Yunnan Yukun vs Henan Jianye Predictions
Super League · China
Yunnan Yukun
Full Time
2 - 1
AI predicted 2 - 1
Henan Jianye
Win Probability (1X2)
Best Value Pick
Match Result: Draw
@ 3.5(+5% edge)
Match Result
7.2/10Yunnan Yukun Edge Past Henan Jianye in Hard-Fought Super League Clash
Yunnan Yukun claimed a narrow 2-1 victory over Henan Jianye at the Yuxi Plateau Sports Center Stadium, overturning a first-half deficit with a spirited second-half performance. Despite trailing after conceding in the 36th minute, the hosts rallied with two goals in quick succession after the break, sealing three valuable points in front of their home crowd. The match was a tale of two halves: Henan Jianye struck first and looked comfortable, but Yunnan Yukun's greater possession (53%) and attacking intent paid dividends as they pressed forward in the second period. Henan Jianye, despite registering more shots on target (4 to Yukun's 2), were unable to capitalize on their early momentum, ultimately undone by Yukun's clinical finishing and tactical adjustments.
🔮 AI Prediction Report
PSYCHIC MODEPredicted
2 - 1
Actual
2 - 1
💰 Bet Results0/1 hit
Key Moments
36' — Goal
Henan Jianye take the lead with a composed finish.
64' — Goal
Yunnan Yukun equalize, shifting the momentum of the match.
75' — Goal
Yunnan Yukun complete the comeback with the winning goal.
Various' — Yellow Cards
Henan Jianye accumulate three yellow cards as they struggle to contain Yukun's second-half surge.
Yunnan Yukun
Yunnan Yukun started slowly, conceding in the first half and struggling to break down a compact Henan Jianye defense. However, their persistence and superior possession eventually told, as they found the net twice in the space of eleven minutes after the hour mark. The hosts were disciplined defensively, conceding just one goal and picking up only a single yellow card, while also earning six corners and maintaining attacking pressure. Their ability to turn the match around after halftime showcased both resilience and tactical flexibility, making the most of limited shots on target to engineer a comeback win.
Key Players
Strengths
Weaknesses
Henan Jianye
Henan Jianye looked the more composed side in the first half, taking the lead in the 36th minute and restricting Yunnan Yukun to few clear chances. They managed four shots on target from seven attempts, but struggled to create meaningful opportunities after halftime. The visitors' discipline wavered as they picked up three yellow cards, and their inability to earn a single corner highlighted a lack of attacking threat in the latter stages. Despite their early advantage, Henan Jianye were unable to withstand Yunnan Yukun's second-half resurgence, ultimately leaving empty-handed.
Key Players
Strengths
Weaknesses
Tactical Analysis
Both sides lined up with disciplined defensive structures, but Yunnan Yukun’s greater emphasis on possession (53%) eventually wore down Henan Jianye’s resistance. The hosts used their width effectively, earning six corners and stretching the play in the second half. Henan Jianye, by contrast, failed to win a single corner and saw their attacking impetus fade after the break, as they dropped deeper to protect their lead. Yunnan Yukun’s tactical adjustment after halftime—pressing higher and committing more players forward—paid off as they capitalized on their limited chances. Henan Jianye’s response was muted, and their increasing reliance on fouls (three yellow cards) reflected their struggle to regain control.
Turning Point
Yunnan Yukun’s equalizer in the 64th minute, which shifted the momentum decisively in the hosts’ favor.
Man of the Match
Yunnan Yukun Goal Scorer (75')
Scored the decisive winner and led the second-half resurgence.
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Expected goals · model says 1.85
Expected goals · model says 1.55
Over 2.5 Goals
66%
BTTS: Yes
66%
Likely Scores
1-1 · 2-1 · 1-2
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Powered by the same Poisson scoreline model behind the prediction. For fun and exploration — not betting advice.
Yunnan Yukun vs Henan Jianye Prediction Confidence at a Glance
How strongly the model leans on each market.
Who do you think wins: Yunnan Yukun vs Henan Jianye?
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Where the Model Sees Value: Yunnan Yukun vs Henan Jianye(1)
Selections where the model's probability beats the bookmaker's implied probability. Expected value is computed from real consensus odds, not opinion.
Match Result: Draw@ 3.5
Both teams have similar season and recent form, with a high draw rate in their H2H history and league records. The model shows a 30% draw probability versus 28.6% implied, offering a modest value edge.
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The Case For This Yunnan Yukun vs Henan Jianye Prediction
Yunnan Yukun and Henan Jianye come into this Super League clash with nearly identical season records and recent form, both sitting mid-table. Yunnan have shown attacking prowess but defensive frailty, while Henan have tightened up defensively but struggled for goals at times. The fixture is likely to be closely contested, with both sides capable of scoring and a draw a strong possibility.
Key Factors at a Glance
Attack
- →Head-to-head meetings have been tight: 1 win each and 1 draw, all finishing 2-1 or 1-1
Defence
- →Yunnan Yukun's high-scoring, high-conceding profile (1.81 scored, 1.75 conceded per game; 81% over 2.5 matches)
- →Henan Jianye's improved away form (3W, 2D, 3L away) and more solid recent defense (1.2 conceded per last 5)
- →Both teams with only 1 clean sheet in last 5 matches
Injuries & Team News
- →No significant injuries reported for either side
🚩 Yunnan Yukun vs Henan Jianye Corners Prediction
low confidenceOur corners model projects roughly 5.4 corners for Yunnan Yukun and 4 for Henan Jianye, for an expected total of 9.4. That makes the model lean Under 9.5 corners (53%). Over 8.5: 60% · Over 10.5: 34%.
How Yunnan Yukun and Henan Jianye Are Arriving
Form, fitness and who's likely to start.
Yunnan Yukun vs Henan Jianye Goalscorer Form
Goals scored in last 5 matches across all competitions. Rate = goals ÷ 5 games.
Yunnan Yukunlast 5 matchesIn exceptional form
Regular contributor
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Henan Jianyelast 5 matchesRegular contributor
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Yunnan Yukun have been inconsistent, with just one win in their last five league games (form: LWDLD), scoring regularly but conceding too often. Henan Jianye, despite a recent home loss, have won three of their last five (LWLWW), including two away victories, suggesting slightly better momentum but also some volatility.
Yunnan Yukun vs Henan Jianye — Last 10 Matches
Strengths
- +Prolific attack — 2.2 goals/game (last 5)
- +Both teams scoring in most recent games
- +Over 2.5 goals in 82.35% of games this season
Concerns
- −Leaky defence — 2.2 conceded/game
- −No clean sheets in last 5 matches
Concerns
- −Inconsistent — 3+ losses in last 5
What History Says: Yunnan Yukun vs Henan Jianye
The head-to-head record is balanced, with each side taking a 2-1 home win and a 1-1 draw in the last three meetings. All matches have seen both teams score, indicating a tendency for open, competitive games.
Yunnan Yukun vs Henan Jianye Head-to-Head History
Last 4 meetings between these sides
2
Yunnan Yukun wins
1
Draws
1
Henan Jianye wins
Where the Model Disagrees with the Odds: Yunnan Yukun vs Henan Jianye
The model sees the draw as slightly undervalued by bookmakers, with a 5% edge over the market. Other popular markets like BTTS and under 2.5 goals do not offer value at current odds. Given the teams' similar form and close H2H history, the draw stands out as the most attractive value position.
Odds from Bet365. Positive edge = our model gives a higher probability than the odds imply. EV = expected value per £1 staked.
1X2
Over/Under 2.5
Both Teams Score
Best Value Markets Found by the Model
EV per £1 staked. Positive EV means this bet has mathematical edge over the long run. Past model accuracy is tracked on our predictions tracker.
Edge and EV are derived from model probabilities only and do not constitute financial advice. Odds fluctuate — always verify current prices with your bookmaker.
Things to Watch: Yunnan Yukun vs Henan Jianye
- ⚠️Some match stats (shots, corners, possession) are missing for several recent games
- ⚠️Lineups for this fixture are not available; late changes could affect probabilities
- ⚠️Small H2H sample (only 3 matches) limits reliability of direct matchup trends
- ⚠️Market odds may shift before kickoff, affecting value calculations
This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Betting involves risk — always gamble responsibly.
How This Prediction Was Made
The numbers on this page come from a structured statistical pack for Yunnan Yukun vs Henan Jianye: recent results and scoring data for both sides, home/away splits, the head-to-head record, current league standings, known injuries and live bookmaker odds, all sourced from the API-Football data feed.
An AI model analyses that pack and produces the probabilities, predicted score and written analysis shown above. Nothing is edited by hand, and no information outside the data pack is used.
Last updated: 30 June 2026 (refreshed automatically as new team data arrives). Every prediction is scored against the real result once the match finishes — see the verified track record or read the full methodology. Football is inherently uncertain: treat this page as analysis, not advice.