Widzew Łódź vs Wieczysta Kraków Predictions
Ekstraklasa · Poland
Widzew Łódź
Full Time
2 - 2
AI predicted 2 - 1
Wieczysta Kraków
Win Probability (1X2)
Best Value Pick
See full breakdown below
Match Result
8.2/10Late Drama in Łódź as Widzew and Wieczysta Share Four-Goal Thriller
Widzew Łódź and Wieczysta Kraków played out an entertaining 2-2 draw at Stadion Widzewa Łódź, with both sides taking turns to seize the initiative in a match brimming with attacking intent and momentum shifts. The hosts struck first in the 19th minute, only for Wieczysta to level before halftime. The second half saw Widzew regain the lead, but Wieczysta responded once again, ensuring the spoils were shared after a gripping contest. Statistically, Widzew edged possession with 54% and registered 19 shots to Wieczysta’s 13, but both sides matched each other with five shots on target apiece. The match was a showcase of offensive ambition and tactical adjustments, with both teams’ forward lines finding ways to break through, but neither able to deliver a decisive blow.
💪 AI Prediction Report
DECENT HITPredicted
2 - 1
Actual
2 - 2
Key Moments
19' — Goal
Widzew Łódź open the scoring, capitalizing on early pressure.
37' — Goal
Wieczysta Kraków equalize, shifting momentum before halftime.
65' — Goal
Widzew retake the lead after sustained attacking play.
80' — Goal
Wieczysta level again, showing late-game resolve.
Various' — Yellow Cards
Both sides pick up bookings in a competitive midfield battle.
Widzew Łódź
Widzew Łódź started brightly, capitalizing on their 4-3-3 formation to control early possession and create a flurry of chances. Their attacking trio was lively, and the midfield provided a solid platform for forward forays. After taking the lead in the 19th minute, Widzew looked confident, but a lapse allowed Wieczysta to equalize before the break. The hosts responded well in the second half, reclaiming the advantage on 65 minutes and continuing to press, but were ultimately pegged back by a resilient Wieczysta side. Despite 19 shots and 8 corners, Widzew couldn’t convert their attacking dominance into all three points.
Key Players
Strengths
Weaknesses
Wieczysta Kraków
Wieczysta Kraków, lining up in a bold 3-4-3, absorbed early pressure before growing into the match. Their equalizer in the 37th minute was a testament to their resilience and ability to exploit Widzew’s defensive gaps. After falling behind again in the second half, Wieczysta showed character to rally and find a second equalizer in the 80th minute. Despite fewer shots and less possession, their attacking trio was clinical when it mattered, and their midfield worked tirelessly to disrupt Widzew’s rhythm. Two yellow cards reflected their combative approach, but overall, Wieczysta emerged with a hard-earned point.
Key Players
Strengths
Weaknesses
Tactical Analysis
Widzew Łódź’s 4-3-3 allowed them to dominate possession and utilize width, especially through overlapping full-backs and wingers stretching the Wieczysta back three. Their attacking intent was clear, as evidenced by 19 shots and 8 corners, but they occasionally left themselves exposed on the counter, which Wieczysta exploited. Wieczysta’s 3-4-3 provided defensive solidity in central areas, but they struggled at times with Widzew’s wide play. Their transitions were swift, with the front three looking to break quickly and midfielders supporting attacks. Substitutions and tactical tweaks in the second half saw both sides try to shore up defensively, but attacking quality prevailed as each team found a late goal.
Turning Point
Wieczysta’s equalizer in the 80th minute, which snatched a point and denied Widzew victory after the hosts had looked set to close out the match.
Man of the Match
K. Świderski
Led the line for Widzew Łódź, scored a key goal, and was a constant threat throughout.
Widzew Łódź vs Wieczysta Kraków: Match Preview
Widzew Łódź return home still searching for their first win at their own ground this season, having drawn two and lost two of their opening four home fixtures. Their overall record (1W 4D 2L) leaves them 13th, but they have shown attacking intent, averaging 1.43 goals per game. Wieczysta Kraków, newly promoted and sitting 17th, have struggled defensively, conceding 13 goals in six league matches, with four defeats already on the board.
Statistically, this fixture pairs two of the league's more open sides. Widzew's last five league games have averaged 3.0 goals, with three of those seeing both teams score. Wieczysta have been even more volatile: their away games average 4.25 total goals, and they have failed to keep a single clean sheet all season. Widzew's shot and corner numbers at home (11.6 shots, 5.8 corners per game) suggest they will generate pressure, but Wieczysta's 12.6 shots per game and 7 away goals in 4 matches underline their capacity to strike back.
The model expects a match where both teams find the net and defensive errors play a role. Widzew's slightly superior defensive record and home advantage give them the edge, but Wieczysta's away scoring rate keeps the contest close. The most probable outcome is a 2-1 home win, with over 2.5 goals and both teams scoring as strong statistical possibilities.
🎮 Prediction Playground
Think the model has it wrong? Nudge each team's expected goals and watch every probability react — then simulate the match and see what happens.
Expected goals · model says 1.65
Expected goals · model says 1.30
Over 2.5 Goals
57%
BTTS: Yes
59%
Likely Scores
1-1 · 2-1 · 1-0
Play this match once with the probabilities above — every run is different.
Powered by the same Poisson scoreline model behind the prediction. For fun and exploration — not betting advice.
Widzew Łódź vs Wieczysta Kraków Prediction Confidence at a Glance
How strongly the model leans on each market.
Stats Worth Knowing
The numbers behind Widzew Łódź vs Wieczysta Kraków that most previews miss.
- 1Wieczysta Kraków's away matches average 4.25 goals per game (7 scored, 10 conceded in 4).
- 2Widzew Łódź have managed just one clean sheet in their last five, conceding 1.8 per match in that span.
- 3Both teams have seen BTTS in 3+ of their last 5 league games (Widzew 3, Wieczysta 4).
Who do you think wins: Widzew Łódź vs Wieczysta Kraków?
Cast your vote, then see how it stacks up against the model.
More Ekstraklasa Predictions
The Case For This Widzew Łódź vs Wieczysta Kraków Prediction
Widzew Łódź have struggled to convert home advantage into wins, with no victories in four attempts at their own ground this season, but their attack has produced 1.25 goals per home game and their matches average 2.86 goals overall. Wieczysta Kraków, sitting 17th, have been porous away from home, conceding 2.5 goals per game on their travels, but do carry a threat, scoring seven in four away outings. Both sides have shown a tendency for open games, with over 2.5 goals landing in 57% of Widzew's and 67% of Wieczysta's league fixtures. The matchup points to a contest shaped by defensive frailties rather than attacking brilliance. Widzew's last five have averaged 3.0 total goals, but they've managed just one clean sheet in that run. Wieczysta have yet to keep a clean sheet all season, and their last five league games have seen both teams score on four occasions. Set-piece situations could be influential: Widzew average 5.8 corners per match in their last five, while Wieczysta's high shot volume (12.6 per game) suggests they can generate chances even when second best in possession. Expect a match with chances at both ends, with the numbers pointing to a slightly higher goal environment than the league average. Widzew's marginally better defensive record and home shot volume tilt the balance their way, but Wieczysta's away scoring rate keeps them in the contest. The likeliest scenario is a narrow home win in a game where both teams find the net.
Key Factors at a Glance
Defence
- →Widzew Łódź have not won at home this season (0W 2D 2L), conceding 1.75 goals per home match.
- →Wieczysta Kraków have conceded 10 goals in 4 away games (2.5 per game), but have scored in 3 of those 4.
Match Context
- →Both teams' matches show a high over 2.5 goals rate: Widzew 57%, Wieczysta 67%.
🚩 Widzew Łódź vs Wieczysta Kraków Corners Prediction
high confidenceOur corners model projects roughly 6.2 corners for Widzew Łódź and 4.5 for Wieczysta Kraków, for an expected total of 10.7. That makes the model lean Over 9.5 corners (62%). Over 8.5: 74% · Over 10.5: 50%.
How Widzew Łódź and Wieczysta Kraków Are Arriving
Form, fitness and who's likely to start.
Widzew Łódź vs Wieczysta Kraków Goalscorer Form
Goals scored in last 5 matches across all competitions. Rate = goals ÷ 5 games. XI badge shows player is in the expected starting lineup.
Widzew Łódźlast 5 matchesOccasional threat
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Wieczysta Krakówlast 5 matchesOccasional threat
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Widzew Łódź are winless in their last five matches (DLLDL), with only one clean sheet and two matches where they failed to score. Wieczysta Kraków have lost three of their last five (DLLLW), conceding at least twice in four of those games, but have shown more attacking threat with 1.6 goals per match over that span.
Widzew Łódź vs Wieczysta Kraków — Last 9 Matches
Concerns
- −Inconsistent — 3+ losses in last 5
- −Leaky defence — 2.0 conceded/game
- −No clean sheets in last 5 matches
What History Says: Widzew Łódź vs Wieczysta Kraków
There is no head-to-head record available for these teams, so no prior matchup trends can be considered for this fixture.
Widzew Łódź vs Wieczysta Kraków Head-to-Head History
Last 1 meeting between these sides
0
Widzew Łódź wins
1
Draws
0
Wieczysta Kraków wins
Where the Model Disagrees with the Odds: Widzew Łódź vs Wieczysta Kraków
No bookmaker odds are available for this match, so it is not possible to identify value edges or recommend bets with positive expected value based on the model's probabilities.
Odds from Bet365. Positive edge = our model gives a higher probability than the odds imply. EV = expected value per £1 staked.
1X2
Over/Under 2.5
Both Teams Score
Best Value Markets Found by the Model
EV per £1 staked. Positive EV means this bet has mathematical edge over the long run. Past model accuracy is tracked on our predictions tracker.
Edge and EV are derived from model probabilities only and do not constitute financial advice. Odds fluctuate — always verify current prices with your bookmaker.
Things to Watch: Widzew Łódź vs Wieczysta Kraków
- ⚠️No head-to-head data is available between these teams, increasing model uncertainty.
- ⚠️No bookmaker odds provided, so no value or edge calculations are possible.
- ⚠️Both teams show volatile defensive records, so the goal distribution has high variance.
This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Betting involves risk — always gamble responsibly.
Final Verdict
Widzew Łódź 2–1 Wieczysta KrakówThe model calls this 2-1 to Widzew Łódź, with the single strongest factor being Wieczysta Kraków's away defensive record—10 goals conceded in 4 away games. The main risk is the volatility in both defences: either side could leak more than expected, pushing the match into a higher-scoring draw or an away result.
Widzew Łódź vs Wieczysta Kraków: Common Questions
Who will win Widzew Łódź vs Wieczysta Kraków?
Widzew Łódź are given a 43% chance of victory, with the draw at 30% and Wieczysta Kraków at 27%. The home side's marginally better defensive numbers and shot volume at home tilt the balance in their favour.
Will both teams score in Widzew Łódź vs Wieczysta Kraków?
The model estimates a 61% probability of both teams scoring, based on both sides' recent BTTS rates (Widzew 3/5, Wieczysta 4/5) and their combined defensive records.
How likely is over 2.5 goals in this match?
There is a 58% chance of over 2.5 goals, supported by Widzew's 57% and Wieczysta's 67% over 2.5 rates this season, and high average goals per game for both teams.
How This Prediction Was Made
The numbers on this page come from a structured statistical pack for Widzew Łódź vs Wieczysta Kraków: recent results and scoring data for both sides, home/away splits, the head-to-head record, current league standings, known injuries and live bookmaker odds, all sourced from the API-Football data feed.
This fixture was routed to The Numbers Desk, the statistical baseline — season-long rates, splits and distributions. An AI model running that profile analyses the pack and produces the probabilities, predicted score and written analysis shown above. Nothing is edited by hand, and no information outside the data pack is used.
Last updated: 11 September 2026 (refreshed automatically as new team data arrives). Every prediction is scored against the real result once the match finishes — see the verified track record or read the full methodology. Football is inherently uncertain: treat this page as analysis, not advice.