Widzew Łódź vs Radomiak Radom Predictions
Ekstraklasa · Poland
Widzew Łódź
AI Predicted Score
2 - 1
Radomiak Radom
Win Probability (1X2)
Best Value Pick
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Widzew Łódź vs Radomiak Radom: Match Preview
Widzew Łódź enter this fixture mid-table (10th) on the back of a five-game run featuring just one defeat, but also only one win, with draws dominating their early season. Radomiak Radom, by contrast, sit 16th and have shipped 12 goals in five games, including heavy away losses, leaving them with the league's second-worst defensive record and only four points.
The statistical matchup is defined by Widzew's consistent attacking output (1.6 goals per game, 15.8 shots per match) against a Radomiak defence conceding 2.4 per game and allowing 9.8 shots per match. Both teams trend strongly towards high goal counts—Radomiak's games have gone over 2.5 goals 80% of the time, Widzew's 60%—and both have seen BTTS in three of their last five. Notably, Widzew generate more corners (5 per game) and fouls (12.2) than Radomiak, suggesting set-piece opportunities and a likely busy referee (combined 5.4 yellows per game).
Given these rates, the model expects a match with above-average goal probability, with Widzew's sharper attack and Radomiak's away frailty tipping the balance. The likeliest outcome is a home win with both teams finding the net, but the volatility in Radomiak's results and their sporadic scoring mean a draw or high-scoring contest cannot be ruled out.
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Expected goals · model says 1.75
Expected goals · model says 1.20
Over 2.5 Goals
57%
BTTS: Yes
58%
Likely Scores
1-1 · 2-1 · 1-0
Play this match once with the probabilities above — every run is different.
Powered by the same Poisson scoreline model behind the prediction. For fun and exploration — not betting advice.
Widzew Łódź vs Radomiak Radom Prediction Confidence at a Glance
How strongly the model leans on each market.
Stats Worth Knowing
The numbers behind Widzew Łódź vs Radomiak Radom that most previews miss.
- 1Radomiak Radom's away matches average 4.5 total goals, with both ending in defeat and conceding at least three.
- 2Widzew Łódź have scored in four of five matches, but have only one home win in their last five H2H meetings.
- 3Across the last five league games, Widzew average 15.8 shots per match to Radomiak's 9.8, highlighting a clear volume advantage.
Who do you think wins: Widzew Łódź vs Radomiak Radom?
Cast your vote, then see how it stacks up against the model.
Where the Model Sees Value: Widzew Łódź vs Radomiak Radom(3)
Selections where the model's probability beats the bookmaker's implied probability. Expected value is computed from real consensus odds, not opinion.
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Both teams have high over 2.5 rates (Widzew Łódź 60%, Radomiak Radom 80%) and average 2.8 and 3.2 total goals per game respectively, supporting a goals-friendly environment.
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Match Result: Widzew Łódź Win
Widzew Łódź have lost only one of their last five and face a Radomiak side conceding 2.4 per game and winless away, giving the home side a clear statistical edge.
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BTTS: Yes
BTTS has landed in three of the last five for both teams, and Radomiak's away defence is leaky, but Widzew have conceded in four of five, so both sides scoring is more likely than not.
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More Ekstraklasa Predictions
The Case For This Widzew Łódź vs Radomiak Radom Prediction
Statistically, this fixture projects as a high-event match, with both teams trending towards goals and defensive lapses. Widzew Łódź's home attack (1.6 goals per game) meets a Radomiak Radom defence conceding 2.4 per match, while the visitors' away record (1 goal scored, 8 conceded in two games) underlines their struggles on the road. The most likely scenario is a Widzew win in a match featuring multiple goals, but Radomiak's ability to find the net in three of their last five suggests they can contribute.
Key Factors at a Glance
Defence
- →Radomiak Radom have conceded 8 goals in just 2 away league matches this season.
- →Widzew Łódź average 1.6 goals scored and 1.4 conceded per game, with 60% of matches going over 2.5 goals.
- →Radomiak's season over 2.5 rate is 80%, highest in the division, driven by frequent defensive collapses.
🚩 Widzew Łódź vs Radomiak Radom Corners Prediction
medium confidenceOur corners model projects roughly 6.6 corners for Widzew Łódź and 3.6 for Radomiak Radom, for an expected total of 10.2. That makes the model lean Over 9.5 corners (57%). Over 8.5: 69% · Over 10.5: 44%.
How Widzew Łódź and Radomiak Radom Are Arriving
Form, fitness and who's likely to start.
Widzew Łódź vs Radomiak Radom Goalscorer Form
Goals scored in last 5 matches across all competitions. Rate = goals ÷ 5 games. XI badge shows player is in the expected starting lineup.
Widzew Łódźlast 5 matchesRegular contributor
Regular contributor
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Radomiak Radomlast 5 matchesOccasional threat
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Widzew Łódź are unbeaten in four and have lost just once in five, but have struggled to convert control into wins, drawing three times. Radomiak Radom's form is more concerning: three defeats in five, a -8 goal difference, and heavy away losses highlight their defensive frailty. Both teams have shown a tendency to concede, but Widzew's attack has been more consistent.
Widzew Łódź vs Radomiak Radom — Last 5 Matches
Strengths
- +High-volume attack — 16 shots/game
Strengths
- +Over 2.5 goals in 80% of games this season
Concerns
- −Inconsistent — 3+ losses in last 5
- −Struggling to score — 0.6 goals/game
- −Leaky defence — 2.4 conceded/game
What History Says: Widzew Łódź vs Radomiak Radom
The head-to-head record is almost even, but recent matches in Łódź have been especially high-scoring, with three of the last four producing at least four goals and both teams finding the net. Radomiak have taken points in Łódź before, but Widzew won the most recent home meeting 3-2.
Widzew Łódź vs Radomiak Radom Head-to-Head History
Last 10 meetings between these sides
3
Widzew Łódź wins
3
Draws
4
Radomiak Radom wins
Things to Watch: Widzew Łódź vs Radomiak Radom
- ⚠️No bookmaker odds available, so value edges cannot be calculated.
- ⚠️Small sample sizes (5 games each) may exaggerate recent defensive or attacking trends.
- ⚠️Lineups and late injuries are unknown at this stage.
This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Betting involves risk — always gamble responsibly.
Final Verdict
Widzew Łódź 2–1 Radomiak RadomThe model projects a 2-1 win for Widzew Łódź, with the single strongest data point being Radomiak's concession of eight goals in just two away games. The main risk is Widzew's tendency to draw and Radomiak's ability to score against mid-table defences, which could turn this into a high-scoring stalemate.
Widzew Łódź vs Radomiak Radom: Common Questions
Who will win Widzew Łódź vs Radomiak Radom?
Widzew Łódź are favoured with a 48% probability to win, compared to 22% for Radomiak Radom and 30% for the draw. The home side's stronger attack and Radomiak's defensive issues give them the edge.
Will there be over 2.5 goals in Widzew Łódź vs Radomiak Radom?
There's a 59% chance of over 2.5 goals, supported by both teams' high over 2.5 rates this season (Widzew 60%, Radomiak 80%) and Radomiak's average of 2.4 goals conceded per match.
Will both teams score in Widzew Łódź vs Radomiak Radom?
The probability of both teams scoring is 56%. Both sides have seen BTTS in three of their last five, and neither defence has kept more than two clean sheets so far.
How This Prediction Was Made
The numbers on this page come from a structured statistical pack for Widzew Łódź vs Radomiak Radom: recent results and scoring data for both sides, home/away splits, the head-to-head record, current league standings, known injuries and live bookmaker odds, all sourced from the API-Football data feed.
This fixture was routed to The Numbers Desk, the statistical baseline — season-long rates, splits and distributions. An AI model running that profile analyses the pack and produces the probabilities, predicted score and written analysis shown above. Nothing is edited by hand, and no information outside the data pack is used.
Last updated: 29 August 2026 (refreshed automatically as new team data arrives). Every prediction is scored against the real result once the match finishes — see the verified track record or read the full methodology. Football is inherently uncertain: treat this page as analysis, not advice.