.
This fixture was routed to The Numbers Desk, the statistical baseline — season-long rates, splits and distributions. An AI model running that profile analyses the pack and produces the probabilities, predicted score and written analysis shown above. Nothing is edited by hand, and no information outside the data pack is used.
Last updated: 17 October 2026 (refreshed automatically as new team data arrives). Every prediction is scored against the real result once the match finishes — see the verified track record or read the full methodology. Football is inherently uncertain: treat this page as analysis, not advice.
More Sichuan Jiuniu vs Shanghai Shenhua Resources
Sichuan Jiuniu Predictions
All Sichuan Jiuniu fixtures & tips
Shanghai Shenhua Predictions
All Shanghai Shenhua fixtures & tips
Sichuan Jiuniu vs Shanghai Shenhua Stats
Full H2H record & season stats
Super League Predictions
All fixtures for this competition
Model Accuracy
Track record & verified results