Wisla Plock vs Cracovia Krakow Predictions
Ekstraklasa · Poland
Wisla Plock
Full Time
3 - 1
AI predicted 1 - 1
Cracovia Krakow
Win Probability (1X2)
Best Value Pick
Match Result: Draw
@ 3.5(+26% edge)
Match Result
7.6/10Wisla Plock Sweep Aside 10-Man Cracovia Krakow in Commanding 3-1 Win
Wisla Plock delivered a convincing performance at Orlen Stadion, overcoming Cracovia Krakow 3-1 in an engaging Ekstraklasa clash. The hosts took an early lead and maintained control for most of the match, capitalizing on their numerical advantage after Cracovia were reduced to ten men in the second half. While Cracovia briefly threatened a comeback, Wisla Plock's superior attacking intent and composure saw them comfortably seal the three points. The match opened with Wisla Plock asserting themselves, and their pressure paid off with a goal in the 10th minute. Despite Cracovia's attempts to claw back, they struggled to create clear chances, registering just one shot on target all game. The second half saw a flurry of goals and a red card for the visitors, with Wisla Plock exploiting the gaps to pull away decisively.
😅 AI Prediction Report
CLOSE BUT NO CIGARPredicted
1 - 1
Actual
3 - 1
💰 Bet Results0/1 hit
Key Moments
10' — Goal
Wisla Plock open the scoring to seize early momentum.
61' — Goal
Wisla Plock double their lead after sustained pressure.
69' — Goal
Cracovia Krakow pull one back, briefly threatening a comeback.
70' — Goal
Wisla Plock respond instantly to restore their two-goal advantage.
Second Half' — Red Card
Cracovia Krakow reduced to ten men, compounding their troubles.
Wisla Plock
Wisla Plock were proactive from the outset, dictating play with 51% possession and firing 16 shots, five of which tested the goalkeeper. Their 3-5-2 formation allowed them to dominate midfield and create overloads on the flanks, leading to sustained pressure and three well-taken goals. The hosts showed composure after conceding, responding instantly to restore their two-goal cushion and never looked in serious danger. Defensively solid and clinical in attack, Wisla Plock's balanced team effort ensured they controlled the game's tempo, especially after Cracovia went down to ten men.
Key Players
Strengths
Weaknesses
Cracovia Krakow
Cracovia Krakow struggled to impose themselves, managing just eight shots with only one on target. Their 4-2-3-1 setup failed to provide enough attacking threat, and they were often second best in midfield battles. Despite a spirited spell that saw them pull a goal back in the 69th minute, their momentum was quickly halted by a red card and Wisla Plock's immediate response. Discipline proved costly, with three yellow cards and a red undermining their efforts. Reduced to ten men, Cracovia were left chasing shadows as Wisla Plock closed out the match.
Key Players
Strengths
Weaknesses
Tactical Analysis
Wisla Plock's 3-5-2 formation gave them numerical superiority in midfield, allowing wing-backs to push high and stretch Cracovia's back four. Their pressing forced turnovers, and the midfield trio dictated the tempo, frequently linking up with the front two. Cracovia's 4-2-3-1 struggled to cope, with their double pivot often outnumbered and isolated. Set pieces provided few clear chances, but Wisla Plock's ability to transition quickly after regaining possession was key. After the red card, Wisla Plock exploited the extra space, controlling possession and managing the game with maturity.
Turning Point
The red card to Cracovia Krakow in the second half, immediately after they had pulled a goal back, killed their momentum and allowed Wisla Plock to reassert control.
Man of the Match
O. Kobacki
Led the line superbly, scoring and constantly troubling Cracovia's defense with movement and link-up play.
Wisla Plock vs Cracovia Krakow: Match Preview
Wisla Plock enter this fixture languishing in 16th, still searching for a first home win and having scored only four goals in six league matches. Their recent form is patchy—one win in six and a three-game losing streak before a draw last time out—while Cracovia Krakow, sitting 11th, arrive off back-to-back defeats that have checked their early momentum. Both teams are under pressure to find consistency, but neither has shown the cutting edge to seize control of matches.
Statistically, this is a clash of underperforming attacks against leaky but not disastrous defences. Wisla Plock have failed to score in both home league games and average just 1.0 goal per game in their last five, conceding 2.4 in that span. Cracovia’s away record is equally unimpressive: no wins, just one goal scored, and two goals conceded across three away outings. Both sides generate plenty of shots (Wisla Plock 15, Cracovia 16.8 per game last five), but lack clinical finishing. Corners could play a role, with both teams averaging over 7 per game recently, suggesting set-pieces may be their best route to goal.
Given these trends, the model expects a tight, low-scoring contest, with a 1-1 draw the likeliest outcome. The market has made Cracovia slight favourites, but neither side’s numbers justify a strong lean in either direction. Unless one team finds a spark up front, a cagey, attritional match is on the cards.
Where the Model Disagrees with the Odds: Wisla Plock vs Cracovia Krakow
The strongest value lies in the draw, with the model’s 36% probability comfortably outpacing the 29% implied by odds of 3.5. Neither side has made a convincing case for favouritism—Wisla Plock are winless at home, Cracovia winless away—and the H2H record supports a tightly contested outcome. Other markets, such as BTTS or under 2.5 goals, lack sufficient edge due to both teams’ volatility.
Odds from Bet365. Positive edge = our model gives a higher probability than the odds imply. EV = expected value per £1 staked.
1X2
Over/Under 2.5
Both Teams Score
Best Value Markets Found by the Model
EV per £1 staked. Positive EV means this bet has mathematical edge over the long run. Past model accuracy is tracked on our predictions tracker.
Edge and EV are derived from model probabilities only and do not constitute financial advice. Odds fluctuate — always verify current prices with your bookmaker.
Where the Model Sees Value: Wisla Plock vs Cracovia Krakow(1)
Selections where the model's probability beats the bookmaker's implied probability. Expected value is computed from real consensus odds, not opinion.
Match Result: Draw@ 3.3
The model gives a 36% chance of a draw while the odds imply just 29%, creating a strong +26% edge. Both sides have struggled for consistency—Wisla Plock have failed to win at home (0W 1D 1L, 0 goals scored), while Cracovia Krakow have yet to win away (0W 2D 1L, 1 goal scored)—and the last 10 H2H meetings have produced 3 draws, including two 0-0s.
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Wisla Plock vs Cracovia Krakow Prediction Confidence at a Glance
How strongly the model leans on each market.
Stats Worth Knowing
The numbers behind Wisla Plock vs Cracovia Krakow that most previews miss.
- 1Wisla Plock have failed to score in both home league matches this season, despite averaging 15 shots per game over their last five.
- 2Cracovia Krakow’s away games have averaged just 1.0 total goals per match (1 scored, 2 conceded in three away fixtures).
- 3The last 10 H2H meetings have produced three draws and four away wins, with two 0-0 scorelines in the last five.
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Expected goals · model says 1.05
Expected goals · model says 1.20
Over 2.5 Goals
39%
BTTS: Yes
45%
Likely Scores
1-1 · 0-1 · 1-0
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Powered by the same Poisson scoreline model behind the prediction. For fun and exploration — not betting advice.
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The Case For This Wisla Plock vs Cracovia Krakow Prediction
Bookmakers have Cracovia Krakow as slight favourites away to Wisla Plock, but the numbers point to a contest with little between these sides. Wisla Plock are winless at home and have scored just four times in six league games, while Cracovia have only one away goal all season. Both arrive in patchy form, with neither attack convincing enough to justify a clear favourite. The tactical matchup is defined by blunt attacking output against middling defences. Wisla Plock average just 1.0 goal scored and 2.4 conceded over their last five, with a worrying 0 home goals in the league. Cracovia are marginally better defensively (1.2 conceded per game last five), but their away attack (0.33 goals per away game) is among the league's least threatening. Both teams create a healthy volume of shots (Wisla Plock 15, Cracovia 16.8 per game last five), but conversion rates are low. Set-piece numbers are notable: both average over 7 corners per game in their last five, which could be a source of threat given the lack of open play cutting edge. The model expects a tight, low-scoring affair, with a 1-1 draw the most likely outcome. The strongest data point is the lack of home/away wins for either side in these circumstances, and the market appears to underrate the draw. The game could open up if either side scores early, but the most plausible scenario is a cautious first half and a cagey finish.
Key Factors at a Glance
Recent Form
- →Both teams average over 7 corners per game in their last five matches.
Match Context
- →Wisla Plock have failed to score in both home league matches this season.
- →Cracovia Krakow have not won away, averaging just 0.33 goals per away game.
🚩 Wisla Plock vs Cracovia Krakow Corners Prediction
medium confidenceOur corners model projects roughly 5.6 corners for Wisla Plock and 5.8 for Cracovia Krakow, for an expected total of 11.4. That makes the model lean Over 9.5 corners (70%). Over 8.5: 80% · Over 10.5: 59%.
How Wisla Plock and Cracovia Krakow Are Arriving
Form, fitness and who's likely to start.
Wisla Plock vs Cracovia Krakow Goalscorer Form
Goals scored in last 5 matches across all competitions. Rate = goals ÷ 5 games. XI badge shows player is in the expected starting lineup.
Wisla Plocklast 5 matchesOccasional threat
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Cracovia Krakowlast 5 matchesScoring consistently
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Wisla Plock are winless in their last four league matches, with a form string of DWLLL and a failure to score in two of their last five. Cracovia Krakow have also slipped recently, losing their last two after a brief two-game winning run, and are yet to win away from home this season.
Wisla Plock vs Cracovia Krakow — Last 8 Matches
Concerns
- −Leaky defence — 2.2 conceded/game
- −No clean sheets in last 5 matches
Strengths
- +Both teams scoring in most recent games
- +High-volume attack — 15 shots/game
Concerns
- −Inconsistent — 3+ losses in last 5
- −No clean sheets in last 5 matches
What History Says: Wisla Plock vs Cracovia Krakow
The last 10 meetings have been closely contested, with Cracovia holding a slight edge (4 wins to Wisla Plock's 3) and three draws, including two goalless encounters in the last five. Away wins and low-scoring games are a recurring theme, suggesting little to separate these sides.
Wisla Plock vs Cracovia Krakow Head-to-Head History
Last 10 meetings between these sides
4
Wisla Plock wins
2
Draws
4
Cracovia Krakow wins
Things to Watch: Wisla Plock vs Cracovia Krakow
- ⚠️Recent lineups and tactical adjustments are unavailable for this fixture.
- ⚠️Cup match data for Wisla Plock may not reflect league-level opposition.
- ⚠️Low scoring trends could be disrupted by an early goal or set-piece breakthrough.
This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Betting involves risk — always gamble responsibly.
Final Verdict
Wisla Plock 1–1 Cracovia KrakowThe model projects a 1-1 draw, with the strongest data point being both teams’ inability to win or score freely when playing in these home/away splits. The biggest risk to this call is an early goal from a set piece, which could open up a match that otherwise looks set to be cagey and low on quality chances.
Wisla Plock vs Cracovia Krakow: Common Questions
Who will win Wisla Plock vs Cracovia Krakow?
The model rates both teams equally, with a 36% chance each for a Cracovia win or a draw, and a 28% chance for a Wisla Plock victory. The most likely outcome is a 1-1 draw, reflecting both sides’ struggles in attack and lack of home/away wins.
What are the odds and value for the draw in Wisla Plock vs Cracovia Krakow?
The draw is priced at 3.5 (implied probability 29%), while the model gives it a 36% chance, creating a +26% value edge. Recent H2H and both teams’ current form support the likelihood of a stalemate.
Will both teams score in Wisla Plock vs Cracovia Krakow?
The model gives a 53% probability for both teams to score, with each side averaging just over 1 goal per game in their last five matches. However, both have failed to score in two of their last five, so a goalless half is also plausible.
How This Prediction Was Made
The numbers on this page come from a structured statistical pack for Wisla Plock vs Cracovia Krakow: recent results and scoring data for both sides, home/away splits, the head-to-head record, current league standings, known injuries and live bookmaker odds, all sourced from the API-Football data feed.
This fixture was routed to The Value Scout, the market-facing profile — hunts the gap between price and probability. An AI model running that profile analyses the pack and produces the probabilities, predicted score and written analysis shown above. Nothing is edited by hand, and no information outside the data pack is used.
Last updated: 9 September 2026 (refreshed automatically as new team data arrives). Every prediction is scored against the real result once the match finishes — see the verified track record or read the full methodology. Football is inherently uncertain: treat this page as analysis, not advice.