Zaglebie Lubin vs Cracovia Krakow Predictions

EkstraklasaEkstraklasa · Poland
high confidence
Zaglebie Lubin

Zaglebie Lubin

AI Predicted Score

1 - 1

Cracovia Krakow

Cracovia Krakow

🗓️ Sunday, 3 May 2026 at 14:45 CEST (venue time) · 12:45 UTC (your time)📍 KGHM Zaglebie Arena, Lubin

Win Probability (1X2)

Zaglebie Lubin 34%Draw 36%Cracovia Krakow 30%

Best Value Pick

Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5

@ 1.12

🎮 Prediction Playground

Think the model has it wrong? Nudge each team's expected goals and watch every probability react — then simulate the match and see what happens.

Zaglebie Lubin0.80

Expected goals · model says 0.80

Cracovia Krakow0.70

Expected goals · model says 0.70

Win Probability
Zaglebie Lubin 35% Draw 37% Cracovia Krakow 29%

Over 2.5 Goals

19%

BTTS: Yes

28%

Likely Scores

0-0 · 1-0 · 0-1

Play this match once with the probabilities above — every run is different.

Powered by the same Poisson scoreline model behind the prediction. For fun and exploration — not betting advice.

Zaglebie Lubin vs Cracovia Krakow Prediction Confidence at a Glance

How strongly the model leans on each market.

Match Result (1X2)
34%
36%
30%
Zaglebie Lubin 34%Draw 36%Cracovia Krakow 30%
Both Teams to Score
41%
59%
Yes 41%No 59%
Over/Under 2.5 Goals
19%
81%
Over 2.5 19%Under 2.5 81%
Corners (Over/Under 9.5)
54%
46%
Over 9.5 54%Under 9.5 46%

Who do you think wins: Zaglebie Lubin vs Cracovia Krakow?

Cast your vote, then see how it stacks up against the model.

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The Case For This Zaglebie Lubin vs Cracovia Krakow Prediction

This fixture sees two teams out of form and low on attacking output. Zaglebie Lubin have lost four of their last five and are struggling to score, while Cracovia Krakow have one win in five and a poor away record. Both sides have been involved in low-scoring matches recently, and their H2H history is dominated by draws and tight games. With neither side showing much attacking threat and both defences relatively solid, a low-scoring draw is the most likely outcome.

Key Factors at a Glance

Recent Form

  • →Head-to-head: 4 draws in last 6, most recent meeting 0-0
  • →Both teams have low season over 2.5 goal % (50%), but recent form is even lower

Attack

  • →Zaglebie Lubin: 4 losses in last 5, only 3 goals scored, 2 failed to score
  • →Cracovia Krakow: 1 win in last 5, only 5 goals scored, poor away form (4W 4D 7L, 15 GF, 22 GA)
  • →Both teams average under 1.5 goals scored per game in last 5

Match Context

  • →Zaglebie missing M. Grzybek (midfield regular) due to broken leg

🚩 Zaglebie Lubin vs Cracovia Krakow Corners Prediction

low confidence
10expected total corners
Over 54%
Under 46%
Over 9.5Under 9.5

Our corners model projects roughly 4.4 corners for Zaglebie Lubin and 5.6 for Cracovia Krakow, for an expected total of 10. That makes the model lean Over 9.5 corners (54%). Over 8.5: 67% · Over 10.5: 42%.

More corners tips:Over 9.5 →Under 9.5 →

How Zaglebie Lubin and Cracovia Krakow Are Arriving

Form, fitness and who's likely to start.

Zaglebie Lubin vs Cracovia Krakow Goalscorer Form

Goals scored in last 5 matches across all competitions. Rate = goals ÷ 5 games. XI badge shows player is in the expected starting lineup.

Zaglebie LubinZaglebie Lubinlast 5 matches

No scorer data yet — available after predictions are regenerated.

Cracovia KrakowCracovia Krakowlast 5 matches

No scorer data yet — available after predictions are regenerated.

Scorer data populates once predictions are regenerated with the updated pipeline.

Zaglebie Lubin vs Cracovia Krakow — Last 10 Matches

Zaglebie LubinZaglebie LubinLast 10 results
L1-2
L0-1
W1-0
L1-3
L0-1
L0-1
W3-1
W2-0
W2-0
D0-0
Lvs Nieciecza1-2
L@ Legia Warszawa0-1
Wvs Radomiak Radom1-0
L@ Arka Gdynia1-3
L@ Motor Lublin0-1
Lvs Lech Poznan0-1
W@ Piast Gliwice3-1
Wvs Wisla Plock2-0
W@ Lechia Gdansk2-0
Dvs Raków Częstochowa0-0

Concerns

  • −4/5 losses in last 5 — poor form
  • −Struggling to score — 0.6 goals/game
Cracovia KrakowCracovia KrakowLast 10 results
D1-1
L1-4
D2-2
L0-3
W1-0
L1-2
L0-1
L2-3
D0-0
D0-0
Dvs Pogon Szczecin1-1
L@ Raków Częstochowa1-4
Dvs Arka Gdynia2-2
L@ Gornik Zabrze0-3
Wvs GKS Katowice1-0
Lvs Wisla Plock1-2
L@ Legia Warszawa0-1
Lvs Piast Gliwice2-3
D@ Widzew Łódź0-0
Dvs Jagiellonia0-0

Concerns

  • −Leaky defence — 2.0 conceded/game

What History Says: Zaglebie Lubin vs Cracovia Krakow

Zaglebie Lubin vs Cracovia Krakow Head-to-Head History

Last 10 meetings between these sides

1

Zaglebie Lubin wins

4

Draws

5

Cracovia Krakow wins

10%40% draws50%
3 Nov 25Cracovia Krakow vs Zaglebie Lubin0-0
24 May 25Zaglebie Lubin vs Cracovia Krakow1-2
29 Nov 24Cracovia Krakow vs Zaglebie Lubin1-1
18 Feb 24Zaglebie Lubin vs Cracovia Krakow1-1
2 Nov 23Cracovia Krakow vs Zaglebie Lubin1-0
11 Aug 23Cracovia Krakow vs Zaglebie Lubin2-1

Where the Model Disagrees with the Odds: Zaglebie Lubin vs Cracovia Krakow

Odds from 10Bet. Positive edge = our model gives a higher probability than the odds imply. EV = expected value per £1 staked.

1X2

SelectionOddsModel %Edge
Zaglebie Lubin Win1.8534.0%-20.1%
Drawvalue3.1536.0%+4.3%
Cracovia Krakow Win1.8530.0%-24.1%

Over/Under 2.5

SelectionOddsModel %Edge
Over 2.55.2019.0%-0.2%
Under 2.51.1281.0%-8.3%

Both Teams Score

SelectionOddsModel %Edge
Yesvalue5.0041.0%+21.0%
No1.1459.0%-28.7%

Best Value Markets Found by the Model

1X2: Draw @ 3.15EV +0.134
Both Teams Score: Yes @ 5.00EV +1.050

EV per £1 staked. Positive EV means this bet has mathematical edge over the long run. Past model accuracy is tracked on our predictions tracker.

Edge and EV are derived from model probabilities only and do not constitute financial advice. Odds fluctuate — always verify current prices with your bookmaker.

Things to Watch: Zaglebie Lubin vs Cracovia Krakow

  • ⚠️Recent form for both teams is poor, increasing unpredictability
  • ⚠️Cracovia's away stats and last 5 match stats are incomplete (missing shots, possession etc.)
  • ⚠️Odds on main markets are very short, limiting value
  • ⚠️Lineups not available, so late injuries or rotations possible
  • ⚠️Motivation unclear with both teams mid-table and little to play for

This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Betting involves risk — always gamble responsibly.

How This Prediction Was Made

The numbers on this page come from a structured statistical pack for Zaglebie Lubin vs Cracovia Krakow: recent results and scoring data for both sides, home/away splits, the head-to-head record, current league standings, known injuries and live bookmaker odds, all sourced from the API-Football data feed.

An AI model analyses that pack and produces the probabilities, predicted score and written analysis shown above. Nothing is edited by hand, and no information outside the data pack is used.

Last updated: 28 April 2026 (refreshed automatically as new team data arrives). Every prediction is scored against the real result once the match finishes — see the verified track record or read the full methodology. Football is inherently uncertain: treat this page as analysis, not advice.

More Zaglebie Lubin vs Cracovia Krakow Resources