Widzew Łódź vs Wisla Krakow Predictions
Ekstraklasa · Poland
Widzew Łódź
Full Time
0 - 0
AI predicted 1 - 2
Wisla Krakow
Win Probability (1X2)
Best Value Pick
See full breakdown below
Match Result
6.8/10Stalemate in Łódź: Widzew Hold Off Dominant Wisla in Goalless Draw
Widzew Łódź and Wisla Krakow played out a tense 0-0 draw at Stadion Widzewa Łódź, with both sides unable to find the breakthrough despite a match full of incident and attacking intent. Wisla Krakow dominated much of the play, enjoying 54% possession and firing 21 shots to Widzew’s 10, but the home side’s resilience and defensive discipline kept the visitors at bay. The match saw Widzew Łódź forced onto the back foot for long periods, particularly in the second half, as Wisla pressed for a winner. Despite creating more chances and winning seven corners, Wisla were unable to convert their superiority into goals, thanks in part to some inspired goalkeeping and last-ditch defending from the hosts. Four yellow cards for Widzew highlighted their combative approach, while Wisla’s more controlled display ultimately lacked the cutting edge needed to claim all three points.
💀 AI Prediction Report
DOWN BADPredicted
1 - 2
Actual
0 - 0
Key Moments
18' — Yellow Card
First yellow card for Widzew as the hosts set a physical tone early.
37' — Yellow Card
Another Widzew player booked, underlining their combative approach.
54' — Wisla Chance
Ángel Rodado forces a strong save from B. Drągowski after a swift counter.
67' — Yellow Card
Third Widzew yellow as they continue to disrupt Wisla’s rhythm.
78' — Wisla Corner
Wisla pile on the pressure with a series of corners, but Widzew hold firm.
85' — Yellow Card
Widzew’s fourth booking as the hosts dig deep to preserve the clean sheet.
Widzew Łódź
Widzew Łódź set up in a 4-1-4-1 formation, prioritizing defensive solidity and looking to frustrate their more dominant visitors. They managed just 46% possession and were outshot more than two to one, but their back line held firm under sustained pressure. The midfield worked tirelessly to disrupt Wisla’s rhythm, though at the expense of discipline, as evidenced by four yellow cards and 20 fouls committed. Going forward, Widzew struggled to create clear-cut opportunities, managing only three shots on target from ten attempts. Their lone striker, K. Świderski, often found himself isolated, with the midfield unable to provide consistent support in transition.
Key Players
Strengths
Weaknesses
Wisla Krakow
Wisla Krakow controlled the tempo for much of the match, utilizing a 4-2-3-1 formation that allowed them to dominate possession (54%) and create a steady stream of chances. Their midfield trio dictated play, and the fullbacks provided width to stretch Widzew’s compact shape. Despite 21 shots, however, only four were on target, and they could not find a way past the inspired B. Drągowski in goal. Wisla’s discipline was exemplary, committing just seven fouls and avoiding any bookings, but their lack of clinical finishing and inability to break down a stubborn Widzew defense meant they left Łódź with only a point.
Key Players
Strengths
Weaknesses
Tactical Analysis
Widzew Łódź’s 4-1-4-1 formation was designed to congest the midfield and protect the back four, relying on the holding midfielder G. Papanikolaou to shield the defense. Their approach was pragmatic, focusing on breaking up Wisla’s play and limiting space between the lines, even at the cost of fluidity going forward. The frequent fouling and bookings reflected their determination to disrupt Wisla’s build-up. Wisla Krakow’s 4-2-3-1 provided control in midfield and allowed for sustained possession. The double pivot enabled the attacking trio and fullbacks to push forward, but despite their territorial advantage and seven corners, they struggled to create clear openings in the final third. Tactical substitutions attempted to add fresh impetus, but Widzew’s deep block proved impenetrable.
Turning Point
B. Drągowski’s save from Ángel Rodado in the 54th minute kept Widzew level and proved decisive in preserving the draw.
Man of the Match
B. Drągowski
His commanding performance and crucial saves under heavy fire earned Widzew a valuable point.
Widzew Łódź vs Wisla Krakow: Match Preview
Widzew Łódź approach this fixture still seeking a first home win of the campaign, having drawn three and lost two of their five at home, with a goal difference of -2 at their own ground. Their season has been defined by stalemates—six draws in nine league matches—and a lack of cutting edge in key moments, reflected in a current run of four consecutive draws. Wisla Krakow, by contrast, sit fourth in the table with 17 points, buoyed by three consecutive league wins and a league-best five home victories, though their away form (0W, 2D, 2L) is less convincing.
Statistically, the matchup leans towards goals. Widzew average 1.44 scored and 1.44 conceded per game, while Wisla's attack is more productive at 1.89 goals per game, though their away defence has leaked 9 in 4 matches. Both teams have seen over 2.5 goals in the majority of their matches (Widzew 55.6%, Wisla 66.7%), and both average at least 4 corners per game, suggesting set-piece opportunities. Disciplinary numbers are moderate, with both sides averaging around 1.5 yellow cards per game recently.
The model expects Wisla's offensive edge to prove decisive, with their higher shot volumes (14.2 per game last five) and consistent scoring record likely to test a Widzew defence that has managed just one clean sheet in five. However, Widzew's resilience and high draw rate, combined with Wisla's away defensive lapses, make a high-scoring draw a plausible scenario if the hosts can capitalise on set pieces or second-half opportunities.
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Expected goals · model says 1.20
Expected goals · model says 1.65
Over 2.5 Goals
54%
BTTS: Yes
56%
Likely Scores
1-1 · 0-1 · 1-2
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Powered by the same Poisson scoreline model behind the prediction. For fun and exploration — not betting advice.
Widzew Łódź vs Wisla Krakow Prediction Confidence at a Glance
How strongly the model leans on each market.
Stats Worth Knowing
The numbers behind Widzew Łódź vs Wisla Krakow that most previews miss.
- 1Widzew Łódź have drawn four consecutive matches and six of nine in the league, the highest draw rate in the division.
- 2Wisla Krakow have not kept a clean sheet away from home, conceding at least once in all four away league games (9 goals total).
- 3Both teams average over 4 corners per game in their last five matches, suggesting set-piece chances will be a factor.
Who do you think wins: Widzew Łódź vs Wisla Krakow?
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The Case For This Widzew Łódź vs Wisla Krakow Prediction
Wisla Krakow arrive in superior form and with a more potent attack, while Widzew Łódź's home record is undermined by defensive frailty and a lack of wins. The underlying rates point to a match with above-average goal expectancy, driven by both teams' tendency to concede and Wisla's strong shot production. The likeliest outcome is an away win in a contest where both sides are likely to score, but Widzew's high draw rate and Wisla's away defensive record keep the draw in play.
Key Factors at a Glance
Attack
- →Wisla Krakow average 1.89 goals scored per game and have scored in every away league match.
Defence
- →Widzew Łódź have yet to win at home this season (0W, 3D, 2L), conceding 9 in 5 home games.
Match Context
- →Both teams have seen over 2.5 goals in over half their league matches (Widzew 55.6%, Wisla 66.7%).
🚩 Widzew Łódź vs Wisla Krakow Corners Prediction
medium confidenceOur corners model projects roughly 5.4 corners for Widzew Łódź and 5 for Wisla Krakow, for an expected total of 10.4. That makes the model lean Over 9.5 corners (59%). Over 8.5: 71% · Over 10.5: 47%.
How Widzew Łódź and Wisla Krakow Are Arriving
Form, fitness and who's likely to start.
Widzew Łódź vs Wisla Krakow Goalscorer Form
Goals scored in last 5 matches across all competitions. Rate = goals ÷ 5 games. XI badge shows player is in the expected starting lineup.
Widzew Łódźlast 5 matchesOccasional threat
Occasional threat
Wisla Krakowlast 5 matchesScoring consistently
Occasional threat
Widzew Łódź are mired in a sequence of draws, with four consecutive stalemates and just one win from nine league games, highlighting their inability to close out matches. Wisla Krakow, meanwhile, are on an upward trajectory, winning three straight in the league and scoring at least twice in each of their last three competitive fixtures.
Widzew Łódź vs Wisla Krakow — Last 10 Matches
Strengths
- +Both teams scoring in most recent games
Strengths
- +Solid recent form — 3+ wins in last 5
- +High-volume attack — 17 shots/game
What History Says: Widzew Łódź vs Wisla Krakow
Wisla Krakow have won both recent meetings with Widzew Łódź, scoring at least twice on each occasion and winning by two-goal margins. There is no evidence of a Widzew win in the recent head-to-head, and Wisla have shown a consistent ability to find the net in this matchup.
Widzew Łódź vs Wisla Krakow Head-to-Head History
Last 3 meetings between these sides
0
Widzew Łódź wins
1
Draws
2
Wisla Krakow wins
Where the Model Disagrees with the Odds: Widzew Łódź vs Wisla Krakow
With no bookmaker odds available, the model cannot identify specific value edges or recommend bets. However, the underlying probabilities suggest that if market odds overstate Widzew's home advantage or underprice the draw, there could be value in the away or draw selections given Widzew's draw rate and Wisla's away defensive record.
Odds from Bet365. Positive edge = our model gives a higher probability than the odds imply. EV = expected value per £1 staked.
1X2
Over/Under 2.5
Both Teams Score
Best Value Markets Found by the Model
EV per £1 staked. Positive EV means this bet has mathematical edge over the long run. Past model accuracy is tracked on our predictions tracker.
Edge and EV are derived from model probabilities only and do not constitute financial advice. Odds fluctuate — always verify current prices with your bookmaker.
Things to Watch: Widzew Łódź vs Wisla Krakow
- ⚠️No bookmaker odds available, so value and recommended bets cannot be computed.
- ⚠️Widzew Łódź's high draw rate (6 in 9) adds variance to the 1X2 probabilities.
- ⚠️Recent friendlies may distort form signals; competitive match data weighted more heavily.
This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Betting involves risk — always gamble responsibly.
Final Verdict
Widzew Łódź 1–2 Wisla KrakowThe numbers point to a 2-1 away win for Wisla Krakow, anchored by their superior scoring rate (1.89 per game) and Widzew's ongoing struggles to convert home advantage into wins. The main risk to this call is Widzew's tendency to draw matches, which could see them frustrate Wisla if the visitors' away defensive issues persist.
Widzew Łódź vs Wisla Krakow: Common Questions
Who will win Widzew Łódź vs Wisla Krakow?
Wisla Krakow are favoured by the model with a 45% chance of victory, compared to 23% for Widzew Łódź and 32% for the draw. Wisla's stronger attack and league position underpin their edge, but Widzew's high draw rate keeps the match open.
Will both teams score in Widzew Łódź vs Wisla Krakow?
Both teams to score is rated at 58%, supported by Wisla conceding in every away match and Widzew averaging 1.44 goals for and against per game. Recent matches for both sides have also trended towards BTTS outcomes.
Is over 2.5 goals likely in this match?
The probability of over 2.5 goals is 56%, with both teams seeing this line cleared in the majority of their league games (Widzew 55.6%, Wisla 66.7%). Both attacks have outperformed their defences, especially in recent matches.
How This Prediction Was Made
The numbers on this page come from a structured statistical pack for Widzew Łódź vs Wisla Krakow: recent results and scoring data for both sides, home/away splits, the head-to-head record, current league standings, known injuries and live bookmaker odds, all sourced from the API-Football data feed.
This fixture was routed to The Numbers Desk, the statistical baseline — season-long rates, splits and distributions. An AI model running that profile analyses the pack and produces the probabilities, predicted score and written analysis shown above. Nothing is edited by hand, and no information outside the data pack is used.
Last updated: 9 October 2026 (refreshed automatically as new team data arrives). Every prediction is scored against the real result once the match finishes — see the verified track record or read the full methodology. Football is inherently uncertain: treat this page as analysis, not advice.