Wisla Krakow vs Cracovia Krakow Predictions
Ekstraklasa · Poland
Wisla Krakow
AI Predicted Score
2 - 1
Cracovia Krakow
Win Probability (1X2)
Best Value Pick
Match Result: Wisla Krakow Win
Wisla Krakow vs Cracovia Krakow: Match Preview
Wisla Krakow enter this derby on the back of a perfect home record, six wins from six at Synerise Arena, and a recent run of three wins in five. Sitting fifth in the Ekstraklasa, they boast the division's most reliable home defence (just 0.67 conceded per home game) and a potent attack averaging two goals at home. Cracovia, by contrast, are mired in 13th, winless in six away league fixtures and with just five goals scored on their travels.
The statistical matchup points to Wisla's attacking edge: they average 1.58 goals per game for the season (1.6 in the last five), while Cracovia's defence has leaked 2.2 per game over their last five and 1.83 per away match all season. Both teams trend over 2.5 goals (58.33% of matches), and Cracovia's last five league games have all seen both teams score. Set pieces may be limited—Wisla average just 3 corners per game in their last five, Cracovia the same—while both sides are disciplined, combining for just 2.6 yellow cards per match in recent outings.
The model expects Wisla's home strength to tell, forecasting a 2-1 win. Cracovia's ability to score in every recent away game means a clean sheet for the hosts is unlikely, but Wisla's attacking consistency at home and Cracovia's defensive issues tip the balance. The goal environment is moderate-to-high, with a 56% probability for over 2.5 goals and a 62% chance of both teams scoring.
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Expected goals · model says 1.75
Expected goals · model says 1.10
Over 2.5 Goals
54%
BTTS: Yes
55%
Likely Scores
1-1 · 1-0 · 2-1
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Powered by the same Poisson scoreline model behind the prediction. For fun and exploration — not betting advice.
Wisla Krakow vs Cracovia Krakow Prediction Confidence at a Glance
How strongly the model leans on each market.
Stats Worth Knowing
The numbers behind Wisla Krakow vs Cracovia Krakow that most previews miss.
- 1Cracovia Krakow have seen both teams score in each of their last five league matches, with an average of 4.0 total goals per game in that span.
- 2Wisla Krakow's home league record is a perfect 6-0-0, with a +8 goal difference and only four conceded.
- 3Despite their poor away record, Cracovia have scored in five of six away league fixtures this season.
Who do you think wins: Wisla Krakow vs Cracovia Krakow?
Cast your vote, then see how it stacks up against the model.
Where the Model Sees Value: Wisla Krakow vs Cracovia Krakow(3)
Selections where the model's probability beats the bookmaker's implied probability. Expected value is computed from real consensus odds, not opinion.
Match Result: Wisla Krakow Win
Wisla Krakow have won all six home league matches this season (12 scored, 4 conceded), while Cracovia Krakow have failed to win away (0W, 2D, 4L) and concede 1.83 per away game. The home win probability is 0.51 based on these splits.
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BTTS: Yes
Cracovia have seen both teams score in all of their last five league matches, and Wisla have conceded in four of their last five. Model probability for BTTS is 0.62.
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Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Both teams have a season over 2.5 rate of 58.33%. Combined, their matches average 2.83 goals (Wisla) and 2.92 (Cracovia), supporting a 0.56 probability for over 2.5 goals.
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More Ekstraklasa Predictions
The Case For This Wisla Krakow vs Cracovia Krakow Prediction
Wisla Krakow's flawless home record meets a Cracovia side yet to win away, with both sides trending towards high-scoring, open games. The underlying rates point to a moderate goal environment, with Wisla's attack at home (2.0 per game) facing a Cracovia defence conceding 1.83 per away outing. Expect Wisla to control much of the match, but Cracovia's recent BTTS streak means a clean sheet is far from assured.
Key Factors at a Glance
Defence
- →Wisla Krakow have won all six home league matches, scoring 12 and conceding 4.
- →Cracovia Krakow have failed to keep a clean sheet in any of their last five matches (11 conceded).
Match Context
- →Both teams have seen over 2.5 goals in 58.33% of league games.
🚩 Wisla Krakow vs Cracovia Krakow Corners Prediction
medium confidenceOur corners model projects roughly 4 corners for Wisla Krakow and 4 for Cracovia Krakow, for an expected total of 8. That makes the model lean Under 9.5 corners (72%). Over 8.5: 41% · Over 10.5: 18%.
How Wisla Krakow and Cracovia Krakow Are Arriving
Form, fitness and who's likely to start.
Wisla Krakow vs Cracovia Krakow Goalscorer Form
Goals scored in last 5 matches across all competitions. Rate = goals ÷ 5 games. XI badge shows player is in the expected starting lineup.
Wisla Krakowlast 5 matchesOccasional threat
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Cracovia Krakowlast 5 matchesRegular contributor
Regular contributor
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Wisla Krakow have built strong momentum at home, winning their last two league matches at Synerise Arena and boasting a perfect home record. Cracovia Krakow, meanwhile, have lost three of their last five and remain winless away, but have managed to score in every recent outing.
Wisla Krakow vs Cracovia Krakow — Last 10 Matches
Strengths
- +Solid recent form — 3+ wins in last 5
- +High-volume attack — 15 shots/game
Strengths
- +Both teams scoring in most recent games
Concerns
- −Inconsistent — 3+ losses in last 5
- −Leaky defence — 2.2 conceded/game
- −No clean sheets in last 5 matches
What History Says: Wisla Krakow vs Cracovia Krakow
Wisla Krakow have the upper hand in recent derbies, winning three of the last four at home and conceding just one goal in those fixtures. However, most past meetings have been low-scoring, with five of the last eight finishing under 2.5 goals.
Wisla Krakow vs Cracovia Krakow Head-to-Head History
Last 8 meetings between these sides
4
Wisla Krakow wins
3
Draws
1
Cracovia Krakow wins
Things to Watch: Wisla Krakow vs Cracovia Krakow
- ⚠️No bookmaker odds available, so value edges cannot be calculated.
- ⚠️Recent H2H data is limited and somewhat dated; current squads may differ significantly.
- ⚠️Both teams are relatively healthy, but late lineup changes could impact goal probabilities.
This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Betting involves risk — always gamble responsibly.
Final Verdict
Wisla Krakow 2–1 Cracovia KrakowThe model projects a 2-1 win for Wisla Krakow, anchored by their perfect home record and Cracovia's ongoing defensive struggles. The single strongest data point is Wisla's 6/6 home wins (12 scored, 4 conceded). The likeliest way this goes wrong is if Cracovia's recent BTTS trend continues with an improved attacking display, or if Wisla's attack stalls against the run of their home form.
Wisla Krakow vs Cracovia Krakow: Common Questions
Who will win Wisla Krakow vs Cracovia Krakow?
Wisla Krakow are favoured with a 51% win probability, reflecting their flawless home record (6 wins from 6) and Cracovia's struggles away (0 wins, 4 losses). The draw is next likeliest at 29%, with a 20% chance for a Cracovia upset.
Will both teams score in Wisla Krakow vs Cracovia Krakow?
There is a 62% probability of both teams scoring, as Cracovia have seen BTTS in all of their last five league matches and Wisla have conceded in four of their last five.
How likely is over 2.5 goals in Wisla Krakow vs Cracovia Krakow?
The model gives a 56% chance of over 2.5 goals, supported by both teams' season rates (58.33%) and Cracovia's recent high-scoring games.
How This Prediction Was Made
The numbers on this page come from a structured statistical pack for Wisla Krakow vs Cracovia Krakow: recent results and scoring data for both sides, home/away splits, the head-to-head record, current league standings, known injuries and live bookmaker odds, all sourced from the API-Football data feed.
This fixture was routed to The Numbers Desk, the statistical baseline — season-long rates, splits and distributions. An AI model running that profile analyses the pack and produces the probabilities, predicted score and written analysis shown above. Nothing is edited by hand, and no information outside the data pack is used.
Last updated: 30 October 2026 (refreshed automatically as new team data arrives). Every prediction is scored against the real result once the match finishes — see the verified track record or read the full methodology. Football is inherently uncertain: treat this page as analysis, not advice.